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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Monza 1–4 Roma

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.75 fair 2.62
Draw 3.40 fair 3.82
Away ✓ 2.05 fair 2.80
Under 2.5 1.87 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Monza Roma
16 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 3
11 Fouls 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (262 league matches this season so far).
Result Monza to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
MonzaDrawRoma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 9.6% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Monza before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.04scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 27:30
Roma before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.85scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 48:32
Monza all matches all matches Roma

Per match

1.04 Goals scored 1.85
1.15 Goals conceded 1.23
2.19 Total goals 3.08
12.42 Shots 12.00
3.65 Shots on target 3.92
14.65 Shots faced 11.19
5.27 Corners 4.31
4.77 Corners against 3.77
11.96 Fouls 12.38
2.38 Yellow cards 2.50
0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

35% Wins 50%
35% Draws 19%
31% Losses 31%
85% Over 0.5 goals 96%
65% Over 1.5 goals 85%
35% Over 2.5 goals 62%
15% Over 3.5 goals 35%
12% Over 4.5 goals 19%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
38% Both teams scored 62%
38% Clean sheets 27%
38% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 35%
42% Draws 42%
31% Losses 23%
65% Over 0.5 goals 69%
35% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Monza all matches
Roma all matches
Monza before this match, at home
1.54points / match
1.23scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:13
Roma before this match, away
1.17points / match
1.25scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:17
Monza at home away Roma

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded 1.42
2.23 Total goals 2.67
12.92 Shots 11.08
3.54 Shots on target 3.67
12.85 Shots faced 12.83
5.62 Corners 4.08
3.62 Corners against 3.75
11.77 Fouls 11.83
2.31 Yellow cards 2.83
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

38% Wins 33%
38% Draws 17%
23% Losses 50%
85% Over 0.5 goals 92%
62% Over 1.5 goals 75%
31% Over 2.5 goals 58%
15% Over 3.5 goals 25%
15% Over 4.5 goals 17%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 58%
46% Clean sheets 17%
23% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 17%
38% Draws 42%
23% Losses 42%
69% Over 0.5 goals 58%
31% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Monza at home
Roma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Monza all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Salernitana – Monza 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.102.50 2.10 1.70
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93
11.02.24 Monza – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.20 1.65
03.02.24 Udinese – Monza 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.04 1.86
28.01.24 Monza – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.75 2.05
21.01.24 Empoli – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 2.803.302.55 2.08 1.82
13.01.24 Monza – Inter 1–5 (0–2) 7.004.001.50 1.88 2.02
06.01.24 Frosinone – Monza 2–3 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 1.93 1.97
29.12.23 Napoli – Monza 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.08
22.12.23 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.24 Roma – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.254.50 2.40 1.53
18.02.24 Frosinone – Roma 0–3 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.08
10.02.24 Roma – Inter 2–4 (2–1) 4.203.501.91 2.15 1.67
05.02.24 Roma – Cagliari 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.337.50 1.87 2.03
29.01.24 Salernitana – Roma 1–2 (0–0) 5.253.801.67 2.08 1.73
20.01.24 Roma – Verona 2–1 (2–0) 1.444.208.50 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
07.01.24 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.203.10 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Juventus – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.70 1.44
23.12.23 Roma – Napoli 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.102.50 2.15 1.67

Monza at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93
11.02.24 Monza – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.20 1.65
28.01.24 Monza – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.75 2.05
13.01.24 Monza – Inter 1–5 (0–2) 7.004.001.50 1.88 2.02
22.12.23 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
10.12.23 Monza – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.75 2.30 1.60
01.12.23 Monza – Juventus 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.301.95 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Monza – Torino 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.25 1.62
29.10.23 Monza – Udinese 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.92 1.98
08.10.23 Monza – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.703.805.00 1.88 2.02

Roma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.24 Frosinone – Roma 0–3 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.08
29.01.24 Salernitana – Roma 1–2 (0–0) 5.253.801.67 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Juventus – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.70 1.44
17.12.23 Bologna – Roma 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.003.25 2.50 1.50
03.12.23 Sassuolo – Roma 1–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05
12.11.23 Lazio – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.002.63 2.35 1.57
29.10.23 Inter – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 2.03 1.87
08.10.23 Cagliari – Roma 1–4 (0–2) 4.753.301.83 2.25 1.62
28.09.23 Genoa – Roma 4–1 (2–1) 3.803.252.05 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Monza winsDrawsRoma wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.23I1 Roma – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.95 1.95
03.05.23I1 Monza – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 3.753.102.15 2.50 1.53
30.08.22I1 Roma – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 26 22 3 1 67 12 +55 69
2 Juventus 26 17 6 3 41 19 +22 57
3 Milan 27 17 5 5 51 32 +19 56
4 Bologna 26 13 9 4 39 23 +16 48
5 Atalanta 26 14 4 8 48 28 +20 46
6 Roma 26 13 5 8 48 32 +16 44
7 Fiorentina 26 12 5 9 39 30 +9 41
8 Napoli 26 11 7 8 40 30 +10 40
9 Lazio 27 12 4 11 32 29 +3 40
10 Torino 26 9 9 8 25 25 0 36
11 Monza 26 9 9 8 27 30 -3 36
12 Genoa 26 8 9 9 28 31 -3 33
13 Empoli 26 6 7 13 22 40 -18 25
14 Udinese 27 3 15 9 26 41 -15 24
15 Lecce 26 5 9 12 24 43 -19 24
16 Frosinone 26 6 5 15 34 55 -21 23
17 Verona 26 4 8 14 23 36 -13 20
18 Sassuolo 26 5 5 16 32 54 -22 20
19 Cagliari 26 4 8 14 24 47 -23 20
20 Salernitana 27 2 8 17 21 54 -33 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bologna 14 11 2 1 26 7 +19 35
2 Inter 13 11 1 1 34 6 +28 34
3 Atalanta 13 10 1 2 30 8 +22 31
4 Roma 14 9 3 2 33 15 +18 30
5 Juventus 13 9 3 1 20 8 +12 30
6 Milan 13 9 2 2 22 8 +14 29
7 Fiorentina 13 8 2 3 24 13 +11 26
8 Torino 13 6 5 2 14 8 +6 23
9 Lazio 13 6 3 4 13 10 +3 21
10 Monza 13 5 5 3 16 13 +3 20
11 Genoa 13 5 5 3 17 16 +1 20
12 Frosinone 13 6 2 5 22 22 0 20
13 Lecce 13 5 4 4 15 21 -6 19
14 Napoli 12 5 3 4 17 16 +1 18
15 Cagliari 13 4 4 5 16 22 -6 16
16 Verona 12 3 5 4 14 16 -2 14
17 Udinese 14 1 9 4 17 21 -4 12
18 Sassuolo 13 3 3 7 17 25 -8 12
19 Empoli 13 2 4 7 9 18 -9 10
20 Salernitana 14 1 4 9 13 29 -16 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 13 11 2 0 33 6 +27 35
2 Juventus 13 8 3 2 21 11 +10 27
3 Milan 14 8 3 3 29 24 +5 27
4 Napoli 14 6 4 4 23 14 +9 22
5 Lazio 14 6 1 7 19 19 0 19
6 Monza 13 4 4 5 11 17 -6 16
7 Atalanta 13 4 3 6 18 20 -2 15
8 Fiorentina 13 4 3 6 15 17 -2 15
9 Empoli 13 4 3 6 13 22 -9 15
10 Roma 12 4 2 6 15 17 -2 14
11 Bologna 12 2 7 3 13 16 -3 13
12 Genoa 13 3 4 6 11 15 -4 13
13 Torino 13 3 4 6 11 17 -6 13
14 Udinese 13 2 6 5 9 20 -11 12
15 Sassuolo 13 2 2 9 15 29 -14 8
16 Salernitana 13 1 4 8 8 25 -17 7
17 Verona 14 1 3 10 9 20 -11 6
18 Lecce 13 0 5 8 9 22 -13 5
19 Cagliari 13 0 4 9 8 25 -17 4
20 Frosinone 13 0 3 10 12 33 -21 3

Monza   Roma

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Frosinone 26 7 19 1.3 2.1 6 5 15 34 55 23
2 20 Salernitana 27 10 17 0.8 2.0 2 8 17 21 54 14
3 3 Milan 27 11 16 1.9 1.2 17 5 5 51 32 56
4 6 Roma 26 10 16 1.8 1.2 13 5 8 48 32 44
5 18 Sassuolo 26 10 16 1.2 2.1 5 5 16 32 54 20
6 1 Inter 26 11 15 2.6 0.5 22 3 1 67 12 69
7 5 Atalanta 26 11 15 1.8 1.1 14 4 8 48 28 46
8 8 Napoli 26 11 15 1.5 1.2 11 7 8 40 30 40
9 19 Cagliari 26 11 15 0.9 1.8 4 8 14 24 47 20
10 4 Bologna 26 14 12 1.5 0.9 13 9 4 39 23 48
11 7 Fiorentina 26 14 12 1.5 1.2 12 5 9 39 30 41
12 15 Lecce 26 14 12 0.9 1.7 5 9 12 24 43 24
13 17 Verona 26 14 12 0.9 1.4 4 8 14 23 36 20
14 2 Juventus 26 15 11 1.6 0.7 17 6 3 41 19 57
15 9 Lazio 27 16 11 1.2 1.1 12 4 11 32 29 40
16 14 Udinese 27 16 11 1.0 1.5 3 15 9 26 41 24
17 12 Genoa 26 16 10 1.1 1.2 8 9 9 28 31 33
18 13 Empoli 26 16 10 0.8 1.5 6 7 13 22 40 25
19 11 Monza 26 17 9 1.0 1.2 9 9 8 27 30 36
20 10 Torino 26 18 8 1.0 1.0 9 9 8 25 25 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Frosinone 13 2 11 1.7 1.7 6 2 5 22 22 20
2 20 Salernitana 14 4 10 0.9 2.1 1 4 9 13 29 7
3 6 Roma 14 5 9 2.4 1.1 9 3 2 33 15 30
4 1 Inter 13 5 8 2.6 0.5 11 1 1 34 6 34
5 5 Atalanta 13 5 8 2.3 0.6 10 1 2 30 8 31
6 7 Fiorentina 13 5 8 1.8 1.0 8 2 3 24 13 26
7 8 Napoli 12 4 8 1.4 1.3 5 3 4 17 16 18
8 19 Cagliari 13 5 8 1.2 1.7 4 4 5 16 22 16
9 14 Udinese 14 7 7 1.2 1.5 1 9 4 17 21 12
10 15 Lecce 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 5 4 4 15 21 19
11 18 Sassuolo 13 6 7 1.3 1.9 3 3 7 17 25 12
12 17 Verona 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 3 5 4 14 16 14
13 3 Milan 13 8 5 1.7 0.6 9 2 2 22 8 29
14 4 Bologna 14 9 5 1.9 0.5 11 2 1 26 7 35
15 12 Genoa 13 8 5 1.3 1.2 5 5 3 17 16 20
16 2 Juventus 13 9 4 1.5 0.6 9 3 1 20 8 30
17 10 Torino 13 9 4 1.1 0.6 6 5 2 14 8 23
18 11 Monza 13 9 4 1.2 1.0 5 5 3 16 13 20
19 13 Empoli 13 9 4 0.7 1.4 2 4 7 9 18 10
20 9 Lazio 13 10 3 1.0 0.8 6 3 4 13 10 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 14 3 11 2.1 1.7 8 3 3 29 24 27
2 18 Sassuolo 13 4 9 1.2 2.2 2 2 9 15 29 8
3 9 Lazio 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 6 1 7 19 19 19
4 16 Frosinone 13 5 8 0.9 2.5 0 3 10 12 33 3
5 1 Inter 13 6 7 2.5 0.5 11 2 0 33 6 35
6 2 Juventus 13 6 7 1.6 0.8 8 3 2 21 11 27
7 4 Bologna 12 5 7 1.1 1.3 2 7 3 13 16 13
8 5 Atalanta 13 6 7 1.4 1.5 4 3 6 18 20 15
9 6 Roma 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 15 17 14
10 8 Napoli 14 7 7 1.6 1.0 6 4 4 23 14 22
11 19 Cagliari 13 6 7 0.6 1.9 0 4 9 8 25 4
12 20 Salernitana 13 6 7 0.6 1.9 1 4 8 8 25 7
13 13 Empoli 13 7 6 1.0 1.7 4 3 6 13 22 15
14 17 Verona 14 8 6 0.6 1.4 1 3 10 9 20 6
15 11 Monza 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 4 4 5 11 17 16
16 12 Genoa 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 3 4 6 11 15 13
17 15 Lecce 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 0 5 8 9 22 5
18 7 Fiorentina 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 4 3 6 15 17 15
19 10 Torino 13 9 4 0.8 1.3 3 4 6 11 17 13
20 14 Udinese 13 9 4 0.7 1.5 2 6 5 9 20 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51