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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Roma 1–0 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.65 fair 2.38
Draw 3.70 fair 3.82
Away 5.50 fair 3.14
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.87 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 2.03 fair 2.08

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Roma Fiorentina
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 4
9 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (347 league matches this season so far).
Result Roma to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
RomaDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 10.5% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Roma before this match, all matches
1.76points / match
1.44scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 49:32
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.74points / match
1.56scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 53:34
Roma all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.56
0.94 Goals conceded 1.00
2.38 Total goals 2.56
13.44 Shots 11.18
4.56 Shots on target 4.35
11.32 Shots faced 11.56
4.44 Corners 3.76
4.00 Corners against 4.18
10.56 Fouls 11.41
1.71 Yellow cards 2.03
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
26% Draws 24%
24% Losses 26%
94% Over 0.5 goals 91%
65% Over 1.5 goals 71%
38% Over 2.5 goals 59%
24% Over 3.5 goals 21%
15% Over 4.5 goals 9%
3% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 53%
41% Clean sheets 35%
18% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 44%
44% Draws 32%
26% Losses 24%
65% Over 0.5 goals 79%
24% Over 1.5 goals 38%
6% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Roma all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Roma before this match, at home
2.06points / match
1.94scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 33:14
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.50scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:18
Roma at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 1.50
0.82 Goals conceded 1.13
2.76 Total goals 2.63
14.00 Shots 10.69
4.65 Shots on target 4.13
10.06 Shots faced 13.13
4.24 Corners 3.38
3.53 Corners against 4.38
9.94 Fouls 11.38
1.41 Yellow cards 2.25
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

65% Wins 38%
12% Draws 25%
24% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
76% Over 1.5 goals 69%
53% Over 2.5 goals 56%
29% Over 3.5 goals 25%
18% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 56%
41% Clean sheets 31%
12% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 31%
29% Draws 44%
35% Losses 25%
82% Over 0.5 goals 75%
29% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Roma at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25 Inter – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 2.02 1.88
19.04.25 Roma – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.50 2.08 1.82
13.04.25 Lazio – Roma 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.63 2.10 1.73
06.04.25 Roma – Juventus 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.20 1.67
29.03.25 Lecce – Roma 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.501.75 2.20 1.67
16.03.25 Roma – Cagliari 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 2.00 1.90
09.03.25 Empoli – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 3.903.302.00 2.05 1.85
02.03.25 Roma – Como 2–1 (0–1) 1.873.604.00 2.03 1.87
24.02.25 Roma – Monza 4–0 (2–0) 1.334.7511.00 1.73 2.10
16.02.25 Parma – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.73 2.10

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25 Fiorentina – Empoli 2–1 (2–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.67
23.04.25 Cagliari – Fiorentina 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.20 1.67
13.04.25 Fiorentina – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.98 1.92
05.04.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.20 1.73 2.10
30.03.25 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.95
16.03.25 Fiorentina – Juventus 3–0 (2–0) 3.403.202.25 2.30 1.62
09.03.25 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.554.006.25 2.05 1.68
28.02.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.405.00 2.30 1.62
23.02.25 Verona – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.90 2.03 1.87
16.02.25 Fiorentina – Como 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.503.75 1.97 1.93

Roma at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.25 Roma – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.50 2.08 1.82
06.04.25 Roma – Juventus 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.20 1.67
16.03.25 Roma – Cagliari 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 2.00 1.90
02.03.25 Roma – Como 2–1 (0–1) 1.873.604.00 2.03 1.87
24.02.25 Roma – Monza 4–0 (2–0) 1.334.7511.00 1.73 2.10
02.02.25 Roma – Napoli 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.202.38 2.00 1.80
17.01.25 Roma – Genoa 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.106.50 2.02 1.88
05.01.25 Roma – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 2.553.103.00 2.04 1.86
22.12.24 Roma – Parma 5–0 (2–0) 1.534.206.25 1.62 2.30
07.12.24 Roma – Lecce 4–1 (1–1) 1.574.006.25 2.00 1.80

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.25 Cagliari – Fiorentina 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.20 1.67
05.04.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.20 1.73 2.10
09.03.25 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.554.006.25 2.05 1.68
23.02.25 Verona – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.90 2.03 1.87
10.02.25 Inter – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.484.756.50 1.67 2.20
26.01.25 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.80 2.04 1.86
13.01.25 Monza – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.85 2.04 1.86
29.12.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–1) 1.953.304.20 2.10 1.73
15.12.24 Bologna – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.75 2.10 1.73
24.11.24 Como – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.102.30 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Roma winsDrawsFiorentina wins
7matches
3.29goals / match
57%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24I1 Fiorentina – Roma 5–1 (3–1) 2.553.402.75 2.07 1.83
10.03.24I1 Fiorentina – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.07 1.83
10.12.23I1 Roma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.15 1.67
27.05.23I1 Fiorentina – Roma 2–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.67
15.01.23I1 Roma – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.80
09.05.22I1 Fiorentina – Roma 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.00 1.91 1.99
22.08.21I1 Roma – Fiorentina 3–1 (1–0) 1.723.804.75 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 23 8 4 55 25 +30 77
2 Inter 35 22 8 5 73 33 +40 74
3 Atalanta 35 20 8 7 71 31 +40 68
4 Lazio 35 18 9 8 58 45 +13 63
5 Juventus 34 16 14 4 51 31 +20 62
6 Bologna 34 16 13 5 52 37 +15 61
7 Roma 34 17 9 8 49 32 +17 60
8 Fiorentina 34 17 8 9 53 34 +19 59
9 Milan 34 15 9 10 53 38 +15 54
10 Como 35 12 9 14 45 48 -3 45
11 Torino 35 10 14 11 39 40 -1 44
12 Udinese 35 12 8 15 38 49 -11 44
13 Genoa 34 9 12 13 29 41 -12 39
14 Cagliari 35 8 9 18 36 51 -15 33
15 Parma 35 6 14 15 40 54 -14 32
16 Verona 35 9 5 21 30 63 -33 32
17 Lecce 35 6 9 20 24 57 -33 27
18 Venezia 35 4 14 17 28 49 -21 26
19 Empoli 35 4 13 18 27 55 -28 25
20 Monza 35 2 9 24 25 63 -38 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 13 3 2 38 19 +19 42
2 Napoli 17 13 2 2 28 11 +17 41
3 Juventus 18 10 7 1 29 15 +14 37
4 Fiorentina 18 11 4 3 29 16 +13 37
5 Bologna 17 10 6 1 31 14 +17 36
6 Roma 17 11 2 4 33 14 +19 35
7 Atalanta 17 8 5 4 32 20 +12 29
8 Lazio 17 7 8 2 32 24 +8 29
9 Milan 17 7 7 3 25 15 +10 28
10 Como 17 7 5 5 25 23 +2 26
11 Torino 17 6 7 4 17 14 +3 25
12 Udinese 17 7 3 7 19 22 -3 24
13 Genoa 17 5 7 5 18 20 -2 22
14 Parma 18 5 5 8 25 28 -3 20
15 Cagliari 18 5 4 9 21 28 -7 19
16 Venezia 17 4 5 8 13 18 -5 17
17 Lecce 18 3 6 9 12 31 -19 15
18 Verona 17 4 3 10 13 34 -21 15
19 Empoli 17 1 7 9 7 23 -16 10
20 Monza 18 1 5 12 12 28 -16 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 18 12 3 3 39 11 +28 39
2 Napoli 18 10 6 2 27 14 +13 36
3 Lazio 18 11 1 6 26 21 +5 34
4 Inter 17 9 5 3 35 14 +21 32
5 Milan 17 8 2 7 28 23 +5 26
6 Juventus 16 6 7 3 22 16 +6 25
7 Bologna 17 6 7 4 21 23 -2 25
8 Roma 17 6 7 4 16 18 -2 25
9 Fiorentina 16 6 4 6 24 18 +6 22
10 Udinese 18 5 5 8 19 27 -8 20
11 Torino 18 4 7 7 22 26 -4 19
12 Como 18 5 4 9 20 25 -5 19
13 Genoa 17 4 5 8 11 21 -10 17
14 Verona 18 5 2 11 17 29 -12 17
15 Empoli 18 3 6 9 20 32 -12 15
16 Cagliari 17 3 5 9 15 23 -8 14
17 Parma 17 1 9 7 15 26 -11 12
18 Lecce 17 3 3 11 12 26 -14 12
19 Venezia 18 0 9 9 15 31 -16 9
20 Monza 17 1 4 12 13 35 -22 7

Roma   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 35 13 22 1.7 1.3 18 9 8 58 45 63
2 2 Inter 35 15 20 2.1 0.9 22 8 5 73 33 74
3 8 Fiorentina 34 14 20 1.6 1.0 17 8 9 53 34 59
4 9 Milan 34 14 20 1.6 1.1 15 9 10 53 38 54
5 15 Parma 35 16 19 1.1 1.5 6 14 15 40 54 32
6 3 Atalanta 35 17 18 2.0 0.9 20 8 7 71 31 68
7 6 Bologna 34 17 17 1.5 1.1 16 13 5 52 37 61
8 12 Udinese 35 18 17 1.1 1.4 12 8 15 38 49 44
9 14 Cagliari 35 18 17 1.0 1.5 8 9 18 36 51 33
10 16 Verona 35 18 17 0.9 1.8 9 5 21 30 63 32
11 20 Monza 35 18 17 0.7 1.8 2 9 24 25 63 15
12 1 Napoli 35 19 16 1.6 0.7 23 8 4 55 25 77
13 10 Como 35 19 16 1.3 1.4 12 9 14 45 48 45
14 5 Juventus 34 19 15 1.5 0.9 16 14 4 51 31 62
15 17 Lecce 35 20 15 0.7 1.6 6 9 20 24 57 27
16 19 Empoli 35 20 15 0.8 1.6 4 13 18 27 55 25
17 7 Roma 34 21 13 1.4 0.9 17 9 8 49 32 60
18 18 Venezia 35 22 13 0.8 1.4 4 14 17 28 49 26
19 13 Genoa 34 23 11 0.9 1.2 9 12 13 29 41 39
20 11 Torino 35 25 10 1.1 1.1 10 14 11 39 40 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 17 5 12 1.9 1.4 7 8 2 32 24 29
2 2 Inter 18 7 11 2.1 1.1 13 3 2 38 19 42
3 8 Fiorentina 18 7 11 1.6 0.9 11 4 3 29 16 37
4 16 Verona 17 6 11 0.8 2.0 4 3 10 13 34 15
5 14 Cagliari 18 8 10 1.2 1.6 5 4 9 21 28 19
6 15 Parma 18 8 10 1.4 1.6 5 5 8 25 28 20
7 7 Roma 17 8 9 1.9 0.8 11 2 4 33 14 35
8 1 Napoli 17 9 8 1.6 0.6 13 2 2 28 11 41
9 3 Atalanta 17 9 8 1.9 1.2 8 5 4 32 20 29
10 5 Juventus 18 10 8 1.6 0.8 10 7 1 29 15 37
11 6 Bologna 17 9 8 1.8 0.8 10 6 1 31 14 36
12 9 Milan 17 9 8 1.5 0.9 7 7 3 25 15 28
13 10 Como 17 9 8 1.5 1.4 7 5 5 25 23 26
14 12 Udinese 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 7 3 7 19 22 24
15 17 Lecce 18 10 8 0.7 1.7 3 6 9 12 31 15
16 20 Monza 18 10 8 0.7 1.6 1 5 12 12 28 8
17 13 Genoa 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 5 7 5 18 20 22
18 19 Empoli 17 12 5 0.4 1.4 1 7 9 7 23 10
19 18 Venezia 17 13 4 0.8 1.1 4 5 8 13 18 17
20 11 Torino 17 14 3 1.0 0.8 6 7 4 17 14 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Milan 17 5 12 1.6 1.4 8 2 7 28 23 26
2 3 Atalanta 18 8 10 2.2 0.6 12 3 3 39 11 39
3 4 Lazio 18 8 10 1.4 1.2 11 1 6 26 21 34
4 19 Empoli 18 8 10 1.1 1.8 3 6 9 20 32 15
5 2 Inter 17 8 9 2.1 0.8 9 5 3 35 14 32
6 6 Bologna 17 8 9 1.2 1.4 6 7 4 21 23 25
7 8 Fiorentina 16 7 9 1.5 1.1 6 4 6 24 18 22
8 12 Udinese 18 9 9 1.1 1.5 5 5 8 19 27 20
9 15 Parma 17 8 9 0.9 1.5 1 9 7 15 26 12
10 18 Venezia 18 9 9 0.8 1.7 0 9 9 15 31 9
11 20 Monza 17 8 9 0.8 2.1 1 4 12 13 35 7
12 1 Napoli 18 10 8 1.5 0.8 10 6 2 27 14 36
13 10 Como 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 5 4 9 20 25 19
14 5 Juventus 16 9 7 1.4 1.0 6 7 3 22 16 25
15 11 Torino 18 11 7 1.2 1.4 4 7 7 22 26 19
16 14 Cagliari 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 3 5 9 15 23 14
17 17 Lecce 17 10 7 0.7 1.5 3 3 11 12 26 12
18 16 Verona 18 12 6 0.9 1.6 5 2 11 17 29 17
19 13 Genoa 17 12 5 0.6 1.2 4 5 8 11 21 17
20 7 Roma 17 13 4 0.9 1.1 6 7 4 16 18 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51