Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–0 Sassuolo

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.45 fair 1.74
Draw 4.75 fair 4.70
Away 6.50 fair 4.71
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 2.61
Over 2.5 1.50 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Sassuolo
20 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 5
8 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (177 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 2.03 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawSassuolo
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 1–1 9.7% 2–0 8.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
1.82scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 31:20
Sassuolo before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
1.47scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 25:32
Milan all matches all matches Sassuolo

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 1.47
1.18 Goals conceded 1.88
3.00 Total goals 3.35
12.88 Shots 14.18
5.18 Shots on target 4.88
14.65 Shots faced 14.47
4.35 Corners 5.82
4.35 Corners against 5.71
11.35 Fouls 10.12
2.53 Yellow cards 1.94
1.12 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

59% Wins 24%
18% Draws 24%
24% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 94%
59% Over 2.5 goals 65%
47% Over 3.5 goals 35%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
6% Over 5.5 goals 18%
53% Both teams scored 76%
35% Clean sheets 0%
12% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

59% Wins 41%
35% Draws 29%
6% Losses 29%
76% Over 0.5 goals 88%
53% Over 1.5 goals 41%
12% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Sassuolo all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.25points / match
1.75scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 14:4
Sassuolo before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.63scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:17
Milan at home away Sassuolo

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.63
0.50 Goals conceded 2.13
2.25 Total goals 3.75
12.13 Shots 12.75
5.25 Shots on target 4.63
14.13 Shots faced 15.75
5.13 Corners 5.38
4.50 Corners against 7.00
11.75 Fouls 10.50
1.75 Yellow cards 2.25
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.13 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

75% Wins 25%
0% Draws 25%
25% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
38% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
25% Both teams scored 88%
50% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 38%
38% Draws 25%
0% Losses 38%
63% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Sassuolo away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.23 Salernitana – Milan 2–2 (1–1) 8.004.501.44 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
11.11.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
04.11.23 Milan – Udinese 0–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
29.10.23 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86
22.10.23 Milan – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
07.10.23 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75

Sassuolo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.23 Sassuolo – Genoa 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.02 1.88
17.12.23 Udinese – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–0) 2.253.503.10 1.70 2.10
11.12.23 Cagliari – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.70 2.10
03.12.23 Sassuolo – Roma 1–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05
26.11.23 Empoli – Sassuolo 3–4 (2–2) 2.753.602.40 1.65 2.20
10.11.23 Sassuolo – Salernitana 2–2 (1–2) 1.654.204.75 1.62 2.25
06.11.23 Torino – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.40 2.00 1.90
28.10.23 Sassuolo – Bologna 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.402.63 1.70 2.10
21.10.23 Sassuolo – Lazio 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.502.50 1.62 2.25
06.10.23 Lecce – Sassuolo 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 1.80 2.00

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
04.11.23 Milan – Udinese 0–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
22.10.23 Milan – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
30.09.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
23.09.23 Milan – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 Milan – Torino 4–1 (3–1) 1.653.805.00 2.20 1.67
04.06.23 Milan – Verona 3–1 (1–0) 1.734.004.50 1.94 1.99
20.05.23 Milan – Sampdoria 5–1 (3–1) 1.177.5017.00 1.57 2.38

Sassuolo away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Udinese – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–0) 2.253.503.10 1.70 2.10
11.12.23 Cagliari – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.70 2.10
26.11.23 Empoli – Sassuolo 3–4 (2–2) 2.753.602.40 1.65 2.20
06.11.23 Torino – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.40 2.00 1.90
06.10.23 Lecce – Sassuolo 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 1.80 2.00
27.09.23 Inter – Sassuolo 1–2 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.40 3.00
17.09.23 Frosinone – Sassuolo 4–2 (1–2) 2.803.402.50 1.86 2.04
27.08.23 Napoli – Sassuolo 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.44 2.75
26.05.23 Sampdoria – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–2) 3.804.101.83 1.62 2.30
13.05.23 Inter – Sassuolo 4–2 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsSassuolo wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.01.23I1 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
30.08.22I1 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
22.05.22I1 Sassuolo – Milan 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.751.45 1.50 2.62
28.11.21I1 Milan – Sassuolo 1–3 (1–2) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 3 1 42 8 +34 45
2 Juventus 17 12 4 1 26 11 +15 40
3 Milan 17 10 3 4 31 20 +11 33
4 Fiorentina 18 10 3 5 27 18 +9 33
5 Bologna 18 8 7 3 21 15 +6 31
6 Atalanta 18 9 2 7 29 20 +9 29
7 Roma 17 8 4 5 30 19 +11 28
8 Napoli 18 8 4 6 28 21 +7 28
9 Lazio 18 8 3 7 21 19 +2 27
10 Torino 18 6 6 6 15 18 -3 24
11 Monza 18 5 7 6 16 18 -2 22
12 Genoa 18 5 5 8 19 23 -4 20
13 Lecce 18 4 8 6 19 24 -5 20
14 Frosinone 18 5 4 9 23 31 -8 19
15 Udinese 18 2 11 5 18 28 -10 17
16 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 25 32 -7 16
17 Verona 17 3 5 9 15 23 -8 14
18 Cagliari 18 3 5 10 16 31 -15 14
19 Empoli 18 3 4 11 10 30 -20 13
20 Salernitana 17 1 6 10 14 36 -22 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 1 1 23 5 +18 22
2 Bologna 9 7 1 1 13 4 +9 22
3 Roma 9 6 2 1 21 7 +14 20
4 Juventus 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20
5 Atalanta 9 6 1 2 17 7 +10 19
6 Fiorentina 9 6 1 2 15 8 +7 19
7 Milan 8 6 0 2 14 4 +10 18
8 Lazio 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
9 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 15 12 +3 17
10 Torino 9 4 4 1 9 6 +3 16
11 Lecce 9 4 3 2 11 11 0 15
12 Monza 9 3 4 2 10 6 +4 13
13 Genoa 9 3 4 2 12 11 +1 13
14 Cagliari 9 3 3 3 11 15 -4 12
15 Napoli 9 3 2 4 12 13 -1 11
16 Udinese 9 1 6 2 12 14 -2 9
17 Verona 8 2 3 3 9 11 -2 9
18 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 12 15 -3 8
19 Salernitana 9 1 4 4 9 18 -9 7
20 Empoli 9 1 2 6 5 14 -9 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 2 0 19 3 +16 23
2 Juventus 9 6 2 1 14 7 +7 20
3 Napoli 9 5 2 2 16 8 +8 17
4 Milan 9 4 3 2 17 16 +1 15
5 Fiorentina 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
6 Atalanta 9 3 1 5 12 13 -1 10
7 Lazio 9 3 1 5 10 12 -2 10
8 Bologna 9 1 6 2 8 11 -3 9
9 Monza 9 2 3 4 6 12 -6 9
10 Roma 8 2 2 4 9 12 -3 8
11 Sassuolo 8 2 2 4 13 17 -4 8
12 Torino 9 2 2 5 6 12 -6 8
13 Udinese 9 1 5 3 6 14 -8 8
14 Empoli 9 2 2 5 5 16 -11 8
15 Genoa 9 2 1 6 7 12 -5 7
16 Lecce 9 0 5 4 8 13 -5 5
17 Verona 9 1 2 6 6 12 -6 5
18 Frosinone 9 0 2 7 8 19 -11 2
19 Cagliari 9 0 2 7 5 16 -11 2
20 Salernitana 8 0 2 6 5 18 -13 2

Milan   Sassuolo

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Frosinone 18 6 12 1.3 1.7 5 4 9 23 31 19
2 8 Napoli 18 7 11 1.6 1.2 8 4 6 28 21 28
3 16 Sassuolo 17 6 11 1.5 1.9 4 4 9 25 32 16
4 20 Salernitana 17 6 11 0.8 2.1 1 6 10 14 36 9
5 3 Milan 17 7 10 1.8 1.2 10 3 4 31 20 33
6 6 Atalanta 18 8 10 1.6 1.1 9 2 7 29 20 29
7 18 Cagliari 18 8 10 0.9 1.7 3 5 10 16 31 14
8 1 Inter 18 9 9 2.3 0.4 14 3 1 42 8 45
9 7 Roma 17 8 9 1.8 1.1 8 4 5 30 19 28
10 4 Fiorentina 18 10 8 1.5 1.0 10 3 5 27 18 33
11 15 Udinese 18 10 8 1.0 1.6 2 11 5 18 28 17
12 5 Bologna 18 11 7 1.2 0.8 8 7 3 21 15 31
13 12 Genoa 18 11 7 1.1 1.3 5 5 8 19 23 20
14 13 Lecce 18 11 7 1.1 1.3 4 8 6 19 24 20
15 17 Verona 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 3 5 9 15 23 14
16 2 Juventus 17 11 6 1.5 0.6 12 4 1 26 11 40
17 9 Lazio 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 8 3 7 21 19 27
18 10 Torino 18 13 5 0.8 1.0 6 6 6 15 18 24
19 11 Monza 18 13 5 0.9 1.0 5 7 6 16 18 22
20 19 Empoli 18 13 5 0.6 1.7 3 4 11 10 30 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Frosinone 9 2 7 1.7 1.3 5 2 2 15 12 17
2 8 Napoli 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 3 2 4 12 13 11
3 20 Salernitana 9 3 6 1.0 2.0 1 4 4 9 18 7
4 1 Inter 9 4 5 2.6 0.6 7 1 1 23 5 22
5 4 Fiorentina 9 4 5 1.7 0.9 6 1 2 15 8 19
6 6 Atalanta 9 4 5 1.9 0.8 6 1 2 17 7 19
7 7 Roma 9 4 5 2.3 0.8 6 2 1 21 7 20
8 15 Udinese 9 4 5 1.3 1.6 1 6 2 12 14 9
9 16 Sassuolo 9 4 5 1.3 1.7 2 2 5 12 15 8
10 18 Cagliari 9 4 5 1.2 1.7 3 3 3 11 15 12
11 13 Lecce 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 4 3 2 11 11 15
12 17 Verona 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 2 3 3 9 11 9
13 3 Milan 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 6 0 2 14 4 18
14 5 Bologna 9 6 3 1.4 0.4 7 1 1 13 4 22
15 10 Torino 9 6 3 1.0 0.7 4 4 1 9 6 16
16 12 Genoa 9 6 3 1.3 1.2 3 4 2 12 11 13
17 2 Juventus 8 6 2 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20
18 9 Lazio 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
19 11 Monza 9 7 2 1.1 0.7 3 4 2 10 6 13
20 19 Empoli 9 7 2 0.6 1.6 1 2 6 5 14 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 9 2 7 1.9 1.8 4 3 2 17 16 15
2 16 Sassuolo 8 2 6 1.6 2.1 2 2 4 13 17 8
3 6 Atalanta 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 3 1 5 12 13 10
4 8 Napoli 9 4 5 1.8 0.9 5 2 2 16 8 17
5 14 Frosinone 9 4 5 0.9 2.1 0 2 7 8 19 2
6 18 Cagliari 9 4 5 0.6 1.8 0 2 7 5 16 2
7 20 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.6 2.2 0 2 6 5 18 2
8 1 Inter 9 5 4 2.1 0.3 7 2 0 19 3 23
9 2 Juventus 9 5 4 1.6 0.8 6 2 1 14 7 20
10 5 Bologna 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 1 6 2 8 11 9
11 7 Roma 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 2 2 4 9 12 8
12 9 Lazio 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 3 1 5 10 12 10
13 12 Genoa 9 5 4 0.8 1.3 2 1 6 7 12 7
14 4 Fiorentina 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
15 11 Monza 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 2 3 4 6 12 9
16 13 Lecce 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 0 5 4 8 13 5
17 15 Udinese 9 6 3 0.7 1.6 1 5 3 6 14 8
18 17 Verona 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 1 2 6 6 12 5
19 19 Empoli 9 6 3 0.6 1.8 2 2 5 5 16 8
20 10 Torino 9 7 2 0.7 1.3 2 2 5 6 12 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51