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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–0 Lecce

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.29 fair 1.81
Draw 5.00 fair 4.00
Away 13.00 fair 5.07
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.91 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 1.91 fair 2.27

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Lecce
20 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 0
10 Corners 2
9 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (207 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.60 – 0.84
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.9% 1–1 11.7% 2–0 11.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.15points / match
1.65scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 33:16
Lecce before this match, all matches
0.85points / match
0.65scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 13:28
Milan all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 0.65
0.80 Goals conceded 1.40
2.45 Total goals 2.05
13.90 Shots 9.85
4.75 Shots on target 2.50
11.30 Shots faced 12.90
4.75 Corners 4.80
4.70 Corners against 5.35
9.55 Fouls 12.65
1.55 Yellow cards 1.95
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

60% Wins 20%
35% Draws 25%
5% Losses 55%
95% Over 0.5 goals 85%
70% Over 1.5 goals 60%
50% Over 2.5 goals 35%
25% Over 3.5 goals 15%
5% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 35%
45% Clean sheets 30%
5% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 25%
60% Draws 50%
10% Losses 25%
60% Over 0.5 goals 60%
35% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Lecce all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.10points / match
1.60scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:9
Lecce before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.67scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 6:13
Milan at home away Lecce

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 0.67
0.90 Goals conceded 1.44
2.50 Total goals 2.11
16.70 Shots 8.89
5.30 Shots on target 1.89
9.40 Shots faced 14.78
5.80 Corners 4.67
3.70 Corners against 6.33
10.70 Fouls 12.78
1.80 Yellow cards 1.67
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

60% Wins 22%
30% Draws 22%
10% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
70% Over 1.5 goals 56%
60% Over 2.5 goals 22%
20% Over 3.5 goals 22%
0% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 33%
40% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 33%
50% Draws 33%
10% Losses 33%
70% Over 0.5 goals 67%
30% Over 1.5 goals 11%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.26 Como – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.252.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
08.01.26 Milan – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.507.50 2.00 1.80
02.01.26 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
08.12.25 Torino – Milan 2–3 (2–1) 4.503.601.80 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.26 Inter – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.50 2.63
11.01.26 Lecce – Parma 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.002.88 2.63 1.50
06.01.26 Lecce – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.501.73 2.20 1.67
03.01.26 Juventus – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.275.5013.00 1.80 2.00
27.12.25 Lecce – Como 0–3 (0–1) 4.753.301.80 2.30 1.62
12.12.25 Lecce – Pisa 1–0 (0–0) 2.502.883.30 2.75 1.44
07.12.25 Cremonese – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.50 1.53
30.11.25 Lecce – Torino 2–1 (2–0) 3.002.882.70 2.75 1.44
23.11.25 Lazio – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.706.25 2.20 1.67
08.11.25 Lecce – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.752.902.90 2.63 1.50

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.26 Milan – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.507.50 2.00 1.80
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
29.11.25 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.25 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73
14.09.25 Milan – Bologna 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Milan – Cremonese 1–2 (1–1) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.26 Inter – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.50 2.63
03.01.26 Juventus – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.275.5013.00 1.80 2.00
07.12.25 Cremonese – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.50 1.53
23.11.25 Lazio – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.706.25 2.20 1.67
02.11.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Udinese – Lecce 3–2 (2–0) 1.803.404.75 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Parma – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.704.10 2.20 1.67
14.09.25 Atalanta – Lecce 4–1 (1–0) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
23.08.25 Genoa – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.304.50 2.38 1.57
25.05.25 Lazio – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.533.707.50 1.83 2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsLecce wins
7matches
3.29goals / match
71%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.25I1 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85
08.03.25I1 Lecce – Milan 2–3 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 1.88 2.02
27.09.24I1 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.50 2.63
06.04.24I1 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
11.11.23I1 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
23.04.23I1 Milan – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 2.10 1.73
14.01.23I1 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 21 16 1 4 44 17 +27 49
2 Milan 20 12 7 1 33 16 +17 43
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 31 17 +14 43
4 Roma 21 14 0 7 26 12 +14 42
5 Juventus 21 11 6 4 32 17 +15 39
6 Como 20 9 7 4 28 16 +12 34
7 Atalanta 21 8 8 5 26 20 +6 32
8 Bologna 21 8 6 7 30 24 +6 30
9 Lazio 20 7 7 6 21 16 +5 28
10 Udinese 21 7 5 9 22 33 -11 26
11 Sassuolo 21 6 5 10 23 28 -5 23
12 Parma 21 5 8 8 14 22 -8 23
13 Torino 21 6 5 10 21 34 -13 23
14 Cagliari 21 5 7 9 22 30 -8 22
15 Cremonese 20 5 7 8 20 28 -8 22
16 Genoa 21 4 8 9 22 29 -7 20
17 Fiorentina 21 3 8 10 23 32 -9 17
18 Lecce 20 4 5 11 13 28 -15 17
19 Pisa 21 1 11 9 16 31 -15 14
20 Verona 20 2 7 11 17 34 -17 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 11 8 1 2 27 8 +19 25
2 Napoli 10 7 3 0 17 8 +9 24
3 Juventus 10 6 4 0 20 8 +12 22
4 Roma 10 7 0 3 13 5 +8 21
5 Milan 10 6 3 1 16 9 +7 21
6 Como 10 5 4 1 14 7 +7 19
7 Atalanta 11 5 4 2 14 9 +5 19
8 Lazio 10 4 4 2 15 9 +6 16
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 12 10 +2 14
10 Udinese 11 3 4 4 11 16 -5 13
11 Cagliari 10 3 3 4 11 13 -2 12
12 Sassuolo 10 3 2 5 11 14 -3 11
13 Torino 11 3 2 6 11 20 -9 11
14 Cremonese 9 2 4 3 11 13 -2 10
15 Genoa 11 2 4 5 9 13 -4 10
16 Parma 11 2 4 5 7 13 -6 10
17 Fiorentina 10 2 3 5 14 15 -1 9
18 Lecce 11 2 3 6 7 15 -8 9
19 Pisa 11 1 4 6 2 11 -9 7
20 Verona 10 1 3 6 10 16 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 10 8 0 2 17 9 +8 24
2 Milan 10 6 4 0 17 7 +10 22
3 Roma 11 7 0 4 13 7 +6 21
4 Napoli 11 6 1 4 14 9 +5 19
5 Juventus 11 5 2 4 12 9 +3 17
6 Bologna 11 4 4 3 18 14 +4 16
7 Como 10 4 3 3 14 9 +5 15
8 Atalanta 10 3 4 3 12 11 +1 13
9 Parma 10 3 4 3 7 9 -2 13
10 Udinese 10 4 1 5 11 17 -6 13
11 Lazio 10 3 3 4 6 7 -1 12
12 Sassuolo 11 3 3 5 12 14 -2 12
13 Torino 10 3 3 4 10 14 -4 12
14 Cremonese 11 3 3 5 9 15 -6 12
15 Genoa 10 2 4 4 13 16 -3 10
16 Cagliari 11 2 4 5 11 17 -6 10
17 Lecce 9 2 2 5 6 13 -7 8
18 Fiorentina 11 1 5 5 9 17 -8 8
19 Pisa 10 0 7 3 14 20 -6 7
20 Verona 10 1 4 5 7 18 -11 7

Milan   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 21 9 12 2.1 0.8 16 1 4 44 17 49
2 13 Torino 21 9 12 1.0 1.6 6 5 10 21 34 23
3 16 Genoa 21 9 12 1.0 1.4 4 8 9 22 29 20
4 17 Fiorentina 21 9 12 1.1 1.5 3 8 10 23 32 17
5 20 Verona 20 8 12 0.8 1.7 2 7 11 17 34 13
6 2 Milan 20 10 10 1.6 0.8 12 7 1 33 16 43
7 8 Bologna 21 11 10 1.4 1.1 8 6 7 30 24 30
8 10 Udinese 21 11 10 1.0 1.6 7 5 9 22 33 26
9 11 Sassuolo 21 11 10 1.1 1.3 6 5 10 23 28 23
10 14 Cagliari 21 11 10 1.0 1.4 5 7 9 22 30 22
11 3 Napoli 21 12 9 1.5 0.8 13 4 4 31 17 43
12 5 Juventus 21 13 8 1.5 0.8 11 6 4 32 17 39
13 15 Cremonese 20 12 8 1.0 1.4 5 7 8 20 28 22
14 19 Pisa 21 13 8 0.8 1.5 1 11 9 16 31 14
15 6 Como 20 13 7 1.4 0.8 9 7 4 28 16 34
16 18 Lecce 20 13 7 0.7 1.4 4 5 11 13 28 17
17 7 Atalanta 21 15 6 1.2 1.0 8 8 5 26 20 32
18 12 Parma 21 15 6 0.7 1.0 5 8 8 14 22 23
19 4 Roma 21 16 5 1.2 0.6 14 0 7 26 12 42
20 9 Lazio 20 16 4 1.1 0.8 7 7 6 21 16 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 11 3 8 2.5 0.7 8 1 2 27 8 25
2 13 Torino 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 3 2 6 11 20 11
3 2 Milan 10 4 6 1.6 0.9 6 3 1 16 9 21
4 3 Napoli 10 4 6 1.7 0.8 7 3 0 17 8 24
5 17 Fiorentina 10 4 6 1.4 1.5 2 3 5 14 15 9
6 20 Verona 10 4 6 1.0 1.6 1 3 6 10 16 6
7 5 Juventus 10 5 5 2.0 0.8 6 4 0 20 8 22
8 10 Udinese 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 3 4 4 11 16 13
9 11 Sassuolo 10 5 5 1.1 1.4 3 2 5 11 14 11
10 16 Genoa 11 6 5 0.8 1.2 2 4 5 9 13 10
11 18 Lecce 11 6 5 0.6 1.4 2 3 6 7 15 9
12 8 Bologna 10 6 4 1.2 1.0 4 2 4 12 10 14
13 15 Cremonese 9 5 4 1.2 1.4 2 4 3 11 13 10
14 7 Atalanta 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 2 14 9 19
15 9 Lazio 10 7 3 1.5 0.9 4 4 2 15 9 16
16 12 Parma 11 8 3 0.6 1.2 2 4 5 7 13 10
17 14 Cagliari 10 7 3 1.1 1.3 3 3 4 11 13 12
18 4 Roma 10 8 2 1.3 0.5 7 0 3 13 5 21
19 6 Como 10 8 2 1.4 0.7 5 4 1 14 7 19
20 19 Pisa 11 10 1 0.2 1.0 1 4 6 2 11 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Cagliari 11 4 7 1.0 1.5 2 4 5 11 17 10
2 16 Genoa 10 3 7 1.3 1.6 2 4 4 13 16 10
3 19 Pisa 10 3 7 1.4 2.0 0 7 3 14 20 7
4 8 Bologna 11 5 6 1.6 1.3 4 4 3 18 14 16
5 17 Fiorentina 11 5 6 0.8 1.5 1 5 5 9 17 8
6 20 Verona 10 4 6 0.7 1.8 1 4 5 7 18 7
7 6 Como 10 5 5 1.4 0.9 4 3 3 14 9 15
8 10 Udinese 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 4 1 5 11 17 13
9 11 Sassuolo 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 5 12 14 12
10 13 Torino 10 5 5 1.0 1.4 3 3 4 10 14 12
11 1 Inter 10 6 4 1.7 0.9 8 0 2 17 9 24
12 2 Milan 10 6 4 1.7 0.7 6 4 0 17 7 22
13 15 Cremonese 11 7 4 0.8 1.4 3 3 5 9 15 12
14 3 Napoli 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 6 1 4 14 9 19
15 4 Roma 11 8 3 1.2 0.6 7 0 4 13 7 21
16 5 Juventus 11 8 3 1.1 0.8 5 2 4 12 9 17
17 7 Atalanta 10 7 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 3 12 11 13
18 12 Parma 10 7 3 0.7 0.9 3 4 3 7 9 13
19 18 Lecce 9 7 2 0.7 1.4 2 2 5 6 13 8
20 9 Lazio 10 9 1 0.6 0.7 3 3 4 6 7 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51