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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 2–3 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 2–3 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.48 fair 1.88
Draw 4.75 fair 4.31
Away ✓ 6.00 fair 4.22
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.26
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Fiorentina
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 4
5 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (379 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.79 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
1.89scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 70:39
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.57scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 58:44
Atalanta all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.57
1.05 Goals conceded 1.19
2.95 Total goals 2.76
14.41 Shots 13.84
5.51 Shots on target 4.78
12.03 Shots faced 9.92
5.51 Corners 5.27
3.84 Corners against 3.03
13.00 Fouls 12.05
2.03 Yellow cards 2.11
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.49 1st-half goals conceded 0.51

How often Full Time

57% Wins 43%
16% Draws 24%
27% Losses 32%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
89% Over 1.5 goals 73%
65% Over 2.5 goals 51%
27% Over 3.5 goals 32%
16% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
51% Both teams scored 54%
41% Clean sheets 22%
11% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 38%
27% Draws 27%
27% Losses 35%
84% Over 0.5 goals 84%
46% Over 1.5 goals 30%
8% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
2.28points / match
2.22scored / match
0.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 40:13
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.22points / match
1.17scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 21:22
Atalanta at home away Fiorentina

Per match

2.22 Goals scored 1.17
0.72 Goals conceded 1.22
2.94 Total goals 2.39
17.22 Shots 11.78
6.83 Shots on target 4.11
10.61 Shots faced 10.67
6.39 Corners 4.83
3.50 Corners against 2.94
11.78 Fouls 12.50
1.44 Yellow cards 2.67
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

72% Wins 33%
11% Draws 22%
17% Losses 44%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
89% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
28% Over 3.5 goals 28%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 44%
56% Clean sheets 22%
6% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 33%
22% Draws 28%
17% Losses 39%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
44% Over 1.5 goals 17%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.05.24 Atalanta – Torino 3–0 (2–0) 3.303.502.10 1.95 1.95
18.05.24 Lecce – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.91 1.99
12.05.24 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.603.60 1.88 2.02
06.05.24 Salernitana – Atalanta 1–2 (1–0) 7.505.501.36 1.53 2.50
28.04.24 Atalanta – Empoli 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.10
21.04.24 Monza – Atalanta 1–2 (0–1) 4.003.801.85 1.89 2.01
15.04.24 Atalanta – Verona 2–2 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
07.04.24 Cagliari – Atalanta 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.801.73 1.75 2.05
30.03.24 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.103.603.40 1.80 2.00
10.03.24 Juventus – Atalanta 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.30 2.10 1.70

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.05.24 Cagliari – Fiorentina 2–3 (0–1) 4.203.751.80 1.73 2.10
17.05.24 Fiorentina – Napoli 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.403.10 1.73 2.10
13.05.24 Fiorentina – Monza 2–1 (1–1) 1.554.205.75 1.73 2.10
05.05.24 Verona – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.302.30 2.10 1.73
28.04.24 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 5–1 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
21.04.24 Salernitana – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
15.04.24 Fiorentina – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 2.10 1.73
07.04.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.75 2.15 1.67
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
10.03.24 Fiorentina – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.07 1.83

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.05.24 Atalanta – Torino 3–0 (2–0) 3.303.502.10 1.95 1.95
12.05.24 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.603.60 1.88 2.02
28.04.24 Atalanta – Empoli 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.10
15.04.24 Atalanta – Verona 2–2 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
03.03.24 Atalanta – Bologna 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 2.08 1.73
17.02.24 Atalanta – Sassuolo 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.48 2.60
04.02.24 Atalanta – Lazio 3–1 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.15 1.67
27.01.24 Atalanta – Udinese 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.73 2.08
15.01.24 Atalanta – Frosinone 5–0 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.25
30.12.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.608.00 1.92 1.98

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.05.24 Cagliari – Fiorentina 2–3 (0–1) 4.203.751.80 1.73 2.10
05.05.24 Verona – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.302.30 2.10 1.73
21.04.24 Salernitana – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
07.04.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.75 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
18.02.24 Empoli – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.70
14.02.24 Bologna – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.20 1.65
02.02.24 Lecce – Fiorentina 3–2 (1–0) 3.753.202.10 2.15 1.67
06.01.24 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 3.253.502.15 1.73 2.08
22.12.23 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsFiorentina wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.23I1 Fiorentina – Atalanta 3–2 (2–1) 2.383.502.88 1.80 2.00
17.04.23I1 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.90 1.89 2.01
02.10.22I1 Atalanta – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 1.92 1.98
20.02.22I1 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 1.72 2.10
11.09.21I1 Atalanta – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–1) 1.554.335.50 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 38 29 7 2 89 22 +67 94
2 Milan 38 22 9 7 76 49 +27 75
3 Juventus 38 19 14 5 54 31 +23 71
4 Atalanta 37 21 6 10 70 39 +31 69
5 Bologna 38 18 14 6 54 32 +22 68
6 Roma 38 18 9 11 65 46 +19 63
7 Lazio 38 18 7 13 49 39 +10 61
8 Fiorentina 37 16 9 12 58 44 +14 57
9 Napoli 38 13 14 11 55 48 +7 53
10 Torino 38 13 14 11 36 36 0 53
11 Genoa 38 12 13 13 45 45 0 49
12 Monza 38 11 12 15 39 51 -12 45
13 Verona 38 9 11 18 38 51 -13 38
14 Lecce 38 8 14 16 32 54 -22 38
15 Udinese 38 6 19 13 37 53 -16 37
16 Empoli 38 9 9 20 29 54 -25 36
17 Cagliari 38 8 12 18 42 68 -26 36
18 Frosinone 38 8 11 19 44 69 -25 35
19 Sassuolo 38 7 9 22 43 75 -32 30
20 Salernitana 38 2 11 25 32 81 -49 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 14 4 1 44 11 +33 46
2 Atalanta 18 13 2 3 40 13 +27 41
3 Bologna 19 12 5 2 33 12 +21 41
4 Milan 19 12 4 3 38 17 +21 40
5 Roma 19 12 4 3 38 19 +19 40
6 Juventus 19 11 7 1 26 11 +15 40
7 Fiorentina 19 10 5 4 37 22 +15 35
8 Lazio 19 10 4 5 23 14 +9 34
9 Torino 19 8 9 2 18 9 +9 33
10 Genoa 19 8 6 5 27 22 +5 30
11 Napoli 19 6 7 6 24 27 -3 25
12 Cagliari 19 6 7 6 28 32 -4 25
13 Frosinone 19 7 4 8 28 32 -4 25
14 Monza 19 6 6 7 23 26 -3 24
15 Verona 19 6 6 7 23 26 -3 24
16 Lecce 19 6 6 7 17 27 -10 24
17 Empoli 19 5 5 9 15 23 -8 20
18 Sassuolo 19 5 5 9 23 34 -11 20
19 Udinese 19 1 11 7 21 29 -8 14
20 Salernitana 19 1 5 13 17 38 -21 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 15 3 1 45 11 +34 48
2 Milan 19 10 5 4 38 32 +6 35
3 Juventus 19 8 7 4 28 20 +8 31
4 Napoli 19 7 7 5 31 21 +10 28
5 Atalanta 19 8 4 7 30 26 +4 28
6 Lazio 19 8 3 8 26 25 +1 27
7 Bologna 19 6 9 4 21 20 +1 27
8 Roma 19 6 5 8 27 27 0 23
9 Udinese 19 5 8 6 16 24 -8 23
10 Fiorentina 18 6 4 8 21 22 -1 22
11 Monza 19 5 6 8 16 25 -9 21
12 Torino 19 5 5 9 18 27 -9 20
13 Genoa 19 4 7 8 18 23 -5 19
14 Empoli 19 4 4 11 14 31 -17 16
15 Verona 19 3 5 11 15 25 -10 14
16 Lecce 19 2 8 9 15 27 -12 14
17 Cagliari 19 2 5 12 14 36 -22 11
18 Sassuolo 19 2 4 13 20 41 -21 10
19 Frosinone 19 1 7 11 16 37 -21 10
20 Salernitana 19 1 6 12 15 43 -28 9

Atalanta   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 38 13 25 2.0 1.3 22 9 7 76 49 75
2 20 Salernitana 38 13 25 0.8 2.1 2 11 25 32 81 17
3 4 Atalanta 37 13 24 1.9 1.1 21 6 10 70 39 69
4 6 Roma 38 15 23 1.7 1.2 18 9 11 65 46 63
5 18 Frosinone 38 15 23 1.2 1.8 8 11 19 44 69 35
6 17 Cagliari 38 16 22 1.1 1.8 8 12 18 42 68 36
7 1 Inter 38 17 21 2.3 0.6 29 7 2 89 22 94
8 9 Napoli 38 17 21 1.4 1.3 13 14 11 55 48 53
9 19 Sassuolo 38 17 21 1.1 2.0 7 9 22 43 75 30
10 8 Fiorentina 37 18 19 1.6 1.2 16 9 12 58 44 57
11 13 Verona 38 19 19 1.0 1.3 9 11 18 38 51 38
12 5 Bologna 38 22 16 1.4 0.8 18 14 6 54 32 68
13 11 Genoa 38 22 16 1.2 1.2 12 13 13 45 45 49
14 3 Juventus 38 23 15 1.4 0.8 19 14 5 54 31 71
15 7 Lazio 38 23 15 1.3 1.0 18 7 13 49 39 61
16 12 Monza 38 23 15 1.0 1.3 11 12 15 39 51 45
17 14 Lecce 38 24 14 0.8 1.4 8 14 16 32 54 38
18 15 Udinese 38 24 14 1.0 1.4 6 19 13 37 53 37
19 10 Torino 38 26 12 0.9 0.9 13 14 11 36 36 53
20 16 Empoli 38 26 12 0.8 1.4 9 9 20 29 54 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Frosinone 19 5 14 1.5 1.7 7 4 8 28 32 25
2 8 Fiorentina 19 6 13 1.9 1.2 10 5 4 37 22 35
3 20 Salernitana 19 6 13 0.9 2.0 1 5 13 17 38 8
4 4 Atalanta 18 6 12 2.2 0.7 13 2 3 40 13 41
5 9 Napoli 19 7 12 1.3 1.4 6 7 6 24 27 25
6 17 Cagliari 19 7 12 1.5 1.7 6 7 6 28 32 25
7 13 Verona 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 6 6 7 23 26 24
8 1 Inter 19 9 10 2.3 0.6 14 4 1 44 11 46
9 2 Milan 19 9 10 2.0 0.9 12 4 3 38 17 40
10 6 Roma 19 9 10 2.0 1.0 12 4 3 38 19 40
11 15 Udinese 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 1 11 7 21 29 14
12 19 Sassuolo 19 10 9 1.2 1.8 5 5 9 23 34 20
13 11 Genoa 19 11 8 1.4 1.2 8 6 5 27 22 30
14 12 Monza 19 11 8 1.2 1.4 6 6 7 23 26 24
15 5 Bologna 19 12 7 1.7 0.6 12 5 2 33 12 41
16 14 Lecce 19 12 7 0.9 1.4 6 6 7 17 27 24
17 16 Empoli 19 13 6 0.8 1.2 5 5 9 15 23 20
18 3 Juventus 19 14 5 1.4 0.6 11 7 1 26 11 40
19 7 Lazio 19 14 5 1.2 0.7 10 4 5 23 14 34
20 10 Torino 19 14 5 0.9 0.5 8 9 2 18 9 33
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 19 4 15 2.0 1.7 10 5 4 38 32 35
2 6 Roma 19 6 13 1.4 1.4 6 5 8 27 27 23
3 4 Atalanta 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 8 4 7 30 26 28
4 19 Sassuolo 19 7 12 1.1 2.2 2 4 13 20 41 10
5 20 Salernitana 19 7 12 0.8 2.3 1 6 12 15 43 9
6 1 Inter 19 8 11 2.4 0.6 15 3 1 45 11 48
7 3 Juventus 19 9 10 1.5 1.1 8 7 4 28 20 31
8 7 Lazio 19 9 10 1.4 1.3 8 3 8 26 25 27
9 17 Cagliari 19 9 10 0.7 1.9 2 5 12 14 36 11
10 5 Bologna 19 10 9 1.1 1.1 6 9 4 21 20 27
11 9 Napoli 19 10 9 1.6 1.1 7 7 5 31 21 28
12 18 Frosinone 19 10 9 0.8 1.9 1 7 11 16 37 10
13 11 Genoa 19 11 8 0.9 1.2 4 7 8 18 23 19
14 13 Verona 19 11 8 0.8 1.3 3 5 11 15 25 14
15 10 Torino 19 12 7 0.9 1.4 5 5 9 18 27 20
16 12 Monza 19 12 7 0.8 1.3 5 6 8 16 25 21
17 14 Lecce 19 12 7 0.8 1.4 2 8 9 15 27 14
18 8 Fiorentina 18 12 6 1.2 1.2 6 4 8 21 22 22
19 16 Empoli 19 13 6 0.7 1.6 4 4 11 14 31 16
20 15 Udinese 19 14 5 0.8 1.3 5 8 6 16 24 23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51