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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 4–1 Lecce

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 2.37
Draw 4.50 fair 3.66
Away 8.50 fair 3.27
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.77
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.30

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Lecce
19 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 2
12 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (24 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 11.8% 0–1 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:2
Lecce before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
0.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 0:2
Atalanta all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.00 Total goals 1.00
16.00 Shots 7.00
4.50 Shots on target 1.00
9.00 Shots faced 9.50
6.00 Corners 5.50
2.50 Corners against 4.00
12.00 Fouls 11.50
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 100%
50% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 0%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Lecce all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:1
Lecce before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:0
Atalanta at home away Lecce

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded 0.00
2.00 Total goals 0.00
21.00 Shots 7.00
6.00 Shots on target 0.00
11.00 Shots faced 5.00
10.00 Corners 7.00
4.00 Corners against 3.00
9.00 Fouls 13.00
2.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Parma – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.91 1.93 1.93
24.08.25 Atalanta – Pisa 1–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.00 1.67 2.20
25.05.25 Atalanta – Parma 2–3 (2–0) 1.753.505.00 1.73 2.10
17.05.25 Genoa – Atalanta 2–3 (1–0) 4.503.901.75 1.87 2.03
12.05.25 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.80 2.00
04.05.25 Monza – Atalanta 0–4 (0–2) 13.006.001.22 1.50 2.63
27.04.25 Atalanta – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.57 2.38
20.04.25 Milan – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.67 2.20
13.04.25 Atalanta – Bologna 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.85
06.04.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.00

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.25 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Genoa – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.304.50 2.38 1.57
25.05.25 Lazio – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.533.707.50 1.83 2.03
18.05.25 Lecce – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.404.60 2.30 1.62
11.05.25 Verona – Lecce 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.003.75 2.20 1.67
03.05.25 Lecce – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 7.003.801.55 2.00 1.80
27.04.25 Atalanta – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.57 2.38
19.04.25 Lecce – Como 0–3 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.73
12.04.25 Juventus – Lecce 2–1 (2–0) 1.334.5010.00 1.95 1.95
06.04.25 Lecce – Venezia 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.103.40 2.30 1.62

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.25 Atalanta – Pisa 1–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.00 1.67 2.20
25.05.25 Atalanta – Parma 2–3 (2–0) 1.753.505.00 1.73 2.10
12.05.25 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.80 2.00
27.04.25 Atalanta – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.57 2.38
13.04.25 Atalanta – Bologna 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.85
06.04.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.00
16.03.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.80 1.95 1.95
01.03.25 Atalanta – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.53 2.50
15.02.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.62 2.30
01.02.25 Atalanta – Torino 1–1 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.95 1.95

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25 Genoa – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.304.50 2.38 1.57
25.05.25 Lazio – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.533.707.50 1.83 2.03
11.05.25 Verona – Lecce 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.003.75 2.20 1.67
27.04.25 Atalanta – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.57 2.38
12.04.25 Juventus – Lecce 2–1 (2–0) 1.334.5010.00 1.95 1.95
14.03.25 Genoa – Lecce 2–1 (2–0) 2.152.904.20 2.63 1.50
28.02.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.405.00 2.30 1.62
16.02.25 Monza – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.30 1.62
31.01.25 Parma – Lecce 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.403.50 1.86 2.04
19.01.25 Cagliari – Lecce 4–1 (0–1) 1.953.304.10 2.05 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsLecce wins
6matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25I1 Atalanta – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.57 2.38
19.08.24I1 Lecce – Atalanta 0–4 (0–2) 4.203.701.85 1.98 1.92
18.05.24I1 Lecce – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.91 1.99
30.12.23I1 Atalanta – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.608.00 1.92 1.98
19.02.23I1 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
09.11.22I1 Lecce – Atalanta 2–1 (2–1) 4.753.501.80 2.06 1.84

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
2 Juventus 3 3 0 0 7 3 +4 9
3 Cremonese 2 2 0 0 5 3 +2 6
4 Roma 3 2 0 1 2 1 +1 6
5 Cagliari 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
6 Udinese 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
7 Torino 3 1 1 1 1 5 -4 4
8 Inter 3 1 0 2 9 6 +3 3
9 Lazio 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3
10 Milan 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
11 Como 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
12 Bologna 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
13 Atalanta 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
14 Fiorentina 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
15 Pisa 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
16 Genoa 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
17 Lecce 2 0 1 1 0 2 -2 1
18 Parma 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1
19 Verona 2 0 1 1 1 5 -4 1
20 Sassuolo 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 6 3 +3 6
2 Cagliari 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
3 Inter 2 1 0 1 6 2 +4 3
4 Lazio 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
5 Como 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
6 Cremonese 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
7 Bologna 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
8 Napoli 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
9 Roma 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
10 Atalanta 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
11 Parma 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
12 Udinese 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
13 Torino 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
14 Genoa 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
15 Verona 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Milan 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
17 Pisa 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
18 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
19 Lecce 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
20 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
2 Milan 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
3 Cremonese 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
4 Udinese 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
5 Juventus 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
6 Roma 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
7 Torino 2 1 0 1 1 5 -4 3
8 Fiorentina 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
9 Atalanta 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
10 Pisa 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
11 Lecce 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
12 Verona 2 0 1 1 1 5 -4 1
13 Genoa 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Inter 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1 0
15 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
16 Bologna 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
17 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
18 Como 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
19 Lazio 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
20 Parma 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0

Atalanta   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Inter 3 0 3 3.0 2.0 1 0 2 9 6 3
2 3 Cremonese 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 2 0 0 5 3 6
3 1 Napoli 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
4 2 Juventus 3 2 1 2.3 1.0 3 0 0 7 3 9
5 6 Udinese 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
6 7 Torino 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 1 1 1 1 5 4
7 9 Lazio 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3
8 10 Milan 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
9 14 Fiorentina 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
10 19 Verona 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 1 1 1 5 1
11 20 Sassuolo 2 1 1 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
12 4 Roma 3 3 0 0.7 0.3 2 0 1 2 1 6
13 5 Cagliari 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4
14 11 Como 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
15 12 Bologna 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
16 13 Atalanta 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
17 15 Pisa 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
18 16 Genoa 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
19 17 Lecce 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 1 0 2 1
20 18 Parma 3 3 0 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Inter 2 0 2 3.0 1.0 1 0 1 6 2 3
2 2 Juventus 2 1 1 3.0 1.5 2 0 0 6 3 6
3 3 Cremonese 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
4 9 Lazio 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
5 10 Milan 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
6 14 Fiorentina 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
7 1 Napoli 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
8 4 Roma 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
9 5 Cagliari 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
10 6 Udinese 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
11 7 Torino 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
12 11 Como 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
13 12 Bologna 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
14 13 Atalanta 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
15 15 Pisa 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
16 16 Genoa 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
17 17 Lecce 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
18 18 Parma 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
19 19 Verona 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 20 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Napoli 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 3 Cremonese 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
3 6 Udinese 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
4 7 Torino 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 1 0 1 1 5 3
5 8 Inter 1 0 1 3.0 4.0 0 0 1 3 4 0
6 19 Verona 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 1 1 1 5 1
7 20 Sassuolo 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
8 2 Juventus 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
9 4 Roma 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
10 5 Cagliari 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
11 9 Lazio 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
12 10 Milan 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
13 11 Como 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
14 12 Bologna 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
15 13 Atalanta 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
16 14 Fiorentina 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
17 15 Pisa 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
18 16 Genoa 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 17 Lecce 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
20 18 Parma 2 2 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40