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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 2–3 Napoli

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.25 fair 2.52
Draw 3.25 fair 3.99
Away ✓ 3.25 fair 2.83
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.17
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Napoli
15 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 1
18 Fouls 9
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (201 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.37
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawNapoli
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 2–1 8.6% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
2.15points / match
2.20scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 44:21
Napoli before this match, all matches
2.35points / match
1.60scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 32:12
Atalanta all matches all matches Napoli

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 1.60
1.05 Goals conceded 0.60
3.25 Total goals 2.20
14.95 Shots 14.00
5.60 Shots on target 3.95
10.35 Shots faced 9.55
4.85 Corners 6.00
2.65 Corners against 3.70
11.75 Fouls 10.85
1.90 Yellow cards 1.10
1.05 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

65% Wins 75%
20% Draws 10%
15% Losses 15%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
90% Over 1.5 goals 65%
60% Over 2.5 goals 45%
40% Over 3.5 goals 15%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 25%
35% Clean sheets 60%
10% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 40%
40% Draws 45%
15% Losses 15%
70% Over 0.5 goals 65%
45% Over 1.5 goals 30%
15% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Napoli all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
2.44points / match
2.89scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 26:12
Napoli before this match, away
2.30points / match
1.70scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:6
Atalanta at home away Napoli

Per match

2.89 Goals scored 1.70
1.33 Goals conceded 0.60
4.22 Total goals 2.30
15.56 Shots 11.30
6.78 Shots on target 3.40
9.22 Shots faced 10.70
4.78 Corners 4.60
2.22 Corners against 4.40
11.00 Fouls 10.80
1.11 Yellow cards 1.00
1.44 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

78% Wins 70%
11% Draws 20%
11% Losses 10%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
100% Over 1.5 goals 70%
78% Over 2.5 goals 50%
56% Over 3.5 goals 20%
56% Over 4.5 goals 0%
22% Over 5.5 goals 0%
89% Both teams scored 30%
11% Clean sheets 60%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 50%
33% Draws 40%
11% Losses 10%
78% Over 0.5 goals 70%
44% Over 1.5 goals 30%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Napoli away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.25 Atalanta – Juventus 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.30 1.62
11.01.25 Udinese – Atalanta 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.85 2.05
28.12.24 Lazio – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 1.80 2.00
22.12.24 Atalanta – Empoli 3–2 (2–1) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
14.12.24 Cagliari – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.331.55 1.62 2.30
06.12.24 Atalanta – Milan 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.30 1.73 2.10
02.12.24 Roma – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.87 2.03
23.11.24 Parma – Atalanta 1–3 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.38
10.11.24 Atalanta – Udinese 2–1 (0–1) 1.385.007.50 1.62 2.30
03.11.24 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.403.70 1.92 1.98

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.25 Napoli – Verona 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5013.00 1.67 2.20
04.01.25 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–3 (0–1) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
29.12.24 Napoli – Venezia 1–0 (0–0) 1.275.5011.00 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Genoa – Napoli 1–2 (0–2) 5.253.601.70 2.20 1.67
14.12.24 Udinese – Napoli 1–3 (1–0) 5.253.501.73 2.20 1.67
08.12.24 Napoli – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.73
01.12.24 Torino – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.401.80 2.30 1.62
24.11.24 Napoli – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.00 1.80
10.11.24 Inter – Napoli 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.704.10 1.90 2.00
03.11.24 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.403.70 1.92 1.98

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.25 Atalanta – Juventus 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.30 1.62
22.12.24 Atalanta – Empoli 3–2 (2–1) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
06.12.24 Atalanta – Milan 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.30 1.73 2.10
10.11.24 Atalanta – Udinese 2–1 (0–1) 1.385.007.50 1.62 2.30
30.10.24 Atalanta – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.62 2.30
26.10.24 Atalanta – Verona 6–1 (5–1) 1.384.758.00 1.53 2.50
05.10.24 Atalanta – Genoa 5–1 (1–0) 1.454.756.50 1.80 2.00
24.09.24 Atalanta – Como 2–3 (1–0) 1.444.507.00 1.67 2.20
15.09.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 3–2 (3–2) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
02.06.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–3 (2–3) 1.484.756.00 1.53 2.50

Napoli away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–3 (0–1) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
21.12.24 Genoa – Napoli 1–2 (0–2) 5.253.601.70 2.20 1.67
14.12.24 Udinese – Napoli 1–3 (1–0) 5.253.501.73 2.20 1.67
01.12.24 Torino – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.401.80 2.30 1.62
10.11.24 Inter – Napoli 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.704.10 1.90 2.00
29.10.24 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
20.10.24 Empoli – Napoli 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.501.67 2.10 1.73
21.09.24 Juventus – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 2.20 1.67
15.09.24 Cagliari – Napoli 0–4 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 1.89 2.01
18.08.24 Verona – Napoli 3–0 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.93 1.97

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsNapoli wins
7matches
3.29goals / match
86%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.24I1 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.403.70 1.92 1.98
30.03.24I1 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.103.603.40 1.80 2.00
25.11.23I1 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.63 1.88 2.02
11.03.23I1 Napoli – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
05.11.22I1 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (1–2) 3.303.602.15 1.66 2.20
03.04.22I1 Atalanta – Napoli 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.303.00 1.94 1.96
04.12.21I1 Napoli – Atalanta 2–3 (1–1) 2.453.502.80 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 20 15 2 3 32 12 +20 47
2 Inter 19 13 5 1 48 17 +31 44
3 Atalanta 20 13 4 3 44 21 +23 43
4 Juventus 21 8 13 0 34 17 +17 37
5 Lazio 20 11 3 6 34 28 +6 36
6 Bologna 20 8 9 3 32 26 +6 33
7 Fiorentina 19 9 5 5 32 20 +12 32
8 Milan 20 8 7 5 29 21 +8 31
9 Roma 21 7 6 8 31 27 +4 27
10 Udinese 20 7 5 8 23 28 -5 26
11 Genoa 21 5 8 8 18 30 -12 23
12 Torino 20 5 7 8 20 25 -5 22
13 Empoli 20 4 8 8 19 25 -6 20
14 Lecce 20 5 5 10 14 32 -18 20
15 Parma 20 4 7 9 25 35 -10 19
16 Como 20 4 7 9 22 33 -11 19
17 Verona 20 6 1 13 24 44 -20 19
18 Cagliari 20 4 6 10 19 33 -14 18
19 Venezia 20 3 5 12 18 33 -15 14
20 Monza 21 2 7 12 20 31 -11 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 10 8 0 2 15 6 +9 24
2 Atalanta 9 7 1 1 26 12 +14 22
3 Roma 11 7 0 4 23 11 +12 21
4 Inter 10 6 3 1 23 12 +11 21
5 Lazio 10 6 3 1 19 14 +5 21
6 Juventus 11 4 7 0 17 9 +8 19
7 Milan 10 4 5 1 15 6 +9 17
8 Bologna 10 4 5 1 15 9 +6 17
9 Fiorentina 9 5 2 2 16 11 +5 17
10 Udinese 10 4 2 4 11 13 -2 14
11 Lecce 10 3 4 3 9 17 -8 13
12 Como 9 3 3 3 13 15 -2 12
13 Parma 10 3 2 5 16 18 -2 11
14 Venezia 10 3 2 5 11 13 -2 11
15 Torino 10 2 4 4 7 10 -3 10
16 Verona 10 3 1 6 11 22 -11 10
17 Genoa 11 1 6 4 10 16 -6 9
18 Cagliari 10 2 3 5 8 18 -10 9
19 Empoli 10 1 4 5 4 11 -7 7
20 Monza 11 1 3 7 10 16 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 2 0 25 5 +20 23
2 Napoli 10 7 2 1 17 6 +11 23
3 Atalanta 11 6 3 2 18 9 +9 21
4 Juventus 10 4 6 0 17 8 +9 18
5 Bologna 10 4 4 2 17 17 0 16
6 Fiorentina 10 4 3 3 16 9 +7 15
7 Lazio 10 5 0 5 15 14 +1 15
8 Milan 10 4 2 4 14 15 -1 14
9 Genoa 10 4 2 4 8 14 -6 14
10 Empoli 10 3 4 3 15 14 +1 13
11 Torino 10 3 3 4 13 15 -2 12
12 Udinese 10 3 3 4 12 15 -3 12
13 Cagliari 10 2 3 5 11 15 -4 9
14 Verona 10 3 0 7 13 22 -9 9
15 Parma 10 1 5 4 9 17 -8 8
16 Monza 10 1 4 5 10 15 -5 7
17 Como 11 1 4 6 9 18 -9 7
18 Lecce 10 2 1 7 5 15 -10 7
19 Roma 10 0 6 4 8 16 -8 6
20 Venezia 10 0 3 7 7 20 -13 3

Atalanta   Napoli

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 20 6 14 1.7 1.4 11 3 6 34 28 36
2 17 Verona 20 6 14 1.2 2.2 6 1 13 24 44 19
3 15 Parma 20 7 13 1.2 1.8 4 7 9 25 35 19
4 2 Inter 19 7 12 2.5 0.9 13 5 1 48 17 44
5 3 Atalanta 20 8 12 2.2 1.1 13 4 3 44 21 43
6 6 Bologna 20 8 12 1.6 1.3 8 9 3 32 26 33
7 7 Fiorentina 19 8 11 1.7 1.1 9 5 5 32 20 32
8 8 Milan 20 9 11 1.4 1.1 8 7 5 29 21 31
9 19 Venezia 20 9 11 0.9 1.6 3 5 12 18 33 14
10 20 Monza 21 10 11 1.0 1.5 2 7 12 20 31 13
11 9 Roma 21 11 10 1.5 1.3 7 6 8 31 27 27
12 10 Udinese 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 7 5 8 23 28 26
13 1 Napoli 20 11 9 1.6 0.6 15 2 3 32 12 47
14 4 Juventus 21 12 9 1.6 0.8 8 13 0 34 17 37
15 11 Genoa 21 12 9 0.9 1.4 5 8 8 18 30 23
16 18 Cagliari 20 11 9 0.9 1.6 4 6 10 19 33 18
17 13 Empoli 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 4 8 8 19 25 20
18 14 Lecce 20 12 8 0.7 1.6 5 5 10 14 32 20
19 16 Como 20 12 8 1.1 1.6 4 7 9 22 33 19
20 12 Torino 20 13 7 1.0 1.2 5 7 8 20 25 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 10 2 8 1.9 1.4 6 3 1 19 14 21
2 17 Verona 10 2 8 1.1 2.2 3 1 6 11 22 10
3 3 Atalanta 9 2 7 2.9 1.3 7 1 1 26 12 22
4 7 Fiorentina 9 2 7 1.8 1.2 5 2 2 16 11 17
5 9 Roma 11 4 7 2.1 1.0 7 0 4 23 11 21
6 15 Parma 10 3 7 1.6 1.8 3 2 5 16 18 11
7 2 Inter 10 4 6 2.3 1.2 6 3 1 23 12 21
8 20 Monza 11 5 6 0.9 1.5 1 3 7 10 16 6
9 4 Juventus 11 6 5 1.5 0.8 4 7 0 17 9 19
10 11 Genoa 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 1 6 4 10 16 9
11 14 Lecce 10 5 5 0.9 1.7 3 4 3 9 17 13
12 1 Napoli 10 6 4 1.5 0.6 8 0 2 15 6 24
13 6 Bologna 10 6 4 1.5 0.9 4 5 1 15 9 17
14 8 Milan 10 6 4 1.5 0.6 4 5 1 15 6 17
15 10 Udinese 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 4 2 4 11 13 14
16 16 Como 9 5 4 1.4 1.7 3 3 3 13 15 12
17 18 Cagliari 10 6 4 0.8 1.8 2 3 5 8 18 9
18 19 Venezia 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 3 2 5 11 13 11
19 13 Empoli 10 7 3 0.4 1.1 1 4 5 4 11 7
20 12 Torino 10 8 2 0.7 1.0 2 4 4 7 10 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Bologna 10 2 8 1.7 1.7 4 4 2 17 17 16
2 8 Milan 10 3 7 1.4 1.5 4 2 4 14 15 14
3 19 Venezia 10 3 7 0.7 2.0 0 3 7 7 20 3
4 2 Inter 9 3 6 2.8 0.6 7 2 0 25 5 23
5 5 Lazio 10 4 6 1.5 1.4 5 0 5 15 14 15
6 10 Udinese 10 4 6 1.2 1.5 3 3 4 12 15 12
7 15 Parma 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 1 5 4 9 17 8
8 17 Verona 10 4 6 1.3 2.2 3 0 7 13 22 9
9 1 Napoli 10 5 5 1.7 0.6 7 2 1 17 6 23
10 3 Atalanta 11 6 5 1.6 0.8 6 3 2 18 9 21
11 12 Torino 10 5 5 1.3 1.5 3 3 4 13 15 12
12 13 Empoli 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 3 4 3 15 14 13
13 18 Cagliari 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 2 3 5 11 15 9
14 20 Monza 10 5 5 1.0 1.5 1 4 5 10 15 7
15 4 Juventus 10 6 4 1.7 0.8 4 6 0 17 8 18
16 7 Fiorentina 10 6 4 1.6 0.9 4 3 3 16 9 15
17 11 Genoa 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 4 2 4 8 14 14
18 16 Como 11 7 4 0.8 1.6 1 4 6 9 18 7
19 9 Roma 10 7 3 0.8 1.6 0 6 4 8 16 6
20 14 Lecce 10 7 3 0.5 1.5 2 1 7 5 15 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38