Milan 2–2 Fiorentina – Italy Serie A, 5 Apr 2025 | BetGPS

Match facts

Milan Fiorentina

19 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 8

7 Corners 4

12 Fouls 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (303 league matches this season so far).

Result Milan to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.88

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.26

Home / Draw / Away

39% 26% 35%

MilanDrawFiorentina

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.5% 1–0 9.9% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches

1.57points / match

1.50scored / match

1.17conceded / match

13 8 9

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 45:35

Fiorentina before this match, all matches

1.70points / match

1.57scored / match

1.00conceded / match

15 6 9

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 47:30

Milan all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.57

1.17 Goals conceded 1.00

2.67 Total goals 2.57

14.90 Shots 11.40

5.37 Shots on target 4.33

11.07 Shots faced 11.70

5.93 Corners 3.90

3.87 Corners against 4.10

11.07 Fouls 11.17

1.80 Yellow cards 2.03

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.87

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

43% Wins 50%

27% Draws 20%

30% Losses 30%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

80% Over 1.5 goals 70%

60% Over 2.5 goals 57%

20% Over 3.5 goals 20%

10% Over 4.5 goals 10%

3% Over 5.5 goals 7%

60% Both teams scored 50%

33% Clean sheets 37%

13% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 43%

40% Draws 30%

30% Losses 27%

73% Over 0.5 goals 80%

33% Over 1.5 goals 33%

10% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches

3

2

W

1

D

2

W

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

3

2

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

Fiorentina all matches

2

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

1

W

Milan before this match, at home

1.80points / match

1.53scored / match

0.80conceded / match

7 6 2

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:12

Fiorentina before this match, away

1.29points / match

1.43scored / match

1.07conceded / match

5 3 6

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 20:15

Milan at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.43

0.80 Goals conceded 1.07

2.33 Total goals 2.50

15.27 Shots 10.57

5.07 Shots on target 3.86

10.67 Shots faced 13.07

6.20 Corners 3.29

4.13 Corners against 4.21

11.13 Fouls 11.07

1.53 Yellow cards 2.21

0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.79

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

47% Wins 36%

40% Draws 21%

13% Losses 43%

87% Over 0.5 goals 93%

73% Over 1.5 goals 64%

47% Over 2.5 goals 50%

20% Over 3.5 goals 21%

7% Over 4.5 goals 14%

0% Over 5.5 goals 7%

47% Both teams scored 50%

47% Clean sheets 36%

20% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 29%

40% Draws 43%

27% Losses 29%

73% Over 0.5 goals 71%

40% Over 1.5 goals 36%

13% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home

D

3

W

D

1

D

1

D

3

2

W

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

Fiorentina away

1

W

1

W

2

W

1

L

2

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.03.25	Napoli – Milan	2–1 (2–0)	1.91	3.70	3.75	2.02	1.88
15.03.25	Milan – Como	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.73	2.10
08.03.25	Lecce – Milan	2–3 (1–0)	4.75	3.60	1.75	1.88	2.02
02.03.25	Milan – Lazio	1–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.60	3.50	1.86	2.04
27.02.25	Bologna – Milan	2–1 (0–1)	2.88	3.30	2.50	1.96	1.82
22.02.25	Torino – Milan	2–1 (1–0)	3.90	3.30	2.00	2.10	1.73
15.02.25	Milan – Verona	1–0 (0–0)	1.33	4.75	9.50	1.57	2.38
08.02.25	Empoli – Milan	0–2 (0–0)	5.50	3.80	1.65	1.95	1.95
02.02.25	Milan – Inter	1–1 (1–0)	4.00	3.50	1.91	1.80	2.00
26.01.25	Milan – Parma	3–2 (1–1)	1.30	6.00	8.50	1.44	2.75

Fiorentina all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.03.25	Fiorentina – Atalanta	1–0 (1–0)	3.75	3.30	2.05	1.95	1.95
16.03.25	Fiorentina – Juventus	3–0 (2–0)	3.40	3.20	2.25	2.30	1.62
09.03.25	Napoli – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	2.05	1.68
28.02.25	Fiorentina – Lecce	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.40	5.00	2.30	1.62
23.02.25	Verona – Fiorentina	1–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.40	1.90	2.03	1.87
16.02.25	Fiorentina – Como	0–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.75	1.97	1.93
10.02.25	Inter – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–1)	1.48	4.75	6.50	1.67	2.20
06.02.25	Fiorentina – Inter	3–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.80	2.00
02.02.25	Fiorentina – Genoa	2–1 (2–0)	1.65	3.90	5.25	2.00	1.80
26.01.25	Lazio – Fiorentina	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.04	1.86

Milan at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Milan – Como	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.73	2.10
02.03.25	Milan – Lazio	1–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.60	3.50	1.86	2.04
15.02.25	Milan – Verona	1–0 (0–0)	1.33	4.75	9.50	1.57	2.38
02.02.25	Milan – Inter	1–1 (1–0)	4.00	3.50	1.91	1.80	2.00
26.01.25	Milan – Parma	3–2 (1–1)	1.30	6.00	8.50	1.44	2.75
11.01.25	Milan – Cagliari	1–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.62	2.30
29.12.24	Milan – Roma	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.93	1.97
15.12.24	Milan – Genoa	0–0 (0–0)	1.33	5.25	8.00	1.67	2.20
30.11.24	Milan – Empoli	3–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.75	9.00	1.73	2.10
23.11.24	Milan – Juventus	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.67

Fiorentina away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.25	Napoli – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	2.05	1.68
23.02.25	Verona – Fiorentina	1–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.40	1.90	2.03	1.87
10.02.25	Inter – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–1)	1.48	4.75	6.50	1.67	2.20
26.01.25	Lazio – Fiorentina	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.04	1.86
13.01.25	Monza – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–0)	4.20	3.50	1.85	2.04	1.86
29.12.24	Juventus – Fiorentina	2–2 (1–1)	1.95	3.30	4.20	2.10	1.73
15.12.24	Bologna – Fiorentina	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.75	2.10	1.73
24.11.24	Como – Fiorentina	0–2 (0–1)	3.30	3.10	2.30	2.10	1.73
03.11.24	Torino – Fiorentina	0–1 (0–1)	3.20	3.30	2.25	2.10	1.73
31.10.24	Genoa – Fiorentina	0–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.90	1.80	2.02	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 3

Milan winsDrawsFiorentina wins

7matches

3.00goals / match

71%over 2.5

71%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.10.24I1	Fiorentina – Milan	2–1 (1–0)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.73	2.10
30.03.24I1	Fiorentina – Milan	1–2 (0–0)	2.88	3.30	2.50	2.01	1.89
25.11.23I1	Milan – Fiorentina	1–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.50	2.06	1.84
04.03.23I1	Fiorentina – Milan	2–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.10	1.73
13.11.22I1	Milan – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–1)	1.70	3.80	5.00	1.90	2.00
01.05.22I1	Milan – Fiorentina	1–0 (0–0)	1.61	4.00	5.50	1.72	2.10
20.11.21I1	Fiorentina – Milan	4–3 (2–0)	3.10	3.50	2.25	1.87	2.03

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	31	20	8	3	69	30	+39	68
2	Napoli	30	19	7	4	47	24	+23	64
3	Atalanta	30	17	7	6	63	29	+34	58
4	Bologna	30	15	11	4	50	34	+16	56
5	Juventus	30	14	13	3	46	28	+18	55
6	Roma	30	15	7	8	45	30	+15	52
7	Lazio	30	15	7	8	51	42	+9	52
8	Fiorentina	30	15	6	9	47	30	+17	51
9	Milan	30	13	8	9	45	35	+10	47
10	Udinese	31	11	7	13	36	42	-6	40
11	Torino	30	9	12	9	35	35	0	39
12	Genoa	31	9	11	11	29	38	-9	38
13	Como	31	8	9	14	39	48	-9	33
14	Verona	30	9	3	18	29	58	-29	30
15	Cagliari	30	7	8	15	31	44	-13	29
16	Parma	31	5	12	14	37	51	-14	27
17	Lecce	30	6	7	17	21	49	-28	25
18	Empoli	30	4	11	15	24	47	-23	23
19	Venezia	30	3	11	16	23	43	-20	20
20	Monza	31	2	9	20	25	55	-30	15

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	15	11	3	1	34	17	+17	36
2	Napoli	15	11	2	2	23	11	+12	35
3	Fiorentina	16	10	3	3	27	15	+12	33
4	Bologna	15	9	5	1	29	13	+16	32
5	Roma	15	10	1	4	31	13	+18	31
6	Juventus	16	8	7	1	25	14	+11	31
7	Milan	15	7	6	2	23	12	+11	27
8	Lazio	15	7	6	2	29	21	+8	27
9	Atalanta	14	7	4	3	29	18	+11	25
10	Udinese	15	7	2	6	19	18	+1	23
11	Genoa	16	5	7	4	18	18	0	22
12	Torino	14	5	5	4	13	12	+1	20
13	Como	15	5	5	5	23	23	0	20
14	Cagliari	16	5	4	7	19	24	-5	19
15	Parma	16	4	5	7	24	27	-3	17
16	Venezia	15	3	5	7	12	16	-4	14
17	Lecce	15	3	5	7	11	26	-15	14
18	Verona	15	4	2	9	13	32	-19	14
19	Monza	16	1	5	10	12	23	-11	8
20	Empoli	14	1	5	8	5	20	-15	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	16	10	3	3	34	11	+23	33
2	Inter	16	9	5	2	35	13	+22	32
3	Napoli	15	8	5	2	24	13	+11	29
4	Lazio	15	8	1	6	22	21	+1	25
5	Juventus	14	6	6	2	21	14	+7	24
6	Bologna	15	6	6	3	21	21	0	24
7	Roma	15	5	6	4	14	17	-3	21
8	Milan	15	6	2	7	22	23	-1	20
9	Torino	16	4	7	5	22	23	-1	19
10	Fiorentina	14	5	3	6	20	15	+5	18
11	Udinese	16	4	5	7	17	24	-7	17
12	Genoa	15	4	4	7	11	20	-9	16
13	Verona	15	5	1	9	16	26	-10	16
14	Empoli	16	3	6	7	19	27	-8	15
15	Como	16	3	4	9	16	25	-9	13
16	Lecce	15	3	2	10	10	23	-13	11
17	Cagliari	14	2	4	8	12	20	-8	10
18	Parma	15	1	7	7	13	24	-11	10
19	Monza	15	1	4	10	13	32	-19	7
20	Venezia	15	0	6	9	11	27	-16	6

Milan Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Lazio	30	9	21	1.7	1.4	15	7	8	51	42	52
2	1	Inter	31	12	19	2.2	1.0	20	8	3	69	30	68
3	9	Milan	30	12	18	1.5	1.2	13	8	9	45	35	47
4	16	Parma	31	13	18	1.2	1.6	5	12	14	37	51	27
5	3	Atalanta	30	13	17	2.1	1.0	17	7	6	63	29	58
6	4	Bologna	30	13	17	1.7	1.1	15	11	4	50	34	56
7	8	Fiorentina	30	13	17	1.6	1.0	15	6	9	47	30	51
8	14	Verona	30	13	17	1.0	1.9	9	3	18	29	58	30
9	20	Monza	31	15	16	0.8	1.8	2	9	20	25	55	15
10	2	Napoli	30	15	15	1.6	0.8	19	7	4	47	24	64
11	10	Udinese	31	16	15	1.2	1.4	11	7	13	36	42	40
12	13	Como	31	16	15	1.3	1.5	8	9	14	39	48	33
13	5	Juventus	30	16	14	1.5	0.9	14	13	3	46	28	55
14	15	Cagliari	30	16	14	1.0	1.5	7	8	15	31	44	29
15	6	Roma	30	17	13	1.5	1.0	15	7	8	45	30	52
16	17	Lecce	30	17	13	0.7	1.6	6	7	17	21	49	25
17	18	Empoli	30	18	12	0.8	1.6	4	11	15	24	47	23
18	19	Venezia	30	18	12	0.8	1.4	3	11	16	23	43	20
19	12	Genoa	31	20	11	0.9	1.2	9	11	11	29	38	38
20	11	Torino	30	20	10	1.2	1.2	9	12	9	35	35	39

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Lazio	15	4	11	1.9	1.4	7	6	2	29	21	27
2	14	Verona	15	4	11	0.9	2.1	4	2	9	13	32	14
3	1	Inter	15	5	10	2.3	1.1	11	3	1	34	17	36
4	8	Fiorentina	16	6	10	1.7	0.9	10	3	3	27	15	33
5	16	Parma	16	6	10	1.5	1.7	4	5	7	24	27	17
6	6	Roma	15	6	9	2.1	0.9	10	1	4	31	13	31
7	3	Atalanta	14	6	8	2.1	1.3	7	4	3	29	18	25
8	4	Bologna	15	7	8	1.9	0.9	9	5	1	29	13	32
9	13	Como	15	7	8	1.5	1.5	5	5	5	23	23	20
10	15	Cagliari	16	8	8	1.2	1.5	5	4	7	19	24	19
11	2	Napoli	15	8	7	1.5	0.7	11	2	2	23	11	35
12	5	Juventus	16	9	7	1.6	0.9	8	7	1	25	14	31
13	9	Milan	15	8	7	1.5	0.8	7	6	2	23	12	27
14	10	Udinese	15	8	7	1.3	1.2	7	2	6	19	18	23
15	17	Lecce	15	8	7	0.7	1.7	3	5	7	11	26	14
16	20	Monza	16	9	7	0.8	1.4	1	5	10	12	23	8
17	12	Genoa	16	10	6	1.1	1.1	5	7	4	18	18	22
18	18	Empoli	14	10	4	0.4	1.4	1	5	8	5	20	8
19	19	Venezia	15	11	4	0.8	1.1	3	5	7	12	16	14
20	11	Torino	14	11	3	0.9	0.9	5	5	4	13	12	20

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Milan	15	4	11	1.5	1.5	6	2	7	22	23	20
2	7	Lazio	15	5	10	1.5	1.4	8	1	6	22	21	25
3	1	Inter	16	7	9	2.2	0.8	9	5	2	35	13	32
4	3	Atalanta	16	7	9	2.1	0.7	10	3	3	34	11	33
5	4	Bologna	15	6	9	1.4	1.4	6	6	3	21	21	24
6	20	Monza	15	6	9	0.9	2.1	1	4	10	13	32	7
7	2	Napoli	15	7	8	1.6	0.9	8	5	2	24	13	29
8	10	Udinese	16	8	8	1.1	1.5	4	5	7	17	24	17
9	16	Parma	15	7	8	0.9	1.6	1	7	7	13	24	10
10	18	Empoli	16	8	8	1.2	1.7	3	6	7	19	27	15
11	19	Venezia	15	7	8	0.7	1.8	0	6	9	11	27	6
12	5	Juventus	14	7	7	1.5	1.0	6	6	2	21	14	24
13	8	Fiorentina	14	7	7	1.4	1.1	5	3	6	20	15	18
14	11	Torino	16	9	7	1.4	1.4	4	7	5	22	23	19
15	13	Como	16	9	7	1.0	1.6	3	4	9	16	25	13
16	14	Verona	15	9	6	1.1	1.7	5	1	9	16	26	16
17	15	Cagliari	14	8	6	0.9	1.4	2	4	8	12	20	10
18	17	Lecce	15	9	6	0.7	1.5	3	2	10	10	23	11
19	12	Genoa	15	10	5	0.7	1.3	4	4	7	11	20	16
20	6	Roma	15	11	4	0.9	1.1	5	6	4	14	17	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.