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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–1 Genoa

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.44 fair 1.90
Draw ✓ 4.50 fair 4.15
Away 7.50 fair 4.32
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Genoa
32 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
12 Corners 1
12 Fouls 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (185 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawGenoa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–0 11.1% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.24points / match
1.65scored / match
0.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 28:13
Genoa before this match, all matches
0.83points / match
1.00scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 18:28
Milan all matches all matches Genoa

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 1.00
0.76 Goals conceded 1.56
2.41 Total goals 2.56
13.29 Shots 11.50
4.71 Shots on target 3.94
10.65 Shots faced 12.33
4.35 Corners 3.56
4.53 Corners against 5.11
9.41 Fouls 13.78
1.41 Yellow cards 2.17
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

65% Wins 17%
29% Draws 33%
6% Losses 50%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
65% Over 1.5 goals 78%
53% Over 2.5 goals 61%
24% Over 3.5 goals 17%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 67%
53% Clean sheets 11%
6% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 22%
59% Draws 50%
6% Losses 28%
59% Over 0.5 goals 72%
35% Over 1.5 goals 39%
12% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Genoa all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.22points / match
1.67scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:8
Genoa before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:15
Milan at home away Genoa

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.50
0.89 Goals conceded 1.88
2.56 Total goals 3.38
15.00 Shots 11.00
5.00 Shots on target 4.38
9.67 Shots faced 14.38
5.11 Corners 3.50
4.00 Corners against 5.63
10.56 Fouls 13.75
1.56 Yellow cards 2.38
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

67% Wins 25%
22% Draws 25%
11% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 88%
22% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
56% Both teams scored 100%
44% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 50%
56% Draws 25%
0% Losses 25%
67% Over 0.5 goals 88%
33% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Genoa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.26 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
08.12.25 Torino – Milan 2–3 (2–1) 4.503.601.80 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05

Genoa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.26 Genoa – Pisa 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.104.75 2.63 1.50
29.12.25 Roma – Genoa 3–1 (3–0) 1.603.606.25 2.38 1.57
21.12.25 Genoa – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Genoa – Inter 1–2 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 2.00 1.80
08.12.25 Udinese – Genoa 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.003.30 2.50 1.53
29.11.25 Genoa – Verona 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.004.20 2.75 1.44
22.11.25 Cagliari – Genoa 3–3 (2–2) 2.883.002.75 2.75 1.44
09.11.25 Genoa – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
03.11.25 Sassuolo – Genoa 1–2 (0–1) 2.453.003.20 2.50 1.53
29.10.25 Genoa – Cremonese 0–2 (0–1) 1.853.254.75 2.50 1.53

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
29.11.25 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.25 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73
14.09.25 Milan – Bologna 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Milan – Cremonese 1–2 (1–1) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20
24.05.25 Milan – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40

Genoa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.25 Roma – Genoa 3–1 (3–0) 1.603.606.25 2.38 1.57
08.12.25 Udinese – Genoa 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.003.30 2.50 1.53
22.11.25 Cagliari – Genoa 3–3 (2–2) 2.883.002.75 2.75 1.44
03.11.25 Sassuolo – Genoa 1–2 (0–1) 2.453.003.20 2.50 1.53
26.10.25 Torino – Genoa 2–1 (0–1) 2.252.903.50 2.75 1.44
05.10.25 Napoli – Genoa 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.008.00 2.20 1.67
20.09.25 Bologna – Genoa 2–1 (0–0) 1.833.205.25 2.50 1.53
15.09.25 Como – Genoa 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.756.00 2.10 1.73
24.05.25 Bologna – Genoa 1–3 (0–3) 1.504.506.00 1.73 2.10
11.05.25 Napoli – Genoa 2–2 (1–1) 1.305.2511.00 2.06 1.84

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsGenoa wins
6matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.25I1 Genoa – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.753.701.80 1.99 1.91
15.12.24I1 Milan – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
05.05.24I1 Milan – Genoa 3–3 (1–1) 1.454.506.50 1.73 2.10
07.10.23I1 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
15.04.22I1 Milan – Genoa 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.0011.00 1.80 2.00
01.12.21I1 Genoa – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.004.001.66 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 0 4 40 15 +25 42
2 Milan 17 11 5 1 28 13 +15 38
3 Napoli 18 12 2 4 28 15 +13 38
4 Juventus 19 10 6 3 27 16 +11 36
5 Roma 19 12 0 7 22 12 +10 36
6 Como 18 9 6 3 26 12 +14 33
7 Atalanta 19 7 7 5 23 19 +4 28
8 Bologna 18 7 5 6 25 19 +6 26
9 Lazio 19 6 7 6 20 16 +4 25
10 Udinese 19 7 4 8 20 30 -10 25
11 Sassuolo 19 6 5 8 23 25 -2 23
12 Torino 19 6 5 8 21 30 -9 23
13 Cremonese 19 5 7 7 20 23 -3 22
14 Cagliari 19 4 7 8 21 27 -6 19
15 Parma 18 4 6 8 12 21 -9 18
16 Lecce 18 4 5 9 12 25 -13 17
17 Genoa 18 3 6 9 18 28 -10 15
18 Fiorentina 19 2 7 10 20 30 -10 13
19 Verona 18 2 7 9 15 30 -15 13
20 Pisa 19 1 9 9 13 28 -15 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 0 2 24 6 +18 21
2 Napoli 8 6 2 0 16 8 +8 20
3 Milan 9 6 2 1 15 8 +7 20
4 Juventus 9 5 4 0 15 8 +7 19
5 Como 8 5 3 0 12 3 +9 18
6 Roma 9 6 0 3 11 5 +6 18
7 Lazio 10 4 4 2 15 9 +6 16
8 Atalanta 10 4 4 2 12 9 +3 16
9 Bologna 9 4 2 3 11 8 +3 14
10 Udinese 9 3 3 3 9 13 -4 12
11 Sassuolo 10 3 2 5 11 14 -3 11
12 Torino 10 3 2 5 11 18 -7 11
13 Cremonese 9 2 4 3 11 13 -2 10
14 Cagliari 9 2 3 4 10 13 -3 9
15 Parma 10 2 3 5 7 13 -6 9
16 Lecce 10 2 3 5 6 13 -7 9
17 Fiorentina 9 2 2 5 13 14 -1 8
18 Genoa 10 1 4 5 6 13 -7 7
19 Verona 8 1 3 4 8 12 -4 6
20 Pisa 10 1 3 6 1 10 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 0 2 16 9 +7 21
2 Milan 8 5 3 0 13 5 +8 18
3 Napoli 10 6 0 4 12 7 +5 18
4 Roma 10 6 0 4 11 7 +4 18
5 Juventus 10 5 2 3 12 8 +4 17
6 Como 10 4 3 3 14 9 +5 15
7 Udinese 10 4 1 5 11 17 -6 13
8 Bologna 9 3 3 3 14 11 +3 12
9 Sassuolo 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
10 Atalanta 9 3 3 3 11 10 +1 12
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 9 10 -1 12
12 Torino 9 3 3 3 10 12 -2 12
13 Cagliari 10 2 4 4 11 14 -3 10
14 Lazio 9 2 3 4 5 7 -2 9
15 Parma 8 2 3 3 5 8 -3 9
16 Genoa 8 2 2 4 12 15 -3 8
17 Lecce 8 2 2 4 6 12 -6 8
18 Verona 10 1 4 5 7 18 -11 7
19 Pisa 9 0 6 3 12 18 -6 6
20 Fiorentina 10 0 5 5 7 16 -9 5

Milan   Genoa

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 19 7 12 1.1 1.6 6 5 8 21 30 23
2 1 Inter 18 7 11 2.2 0.8 14 0 4 40 15 42
3 17 Genoa 18 7 11 1.0 1.6 3 6 9 18 28 15
4 18 Fiorentina 19 8 11 1.1 1.6 2 7 10 20 30 13
5 19 Verona 18 7 11 0.8 1.7 2 7 9 15 30 13
6 11 Sassuolo 19 9 10 1.2 1.3 6 5 8 23 25 23
7 2 Milan 17 8 9 1.6 0.8 11 5 1 28 13 38
8 10 Udinese 19 10 9 1.1 1.6 7 4 8 20 30 25
9 14 Cagliari 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 7 8 21 27 19
10 3 Napoli 18 10 8 1.6 0.8 12 2 4 28 15 38
11 8 Bologna 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 7 5 6 25 19 26
12 4 Juventus 19 12 7 1.4 0.8 10 6 3 27 16 36
13 13 Cremonese 19 12 7 1.1 1.2 5 7 7 20 23 22
14 20 Pisa 19 12 7 0.7 1.5 1 9 9 13 28 12
15 6 Como 18 12 6 1.4 0.7 9 6 3 26 12 33
16 7 Atalanta 19 13 6 1.2 1.0 7 7 5 23 19 28
17 16 Lecce 18 12 6 0.7 1.4 4 5 9 12 25 17
18 5 Roma 19 14 5 1.2 0.6 12 0 7 22 12 36
19 15 Parma 18 13 5 0.7 1.2 4 6 8 12 21 18
20 9 Lazio 19 15 4 1.1 0.8 6 7 6 20 16 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 9 2 7 2.7 0.7 7 0 2 24 6 21
2 12 Torino 10 3 7 1.1 1.8 3 2 5 11 18 11
3 2 Milan 9 3 6 1.7 0.9 6 2 1 15 8 20
4 3 Napoli 8 2 6 2.0 1.0 6 2 0 16 8 20
5 18 Fiorentina 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 2 2 5 13 14 8
6 11 Sassuolo 10 5 5 1.1 1.4 3 2 5 11 14 11
7 19 Verona 8 3 5 1.0 1.5 1 3 4 8 12 6
8 4 Juventus 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 4 0 15 8 19
9 10 Udinese 9 5 4 1.0 1.4 3 3 3 9 13 12
10 13 Cremonese 9 5 4 1.2 1.4 2 4 3 11 13 10
11 16 Lecce 10 6 4 0.6 1.3 2 3 5 6 13 9
12 17 Genoa 10 6 4 0.6 1.3 1 4 5 6 13 7
13 7 Atalanta 10 7 3 1.2 0.9 4 4 2 12 9 16
14 8 Bologna 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 4 2 3 11 8 14
15 9 Lazio 10 7 3 1.5 0.9 4 4 2 15 9 16
16 14 Cagliari 9 6 3 1.1 1.4 2 3 4 10 13 9
17 15 Parma 10 7 3 0.7 1.3 2 3 5 7 13 9
18 5 Roma 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 6 0 3 11 5 18
19 6 Como 8 7 1 1.5 0.4 5 3 0 12 3 18
20 20 Pisa 10 9 1 0.1 1.0 1 3 6 1 10 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Genoa 8 1 7 1.5 1.9 2 2 4 12 15 8
2 14 Cagliari 10 4 6 1.1 1.4 2 4 4 11 14 10
3 19 Verona 10 4 6 0.7 1.8 1 4 5 7 18 7
4 20 Pisa 9 3 6 1.3 2.0 0 6 3 12 18 6
5 6 Como 10 5 5 1.4 0.9 4 3 3 14 9 15
6 8 Bologna 9 4 5 1.6 1.2 3 3 3 14 11 12
7 10 Udinese 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 4 1 5 11 17 13
8 11 Sassuolo 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
9 12 Torino 9 4 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 3 10 12 12
10 18 Fiorentina 10 5 5 0.7 1.6 0 5 5 7 16 5
11 1 Inter 9 5 4 1.8 1.0 7 0 2 16 9 21
12 2 Milan 8 5 3 1.6 0.6 5 3 0 13 5 18
13 4 Juventus 10 7 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 3 12 8 17
14 5 Roma 10 7 3 1.1 0.7 6 0 4 11 7 18
15 7 Atalanta 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 3 3 3 11 10 12
16 13 Cremonese 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 3 3 4 9 10 12
17 3 Napoli 10 8 2 1.2 0.7 6 0 4 12 7 18
18 15 Parma 8 6 2 0.6 1.0 2 3 3 5 8 9
19 16 Lecce 8 6 2 0.8 1.5 2 2 4 6 12 8
20 9 Lazio 9 8 1 0.6 0.8 2 3 4 5 7 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38