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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 2–3 Parma

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.75 fair 1.63
Draw 3.50 fair 4.80
Away ✓ 5.00 fair 5.64
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.40
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Parma
11 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 10
5 Corners 6
7 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (374 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 2.03 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawParma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10% 2–1 10% 1–0 9.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.05scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 76:34
Parma before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
1.11scored / match
1.51conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 41:56
Atalanta all matches all matches Parma

Per match

2.05 Goals scored 1.11
0.92 Goals conceded 1.51
2.97 Total goals 2.62
14.41 Shots 10.95
5.11 Shots on target 3.73
10.38 Shots faced 14.30
5.08 Corners 4.38
3.19 Corners against 5.89
11.54 Fouls 10.76
1.78 Yellow cards 1.97
0.97 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.49 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

59% Wins 16%
22% Draws 41%
19% Losses 43%
92% Over 0.5 goals 86%
81% Over 1.5 goals 70%
54% Over 2.5 goals 54%
38% Over 3.5 goals 38%
24% Over 4.5 goals 14%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
49% Both teams scored 65%
41% Clean sheets 19%
19% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 24%
41% Draws 43%
22% Losses 32%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
43% Over 1.5 goals 27%
16% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Parma all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
1.78points / match
1.89scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 34:21
Parma before this match, away
0.67points / match
0.89scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:28
Atalanta at home away Parma

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 0.89
1.17 Goals conceded 1.56
3.06 Total goals 2.44
15.06 Shots 10.33
5.44 Shots on target 3.44
8.83 Shots faced 15.33
5.67 Corners 4.72
2.78 Corners against 6.44
11.11 Fouls 10.33
1.44 Yellow cards 1.94
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

50% Wins 6%
28% Draws 50%
22% Losses 44%
89% Over 0.5 goals 78%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 56%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 61%
22% Clean sheets 22%
22% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 17%
50% Draws 56%
17% Losses 28%
67% Over 0.5 goals 61%
44% Over 1.5 goals 28%
22% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Parma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.25 Genoa – Atalanta 2–3 (1–0) 4.503.901.75 1.87 2.03
12.05.25 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.80 2.00
04.05.25 Monza – Atalanta 0–4 (0–2) 13.006.001.22 1.50 2.63
27.04.25 Atalanta – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.57 2.38
20.04.25 Milan – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.67 2.20
13.04.25 Atalanta – Bologna 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.85
06.04.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.00
30.03.25 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.95
16.03.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.80 1.95 1.95
09.03.25 Juventus – Atalanta 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 2.04 1.86

Parma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.05.25 Parma – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 6.254.201.50 1.95 1.95
10.05.25 Empoli – Parma 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.50 2.03 1.87
03.05.25 Parma – Como 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.91 1.99
28.04.25 Lazio – Parma 2–2 (0–1) 1.534.505.75 1.73 2.10
23.04.25 Parma – Juventus 1–0 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 2.00 1.90
13.04.25 Fiorentina – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.98 1.92
05.04.25 Parma – Inter 2–2 (0–2) 6.504.501.48 1.73 2.10
31.03.25 Verona – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.10 2.10 1.73
15.03.25 Monza – Parma 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.002.45 2.10 1.73
08.03.25 Parma – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.252.40 2.10 1.73

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.25 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.80 2.00
27.04.25 Atalanta – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.57 2.38
13.04.25 Atalanta – Bologna 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.85
06.04.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.00
16.03.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.80 1.95 1.95
01.03.25 Atalanta – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.53 2.50
15.02.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.62 2.30
01.02.25 Atalanta – Torino 1–1 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.95 1.95
18.01.25 Atalanta – Napoli 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Atalanta – Juventus 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.30 1.62

Parma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.25 Empoli – Parma 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.50 2.03 1.87
28.04.25 Lazio – Parma 2–2 (0–1) 1.534.505.75 1.73 2.10
13.04.25 Fiorentina – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.98 1.92
31.03.25 Verona – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.10 2.10 1.73
15.03.25 Monza – Parma 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.002.45 2.10 1.73
01.03.25 Udinese – Parma 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.91 1.99
09.02.25 Cagliari – Parma 2–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.10 1.73 2.10
26.01.25 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
12.01.25 Genoa – Parma 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.91 1.99
05.01.25 Torino – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.50 2.01 1.89

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsParma wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24I1 Parma – Atalanta 1–3 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.38

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 38 24 10 4 59 27 +32 82
2 Inter 38 24 9 5 79 35 +44 81
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 76 34 +42 74
4 Juventus 37 17 16 4 55 33 +22 67
5 Roma 37 19 9 9 54 35 +19 66
6 Lazio 37 18 11 8 61 48 +13 65
7 Milan 38 18 9 11 61 43 +18 63
8 Fiorentina 37 18 8 11 57 39 +18 62
9 Bologna 38 16 14 8 57 47 +10 62
10 Como 38 13 10 15 49 52 -3 49
11 Torino 37 10 14 13 39 43 -4 44
12 Udinese 37 12 8 17 39 53 -14 44
13 Genoa 38 10 13 15 37 49 -12 43
14 Cagliari 38 9 9 20 40 56 -16 36
15 Verona 37 9 7 21 32 65 -33 34
16 Parma 37 6 15 16 41 56 -15 33
17 Empoli 37 6 13 18 32 57 -25 31
18 Lecce 37 7 10 20 26 58 -32 31
19 Venezia 37 5 14 18 30 53 -23 29
20 Monza 38 3 9 26 28 69 -41 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 19 14 3 2 32 13 +19 45
2 Inter 19 13 4 2 40 21 +19 43
3 Roma 19 13 2 4 37 15 +22 41
4 Juventus 19 11 7 1 31 15 +16 40
5 Fiorentina 19 12 4 3 32 18 +14 40
6 Bologna 19 10 7 2 33 18 +15 37
7 Milan 19 9 7 3 30 16 +14 34
8 Atalanta 18 9 5 4 34 21 +13 32
9 Lazio 18 7 9 2 33 25 +8 30
10 Como 19 8 5 6 28 26 +2 29
11 Torino 18 6 7 5 17 16 +1 25
12 Udinese 18 7 3 8 20 24 -4 24
13 Cagliari 19 6 4 9 24 28 -4 22
14 Genoa 19 5 7 7 21 25 -4 22
15 Parma 19 5 6 8 25 28 -3 21
16 Venezia 18 5 5 8 15 19 -4 20
17 Lecce 19 4 6 9 13 31 -18 18
18 Verona 19 4 5 10 15 36 -21 17
19 Empoli 18 2 7 9 9 24 -15 13
20 Monza 19 1 5 13 13 31 -18 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 19 13 3 3 42 13 +29 42
2 Inter 19 11 5 3 39 14 +25 38
3 Napoli 19 10 7 2 27 14 +13 37
4 Lazio 19 11 2 6 28 23 +5 35
5 Milan 19 9 2 8 31 27 +4 29
6 Juventus 18 6 9 3 24 18 +6 27
7 Roma 18 6 7 5 17 20 -3 25
8 Bologna 19 6 7 6 24 29 -5 25
9 Fiorentina 18 6 4 8 25 21 +4 22
10 Genoa 19 5 6 8 16 24 -8 21
11 Como 19 5 5 9 21 26 -5 20
12 Udinese 19 5 5 9 19 29 -10 20
13 Torino 19 4 7 8 22 27 -5 19
14 Empoli 19 4 6 9 23 33 -10 18
15 Verona 18 5 2 11 17 29 -12 17
16 Cagliari 19 3 5 11 16 28 -12 14
17 Lecce 18 3 4 11 13 27 -14 13
18 Parma 18 1 9 8 16 28 -12 12
19 Monza 19 2 4 13 15 38 -23 10
20 Venezia 19 0 9 10 15 34 -19 9

Atalanta   Parma

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Lazio 37 14 23 1.6 1.3 18 11 8 61 48 65
2 7 Milan 38 15 23 1.6 1.1 18 9 11 61 43 63
3 8 Fiorentina 37 15 22 1.5 1.1 18 8 11 57 39 62
4 2 Inter 38 17 21 2.1 0.9 24 9 5 79 35 81
5 3 Atalanta 37 17 20 2.1 0.9 22 8 7 76 34 74
6 9 Bologna 38 18 20 1.5 1.2 16 14 8 57 47 62
7 16 Parma 37 17 20 1.1 1.5 6 15 16 41 56 33
8 14 Cagliari 38 19 19 1.1 1.5 9 9 20 40 56 36
9 20 Monza 38 19 19 0.7 1.8 3 9 26 28 69 18
10 12 Udinese 37 19 18 1.1 1.4 12 8 17 39 53 44
11 1 Napoli 38 21 17 1.6 0.7 24 10 4 59 27 82
12 10 Como 38 21 17 1.3 1.4 13 10 15 49 52 49
13 15 Verona 37 20 17 0.9 1.8 9 7 21 32 65 34
14 17 Empoli 37 20 17 0.9 1.5 6 13 18 32 57 31
15 4 Juventus 37 22 15 1.5 0.9 17 16 4 55 33 67
16 5 Roma 37 22 15 1.5 0.9 19 9 9 54 35 66
17 13 Genoa 38 23 15 1.0 1.3 10 13 15 37 49 43
18 18 Lecce 37 22 15 0.7 1.6 7 10 20 26 58 31
19 19 Venezia 37 22 15 0.8 1.4 5 14 18 30 53 29
20 11 Torino 37 27 10 1.1 1.2 10 14 13 39 43 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Inter 19 7 12 2.1 1.1 13 4 2 40 21 43
2 6 Lazio 18 6 12 1.8 1.4 7 9 2 33 25 30
3 8 Fiorentina 19 7 12 1.7 0.9 12 4 3 32 18 40
4 14 Cagliari 19 8 11 1.3 1.5 6 4 9 24 28 22
5 15 Verona 19 8 11 0.8 1.9 4 5 10 15 36 17
6 5 Roma 19 9 10 1.9 0.8 13 2 4 37 15 41
7 16 Parma 19 9 10 1.3 1.5 5 6 8 25 28 21
8 1 Napoli 19 10 9 1.7 0.7 14 3 2 32 13 45
9 3 Atalanta 18 9 9 1.9 1.2 9 5 4 34 21 32
10 7 Milan 19 10 9 1.6 0.8 9 7 3 30 16 34
11 9 Bologna 19 10 9 1.7 0.9 10 7 2 33 18 37
12 10 Como 19 10 9 1.5 1.4 8 5 6 28 26 29
13 12 Udinese 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 7 3 8 20 24 24
14 20 Monza 19 10 9 0.7 1.6 1 5 13 13 31 8
15 4 Juventus 19 11 8 1.6 0.8 11 7 1 31 15 40
16 13 Genoa 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 5 7 7 21 25 22
17 18 Lecce 19 11 8 0.7 1.6 4 6 9 13 31 18
18 17 Empoli 18 12 6 0.5 1.3 2 7 9 9 24 13
19 19 Venezia 18 13 5 0.8 1.1 5 5 8 15 19 20
20 11 Torino 18 15 3 0.9 0.9 6 7 5 17 16 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Milan 19 5 14 1.6 1.4 9 2 8 31 27 29
2 3 Atalanta 19 8 11 2.2 0.7 13 3 3 42 13 42
3 6 Lazio 19 8 11 1.5 1.2 11 2 6 28 23 35
4 9 Bologna 19 8 11 1.3 1.5 6 7 6 24 29 25
5 17 Empoli 19 8 11 1.2 1.7 4 6 9 23 33 18
6 8 Fiorentina 18 8 10 1.4 1.2 6 4 8 25 21 22
7 16 Parma 18 8 10 0.9 1.6 1 9 8 16 28 12
8 19 Venezia 19 9 10 0.8 1.8 0 9 10 15 34 9
9 20 Monza 19 9 10 0.8 2.0 2 4 13 15 38 10
10 2 Inter 19 10 9 2.1 0.7 11 5 3 39 14 38
11 12 Udinese 19 10 9 1.0 1.5 5 5 9 19 29 20
12 1 Napoli 19 11 8 1.4 0.7 10 7 2 27 14 37
13 10 Como 19 11 8 1.1 1.4 5 5 9 21 26 20
14 14 Cagliari 19 11 8 0.8 1.5 3 5 11 16 28 14
15 4 Juventus 18 11 7 1.3 1.0 6 9 3 24 18 27
16 11 Torino 19 12 7 1.2 1.4 4 7 8 22 27 19
17 13 Genoa 19 12 7 0.8 1.3 5 6 8 16 24 21
18 18 Lecce 18 11 7 0.7 1.5 3 4 11 13 27 13
19 15 Verona 18 12 6 0.9 1.6 5 2 11 17 29 17
20 5 Roma 18 13 5 0.9 1.1 6 7 5 17 20 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51