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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 2–1 Milan

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 1.98
Draw 3.40 fair 4.55
Away 3.30 fair 3.64
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Milan
17 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 0
14 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (139 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.95 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.6% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 6.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
2.21points / match
2.57scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 36:16
Milan before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.77scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 23:14
Atalanta all matches all matches Milan

Per match

2.57 Goals scored 1.77
1.14 Goals conceded 1.08
3.71 Total goals 2.85
15.64 Shots 14.31
5.93 Shots on target 5.62
10.14 Shots faced 10.31
4.71 Corners 5.69
2.71 Corners against 3.46
11.64 Fouls 10.62
1.86 Yellow cards 1.77
1.29 1st-half goals scored 1.15
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

71% Wins 46%
7% Draws 31%
21% Losses 23%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
100% Over 1.5 goals 77%
71% Over 2.5 goals 69%
50% Over 3.5 goals 31%
29% Over 4.5 goals 8%
14% Over 5.5 goals 8%
57% Both teams scored 46%
36% Clean sheets 46%
7% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 54%
29% Draws 15%
14% Losses 31%
79% Over 0.5 goals 92%
50% Over 1.5 goals 46%
14% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Milan all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
2.50points / match
3.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 20:8
Milan before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:10
Atalanta at home away Milan

Per match

3.33 Goals scored 1.67
1.33 Goals conceded 1.67
4.67 Total goals 3.33
15.00 Shots 15.00
6.67 Shots on target 6.33
8.83 Shots faced 11.33
4.50 Corners 5.50
2.33 Corners against 3.83
10.67 Fouls 12.17
1.00 Yellow cards 2.00
1.67 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

83% Wins 33%
0% Draws 33%
17% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 83%
83% Over 2.5 goals 83%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
67% Over 4.5 goals 17%
33% Over 5.5 goals 17%
83% Both teams scored 83%
17% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 50%
17% Draws 17%
17% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.24 Roma – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.87 2.03
23.11.24 Parma – Atalanta 1–3 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.38
10.11.24 Atalanta – Udinese 2–1 (0–1) 1.385.007.50 1.62 2.30
03.11.24 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.403.70 1.92 1.98
30.10.24 Atalanta – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.62 2.30
26.10.24 Atalanta – Verona 6–1 (5–1) 1.384.758.00 1.53 2.50
20.10.24 Venezia – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.62 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Atalanta – Genoa 5–1 (1–0) 1.454.756.50 1.80 2.00
28.09.24 Bologna – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.302.40 2.02 1.88
24.09.24 Atalanta – Como 2–3 (1–0) 1.444.507.00 1.67 2.20

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Milan – Empoli 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Cagliari – Milan 3–3 (1–2) 5.504.101.60 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.601.70 1.90 2.00
29.10.24 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
19.10.24 Milan – Udinese 1–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10
27.09.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.50 2.63
22.09.24 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.20
14.09.24 Milan – Venezia 4–0 (4–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24 Atalanta – Udinese 2–1 (0–1) 1.385.007.50 1.62 2.30
30.10.24 Atalanta – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.62 2.30
26.10.24 Atalanta – Verona 6–1 (5–1) 1.384.758.00 1.53 2.50
05.10.24 Atalanta – Genoa 5–1 (1–0) 1.454.756.50 1.80 2.00
24.09.24 Atalanta – Como 2–3 (1–0) 1.444.507.00 1.67 2.20
15.09.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 3–2 (3–2) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
02.06.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–3 (2–3) 1.484.756.00 1.53 2.50
26.05.24 Atalanta – Torino 3–0 (2–0) 3.303.502.10 1.95 1.95
12.05.24 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.603.60 1.88 2.02
28.04.24 Atalanta – Empoli 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.10

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Cagliari – Milan 3–3 (1–2) 5.504.101.60 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.601.70 1.90 2.00
06.10.24 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.20
31.08.24 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.90 2.00
24.08.24 Parma – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
18.05.24 Torino – Milan 3–1 (2–0) 2.803.202.60 2.10 1.73
27.04.24 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.04 1.86
14.04.24 Sassuolo – Milan 3–3 (2–1) 4.503.801.75 1.67 2.20
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsMilan wins
6matches
3.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24I1 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
09.12.23I1 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
26.02.23I1 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
21.08.22I1 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
15.05.22I1 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
03.10.21I1 Atalanta – Milan 2–3 (0–2) 2.053.753.40 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 14 10 2 2 21 9 +12 32
2 Atalanta 14 10 1 3 36 16 +20 31
3 Inter 14 9 4 1 34 15 +19 31
4 Fiorentina 13 8 4 1 27 10 +17 28
5 Lazio 14 9 1 4 29 17 +12 28
6 Juventus 14 6 8 0 22 8 +14 26
7 Milan 13 6 4 3 23 14 +9 22
8 Bologna 13 5 6 2 18 16 +2 21
9 Udinese 14 5 2 7 16 21 -5 17
10 Empoli 14 3 7 4 10 14 -4 16
11 Parma 15 3 6 6 21 25 -4 15
12 Torino 14 4 3 7 16 20 -4 15
13 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 15 24 -9 14
14 Genoa 14 3 5 6 13 24 -11 14
15 Roma 14 3 4 7 14 20 -6 13
16 Lecce 14 3 4 7 7 22 -15 13
17 Verona 14 4 0 10 17 33 -16 12
18 Como 14 2 5 7 14 26 -12 11
19 Monza 14 1 7 6 12 17 -5 10
20 Venezia 14 2 2 10 11 25 -14 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lazio 7 6 1 0 17 6 +11 19
2 Napoli 7 6 0 1 12 5 +7 18
3 Inter 8 5 2 1 19 10 +9 17
4 Atalanta 6 5 0 1 20 8 +12 15
5 Milan 7 4 2 1 13 4 +9 14
6 Fiorentina 6 4 2 0 14 6 +8 14
7 Juventus 7 3 4 0 9 3 +6 13
8 Udinese 7 4 0 3 8 8 0 12
9 Bologna 6 2 4 0 7 3 +4 10
10 Roma 7 3 0 4 9 9 0 9
11 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 8 14 -6 9
12 Verona 7 3 0 4 10 17 -7 9
13 Lecce 7 2 3 2 6 14 -8 9
14 Torino 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
15 Parma 8 2 2 4 12 14 -2 8
16 Empoli 7 1 4 2 2 5 -3 7
17 Venezia 6 2 0 4 6 8 -2 6
18 Como 6 1 3 2 8 13 -5 6
19 Genoa 8 0 5 3 8 14 -6 5
20 Monza 7 0 3 4 5 9 -4 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 8 5 1 2 16 8 +8 16
2 Inter 6 4 2 0 15 5 +10 14
3 Fiorentina 7 4 2 1 13 4 +9 14
4 Napoli 7 4 2 1 9 4 +5 14
5 Juventus 7 3 4 0 13 5 +8 13
6 Bologna 7 3 2 2 11 13 -2 11
7 Lazio 7 3 0 4 12 11 +1 9
8 Empoli 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
9 Genoa 6 3 0 3 5 10 -5 9
10 Milan 6 2 2 2 10 10 0 8
11 Monza 7 1 4 2 7 8 -1 7
12 Parma 7 1 4 2 9 11 -2 7
13 Torino 7 2 1 4 10 13 -3 7
14 Cagliari 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
15 Udinese 7 1 2 4 8 13 -5 5
16 Como 8 1 2 5 6 13 -7 5
17 Roma 7 0 4 3 5 11 -6 4
18 Lecce 7 1 1 5 1 8 -7 4
19 Verona 7 1 0 6 7 16 -9 3
20 Venezia 8 0 2 6 5 17 -12 2

Atalanta   Milan

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 14 2 12 2.1 1.2 9 1 4 29 17 28
2 17 Verona 14 3 11 1.2 2.4 4 0 10 17 33 12
3 2 Atalanta 14 4 10 2.6 1.1 10 1 3 36 16 31
4 11 Parma 15 5 10 1.4 1.7 3 6 6 21 25 15
5 3 Inter 14 5 9 2.4 1.1 9 4 1 34 15 31
6 7 Milan 13 4 9 1.8 1.1 6 4 3 23 14 22
7 20 Venezia 14 6 8 0.8 1.8 2 2 10 11 25 8
8 4 Fiorentina 13 6 7 2.1 0.8 8 4 1 27 10 28
9 8 Bologna 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 5 6 2 18 16 21
10 1 Napoli 14 8 6 1.5 0.6 10 2 2 21 9 32
11 9 Udinese 14 8 6 1.1 1.5 5 2 7 16 21 17
12 12 Torino 14 8 6 1.1 1.4 4 3 7 16 20 15
13 13 Cagliari 14 8 6 1.1 1.7 3 5 6 15 24 14
14 14 Genoa 14 8 6 0.9 1.7 3 5 6 13 24 14
15 15 Roma 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 3 4 7 14 20 13
16 18 Como 14 8 6 1.0 1.9 2 5 7 14 26 11
17 6 Juventus 14 9 5 1.6 0.6 6 8 0 22 8 26
18 10 Empoli 14 10 4 0.7 1.0 3 7 4 10 14 16
19 16 Lecce 14 10 4 0.5 1.6 3 4 7 7 22 13
20 19 Monza 14 10 4 0.9 1.2 1 7 6 12 17 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 7 0 7 2.4 0.9 6 1 0 17 6 19
2 17 Verona 7 0 7 1.4 2.4 3 0 4 10 17 9
3 2 Atalanta 6 1 5 3.3 1.3 5 0 1 20 8 15
4 3 Inter 8 3 5 2.4 1.2 5 2 1 19 10 17
5 4 Fiorentina 6 1 5 2.3 1.0 4 2 0 14 6 14
6 11 Parma 8 3 5 1.5 1.8 2 2 4 12 14 8
7 1 Napoli 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 6 0 1 12 5 18
8 7 Milan 7 3 4 1.9 0.6 4 2 1 13 4 14
9 14 Genoa 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 0 5 3 8 14 5
10 15 Roma 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 3 0 4 9 9 9
11 13 Cagliari 8 5 3 1.0 1.8 2 3 3 8 14 9
12 16 Lecce 7 4 3 0.9 2.0 2 3 2 6 14 9
13 18 Como 6 3 3 1.3 2.2 1 3 2 8 13 6
14 6 Juventus 7 5 2 1.3 0.4 3 4 0 9 3 13
15 9 Udinese 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 4 0 3 8 8 12
16 12 Torino 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
17 19 Monza 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 0 3 4 5 9 3
18 20 Venezia 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 0 4 6 8 6
19 8 Bologna 6 5 1 1.2 0.5 2 4 0 7 3 10
20 10 Empoli 7 6 1 0.3 0.7 1 4 2 2 5 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Bologna 7 1 6 1.6 1.9 3 2 2 11 13 11
2 20 Venezia 8 2 6 0.6 2.1 0 2 6 5 17 2
3 2 Atalanta 8 3 5 2.0 1.0 5 1 2 16 8 16
4 5 Lazio 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 0 4 12 11 9
5 7 Milan 6 1 5 1.7 1.7 2 2 2 10 10 8
6 11 Parma 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 1 4 2 9 11 7
7 3 Inter 6 2 4 2.5 0.8 4 2 0 15 5 14
8 9 Udinese 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 1 2 4 8 13 5
9 12 Torino 7 3 4 1.4 1.9 2 1 4 10 13 7
10 17 Verona 7 3 4 1.0 2.3 1 0 6 7 16 3
11 6 Juventus 7 4 3 1.9 0.7 3 4 0 13 5 13
12 10 Empoli 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
13 13 Cagliari 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
14 18 Como 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 1 2 5 6 13 5
15 1 Napoli 7 5 2 1.3 0.6 4 2 1 9 4 14
16 4 Fiorentina 7 5 2 1.9 0.6 4 2 1 13 4 14
17 14 Genoa 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 3 0 3 5 10 9
18 15 Roma 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 0 4 3 5 11 4
19 19 Monza 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 1 4 2 7 8 7
20 16 Lecce 7 6 1 0.1 1.1 1 1 5 1 8 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51