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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 1–0 Roma

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.90
Draw 3.20 fair 3.44
Away 3.30 fair 2.74
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.61
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Roma
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 5
16 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (171 league matches this season so far).
Result Roma to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.08 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawRoma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.4% 0–1 12.4% 1–0 11.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.18scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:19
Roma before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
1.18scored / match
0.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:11
Atalanta all matches all matches Roma

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.18
1.12 Goals conceded 0.65
2.29 Total goals 1.82
14.53 Shots 13.41
4.35 Shots on target 4.94
10.71 Shots faced 10.82
5.76 Corners 5.29
4.12 Corners against 3.24
10.76 Fouls 14.47
1.53 Yellow cards 2.00
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

29% Wins 65%
41% Draws 0%
29% Losses 35%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
76% Over 1.5 goals 41%
35% Over 2.5 goals 29%
18% Over 3.5 goals 12%
6% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
59% Both teams scored 29%
24% Clean sheets 41%
24% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 41%
41% Draws 35%
29% Losses 24%
71% Over 0.5 goals 65%
29% Over 1.5 goals 12%
12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Roma all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
1.44points / match
1.22scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:9
Roma before this match, away
1.88points / match
1.13scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:6
Atalanta at home away Roma

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded 0.75
2.22 Total goals 1.88
16.44 Shots 12.25
5.11 Shots on target 5.13
10.11 Shots faced 11.63
6.56 Corners 5.13
3.44 Corners against 3.63
10.56 Fouls 15.88
1.33 Yellow cards 2.25
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

33% Wins 63%
44% Draws 0%
22% Losses 38%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 38%
33% Over 2.5 goals 38%
11% Over 3.5 goals 13%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 38%
22% Clean sheets 38%
33% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 50%
44% Draws 25%
22% Losses 25%
78% Over 0.5 goals 75%
22% Over 1.5 goals 13%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Roma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.502.00 1.73 2.10
21.12.25 Genoa – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 2–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.73 2.10
06.12.25 Verona – Atalanta 3–1 (2–0) 5.004.001.67 1.93 1.93
30.11.25 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Napoli – Atalanta 3–1 (3–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Atalanta – Sassuolo 0–3 (0–1) 1.444.507.00 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Udinese – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 4.503.601.80 1.85 2.00
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
25.10.25 Cremonese – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.62 1.88 1.98

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.25 Roma – Genoa 3–1 (3–0) 1.603.606.25 2.38 1.57
20.12.25 Juventus – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.204.33 2.30 1.62
15.12.25 Roma – Como 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.67
07.12.25 Cagliari – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 5.253.601.67 2.20 1.67
30.11.25 Roma – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.883.10 2.50 1.53
23.11.25 Cremonese – Roma 1–3 (0–1) 6.003.751.62 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Roma – Udinese 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.25 2.03 1.83
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
29.10.25 Roma – Parma 2–1 (0–0) 1.533.757.50 2.10 1.73
26.10.25 Sassuolo – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.501.85 2.10 1.73

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.502.00 1.73 2.10
13.12.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 2–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.91
09.11.25 Atalanta – Sassuolo 0–3 (0–1) 1.444.507.00 1.67 2.20
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
19.10.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.80 2.00
04.10.25 Atalanta – Como 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.25 1.73 2.10
14.09.25 Atalanta – Lecce 4–1 (1–0) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
24.08.25 Atalanta – Pisa 1–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.00 1.67 2.20
25.05.25 Atalanta – Parma 2–3 (2–0) 1.753.505.00 1.73 2.10

Roma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Juventus – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.204.33 2.30 1.62
07.12.25 Cagliari – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 5.253.601.67 2.20 1.67
23.11.25 Cremonese – Roma 1–3 (0–1) 6.003.751.62 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
26.10.25 Sassuolo – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.501.85 2.10 1.73
05.10.25 Fiorentina – Roma 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
21.09.25 Lazio – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Pisa – Roma 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.601.70 2.03 1.83
25.05.25 Torino – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.57 1.90 1.95
12.05.25 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsRoma wins
8matches
2.62goals / match
50%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.25I1 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.80 2.00
02.12.24I1 Roma – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.87 2.03
12.05.24I1 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.603.60 1.88 2.02
07.01.24I1 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.203.10 2.15 1.67
24.04.23I1 Atalanta – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
18.09.22I1 Roma – Atalanta 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.50 1.87 2.03
05.03.22I1 Roma – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.72 2.10
18.12.21I1 Atalanta – Roma 1–4 (1–2) 1.704.334.33 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 17 11 5 1 28 13 +15 38
2 Inter 16 12 0 4 35 14 +21 36
3 Napoli 16 11 1 4 24 13 +11 34
4 Roma 17 11 0 6 20 11 +9 33
5 Juventus 18 9 6 3 24 16 +8 33
6 Como 17 8 6 3 23 12 +11 30
7 Bologna 16 7 5 4 24 14 +10 26
8 Lazio 17 6 6 5 18 12 +6 24
9 Sassuolo 18 6 5 7 23 22 +1 23
10 Atalanta 17 5 7 5 20 19 +1 22
11 Udinese 18 6 4 8 18 29 -11 22
12 Cremonese 17 5 6 6 18 20 -2 21
13 Torino 17 5 5 7 17 28 -11 20
14 Cagliari 18 4 6 8 19 25 -6 18
15 Parma 17 4 6 7 12 19 -7 18
16 Lecce 17 4 5 8 12 23 -11 17
17 Genoa 18 3 6 9 18 28 -10 15
18 Pisa 18 1 9 8 13 25 -12 12
19 Verona 16 2 6 8 13 25 -12 12
20 Fiorentina 17 1 6 10 17 28 -11 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 9 6 2 1 15 8 +7 20
2 Napoli 7 6 1 0 14 6 +8 19
3 Juventus 9 5 4 0 15 8 +7 19
4 Inter 8 6 0 2 21 5 +16 18
5 Como 8 5 3 0 12 3 +9 18
6 Roma 9 6 0 3 11 5 +6 18
7 Lazio 8 4 3 1 13 5 +8 15
8 Bologna 8 4 2 2 11 6 +5 14
9 Atalanta 9 3 4 2 11 9 +2 13
10 Udinese 9 3 3 3 9 13 -4 12
11 Sassuolo 9 3 2 4 11 11 0 11
12 Torino 9 3 2 4 10 16 -6 11
13 Cremonese 8 2 3 3 9 11 -2 9
14 Cagliari 9 2 3 4 10 13 -3 9
15 Parma 9 2 3 4 7 11 -4 9
16 Lecce 9 2 3 4 6 11 -5 9
17 Genoa 10 1 4 5 6 13 -7 7
18 Verona 7 1 3 3 8 9 -1 6
19 Pisa 9 1 3 5 1 7 -6 6
20 Fiorentina 8 1 2 5 12 14 -2 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 8 5 3 0 13 5 +8 18
2 Inter 8 6 0 2 14 9 +5 18
3 Napoli 9 5 0 4 10 7 +3 15
4 Roma 8 5 0 3 9 6 +3 15
5 Juventus 9 4 2 3 9 8 +1 14
6 Bologna 8 3 3 2 13 8 +5 12
7 Como 9 3 3 3 11 9 +2 12
8 Sassuolo 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
9 Cremonese 9 3 3 3 9 9 0 12
10 Udinese 9 3 1 5 9 16 -7 10
11 Atalanta 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
12 Lazio 9 2 3 4 5 7 -2 9
13 Cagliari 9 2 3 4 9 12 -3 9
14 Parma 8 2 3 3 5 8 -3 9
15 Torino 8 2 3 3 7 12 -5 9
16 Genoa 8 2 2 4 12 15 -3 8
17 Lecce 8 2 2 4 6 12 -6 8
18 Pisa 9 0 6 3 12 18 -6 6
19 Verona 9 1 3 5 5 16 -11 6
20 Fiorentina 9 0 4 5 5 14 -9 4

Atalanta   Roma

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Genoa 18 7 11 1.0 1.6 3 6 9 18 28 15
2 2 Inter 16 6 10 2.2 0.9 12 0 4 35 14 36
3 13 Torino 17 7 10 1.0 1.6 5 5 7 17 28 20
4 20 Fiorentina 17 7 10 1.0 1.6 1 6 10 17 28 9
5 1 Milan 17 8 9 1.6 0.8 11 5 1 28 13 38
6 9 Sassuolo 18 9 9 1.3 1.2 6 5 7 23 22 23
7 19 Verona 16 7 9 0.8 1.6 2 6 8 13 25 12
8 11 Udinese 18 10 8 1.0 1.6 6 4 8 18 29 22
9 14 Cagliari 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 4 6 8 19 25 18
10 3 Napoli 16 9 7 1.5 0.8 11 1 4 24 13 34
11 7 Bologna 16 9 7 1.5 0.9 7 5 4 24 14 26
12 5 Juventus 18 12 6 1.3 0.9 9 6 3 24 16 33
13 10 Atalanta 17 11 6 1.2 1.1 5 7 5 20 19 22
14 12 Cremonese 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 5 6 6 18 20 21
15 16 Lecce 17 11 6 0.7 1.4 4 5 8 12 23 17
16 18 Pisa 18 12 6 0.7 1.4 1 9 8 13 25 12
17 4 Roma 17 12 5 1.2 0.6 11 0 6 20 11 33
18 6 Como 17 12 5 1.4 0.7 8 6 3 23 12 30
19 15 Parma 17 12 5 0.7 1.1 4 6 7 12 19 18
20 8 Lazio 17 14 3 1.1 0.7 6 6 5 18 12 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Milan 9 3 6 1.7 0.9 6 2 1 15 8 20
2 2 Inter 8 2 6 2.6 0.6 6 0 2 21 5 18
3 13 Torino 9 3 6 1.1 1.8 3 2 4 10 16 11
4 20 Fiorentina 8 2 6 1.5 1.8 1 2 5 12 14 5
5 3 Napoli 7 2 5 2.0 0.9 6 1 0 14 6 19
6 5 Juventus 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 4 0 15 8 19
7 9 Sassuolo 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 3 2 4 11 11 11
8 11 Udinese 9 5 4 1.0 1.4 3 3 3 9 13 12
9 16 Lecce 9 5 4 0.7 1.2 2 3 4 6 11 9
10 17 Genoa 10 6 4 0.6 1.3 1 4 5 6 13 7
11 19 Verona 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 1 3 3 8 9 6
12 7 Bologna 8 5 3 1.4 0.8 4 2 2 11 6 14
13 10 Atalanta 9 6 3 1.2 1.0 3 4 2 11 9 13
14 12 Cremonese 8 5 3 1.1 1.4 2 3 3 9 11 9
15 14 Cagliari 9 6 3 1.1 1.4 2 3 4 10 13 9
16 15 Parma 9 6 3 0.8 1.2 2 3 4 7 11 9
17 4 Roma 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 6 0 3 11 5 18
18 8 Lazio 8 6 2 1.6 0.6 4 3 1 13 5 15
19 6 Como 8 7 1 1.5 0.4 5 3 0 12 3 18
20 18 Pisa 9 9 0 0.1 0.8 1 3 5 1 7 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Genoa 8 1 7 1.5 1.9 2 2 4 12 15 8
2 18 Pisa 9 3 6 1.3 2.0 0 6 3 12 18 6
3 9 Sassuolo 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
4 14 Cagliari 9 4 5 1.0 1.3 2 3 4 9 12 9
5 19 Verona 9 4 5 0.6 1.8 1 3 5 5 16 6
6 2 Inter 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 6 0 2 14 9 18
7 6 Como 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 3 3 3 11 9 12
8 7 Bologna 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 3 3 2 13 8 12
9 11 Udinese 9 5 4 1.0 1.8 3 1 5 9 16 10
10 13 Torino 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 2 3 3 7 12 9
11 20 Fiorentina 9 5 4 0.6 1.6 0 4 5 5 14 4
12 1 Milan 8 5 3 1.6 0.6 5 3 0 13 5 18
13 4 Roma 8 5 3 1.1 0.8 5 0 3 9 6 15
14 10 Atalanta 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
15 12 Cremonese 9 6 3 1.0 1.0 3 3 3 9 9 12
16 3 Napoli 9 7 2 1.1 0.8 5 0 4 10 7 15
17 5 Juventus 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 4 2 3 9 8 14
18 15 Parma 8 6 2 0.6 1.0 2 3 3 5 8 9
19 16 Lecce 8 6 2 0.8 1.5 2 2 4 6 12 8
20 8 Lazio 9 8 1 0.6 0.8 2 3 4 5 7 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51