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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Napoli 2–1 Lecce

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.82
Draw 4.75 fair 4.01
Away 10.00 fair 4.95
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.82
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.22

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Napoli Lecce
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 7
11 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (282 league matches this season so far).
Result Napoli to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.61 – 0.87
Home / Draw / Away
NapoliDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.6% 1–1 11.7% 2–0 10.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Napoli before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.54scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 43:29
Lecce before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
0.71scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 20:37
Napoli all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.54 Goals scored 0.71
1.04 Goals conceded 1.32
2.57 Total goals 2.04
12.93 Shots 9.86
4.82 Shots on target 2.43
10.68 Shots faced 13.00
5.21 Corners 4.50
2.75 Corners against 5.29
11.93 Fouls 12.71
1.43 Yellow cards 1.71
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

61% Wins 25%
18% Draws 21%
21% Losses 54%
93% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 61%
57% Over 2.5 goals 36%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 36%
32% Clean sheets 29%
21% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 21%
29% Draws 54%
18% Losses 25%
79% Over 0.5 goals 57%
32% Over 1.5 goals 25%
7% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli all matches
Lecce all matches
Napoli before this match, at home
2.38points / match
1.77scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 23:12
Lecce before this match, away
0.85points / match
0.69scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 9:18
Napoli at home away Lecce

Per match

1.77 Goals scored 0.69
0.92 Goals conceded 1.38
2.69 Total goals 2.08
13.54 Shots 8.92
5.54 Shots on target 1.92
11.15 Shots faced 14.85
6.08 Corners 4.23
2.31 Corners against 6.38
12.38 Fouls 12.62
1.15 Yellow cards 1.46
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

69% Wins 23%
31% Draws 15%
0% Losses 62%
85% Over 0.5 goals 92%
69% Over 1.5 goals 54%
69% Over 2.5 goals 23%
38% Over 3.5 goals 23%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 31%
31% Clean sheets 31%
15% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 23%
31% Draws 38%
15% Losses 38%
77% Over 0.5 goals 62%
23% Over 1.5 goals 15%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.03.26 Napoli – Torino 2–1 (1–0) 1.573.806.25 2.20 1.67
28.02.26 Verona – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 7.504.001.50 2.30 1.62
22.02.26 Atalanta – Napoli 2–1 (0–1) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.73
15.02.26 Napoli – Roma 2–2 (1–1) 2.303.003.50 2.50 1.53
07.02.26 Genoa – Napoli 2–3 (1–2) 4.503.201.95 2.63 1.50
31.01.26 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
25.01.26 Juventus – Napoli 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
17.01.26 Napoli – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.50 2.03 1.83
14.01.26 Napoli – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.50 1.88 1.98
11.01.26 Inter – Napoli 2–2 (1–1) 1.703.505.25 2.10 1.73

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.26 Lecce – Cremonese 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.004.00 2.75 1.44
28.02.26 Como – Lecce 3–1 (3–1) 1.384.509.50 2.03 1.83
21.02.26 Lecce – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 7.004.331.48 2.10 1.73
16.02.26 Cagliari – Lecce 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.003.75 2.63 1.50
08.02.26 Lecce – Udinese 2–1 (1–1) 3.102.882.63 2.75 1.44
01.02.26 Torino – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.104.50 2.63 1.50
24.01.26 Lecce – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.002.10 2.63 1.50
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91
14.01.26 Inter – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.50 2.63
11.01.26 Lecce – Parma 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.002.88 2.63 1.50

Napoli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.03.26 Napoli – Torino 2–1 (1–0) 1.573.806.25 2.20 1.67
15.02.26 Napoli – Roma 2–2 (1–1) 2.303.003.50 2.50 1.53
31.01.26 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
17.01.26 Napoli – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.50 2.03 1.83
14.01.26 Napoli – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.50 1.88 1.98
07.01.26 Napoli – Verona 2–2 (0–2) 1.365.507.50 2.00 1.80
07.12.25 Napoli – Juventus 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.003.20 2.50 1.53
22.11.25 Napoli – Atalanta 3–1 (3–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Napoli – Como 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.104.50 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Napoli – Inter 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.102.40 2.10 1.73

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Como – Lecce 3–1 (3–1) 1.384.509.50 2.03 1.83
16.02.26 Cagliari – Lecce 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.003.75 2.63 1.50
01.02.26 Torino – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.104.50 2.63 1.50
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91
14.01.26 Inter – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.50 2.63
03.01.26 Juventus – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.275.5013.00 1.80 2.00
07.12.25 Cremonese – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.50 1.53
23.11.25 Lazio – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.706.25 2.20 1.67
02.11.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Udinese – Lecce 3–2 (2–0) 1.803.404.75 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Napoli winsDrawsLecce wins
7matches
1.71goals / match
29%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.25I1 Lecce – Napoli 0–1 (0–0) 6.503.751.55 2.20 1.67
03.05.25I1 Lecce – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 7.003.801.55 2.00 1.80
26.10.24I1 Napoli – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.73 2.10
26.05.24I1 Napoli – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.25 1.57 2.38
30.09.23I1 Lecce – Napoli 0–4 (0–1) 4.753.801.75 2.01 1.89
07.04.23I1 Lecce – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 5.753.601.65 2.20 1.67
31.08.22I1 Napoli – Lecce 1–1 (1–1) 1.256.2511.00 1.44 2.75

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 29 22 2 5 65 23 +42 68
2 Milan 28 17 9 2 44 20 +24 60
3 Napoli 28 17 5 6 43 29 +14 56
4 Como 28 14 9 5 46 21 +25 51
5 Roma 28 16 3 9 38 21 +17 51
6 Juventus 28 14 8 6 50 28 +22 50
7 Atalanta 29 12 11 6 40 27 +13 47
8 Bologna 28 11 6 11 37 34 +3 39
9 Sassuolo 28 11 5 12 35 38 -3 38
10 Lazio 28 9 10 9 28 28 0 37
11 Udinese 28 10 6 12 33 41 -8 36
12 Parma 29 8 10 11 21 36 -15 34
13 Torino 29 9 6 14 32 50 -18 33
14 Genoa 28 7 9 12 34 40 -6 30
15 Cagliari 28 7 9 12 30 38 -8 30
16 Lecce 28 7 6 15 20 37 -17 27
17 Fiorentina 28 5 10 13 30 42 -12 25
18 Cremonese 28 5 9 14 22 40 -18 24
19 Verona 28 3 9 16 22 49 -27 18
20 Pisa 28 1 12 15 20 48 -28 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 11 2 2 39 13 +26 35
2 Napoli 13 9 4 0 23 12 +11 31
3 Juventus 14 8 5 1 29 12 +17 29
4 Roma 14 9 2 3 22 9 +13 29
5 Atalanta 15 8 5 2 24 13 +11 29
6 Milan 14 8 4 2 19 11 +8 28
7 Como 14 7 5 2 24 10 +14 26
8 Lazio 14 6 4 4 20 17 +3 22
9 Sassuolo 14 6 2 6 17 20 -3 20
10 Torino 15 6 2 7 19 23 -4 20
11 Genoa 15 5 4 6 19 19 0 19
12 Udinese 14 5 4 5 16 18 -2 19
13 Bologna 14 5 2 7 14 16 -2 17
14 Cagliari 14 4 4 6 16 17 -1 16
15 Lecce 15 4 4 7 11 19 -8 16
16 Fiorentina 14 3 5 6 18 19 -1 14
17 Parma 14 3 5 6 11 19 -8 14
18 Cremonese 13 2 6 5 11 17 -6 12
19 Verona 13 1 4 8 12 21 -9 7
20 Pisa 14 1 4 9 4 17 -13 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 14 11 0 3 26 10 +16 33
2 Milan 14 9 5 0 25 9 +16 32
3 Como 14 7 4 3 22 11 +11 25
4 Napoli 15 8 1 6 20 17 +3 25
5 Bologna 14 6 4 4 23 18 +5 22
6 Roma 14 7 1 6 16 12 +4 22
7 Juventus 14 6 3 5 21 16 +5 21
8 Parma 15 5 5 5 10 17 -7 20
9 Atalanta 14 4 6 4 16 14 +2 18
10 Sassuolo 14 5 3 6 18 18 0 18
11 Udinese 14 5 2 7 17 23 -6 17
12 Lazio 14 3 6 5 8 11 -3 15
13 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 14 21 -7 14
14 Torino 14 3 4 7 13 27 -14 13
15 Cremonese 15 3 3 9 11 23 -12 12
16 Genoa 13 2 5 6 15 21 -6 11
17 Lecce 13 3 2 8 9 18 -9 11
18 Fiorentina 14 2 5 7 12 23 -11 11
19 Verona 15 2 5 8 10 28 -18 11
20 Pisa 14 0 8 6 16 31 -15 8

Napoli   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Torino 29 11 18 1.1 1.7 9 6 14 32 50 33
2 19 Verona 28 10 18 0.8 1.8 3 9 16 22 49 18
3 14 Genoa 28 11 17 1.2 1.4 7 9 12 34 40 30
4 17 Fiorentina 28 11 17 1.1 1.5 5 10 13 30 42 25
5 3 Napoli 28 12 16 1.5 1.0 17 5 6 43 29 56
6 9 Sassuolo 28 12 16 1.2 1.4 11 5 12 35 38 38
7 1 Inter 29 14 15 2.2 0.8 22 2 5 65 23 68
8 11 Udinese 28 13 15 1.2 1.5 10 6 12 33 41 36
9 6 Juventus 28 14 14 1.8 1.0 14 8 6 50 28 50
10 8 Bologna 28 14 14 1.3 1.2 11 6 11 37 34 39
11 15 Cagliari 28 15 13 1.1 1.4 7 9 12 30 38 30
12 2 Milan 28 16 12 1.6 0.7 17 9 2 44 20 60
13 4 Como 28 16 12 1.6 0.8 14 9 5 46 21 51
14 20 Pisa 28 16 12 0.7 1.7 1 12 15 20 48 15
15 7 Atalanta 29 18 11 1.4 0.9 12 11 6 40 27 47
16 18 Cremonese 28 17 11 0.8 1.4 5 9 14 22 40 24
17 12 Parma 29 19 10 0.7 1.2 8 10 11 21 36 34
18 16 Lecce 28 18 10 0.7 1.3 7 6 15 20 37 27
19 5 Roma 28 19 9 1.4 0.8 16 3 9 38 21 51
20 10 Lazio 28 20 8 1.0 1.0 9 10 9 28 28 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 15 5 10 2.6 0.9 11 2 2 39 13 35
2 3 Napoli 13 4 9 1.8 0.9 9 4 0 23 12 31
3 13 Torino 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 23 20
4 14 Genoa 15 6 9 1.3 1.3 5 4 6 19 19 19
5 6 Juventus 14 6 8 2.1 0.9 8 5 1 29 12 29
6 9 Sassuolo 14 6 8 1.2 1.4 6 2 6 17 20 20
7 17 Fiorentina 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 3 5 6 18 19 14
8 19 Verona 13 5 8 0.9 1.6 1 4 8 12 21 7
9 7 Atalanta 15 8 7 1.6 0.9 8 5 2 24 13 29
10 11 Udinese 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 5 4 5 16 18 19
11 16 Lecce 15 8 7 0.7 1.3 4 4 7 11 19 16
12 2 Milan 14 8 6 1.4 0.8 8 4 2 19 11 28
13 8 Bologna 14 8 6 1.0 1.1 5 2 7 14 16 17
14 10 Lazio 14 8 6 1.4 1.2 6 4 4 20 17 22
15 4 Como 14 9 5 1.7 0.7 7 5 2 24 10 26
16 12 Parma 14 9 5 0.8 1.4 3 5 6 11 19 14
17 15 Cagliari 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 4 4 6 16 17 16
18 5 Roma 14 10 4 1.6 0.6 9 2 3 22 9 29
19 18 Cremonese 13 9 4 0.8 1.3 2 6 5 11 17 12
20 20 Pisa 14 11 3 0.3 1.2 1 4 9 4 17 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Verona 15 5 10 0.7 1.9 2 5 8 10 28 11
2 13 Torino 14 5 9 0.9 1.9 3 4 7 13 27 13
3 17 Fiorentina 14 5 9 0.9 1.6 2 5 7 12 23 11
4 20 Pisa 14 5 9 1.1 2.2 0 8 6 16 31 8
5 8 Bologna 14 6 8 1.6 1.3 6 4 4 23 18 22
6 9 Sassuolo 14 6 8 1.3 1.3 5 3 6 18 18 18
7 11 Udinese 14 6 8 1.2 1.6 5 2 7 17 23 17
8 14 Genoa 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 2 5 6 15 21 11
9 15 Cagliari 14 6 8 1.0 1.5 3 5 6 14 21 14
10 3 Napoli 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 8 1 6 20 17 25
11 4 Como 14 7 7 1.6 0.8 7 4 3 22 11 25
12 18 Cremonese 15 8 7 0.7 1.5 3 3 9 11 23 12
13 2 Milan 14 8 6 1.8 0.6 9 5 0 25 9 32
14 6 Juventus 14 8 6 1.5 1.1 6 3 5 21 16 21
15 1 Inter 14 9 5 1.9 0.7 11 0 3 26 10 33
16 5 Roma 14 9 5 1.1 0.9 7 1 6 16 12 22
17 12 Parma 15 10 5 0.7 1.1 5 5 5 10 17 20
18 7 Atalanta 14 10 4 1.1 1.0 4 6 4 16 14 18
19 16 Lecce 13 10 3 0.7 1.4 3 2 8 9 18 11
20 10 Lazio 14 12 2 0.6 0.8 3 6 5 8 11 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51