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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Monza 4–2 Milan

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 4.75 fair 3.02
Draw 3.50 fair 3.89
Away 1.80 fair 2.43
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.97 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Monza Milan
12 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 3
11 Fouls 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (246 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
MonzaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 0–1 9.7% 1–2 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Monza before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
0.88scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 21:28
Milan before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
1.96scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 47:27
Monza all matches all matches Milan

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.96
1.17 Goals conceded 1.13
2.04 Total goals 3.08
12.25 Shots 13.38
3.42 Shots on target 5.13
14.75 Shots faced 13.96
4.96 Corners 4.33
4.75 Corners against 4.17
11.96 Fouls 11.38
2.33 Yellow cards 2.38
0.42 1st-half goals scored 1.08
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

29% Wins 67%
38% Draws 17%
33% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 71%
33% Over 2.5 goals 63%
13% Over 3.5 goals 50%
8% Over 4.5 goals 21%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
38% Both teams scored 54%
38% Clean sheets 38%
42% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 54%
42% Draws 42%
33% Losses 4%
67% Over 0.5 goals 79%
33% Over 1.5 goals 54%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Monza all matches
Milan all matches
Monza before this match, at home
1.42points / match
1.00scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 12:11
Milan before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.17scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 26:20
Monza at home away Milan

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.17
0.92 Goals conceded 1.67
1.92 Total goals 3.83
13.00 Shots 13.58
3.33 Shots on target 5.33
12.58 Shots faced 14.25
5.50 Corners 4.17
3.67 Corners against 4.25
11.83 Fouls 11.17
2.17 Yellow cards 2.92
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

33% Wins 58%
42% Draws 25%
25% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
58% Over 1.5 goals 92%
25% Over 2.5 goals 83%
8% Over 3.5 goals 67%
8% Over 4.5 goals 33%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
42% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 50%
42% Draws 42%
25% Losses 8%
67% Over 0.5 goals 92%
25% Over 1.5 goals 83%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Monza at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Monza all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24 Monza – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.20 1.65
03.02.24 Udinese – Monza 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.04 1.86
28.01.24 Monza – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.75 2.05
21.01.24 Empoli – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 2.803.302.55 2.08 1.82
13.01.24 Monza – Inter 1–5 (0–2) 7.004.001.50 1.88 2.02
06.01.24 Frosinone – Monza 2–3 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 1.93 1.97
29.12.23 Napoli – Monza 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.08
22.12.23 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
10.12.23 Monza – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.75 2.30 1.60

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
20.01.24 Udinese – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 4.003.801.85 1.91 1.99
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
07.01.24 Empoli – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.801.67 1.75 2.05
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
22.12.23 Salernitana – Milan 2–2 (1–1) 8.004.501.44 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75

Monza at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24 Monza – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.20 1.65
28.01.24 Monza – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.75 2.05
13.01.24 Monza – Inter 1–5 (0–2) 7.004.001.50 1.88 2.02
22.12.23 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
10.12.23 Monza – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.75 2.30 1.60
01.12.23 Monza – Juventus 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.301.95 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Monza – Torino 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.25 1.62
29.10.23 Monza – Udinese 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.92 1.98
08.10.23 Monza – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.703.805.00 1.88 2.02
28.09.23 Monza – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.04 1.86

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
20.01.24 Udinese – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 4.003.801.85 1.91 1.99
07.01.24 Empoli – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.801.67 1.75 2.05
22.12.23 Salernitana – Milan 2–2 (1–1) 8.004.501.44 1.65 2.20
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
11.11.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
29.10.23 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86
07.10.23 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
27.09.23 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
16.09.23 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Monza winsDrawsMilan wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23I1 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
18.02.23I1 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.73
22.10.22I1 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 24 20 3 1 59 12 +47 63
2 Juventus 25 16 6 3 38 17 +21 54
3 Milan 24 16 4 4 47 27 +20 52
4 Atalanta 24 14 3 7 47 23 +24 45
5 Bologna 25 12 9 4 37 23 +14 45
6 Roma 25 12 5 8 45 30 +15 41
7 Fiorentina 25 11 5 9 37 29 +8 38
8 Lazio 24 11 4 9 29 26 +3 37
9 Napoli 24 10 6 8 33 28 +5 36
10 Torino 24 9 9 6 23 20 +3 36
11 Genoa 25 7 9 9 26 31 -5 30
12 Monza 24 7 9 8 21 28 -7 30
13 Lecce 25 5 9 11 24 39 -15 24
14 Udinese 25 3 14 8 25 38 -13 23
15 Frosinone 25 6 5 14 32 52 -20 23
16 Empoli 25 5 7 13 19 38 -19 22
17 Verona 25 4 8 13 23 34 -11 20
18 Sassuolo 24 5 5 14 29 45 -16 20
19 Cagliari 25 4 7 14 23 46 -23 19
20 Salernitana 25 2 7 16 20 51 -31 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bologna 13 10 2 1 24 7 +17 32
2 Inter 12 10 1 1 30 6 +24 31
3 Atalanta 13 10 1 2 30 8 +22 31
4 Milan 12 9 1 2 21 7 +14 28
5 Roma 13 8 3 2 30 13 +17 27
6 Juventus 12 8 3 1 17 6 +11 27
7 Fiorentina 12 7 2 3 22 12 +10 23
8 Torino 12 6 5 1 14 6 +8 23
9 Lazio 12 6 3 3 13 9 +4 21
10 Frosinone 13 6 2 5 22 22 0 20
11 Lecce 12 5 4 3 15 17 -2 19
12 Napoli 12 5 3 4 17 16 +1 18
13 Monza 12 4 5 3 12 11 +1 17
14 Genoa 12 4 5 3 15 16 -1 17
15 Cagliari 12 4 3 5 15 21 -6 15
16 Verona 12 3 5 4 14 16 -2 14
17 Sassuolo 11 3 3 5 14 16 -2 12
18 Udinese 13 1 8 4 16 20 -4 11
19 Empoli 13 2 4 7 9 18 -9 10
20 Salernitana 13 1 4 8 13 27 -14 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 12 10 2 0 29 6 +23 32
2 Juventus 13 8 3 2 21 11 +10 27
3 Milan 12 7 3 2 26 20 +6 24
4 Napoli 12 5 3 4 16 12 +4 18
5 Lazio 12 5 1 6 16 17 -1 16
6 Fiorentina 13 4 3 6 15 17 -2 15
7 Atalanta 11 4 2 5 17 15 +2 14
8 Roma 12 4 2 6 15 17 -2 14
9 Bologna 12 2 7 3 13 16 -3 13
10 Genoa 13 3 4 6 11 15 -4 13
11 Torino 12 3 4 5 9 14 -5 13
12 Monza 12 3 4 5 9 17 -8 13
13 Udinese 12 2 6 4 9 18 -9 12
14 Empoli 12 3 3 6 10 20 -10 12
15 Sassuolo 13 2 2 9 15 29 -14 8
16 Verona 13 1 3 9 9 18 -9 6
17 Salernitana 12 1 3 8 7 24 -17 6
18 Lecce 13 0 5 8 9 22 -13 5
19 Cagliari 13 0 4 9 8 25 -17 4
20 Frosinone 12 0 3 9 10 30 -20 3

Monza   Milan

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Frosinone 25 7 18 1.3 2.1 6 5 14 32 52 23
2 20 Salernitana 25 8 17 0.8 2.0 2 7 16 20 51 13
3 3 Milan 24 9 15 2.0 1.1 16 4 4 47 27 52
4 6 Roma 25 10 15 1.8 1.2 12 5 8 45 30 41
5 19 Cagliari 25 10 15 0.9 1.8 4 7 14 23 46 19
6 4 Atalanta 24 10 14 2.0 1.0 14 3 7 47 23 45
7 9 Napoli 24 10 14 1.4 1.2 10 6 8 33 28 36
8 18 Sassuolo 24 10 14 1.2 1.9 5 5 14 29 45 20
9 1 Inter 24 11 13 2.5 0.5 20 3 1 59 12 63
10 5 Bologna 25 13 12 1.5 0.9 12 9 4 37 23 45
11 17 Verona 25 13 12 0.9 1.4 4 8 13 23 34 20
12 7 Fiorentina 25 14 11 1.5 1.2 11 5 9 37 29 38
13 13 Lecce 25 14 11 1.0 1.6 5 9 11 24 39 24
14 14 Udinese 25 14 11 1.0 1.5 3 14 8 25 38 23
15 2 Juventus 25 15 10 1.5 0.7 16 6 3 38 17 54
16 8 Lazio 24 14 10 1.2 1.1 11 4 9 29 26 37
17 11 Genoa 25 15 10 1.0 1.2 7 9 9 26 31 30
18 16 Empoli 25 16 9 0.8 1.5 5 7 13 19 38 22
19 12 Monza 24 16 8 0.9 1.2 7 9 8 21 28 30
20 10 Torino 24 17 7 1.0 0.8 9 9 6 23 20 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Frosinone 13 2 11 1.7 1.7 6 2 5 22 22 20
2 20 Salernitana 13 3 10 1.0 2.1 1 4 8 13 27 7
3 4 Atalanta 13 5 8 2.3 0.6 10 1 2 30 8 31
4 6 Roma 13 5 8 2.3 1.0 8 3 2 30 13 27
5 9 Napoli 12 4 8 1.4 1.3 5 3 4 17 16 18
6 19 Cagliari 12 4 8 1.2 1.8 4 3 5 15 21 15
7 1 Inter 12 5 7 2.5 0.5 10 1 1 30 6 31
8 7 Fiorentina 12 5 7 1.8 1.0 7 2 3 22 12 23
9 14 Udinese 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 1 8 4 16 20 11
10 13 Lecce 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 5 4 3 15 17 19
11 17 Verona 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 3 5 4 14 16 14
12 3 Milan 12 7 5 1.8 0.6 9 1 2 21 7 28
13 5 Bologna 13 8 5 1.8 0.5 10 2 1 24 7 32
14 11 Genoa 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 4 5 3 15 16 17
15 18 Sassuolo 11 6 5 1.3 1.5 3 3 5 14 16 12
16 10 Torino 12 8 4 1.2 0.5 6 5 1 14 6 23
17 16 Empoli 13 9 4 0.7 1.4 2 4 7 9 18 10
18 2 Juventus 12 9 3 1.4 0.5 8 3 1 17 6 27
19 8 Lazio 12 9 3 1.1 0.8 6 3 3 13 9 21
20 12 Monza 12 9 3 1.0 0.9 4 5 3 12 11 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 12 2 10 2.2 1.7 7 3 2 26 20 24
2 18 Sassuolo 13 4 9 1.2 2.2 2 2 9 15 29 8
3 2 Juventus 13 6 7 1.6 0.8 8 3 2 21 11 27
4 5 Bologna 12 5 7 1.1 1.3 2 7 3 13 16 13
5 6 Roma 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 15 17 14
6 8 Lazio 12 5 7 1.3 1.4 5 1 6 16 17 16
7 15 Frosinone 12 5 7 0.8 2.5 0 3 9 10 30 3
8 19 Cagliari 13 6 7 0.6 1.9 0 4 9 8 25 4
9 20 Salernitana 12 5 7 0.6 2.0 1 3 8 7 24 6
10 1 Inter 12 6 6 2.4 0.5 10 2 0 29 6 32
11 4 Atalanta 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 4 2 5 17 15 14
12 9 Napoli 12 6 6 1.3 1.0 5 3 4 16 12 18
13 17 Verona 13 7 6 0.7 1.4 1 3 9 9 18 6
14 11 Genoa 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 3 4 6 11 15 13
15 12 Monza 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 3 4 5 9 17 13
16 13 Lecce 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 0 5 8 9 22 5
17 16 Empoli 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 3 6 10 20 12
18 7 Fiorentina 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 4 3 6 15 17 15
19 14 Udinese 12 8 4 0.8 1.5 2 6 4 9 18 12
20 10 Torino 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 3 4 5 9 14 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51