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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Lecce 1–2 Parma

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.75 fair 2.94
Draw 3.00 fair 3.30
Away ✓ 2.88 fair 2.81
Under 2.5 1.50 fair 1.51
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.63 fair 2.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lecce Parma
10 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 3
16 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 1
2 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (190 league matches this season so far).
Result Parma to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.01 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
LecceDrawParma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.5% 0–1 13.3% 1–0 13%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Lecce before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
0.67scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 12:25
Parma before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.67scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 12:21
Lecce all matches all matches Parma

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 0.67
1.39 Goals conceded 1.17
2.06 Total goals 1.83
9.83 Shots 11.28
2.67 Shots on target 2.94
12.50 Shots faced 14.72
5.00 Corners 3.28
5.17 Corners against 4.78
12.39 Fouls 10.33
1.94 Yellow cards 1.78
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

22% Wins 22%
28% Draws 33%
50% Losses 44%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
61% Over 1.5 goals 61%
33% Over 2.5 goals 28%
17% Over 3.5 goals 11%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 39%
33% Clean sheets 28%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 17%
50% Draws 56%
28% Losses 28%
61% Over 0.5 goals 56%
22% Over 1.5 goals 17%
0% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce all matches
Parma all matches
Lecce before this match, at home
0.90points / match
0.60scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 6:13
Parma before this match, away
1.13points / match
0.63scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 5:8
Lecce at home away Parma

Per match

0.60 Goals scored 0.63
1.30 Goals conceded 1.00
1.90 Total goals 1.63
10.70 Shots 11.13
3.20 Shots on target 3.63
11.30 Shots faced 14.50
5.10 Corners 3.38
4.70 Corners against 4.88
12.20 Fouls 10.13
2.10 Yellow cards 2.13
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

20% Wins 25%
30% Draws 38%
50% Losses 38%
80% Over 0.5 goals 75%
60% Over 1.5 goals 63%
40% Over 2.5 goals 25%
10% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
30% Both teams scored 38%
30% Clean sheets 38%
60% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 25%
70% Draws 63%
20% Losses 13%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
30% Over 1.5 goals 13%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce at home
Parma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.26 Lecce – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.501.73 2.20 1.67
03.01.26 Juventus – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.275.5013.00 1.80 2.00
27.12.25 Lecce – Como 0–3 (0–1) 4.753.301.80 2.30 1.62
12.12.25 Lecce – Pisa 1–0 (0–0) 2.502.883.30 2.75 1.44
07.12.25 Cremonese – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.50 1.53
30.11.25 Lecce – Torino 2–1 (2–0) 3.002.882.70 2.75 1.44
23.11.25 Lazio – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.706.25 2.20 1.67
08.11.25 Lecce – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.752.902.90 2.63 1.50
02.11.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.20 1.67
28.10.25 Lecce – Napoli 0–1 (0–0) 6.503.751.55 2.20 1.67

Parma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.26 Parma – Inter 0–2 (0–1) 7.505.001.40 1.67 2.20
03.01.26 Sassuolo – Parma 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.73
27.12.25 Parma – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.002.25 2.20 1.67
13.12.25 Parma – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.30 1.62
08.12.25 Pisa – Parma 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.003.30 2.50 1.53
29.11.25 Parma – Udinese 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.30 1.62
23.11.25 Verona – Parma 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
08.11.25 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Parma – Bologna 1–3 (1–1) 4.203.002.05 2.50 1.53
29.10.25 Roma – Parma 2–1 (0–0) 1.533.757.50 2.10 1.73

Lecce at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.26 Lecce – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.501.73 2.20 1.67
27.12.25 Lecce – Como 0–3 (0–1) 4.753.301.80 2.30 1.62
12.12.25 Lecce – Pisa 1–0 (0–0) 2.502.883.30 2.75 1.44
30.11.25 Lecce – Torino 2–1 (2–0) 3.002.882.70 2.75 1.44
08.11.25 Lecce – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.752.902.90 2.63 1.50
28.10.25 Lecce – Napoli 0–1 (0–0) 6.503.751.55 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Lecce – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.67
28.09.25 Lecce – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 4.203.002.05 2.50 1.53
19.09.25 Lecce – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 2.882.902.75 2.50 1.53
29.08.25 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85

Parma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.26 Sassuolo – Parma 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.73
08.12.25 Pisa – Parma 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.003.30 2.50 1.53
23.11.25 Verona – Parma 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
29.10.25 Roma – Parma 2–1 (0–0) 1.533.757.50 2.10 1.73
19.10.25 Genoa – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.004.00 2.50 1.53
21.09.25 Cremonese – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.88 2.20 1.67
13.09.25 Cagliari – Parma 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.203.60 2.20 1.67
24.08.25 Juventus – Parma 2–0 (0–0) 1.424.757.50 1.73 2.10
25.05.25 Atalanta – Parma 2–3 (2–0) 1.753.505.00 1.73 2.10
10.05.25 Empoli – Parma 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.50 2.03 1.87

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lecce winsDrawsParma wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25I1 Parma – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.704.10 2.20 1.67
31.01.25I1 Parma – Lecce 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.403.50 1.86 2.04
21.09.24I1 Lecce – Parma 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 1.91 1.99
19.03.22I2 Parma – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.45 1.98 1.88
07.11.21I2 Lecce – Parma 4–0 (4–0) 2.003.303.80 1.80 2.00

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 0 4 40 15 +25 42
2 Milan 18 11 6 1 29 14 +15 39
3 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 12 +12 39
4 Napoli 18 12 2 4 28 15 +13 38
5 Juventus 19 10 6 3 27 16 +11 36
6 Como 19 9 7 3 27 13 +14 34
7 Atalanta 20 8 7 5 25 19 +6 31
8 Bologna 19 7 6 6 26 20 +6 27
9 Udinese 20 7 5 8 22 32 -10 26
10 Lazio 19 6 7 6 20 16 +4 25
11 Sassuolo 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 32 -11 23
13 Cremonese 19 5 7 7 20 23 -3 22
14 Cagliari 19 4 7 8 21 27 -6 19
15 Parma 18 4 6 8 12 21 -9 18
16 Lecce 18 4 5 9 12 25 -13 17
17 Genoa 19 3 7 9 19 29 -10 16
18 Fiorentina 19 2 7 10 20 30 -10 13
19 Pisa 20 1 10 9 15 30 -15 13
20 Verona 18 2 7 9 15 30 -15 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 0 2 24 6 +18 21
2 Roma 10 7 0 3 13 5 +8 21
3 Milan 10 6 3 1 16 9 +7 21
4 Napoli 8 6 2 0 16 8 +8 20
5 Como 9 5 4 0 13 4 +9 19
6 Juventus 9 5 4 0 15 8 +7 19
7 Atalanta 11 5 4 2 14 9 +5 19
8 Lazio 10 4 4 2 15 9 +6 16
9 Bologna 9 4 2 3 11 8 +3 14
10 Udinese 10 3 4 3 11 15 -4 13
11 Sassuolo 10 3 2 5 11 14 -3 11
12 Torino 10 3 2 5 11 18 -7 11
13 Cremonese 9 2 4 3 11 13 -2 10
14 Cagliari 9 2 3 4 10 13 -3 9
15 Parma 10 2 3 5 7 13 -6 9
16 Lecce 10 2 3 5 6 13 -7 9
17 Fiorentina 9 2 2 5 13 14 -1 8
18 Genoa 10 1 4 5 6 13 -7 7
19 Verona 8 1 3 4 8 12 -4 6
20 Pisa 10 1 3 6 1 10 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 0 2 16 9 +7 21
2 Milan 8 5 3 0 13 5 +8 18
3 Napoli 10 6 0 4 12 7 +5 18
4 Roma 10 6 0 4 11 7 +4 18
5 Juventus 10 5 2 3 12 8 +4 17
6 Como 10 4 3 3 14 9 +5 15
7 Bologna 10 3 4 3 15 12 +3 13
8 Udinese 10 4 1 5 11 17 -6 13
9 Atalanta 9 3 3 3 11 10 +1 12
10 Sassuolo 10 3 3 4 12 13 -1 12
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 9 10 -1 12
12 Torino 10 3 3 4 10 14 -4 12
13 Cagliari 10 2 4 4 11 14 -3 10
14 Lazio 9 2 3 4 5 7 -2 9
15 Genoa 9 2 3 4 13 16 -3 9
16 Parma 8 2 3 3 5 8 -3 9
17 Lecce 8 2 2 4 6 12 -6 8
18 Pisa 10 0 7 3 14 20 -6 7
19 Verona 10 1 4 5 7 18 -11 7
20 Fiorentina 10 0 5 5 7 16 -9 5

Lecce   Parma

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 20 8 12 1.1 1.6 6 5 9 21 32 23
2 1 Inter 18 7 11 2.2 0.8 14 0 4 40 15 42
3 17 Genoa 19 8 11 1.0 1.5 3 7 9 19 29 16
4 18 Fiorentina 19 8 11 1.1 1.6 2 7 10 20 30 13
5 20 Verona 18 7 11 0.8 1.7 2 7 9 15 30 13
6 9 Udinese 20 10 10 1.1 1.6 7 5 8 22 32 26
7 11 Sassuolo 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 23 27 23
8 2 Milan 18 9 9 1.6 0.8 11 6 1 29 14 39
9 14 Cagliari 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 7 8 21 27 19
10 4 Napoli 18 10 8 1.6 0.8 12 2 4 28 15 38
11 8 Bologna 19 11 8 1.4 1.1 7 6 6 26 20 27
12 19 Pisa 20 12 8 0.8 1.5 1 10 9 15 30 13
13 5 Juventus 19 12 7 1.4 0.8 10 6 3 27 16 36
14 13 Cremonese 19 12 7 1.1 1.2 5 7 7 20 23 22
15 6 Como 19 13 6 1.4 0.7 9 7 3 27 13 34
16 7 Atalanta 20 14 6 1.2 0.9 8 7 5 25 19 31
17 16 Lecce 18 12 6 0.7 1.4 4 5 9 12 25 17
18 3 Roma 20 15 5 1.2 0.6 13 0 7 24 12 39
19 15 Parma 18 13 5 0.7 1.2 4 6 8 12 21 18
20 10 Lazio 19 15 4 1.1 0.8 6 7 6 20 16 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 9 2 7 2.7 0.7 7 0 2 24 6 21
2 12 Torino 10 3 7 1.1 1.8 3 2 5 11 18 11
3 2 Milan 10 4 6 1.6 0.9 6 3 1 16 9 21
4 4 Napoli 8 2 6 2.0 1.0 6 2 0 16 8 20
5 18 Fiorentina 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 2 2 5 13 14 8
6 9 Udinese 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 4 3 11 15 13
7 11 Sassuolo 10 5 5 1.1 1.4 3 2 5 11 14 11
8 20 Verona 8 3 5 1.0 1.5 1 3 4 8 12 6
9 5 Juventus 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 4 0 15 8 19
10 13 Cremonese 9 5 4 1.2 1.4 2 4 3 11 13 10
11 16 Lecce 10 6 4 0.6 1.3 2 3 5 6 13 9
12 17 Genoa 10 6 4 0.6 1.3 1 4 5 6 13 7
13 7 Atalanta 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 2 14 9 19
14 8 Bologna 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 4 2 3 11 8 14
15 10 Lazio 10 7 3 1.5 0.9 4 4 2 15 9 16
16 14 Cagliari 9 6 3 1.1 1.4 2 3 4 10 13 9
17 15 Parma 10 7 3 0.7 1.3 2 3 5 7 13 9
18 3 Roma 10 8 2 1.3 0.5 7 0 3 13 5 21
19 6 Como 9 8 1 1.4 0.4 5 4 0 13 4 19
20 19 Pisa 10 9 1 0.1 1.0 1 3 6 1 10 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Genoa 9 2 7 1.4 1.8 2 3 4 13 16 9
2 19 Pisa 10 3 7 1.4 2.0 0 7 3 14 20 7
3 14 Cagliari 10 4 6 1.1 1.4 2 4 4 11 14 10
4 20 Verona 10 4 6 0.7 1.8 1 4 5 7 18 7
5 6 Como 10 5 5 1.4 0.9 4 3 3 14 9 15
6 8 Bologna 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 3 4 3 15 12 13
7 9 Udinese 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 4 1 5 11 17 13
8 11 Sassuolo 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 3 3 4 12 13 12
9 12 Torino 10 5 5 1.0 1.4 3 3 4 10 14 12
10 18 Fiorentina 10 5 5 0.7 1.6 0 5 5 7 16 5
11 1 Inter 9 5 4 1.8 1.0 7 0 2 16 9 21
12 2 Milan 8 5 3 1.6 0.6 5 3 0 13 5 18
13 3 Roma 10 7 3 1.1 0.7 6 0 4 11 7 18
14 5 Juventus 10 7 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 3 12 8 17
15 7 Atalanta 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 3 3 3 11 10 12
16 13 Cremonese 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 3 3 4 9 10 12
17 4 Napoli 10 8 2 1.2 0.7 6 0 4 12 7 18
18 15 Parma 8 6 2 0.6 1.0 2 3 3 5 8 9
19 16 Lecce 8 6 2 0.8 1.5 2 2 4 6 12 8
20 10 Lazio 9 8 1 0.6 0.8 2 3 4 5 7 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38