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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Cagliari 0–1 Milan

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 6.00 fair 3.45
Draw 3.90 fair 3.86
Away ✓ 1.60 fair 2.22
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.07

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cagliari Milan
6 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 7
10 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (166 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.13 – 1.48
Home / Draw / Away
CagliariDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 0–1 10.9% 1–2 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Cagliari before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.12scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 19:24
Milan before this match, all matches
2.19points / match
1.69scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:13
Cagliari all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.12 Goals scored 1.69
1.41 Goals conceded 0.81
2.53 Total goals 2.50
9.82 Shots 13.44
3.53 Shots on target 4.75
13.47 Shots faced 10.94
3.47 Corners 4.19
5.29 Corners against 4.44
16.00 Fouls 9.50
2.41 Yellow cards 1.44
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

24% Wins 63%
35% Draws 31%
41% Losses 6%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
82% Over 1.5 goals 69%
47% Over 2.5 goals 56%
18% Over 3.5 goals 25%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
59% Both teams scored 50%
18% Clean sheets 50%
29% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 38%
53% Draws 56%
35% Losses 6%
65% Over 0.5 goals 63%
24% Over 1.5 goals 38%
12% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cagliari all matches
Milan all matches
Cagliari before this match, at home
1.13points / match
1.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:12
Milan before this match, away
2.14points / match
1.71scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:5
Cagliari at home away Milan

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.71
1.50 Goals conceded 0.71
2.75 Total goals 2.43
10.50 Shots 11.43
4.13 Shots on target 4.43
12.13 Shots faced 12.57
3.88 Corners 3.00
4.25 Corners against 5.00
17.00 Fouls 8.14
2.63 Yellow cards 1.29
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

25% Wins 57%
38% Draws 43%
38% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
88% Over 1.5 goals 71%
38% Over 2.5 goals 43%
25% Over 3.5 goals 29%
13% Over 4.5 goals 14%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 43%
25% Clean sheets 57%
25% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 29%
50% Draws 57%
38% Losses 14%
63% Over 0.5 goals 57%
13% Over 1.5 goals 43%
13% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cagliari at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cagliari all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25 Torino – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 1.913.204.20 2.20 1.67
21.12.25 Cagliari – Pisa 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.103.75 2.38 1.57
13.12.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 2–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.73 2.10
07.12.25 Cagliari – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 5.253.601.67 2.20 1.67
29.11.25 Juventus – Cagliari 2–1 (2–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.93 1.93
22.11.25 Cagliari – Genoa 3–3 (2–2) 2.883.002.75 2.75 1.44
08.11.25 Como – Cagliari 0–0 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.90 1.95
03.11.25 Lazio – Cagliari 2–0 (0–0) 1.533.807.00 1.98 1.88
30.10.25 Cagliari – Sassuolo 1–2 (0–0) 2.603.102.88 2.20 1.67
26.10.25 Verona – Cagliari 2–2 (1–0) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
08.12.25 Torino – Milan 2–3 (2–1) 4.503.601.80 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98

Cagliari at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 Cagliari – Pisa 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.103.75 2.38 1.57
07.12.25 Cagliari – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 5.253.601.67 2.20 1.67
22.11.25 Cagliari – Genoa 3–3 (2–2) 2.883.002.75 2.75 1.44
30.10.25 Cagliari – Sassuolo 1–2 (0–0) 2.603.102.88 2.20 1.67
19.10.25 Cagliari – Bologna 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.302.10 2.30 1.62
27.09.25 Cagliari – Inter 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Cagliari – Parma 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.203.60 2.20 1.67
24.08.25 Cagliari – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.302.25 2.10 1.73
18.05.25 Cagliari – Venezia 3–0 (2–0) 2.603.003.00 2.20 1.67
03.05.25 Cagliari – Udinese 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.62

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.25 Torino – Milan 2–3 (2–1) 4.503.601.80 2.00 1.80
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
05.10.25 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Udinese – Milan 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 2.10 1.73
29.08.25 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85
18.05.25 Roma – Milan 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
05.05.25 Genoa – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.753.701.80 1.99 1.91
27.04.25 Venezia – Milan 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cagliari winsDrawsMilan wins
6matches
4.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
83%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.25I1 Milan – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
09.11.24I1 Cagliari – Milan 3–3 (1–2) 5.504.101.60 1.67 2.20
11.05.24I1 Milan – Cagliari 5–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.57 2.38
27.09.23I1 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
19.03.22I1 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 5.254.001.60 1.92 1.98
29.08.21I1 Milan – Cagliari 4–1 (4–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 12 0 4 35 14 +21 36
2 Milan 16 10 5 1 27 13 +14 35
3 Napoli 16 11 1 4 24 13 +11 34
4 Roma 17 11 0 6 20 11 +9 33
5 Juventus 17 9 5 3 23 15 +8 32
6 Como 16 7 6 3 22 12 +10 27
7 Bologna 16 7 5 4 24 14 +10 26
8 Lazio 17 6 6 5 18 12 +6 24
9 Sassuolo 17 6 4 7 22 21 +1 22
10 Atalanta 17 5 7 5 20 19 +1 22
11 Udinese 17 6 4 7 18 28 -10 22
12 Cremonese 17 5 6 6 18 20 -2 21
13 Torino 17 5 5 7 17 28 -11 20
14 Cagliari 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
15 Parma 16 4 5 7 11 18 -7 17
16 Lecce 16 4 4 8 11 22 -11 16
17 Genoa 17 3 5 9 17 27 -10 14
18 Verona 16 2 6 8 13 25 -12 12
19 Pisa 17 1 8 8 12 24 -12 11
20 Fiorentina 17 1 6 10 17 28 -11 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 9 6 2 1 15 8 +7 20
2 Napoli 7 6 1 0 14 6 +8 19
3 Inter 8 6 0 2 21 5 +16 18
4 Juventus 8 5 3 0 14 7 +7 18
5 Roma 9 6 0 3 11 5 +6 18
6 Lazio 8 4 3 1 13 5 +8 15
7 Como 7 4 3 0 11 3 +8 15
8 Bologna 8 4 2 2 11 6 +5 14
9 Atalanta 9 3 4 2 11 9 +2 13
10 Udinese 9 3 3 3 9 13 -4 12
11 Torino 9 3 2 4 10 16 -6 11
12 Sassuolo 8 3 1 4 10 10 0 10
13 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 10 12 -2 9
14 Cremonese 8 2 3 3 9 11 -2 9
15 Parma 9 2 3 4 7 11 -4 9
16 Lecce 9 2 3 4 6 11 -5 9
17 Verona 7 1 3 3 8 9 -1 6
18 Pisa 9 1 3 5 1 7 -6 6
19 Genoa 9 1 3 5 5 12 -7 6
20 Fiorentina 8 1 2 5 12 14 -2 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 8 6 0 2 14 9 +5 18
2 Milan 7 4 3 0 12 5 +7 15
3 Napoli 9 5 0 4 10 7 +3 15
4 Roma 8 5 0 3 9 6 +3 15
5 Juventus 9 4 2 3 9 8 +1 14
6 Bologna 8 3 3 2 13 8 +5 12
7 Como 9 3 3 3 11 9 +2 12
8 Sassuolo 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
9 Cremonese 9 3 3 3 9 9 0 12
10 Udinese 8 3 1 4 9 15 -6 10
11 Atalanta 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
12 Lazio 9 2 3 4 5 7 -2 9
13 Cagliari 9 2 3 4 9 12 -3 9
14 Torino 8 2 3 3 7 12 -5 9
15 Genoa 8 2 2 4 12 15 -3 8
16 Parma 7 2 2 3 4 7 -3 8
17 Lecce 7 2 1 4 5 11 -6 7
18 Verona 9 1 3 5 5 16 -11 6
19 Pisa 8 0 5 3 11 17 -6 5
20 Fiorentina 9 0 4 5 5 14 -9 4

Cagliari   Milan

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Genoa 17 6 11 1.0 1.6 3 5 9 17 27 14
2 1 Inter 16 6 10 2.2 0.9 12 0 4 35 14 36
3 13 Torino 17 7 10 1.0 1.6 5 5 7 17 28 20
4 20 Fiorentina 17 7 10 1.0 1.6 1 6 10 17 28 9
5 2 Milan 16 7 9 1.7 0.8 10 5 1 27 13 35
6 9 Sassuolo 17 8 9 1.3 1.2 6 4 7 22 21 22
7 18 Verona 16 7 9 0.8 1.6 2 6 8 13 25 12
8 11 Udinese 17 9 8 1.1 1.6 6 4 7 18 28 22
9 14 Cagliari 17 9 8 1.1 1.4 4 6 7 19 24 18
10 3 Napoli 16 9 7 1.5 0.8 11 1 4 24 13 34
11 7 Bologna 16 9 7 1.5 0.9 7 5 4 24 14 26
12 5 Juventus 17 11 6 1.4 0.9 9 5 3 23 15 32
13 10 Atalanta 17 11 6 1.2 1.1 5 7 5 20 19 22
14 12 Cremonese 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 5 6 6 18 20 21
15 16 Lecce 16 10 6 0.7 1.4 4 4 8 11 22 16
16 19 Pisa 17 11 6 0.7 1.4 1 8 8 12 24 11
17 4 Roma 17 12 5 1.2 0.6 11 0 6 20 11 33
18 6 Como 16 11 5 1.4 0.8 7 6 3 22 12 27
19 15 Parma 16 11 5 0.7 1.1 4 5 7 11 18 17
20 8 Lazio 17 14 3 1.1 0.7 6 6 5 18 12 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 8 2 6 2.6 0.6 6 0 2 21 5 18
2 2 Milan 9 3 6 1.7 0.9 6 2 1 15 8 20
3 13 Torino 9 3 6 1.1 1.8 3 2 4 10 16 11
4 20 Fiorentina 8 2 6 1.5 1.8 1 2 5 12 14 5
5 3 Napoli 7 2 5 2.0 0.9 6 1 0 14 6 19
6 5 Juventus 8 4 4 1.8 0.9 5 3 0 14 7 18
7 9 Sassuolo 8 4 4 1.2 1.2 3 1 4 10 10 10
8 11 Udinese 9 5 4 1.0 1.4 3 3 3 9 13 12
9 16 Lecce 9 5 4 0.7 1.2 2 3 4 6 11 9
10 17 Genoa 9 5 4 0.6 1.3 1 3 5 5 12 6
11 18 Verona 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 1 3 3 8 9 6
12 7 Bologna 8 5 3 1.4 0.8 4 2 2 11 6 14
13 10 Atalanta 9 6 3 1.2 1.0 3 4 2 11 9 13
14 12 Cremonese 8 5 3 1.1 1.4 2 3 3 9 11 9
15 14 Cagliari 8 5 3 1.2 1.5 2 3 3 10 12 9
16 15 Parma 9 6 3 0.8 1.2 2 3 4 7 11 9
17 4 Roma 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 6 0 3 11 5 18
18 8 Lazio 8 6 2 1.6 0.6 4 3 1 13 5 15
19 6 Como 7 6 1 1.6 0.4 4 3 0 11 3 15
20 19 Pisa 9 9 0 0.1 0.8 1 3 5 1 7 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Genoa 8 1 7 1.5 1.9 2 2 4 12 15 8
2 19 Pisa 8 2 6 1.4 2.1 0 5 3 11 17 5
3 9 Sassuolo 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
4 14 Cagliari 9 4 5 1.0 1.3 2 3 4 9 12 9
5 18 Verona 9 4 5 0.6 1.8 1 3 5 5 16 6
6 1 Inter 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 6 0 2 14 9 18
7 6 Como 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 3 3 3 11 9 12
8 7 Bologna 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 3 3 2 13 8 12
9 11 Udinese 8 4 4 1.1 1.9 3 1 4 9 15 10
10 13 Torino 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 2 3 3 7 12 9
11 20 Fiorentina 9 5 4 0.6 1.6 0 4 5 5 14 4
12 2 Milan 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 4 3 0 12 5 15
13 4 Roma 8 5 3 1.1 0.8 5 0 3 9 6 15
14 10 Atalanta 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
15 12 Cremonese 9 6 3 1.0 1.0 3 3 3 9 9 12
16 3 Napoli 9 7 2 1.1 0.8 5 0 4 10 7 15
17 5 Juventus 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 4 2 3 9 8 14
18 15 Parma 7 5 2 0.6 1.0 2 2 3 4 7 8
19 16 Lecce 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 2 1 4 5 11 7
20 8 Lazio 9 8 1 0.6 0.8 2 3 4 5 7 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51