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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.80 fair 1.90
Draw 3.40 fair 4.04
Away 5.00 fair 4.44
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.08

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Napoli Fiorentina
19 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 4
21 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (222 league matches this season so far).
Result Napoli to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.63 – 0.97
Home / Draw / Away
NapoliDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.1% 1–1 11.7% 2–0 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Napoli before this match, all matches
1.95points / match
1.41scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 31:20
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
0.77points / match
1.09scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 24:34
Napoli all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.09
0.91 Goals conceded 1.55
2.32 Total goals 2.64
12.95 Shots 13.73
4.50 Shots on target 3.59
10.82 Shots faced 13.09
5.45 Corners 4.68
2.64 Corners against 4.73
11.73 Fouls 13.23
1.32 Yellow cards 2.27
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

59% Wins 14%
18% Draws 36%
23% Losses 50%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
64% Over 1.5 goals 77%
45% Over 2.5 goals 59%
27% Over 3.5 goals 27%
5% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
41% Both teams scored 68%
41% Clean sheets 14%
27% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 14%
32% Draws 45%
23% Losses 41%
73% Over 0.5 goals 59%
32% Over 1.5 goals 27%
5% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Napoli before this match, at home
2.40points / match
1.70scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:8
Fiorentina before this match, away
0.73points / match
0.82scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:17
Napoli at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 0.82
0.80 Goals conceded 1.55
2.50 Total goals 2.36
13.20 Shots 11.09
5.00 Shots on target 2.73
11.40 Shots faced 14.55
6.20 Corners 3.73
2.30 Corners against 5.18
11.70 Fouls 13.91
1.30 Yellow cards 2.36
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

70% Wins 9%
30% Draws 45%
0% Losses 45%
80% Over 0.5 goals 82%
60% Over 1.5 goals 73%
60% Over 2.5 goals 55%
40% Over 3.5 goals 27%
10% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 55%
40% Clean sheets 18%
20% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 9%
30% Draws 73%
20% Losses 18%
70% Over 0.5 goals 36%
20% Over 1.5 goals 27%
10% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26 Juventus – Napoli 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
17.01.26 Napoli – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.50 2.03 1.83
14.01.26 Napoli – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.50 1.88 1.98
11.01.26 Inter – Napoli 2–2 (1–1) 1.703.505.25 2.10 1.73
07.01.26 Napoli – Verona 2–2 (0–2) 1.365.507.50 2.00 1.80
04.01.26 Lazio – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 3.403.102.30 2.63 1.50
28.12.25 Cremonese – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 6.253.901.55 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Udinese – Napoli 1–0 (0–0) 4.503.401.85 2.30 1.62
07.12.25 Napoli – Juventus 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.003.20 2.50 1.53
30.11.25 Roma – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.883.10 2.50 1.53

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Fiorentina – Cagliari 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.80
18.01.26 Bologna – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.303.40 2.00 1.85
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
07.01.26 Lazio – Fiorentina 2–2 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
04.01.26 Fiorentina – Cremonese 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
27.12.25 Parma – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.002.25 2.20 1.67
21.12.25 Fiorentina – Udinese 5–1 (3–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Fiorentina – Verona 1–2 (0–1) 1.803.404.75 2.20 1.67
06.12.25 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 3–1 (2–1) 2.883.252.50 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.91

Napoli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Napoli – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.50 2.03 1.83
14.01.26 Napoli – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.50 1.88 1.98
07.01.26 Napoli – Verona 2–2 (0–2) 1.365.507.50 2.00 1.80
07.12.25 Napoli – Juventus 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.003.20 2.50 1.53
22.11.25 Napoli – Atalanta 3–1 (3–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Napoli – Como 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.104.50 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Napoli – Inter 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.102.40 2.10 1.73
05.10.25 Napoli – Genoa 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.008.00 2.20 1.67
22.09.25 Napoli – Pisa 3–2 (1–0) 1.275.7512.00 1.83 2.03
30.08.25 Napoli – Cagliari 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.0011.00 1.85 2.00

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.26 Bologna – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.303.40 2.00 1.85
07.01.26 Lazio – Fiorentina 2–2 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
27.12.25 Parma – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.002.25 2.20 1.67
06.12.25 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 3–1 (2–1) 2.883.252.50 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.91
09.11.25 Genoa – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
29.10.25 Inter – Fiorentina 3–0 (0–0) 1.384.508.50 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.25 Pisa – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.252.25 2.20 1.67
31.08.25 Torino – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.102.40 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Napoli winsDrawsFiorentina wins
9matches
3.00goals / match
78%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 1–3 (0–2) 3.503.102.25 2.38 1.57
09.03.25I1 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.554.006.25 2.05 1.68
04.01.25I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–3 (0–1) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
17.05.24I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.403.10 1.73 2.10
08.10.23I1 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
07.05.23I1 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.73 2.10
28.08.22I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 3.253.602.15 1.66 2.20
10.04.22I1 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–3 (0–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
03.10.21I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 1–2 (1–1) 3.903.501.95 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 22 17 1 4 50 19 +31 52
2 Milan 22 13 8 1 35 17 +18 47
3 Roma 22 14 1 7 27 13 +14 43
4 Napoli 22 13 4 5 31 20 +11 43
5 Juventus 22 12 6 4 35 17 +18 42
6 Como 22 11 7 4 37 16 +21 40
7 Atalanta 22 9 8 5 30 20 +10 35
8 Lazio 23 8 8 7 24 21 +3 32
9 Bologna 22 8 6 8 32 27 +5 30
10 Sassuolo 23 8 5 10 27 29 -2 29
11 Udinese 22 8 5 9 25 34 -9 29
12 Cagliari 22 6 7 9 24 31 -7 25
13 Genoa 23 5 8 10 27 34 -7 23
14 Cremonese 22 5 8 9 20 29 -9 23
15 Parma 22 5 8 9 14 26 -12 23
16 Torino 22 6 5 11 21 40 -19 23
17 Lecce 22 4 6 12 13 29 -16 18
18 Fiorentina 22 3 8 11 24 34 -10 17
19 Verona 22 2 8 12 18 37 -19 14
20 Pisa 23 1 11 11 19 40 -21 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 12 9 1 2 33 10 +23 28
2 Juventus 11 7 4 0 23 8 +15 25
3 Napoli 10 7 3 0 17 8 +9 24
4 Milan 11 7 3 1 17 9 +8 24
5 Como 11 6 4 1 20 7 +13 22
6 Atalanta 12 6 4 2 18 9 +9 22
7 Roma 11 7 1 3 14 6 +8 22
8 Lazio 12 5 4 3 18 14 +4 19
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 12 10 +2 14
10 Sassuolo 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
11 Genoa 12 3 4 5 12 15 -3 13
12 Udinese 11 3 4 4 11 16 -5 13
13 Cagliari 10 3 3 4 11 13 -2 12
14 Cremonese 10 2 5 3 11 13 -2 11
15 Torino 11 3 2 6 11 20 -9 11
16 Parma 11 2 4 5 7 13 -6 10
17 Lecce 12 2 4 6 7 15 -8 10
18 Fiorentina 11 2 3 6 15 17 -2 9
19 Pisa 12 1 4 7 3 14 -11 7
20 Verona 11 1 3 7 11 19 -8 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 10 8 0 2 17 9 +8 24
2 Milan 11 6 5 0 18 8 +10 23
3 Roma 11 7 0 4 13 7 +6 21
4 Napoli 12 6 1 5 14 12 +2 19
5 Como 11 5 3 3 17 9 +8 18
6 Juventus 11 5 2 4 12 9 +3 17
7 Bologna 12 4 4 4 20 17 +3 16
8 Udinese 11 5 1 5 14 18 -4 16
9 Sassuolo 12 4 3 5 15 15 0 15
10 Atalanta 10 3 4 3 12 11 +1 13
11 Lazio 11 3 4 4 6 7 -1 13
12 Cagliari 12 3 4 5 13 18 -5 13
13 Parma 11 3 4 4 7 13 -6 13
14 Cremonese 12 3 3 6 9 16 -7 12
15 Torino 11 3 3 5 10 20 -10 12
16 Genoa 11 2 4 5 15 19 -4 10
17 Fiorentina 11 1 5 5 9 17 -8 8
18 Lecce 10 2 2 6 6 14 -8 8
19 Verona 11 1 5 5 7 18 -11 8
20 Pisa 11 0 7 4 16 26 -10 7

Napoli   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Genoa 23 9 14 1.2 1.5 5 8 10 27 34 23
2 1 Inter 22 9 13 2.3 0.9 17 1 4 50 19 52
3 16 Torino 22 9 13 1.0 1.8 6 5 11 21 40 23
4 18 Fiorentina 22 9 13 1.1 1.5 3 8 11 24 34 17
5 19 Verona 22 9 13 0.8 1.7 2 8 12 18 37 14
6 9 Bologna 22 11 11 1.5 1.2 8 6 8 32 27 30
7 10 Sassuolo 23 12 11 1.2 1.3 8 5 10 27 29 29
8 11 Udinese 22 11 11 1.1 1.5 8 5 9 25 34 29
9 12 Cagliari 22 11 11 1.1 1.4 6 7 9 24 31 25
10 2 Milan 22 12 10 1.6 0.8 13 8 1 35 17 47
11 4 Napoli 22 12 10 1.4 0.9 13 4 5 31 20 43
12 20 Pisa 23 13 10 0.8 1.7 1 11 11 19 40 14
13 5 Juventus 22 13 9 1.6 0.8 12 6 4 35 17 42
14 6 Como 22 13 9 1.7 0.7 11 7 4 37 16 40
15 14 Cremonese 22 14 8 0.9 1.3 5 8 9 20 29 23
16 7 Atalanta 22 15 7 1.4 0.9 9 8 5 30 20 35
17 15 Parma 22 15 7 0.6 1.2 5 8 9 14 26 23
18 17 Lecce 22 15 7 0.6 1.3 4 6 12 13 29 18
19 8 Lazio 23 17 6 1.0 0.9 8 8 7 24 21 32
20 3 Roma 22 17 5 1.2 0.6 14 1 7 27 13 43
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 12 3 9 2.8 0.8 9 1 2 33 10 28
2 16 Torino 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 3 2 6 11 20 11
3 18 Fiorentina 11 4 7 1.4 1.5 2 3 6 15 17 9
4 19 Verona 11 4 7 1.0 1.7 1 3 7 11 19 6
5 2 Milan 11 5 6 1.5 0.8 7 3 1 17 9 24
6 4 Napoli 10 4 6 1.7 0.8 7 3 0 17 8 24
7 5 Juventus 11 5 6 2.1 0.7 7 4 0 23 8 25
8 13 Genoa 12 6 6 1.0 1.2 3 4 5 12 15 13
9 8 Lazio 12 7 5 1.5 1.2 5 4 3 18 14 19
10 10 Sassuolo 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 4 2 5 12 14 14
11 11 Udinese 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 3 4 4 11 16 13
12 17 Lecce 12 7 5 0.6 1.2 2 4 6 7 15 10
13 7 Atalanta 12 8 4 1.5 0.8 6 4 2 18 9 22
14 9 Bologna 10 6 4 1.2 1.0 4 2 4 12 10 14
15 14 Cremonese 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 2 5 3 11 13 11
16 6 Como 11 8 3 1.8 0.6 6 4 1 20 7 22
17 12 Cagliari 10 7 3 1.1 1.3 3 3 4 11 13 12
18 15 Parma 11 8 3 0.6 1.2 2 4 5 7 13 10
19 3 Roma 11 9 2 1.3 0.5 7 1 3 14 6 22
20 20 Pisa 12 10 2 0.2 1.2 1 4 7 3 14 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Cagliari 12 4 8 1.1 1.5 3 4 5 13 18 13
2 13 Genoa 11 3 8 1.4 1.7 2 4 5 15 19 10
3 20 Pisa 11 3 8 1.5 2.4 0 7 4 16 26 7
4 9 Bologna 12 5 7 1.7 1.4 4 4 4 20 17 16
5 6 Como 11 5 6 1.5 0.8 5 3 3 17 9 18
6 10 Sassuolo 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 4 3 5 15 15 15
7 11 Udinese 11 5 6 1.3 1.6 5 1 5 14 18 16
8 16 Torino 11 5 6 0.9 1.8 3 3 5 10 20 12
9 18 Fiorentina 11 5 6 0.8 1.5 1 5 5 9 17 8
10 19 Verona 11 5 6 0.6 1.6 1 5 5 7 18 8
11 1 Inter 10 6 4 1.7 0.9 8 0 2 17 9 24
12 2 Milan 11 7 4 1.6 0.7 6 5 0 18 8 23
13 4 Napoli 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 6 1 5 14 12 19
14 14 Cremonese 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 9 16 12
15 15 Parma 11 7 4 0.6 1.2 3 4 4 7 13 13
16 3 Roma 11 8 3 1.2 0.6 7 0 4 13 7 21
17 5 Juventus 11 8 3 1.1 0.8 5 2 4 12 9 17
18 7 Atalanta 10 7 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 3 12 11 13
19 17 Lecce 10 8 2 0.6 1.4 2 2 6 6 14 8
20 8 Lazio 11 10 1 0.5 0.6 3 4 4 6 7 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51