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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 2–1 Roma

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.00 fair 2.01
Draw 3.60 fair 4.33
Away 3.60 fair 3.69
Under 2.5 2.02 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Roma
24 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 1
11 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (356 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.80 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawRoma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.76points / match
1.85scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 63:38
Roma before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.77scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 62:42
Atalanta all matches all matches Roma

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 1.77
1.12 Goals conceded 1.20
2.97 Total goals 2.97
13.88 Shots 12.31
5.32 Shots on target 4.06
12.26 Shots faced 12.31
5.62 Corners 4.43
3.94 Corners against 4.43
12.71 Fouls 12.06
2.03 Yellow cards 2.63
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.66
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.49

How often Full Time

53% Wins 49%
18% Draws 26%
29% Losses 26%
97% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 80%
65% Over 2.5 goals 60%
29% Over 3.5 goals 37%
18% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
53% Both teams scored 63%
38% Clean sheets 29%
12% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 31%
26% Draws 43%
29% Losses 26%
85% Over 0.5 goals 69%
44% Over 1.5 goals 37%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Roma all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
2.19points / match
2.19scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 35:12
Roma before this match, away
1.35points / match
1.47scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 25:23
Atalanta at home away Roma

Per match

2.19 Goals scored 1.47
0.75 Goals conceded 1.35
2.94 Total goals 2.82
16.75 Shots 11.41
6.81 Shots on target 3.94
10.88 Shots faced 14.59
6.69 Corners 4.00
3.56 Corners against 4.76
11.44 Fouls 11.88
1.50 Yellow cards 2.76
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

69% Wins 35%
13% Draws 29%
19% Losses 35%
94% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 76%
63% Over 2.5 goals 65%
31% Over 3.5 goals 35%
19% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 65%
56% Clean sheets 18%
6% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 18%
25% Draws 41%
19% Losses 41%
81% Over 0.5 goals 59%
38% Over 1.5 goals 24%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Roma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.24 Salernitana – Atalanta 1–2 (1–0) 7.505.501.36 1.53 2.50
28.04.24 Atalanta – Empoli 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.10
21.04.24 Monza – Atalanta 1–2 (0–1) 4.003.801.85 1.89 2.01
15.04.24 Atalanta – Verona 2–2 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
07.04.24 Cagliari – Atalanta 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.801.73 1.75 2.05
30.03.24 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.103.603.40 1.80 2.00
10.03.24 Juventus – Atalanta 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.30 2.10 1.70
03.03.24 Atalanta – Bologna 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 2.08 1.73
28.02.24 Inter – Atalanta 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.50 1.75 2.05
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Roma – Juventus 1–1 (1–1) 2.883.102.70 2.38 1.57
28.04.24 Napoli – Roma 2–2 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.92 1.98
25.04.24 Udinese – Roma 1–2 (1–0) 3.303.402.15 2.10 1.73
22.04.24 Roma – Bologna 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.103.20 2.38 1.57
06.04.24 Roma – Lazio 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.103.60 2.15 1.67
01.04.24 Lecce – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.07 1.83
17.03.24 Roma – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.00 1.60 2.30
10.03.24 Fiorentina – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.07 1.83
02.03.24 Monza – Roma 1–4 (0–2) 3.753.402.05 2.03 1.87
26.02.24 Roma – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.254.50 2.40 1.53

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.24 Atalanta – Empoli 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.10
15.04.24 Atalanta – Verona 2–2 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
03.03.24 Atalanta – Bologna 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 2.08 1.73
17.02.24 Atalanta – Sassuolo 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.48 2.60
04.02.24 Atalanta – Lazio 3–1 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.15 1.67
27.01.24 Atalanta – Udinese 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.73 2.08
15.01.24 Atalanta – Frosinone 5–0 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.25
30.12.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.608.00 1.92 1.98
18.12.23 Atalanta – Salernitana 4–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75

Roma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.24 Napoli – Roma 2–2 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.92 1.98
25.04.24 Udinese – Roma 1–2 (1–0) 3.303.402.15 2.10 1.73
01.04.24 Lecce – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.07 1.83
10.03.24 Fiorentina – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.07 1.83
02.03.24 Monza – Roma 1–4 (0–2) 3.753.402.05 2.03 1.87
18.02.24 Frosinone – Roma 0–3 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.08
29.01.24 Salernitana – Roma 1–2 (0–0) 5.253.801.67 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Juventus – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.70 1.44
17.12.23 Bologna – Roma 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.003.25 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsRoma wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.24I1 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.203.10 2.15 1.67
24.04.23I1 Atalanta – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
18.09.22I1 Roma – Atalanta 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.50 1.87 2.03
05.03.22I1 Roma – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.72 2.10
18.12.21I1 Atalanta – Roma 1–4 (1–2) 1.704.334.33 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 36 29 5 2 86 19 +67 92
2 Milan 36 22 8 6 72 43 +29 74
3 Bologna 36 18 13 5 51 27 +24 67
4 Juventus 36 18 13 5 49 28 +21 67
5 Atalanta 34 18 6 10 63 38 +25 60
6 Roma 35 17 9 9 62 42 +20 60
7 Lazio 36 18 5 13 47 37 +10 59
8 Napoli 36 13 12 11 53 46 +7 51
9 Fiorentina 34 14 8 12 51 39 +12 50
10 Torino 36 12 14 10 33 32 +1 50
11 Genoa 36 11 13 12 43 44 -1 46
12 Monza 35 11 12 12 38 46 -8 45
13 Lecce 35 8 13 14 32 50 -18 37
14 Verona 36 8 10 18 34 48 -14 34
15 Cagliari 36 7 12 17 38 65 -27 33
16 Frosinone 36 7 11 18 43 68 -25 32
17 Empoli 36 8 8 20 26 52 -26 32
18 Udinese 35 4 18 13 33 52 -19 30
19 Sassuolo 36 7 8 21 42 72 -30 29
20 Salernitana 36 2 10 24 28 76 -48 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 3 1 43 10 +33 45
2 Bologna 18 12 4 2 30 9 +21 40
3 Milan 18 12 3 3 35 14 +21 39
4 Roma 18 11 4 3 37 19 +18 37
5 Juventus 18 10 7 1 24 11 +13 37
6 Atalanta 16 11 2 3 35 12 +23 35
7 Lazio 18 10 3 5 22 13 +9 33
8 Fiorentina 17 9 4 4 33 19 +14 31
9 Torino 18 7 9 2 15 8 +7 30
10 Genoa 18 7 6 5 25 22 +3 27
11 Frosinone 18 7 4 7 28 31 -3 25
12 Cagliari 18 6 7 5 26 29 -3 25
13 Monza 18 6 6 6 23 25 -2 24
14 Napoli 18 6 6 6 24 27 -3 24
15 Lecce 17 6 6 5 17 23 -6 24
16 Verona 18 6 5 7 21 24 -3 23
17 Sassuolo 18 5 5 8 23 32 -9 20
18 Empoli 18 4 5 9 13 22 -9 17
19 Udinese 18 1 10 7 20 28 -8 13
20 Salernitana 18 1 5 12 16 36 -20 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 15 2 1 43 9 +34 47
2 Milan 18 10 5 3 37 29 +8 35
3 Juventus 18 8 6 4 25 17 +8 30
4 Napoli 18 7 6 5 29 19 +10 27
5 Bologna 18 6 9 3 21 18 +3 27
6 Lazio 18 8 2 8 25 24 +1 26
7 Atalanta 18 7 4 7 28 26 +2 25
8 Roma 17 6 5 6 25 23 +2 23
9 Monza 17 5 6 6 15 21 -6 21
10 Torino 18 5 5 8 18 24 -6 20
11 Fiorentina 17 5 4 8 18 20 -2 19
12 Genoa 18 4 7 7 18 22 -4 19
13 Udinese 17 3 8 6 13 24 -11 17
14 Empoli 18 4 3 11 13 30 -17 15
15 Lecce 18 2 7 9 15 27 -12 13
16 Verona 18 2 5 11 13 24 -11 11
17 Sassuolo 18 2 3 13 19 40 -21 9
18 Cagliari 18 1 5 12 12 36 -24 8
19 Salernitana 18 1 5 12 12 40 -28 8
20 Frosinone 18 0 7 11 15 37 -22 7

Atalanta   Roma

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 36 13 23 2.0 1.2 22 8 6 72 43 74
2 16 Frosinone 36 13 23 1.2 1.9 7 11 18 43 68 32
3 20 Salernitana 36 13 23 0.8 2.1 2 10 24 28 76 16
4 5 Atalanta 34 12 22 1.9 1.1 18 6 10 63 38 60
5 6 Roma 35 14 21 1.8 1.2 17 9 9 62 42 60
6 15 Cagliari 36 15 21 1.1 1.8 7 12 17 38 65 33
7 19 Sassuolo 36 15 21 1.2 2.0 7 8 21 42 72 29
8 1 Inter 36 16 20 2.4 0.5 29 5 2 86 19 92
9 8 Napoli 36 16 20 1.5 1.3 13 12 11 53 46 51
10 14 Verona 36 19 17 0.9 1.3 8 10 18 34 48 34
11 9 Fiorentina 34 18 16 1.5 1.1 14 8 12 51 39 50
12 11 Genoa 36 20 16 1.2 1.2 11 13 12 43 44 46
13 3 Bologna 36 21 15 1.4 0.8 18 13 5 51 27 67
14 7 Lazio 36 21 15 1.3 1.0 18 5 13 47 37 59
15 4 Juventus 36 22 14 1.4 0.8 18 13 5 49 28 67
16 12 Monza 35 21 14 1.1 1.3 11 12 12 38 46 45
17 13 Lecce 35 21 14 0.9 1.4 8 13 14 32 50 37
18 18 Udinese 35 21 14 0.9 1.5 4 18 13 33 52 30
19 17 Empoli 36 25 11 0.7 1.4 8 8 20 26 52 32
20 10 Torino 36 26 10 0.9 0.9 12 14 10 33 32 50
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Frosinone 18 4 14 1.6 1.7 7 4 7 28 31 25
2 8 Napoli 18 6 12 1.3 1.5 6 6 6 24 27 24
3 20 Salernitana 18 6 12 0.9 2.0 1 5 12 16 36 8
4 9 Fiorentina 17 6 11 1.9 1.1 9 4 4 33 19 31
5 15 Cagliari 18 7 11 1.4 1.6 6 7 5 26 29 25
6 1 Inter 18 8 10 2.4 0.6 14 3 1 43 10 45
7 5 Atalanta 16 6 10 2.2 0.8 11 2 3 35 12 35
8 6 Roma 18 8 10 2.1 1.1 11 4 3 37 19 37
9 14 Verona 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 6 5 7 21 24 23
10 2 Milan 18 9 9 1.9 0.8 12 3 3 35 14 39
11 18 Udinese 18 9 9 1.1 1.6 1 10 7 20 28 13
12 19 Sassuolo 18 9 9 1.3 1.8 5 5 8 23 32 20
13 11 Genoa 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 7 6 5 25 22 27
14 12 Monza 18 10 8 1.3 1.4 6 6 6 23 25 24
15 13 Lecce 17 10 7 1.0 1.4 6 6 5 17 23 24
16 3 Bologna 18 12 6 1.7 0.5 12 4 2 30 9 40
17 4 Juventus 18 13 5 1.3 0.6 10 7 1 24 11 37
18 7 Lazio 18 13 5 1.2 0.7 10 3 5 22 13 33
19 17 Empoli 18 13 5 0.7 1.2 4 5 9 13 22 17
20 10 Torino 18 14 4 0.8 0.4 7 9 2 15 8 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 18 4 14 2.1 1.6 10 5 3 37 29 35
2 5 Atalanta 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 7 4 7 28 26 25
3 19 Sassuolo 18 6 12 1.1 2.2 2 3 13 19 40 9
4 6 Roma 17 6 11 1.5 1.4 6 5 6 25 23 23
5 20 Salernitana 18 7 11 0.7 2.2 1 5 12 12 40 8
6 1 Inter 18 8 10 2.4 0.5 15 2 1 43 9 47
7 7 Lazio 18 8 10 1.4 1.3 8 2 8 25 24 26
8 15 Cagliari 18 8 10 0.7 2.0 1 5 12 12 36 8
9 3 Bologna 18 9 9 1.2 1.0 6 9 3 21 18 27
10 4 Juventus 18 9 9 1.4 0.9 8 6 4 25 17 30
11 16 Frosinone 18 9 9 0.8 2.1 0 7 11 15 37 7
12 8 Napoli 18 10 8 1.6 1.1 7 6 5 29 19 27
13 11 Genoa 18 10 8 1.0 1.2 4 7 7 18 22 19
14 13 Lecce 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 2 7 9 15 27 13
15 14 Verona 18 11 7 0.7 1.3 2 5 11 13 24 11
16 10 Torino 18 12 6 1.0 1.3 5 5 8 18 24 20
17 12 Monza 17 11 6 0.9 1.2 5 6 6 15 21 21
18 17 Empoli 18 12 6 0.7 1.7 4 3 11 13 30 15
19 9 Fiorentina 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 5 4 8 18 20 19
20 18 Udinese 17 12 5 0.8 1.4 3 8 6 13 24 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51