Cremonese 1–4 Fiorentina – Italy Serie A, 16 Mar 2026

Match facts

Cremonese Fiorentina

13 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

4 Corners 6

17 Fouls 16

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (289 league matches this season so far).

Result Cremonese to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.18

Home / Draw / Away

38% 28% 35%

CremoneseDrawFiorentina

Under / Over 2.5 goals

56% 44%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13% 1–0 11% 0–1 10.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Cremonese before this match, all matches

0.86points / match

0.79scored / match

1.43conceded / match

5 9 14

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 22:40

Fiorentina before this match, all matches

0.89points / match

1.07scored / match

1.50conceded / match

5 10 13

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 30:42

Cremonese all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

0.79 Goals scored 1.07

1.43 Goals conceded 1.50

2.21 Total goals 2.57

9.14 Shots 13.64

3.18 Shots on target 3.50

17.14 Shots faced 12.86

3.32 Corners 4.68

6.68 Corners against 4.46

13.54 Fouls 12.64

2.07 Yellow cards 2.29

0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

18% Wins 18%

32% Draws 36%

50% Losses 46%

82% Over 0.5 goals 89%

68% Over 1.5 goals 75%

39% Over 2.5 goals 61%

21% Over 3.5 goals 25%

11% Over 4.5 goals 4%

0% Over 5.5 goals 4%

43% Both teams scored 64%

25% Clean sheets 18%

50% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 18%

43% Draws 39%

39% Losses 43%

61% Over 0.5 goals 64%

36% Over 1.5 goals 21%

7% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cremonese all matches

2

D

5

L

D

1

L

2

L

1

2

L

D

3

L

2

L

1

2

L

Fiorentina all matches

2

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

W

3

L

D

Cremonese before this match, at home

0.92points / match

0.85scored / match

1.31conceded / match

2 6 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:17

Fiorentina before this match, away

0.79points / match

0.86scored / match

1.64conceded / match

2 5 7

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:23

Cremonese at home away Fiorentina

Per match

0.85 Goals scored 0.86

1.31 Goals conceded 1.64

2.15 Total goals 2.50

10.08 Shots 11.00

3.69 Shots on target 2.71

15.08 Shots faced 14.64

3.38 Corners 3.50

6.00 Corners against 5.00

13.15 Fouls 13.57

2.15 Yellow cards 2.36

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.36

0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

15% Wins 14%

46% Draws 36%

38% Losses 50%

77% Over 0.5 goals 86%

77% Over 1.5 goals 79%

31% Over 2.5 goals 64%

23% Over 3.5 goals 21%

8% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

46% Both teams scored 57%

31% Clean sheets 14%

46% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 14%

46% Draws 57%

31% Losses 29%

54% Over 0.5 goals 50%

31% Over 1.5 goals 21%

0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cremonese at home

1

D

1

2

L

1

3

L

2

W

2

L

2

D

2

L

D

2

L

Fiorentina away

3

L

2

D

2

L

1

3

L

1

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Cremonese all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.26	Lecce – Cremonese	2–1 (2–0)	2.10	3.00	4.00	2.75	1.44
01.03.26	Cremonese – Milan	0–2 (0–0)	6.50	4.33	1.50	1.91	1.91
22.02.26	Roma – Cremonese	3–0 (0–0)	1.36	4.50	10.00	1.98	1.88
15.02.26	Cremonese – Genoa	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.00	2.45	2.63	1.50
09.02.26	Atalanta – Cremonese	2–1 (2–0)	1.36	5.00	8.50	1.73	2.10
01.02.26	Cremonese – Inter	0–2 (0–2)	11.00	5.00	1.30	1.67	2.20
25.01.26	Sassuolo – Cremonese	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.67
19.01.26	Cremonese – Verona	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	2.90	3.10	2.38	1.57
12.01.26	Juventus – Cremonese	5–0 (3–0)	1.25	6.00	13.00	1.67	2.20
08.01.26	Cremonese – Cagliari	2–2 (2–0)	2.40	3.10	3.20	2.30	1.62

Fiorentina all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.26	Fiorentina – Parma	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	1.93	1.93
02.03.26	Udinese – Fiorentina	3–0 (1–0)	3.25	3.20	2.35	2.05	1.80
23.02.26	Fiorentina – Pisa	1–0 (1–0)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.80	2.00
14.02.26	Como – Fiorentina	1–2 (0–1)	1.73	3.75	4.75	1.80	2.00
07.02.26	Fiorentina – Torino	2–2 (0–1)	1.75	3.75	4.75	1.93	1.93
31.01.26	Napoli – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.40	5.00	2.00	1.80
24.01.26	Fiorentina – Cagliari	1–2 (0–1)	1.62	3.80	5.75	2.00	1.80
18.01.26	Bologna – Fiorentina	1–2 (0–2)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.00	1.85
11.01.26	Fiorentina – Milan	1–1 (0–0)	3.80	3.40	2.00	2.03	1.83
07.01.26	Lazio – Fiorentina	2–2 (0–0)	2.40	3.10	3.20	2.30	1.62

Cremonese at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.26	Cremonese – Milan	0–2 (0–0)	6.50	4.33	1.50	1.91	1.91
15.02.26	Cremonese – Genoa	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.00	2.45	2.63	1.50
01.02.26	Cremonese – Inter	0–2 (0–2)	11.00	5.00	1.30	1.67	2.20
19.01.26	Cremonese – Verona	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	2.90	3.10	2.38	1.57
08.01.26	Cremonese – Cagliari	2–2 (2–0)	2.40	3.10	3.20	2.30	1.62
28.12.25	Cremonese – Napoli	0–2 (0–2)	6.25	3.90	1.55	2.10	1.73
07.12.25	Cremonese – Lecce	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.10	3.20	2.50	1.53
23.11.25	Cremonese – Roma	1–3 (0–1)	6.00	3.75	1.62	2.10	1.73
01.11.25	Cremonese – Juventus	1–2 (0–1)	6.50	4.33	1.50	1.98	1.88
25.10.25	Cremonese – Atalanta	1–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.62	1.88	1.98

Fiorentina away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.03.26	Udinese – Fiorentina	3–0 (1–0)	3.25	3.20	2.35	2.05	1.80
14.02.26	Como – Fiorentina	1–2 (0–1)	1.73	3.75	4.75	1.80	2.00
31.01.26	Napoli – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.40	5.00	2.00	1.80
18.01.26	Bologna – Fiorentina	1–2 (0–2)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.00	1.85
07.01.26	Lazio – Fiorentina	2–2 (0–0)	2.40	3.10	3.20	2.30	1.62
27.12.25	Parma – Fiorentina	1–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.00	2.25	2.20	1.67
06.12.25	Sassuolo – Fiorentina	3–1 (2–1)	2.88	3.25	2.50	2.10	1.73
30.11.25	Atalanta – Fiorentina	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.75	4.75	1.91	1.91
09.11.25	Genoa – Fiorentina	2–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.53
29.10.25	Inter – Fiorentina	3–0 (0–0)	1.38	4.50	8.50	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Cremonese winsDrawsFiorentina wins

3matches

2.67goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.26I1	Fiorentina – Cremonese	1–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.40	5.00	2.00	1.80
12.03.23I1	Cremonese – Fiorentina	0–2 (0–1)	4.33	3.60	1.85	2.03	1.90
14.08.22I1	Fiorentina – Cremonese	3–2 (2–1)	1.36	5.00	8.50	1.66	2.20

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	29	22	2	5	65	23	+42	68
2	Milan	29	17	9	3	44	21	+23	60
3	Napoli	29	18	5	6	45	30	+15	59
4	Como	29	15	9	5	48	22	+26	54
5	Juventus	29	15	8	6	51	28	+23	53
6	Roma	29	16	3	10	39	23	+16	51
7	Atalanta	29	12	11	6	40	27	+13	47
8	Bologna	29	12	6	11	38	34	+4	42
9	Lazio	29	10	10	9	29	28	+1	40
10	Sassuolo	29	11	5	13	35	39	-4	38
11	Udinese	29	10	6	13	33	42	-9	36
12	Parma	29	8	10	11	21	36	-15	34
13	Genoa	29	8	9	12	36	40	-4	33
14	Torino	29	9	6	14	32	50	-18	33
15	Cagliari	29	7	9	13	31	41	-10	30
16	Lecce	29	7	6	16	21	39	-18	27
17	Fiorentina	28	5	10	13	30	42	-12	25
18	Cremonese	28	5	9	14	22	40	-18	24
19	Pisa	29	2	12	15	23	49	-26	18
20	Verona	29	3	9	17	22	51	-29	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	15	11	2	2	39	13	+26	35
2	Napoli	14	10	4	0	25	13	+12	34
3	Juventus	14	8	5	1	29	12	+17	29
4	Como	15	8	5	2	26	11	+15	29
5	Roma	14	9	2	3	22	9	+13	29
6	Atalanta	15	8	5	2	24	13	+11	29
7	Milan	14	8	4	2	19	11	+8	28
8	Lazio	15	7	4	4	21	17	+4	25
9	Torino	15	6	2	7	19	23	-4	20
10	Sassuolo	15	6	2	7	17	21	-4	20
11	Genoa	15	5	4	6	19	19	0	19
12	Udinese	15	5	4	6	16	19	-3	19
13	Bologna	14	5	2	7	14	16	-2	17
14	Cagliari	14	4	4	6	16	17	-1	16
15	Lecce	15	4	4	7	11	19	-8	16
16	Fiorentina	14	3	5	6	18	19	-1	14
17	Parma	14	3	5	6	11	19	-8	14
18	Cremonese	13	2	6	5	11	17	-6	12
19	Pisa	15	2	4	9	7	18	-11	10
20	Verona	14	1	4	9	12	23	-11	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	14	11	0	3	26	10	+16	33
2	Milan	15	9	5	1	25	10	+15	32
3	Como	14	7	4	3	22	11	+11	25
4	Bologna	15	7	4	4	24	18	+6	25
5	Napoli	15	8	1	6	20	17	+3	25
6	Juventus	15	7	3	5	22	16	+6	24
7	Roma	15	7	1	7	17	14	+3	22
8	Parma	15	5	5	5	10	17	-7	20
9	Atalanta	14	4	6	4	16	14	+2	18
10	Sassuolo	14	5	3	6	18	18	0	18
11	Udinese	14	5	2	7	17	23	-6	17
12	Lazio	14	3	6	5	8	11	-3	15
13	Genoa	14	3	5	6	17	21	-4	14
14	Cagliari	15	3	5	7	15	24	-9	14
15	Torino	14	3	4	7	13	27	-14	13
16	Cremonese	15	3	3	9	11	23	-12	12
17	Lecce	14	3	2	9	10	20	-10	11
18	Fiorentina	14	2	5	7	12	23	-11	11
19	Verona	15	2	5	8	10	28	-18	11
20	Pisa	14	0	8	6	16	31	-15	8

Cremonese Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Torino	29	11	18	1.1	1.7	9	6	14	32	50	33
2	20	Verona	29	11	18	0.8	1.8	3	9	17	22	51	18
3	3	Napoli	29	12	17	1.6	1.0	18	5	6	45	30	59
4	13	Genoa	29	12	17	1.2	1.4	8	9	12	36	40	33
5	17	Fiorentina	28	11	17	1.1	1.5	5	10	13	30	42	25
6	10	Sassuolo	29	13	16	1.2	1.3	11	5	13	35	39	38
7	1	Inter	29	14	15	2.2	0.8	22	2	5	65	23	68
8	11	Udinese	29	14	15	1.1	1.4	10	6	13	33	42	36
9	5	Juventus	29	15	14	1.8	1.0	15	8	6	51	28	53
10	8	Bologna	29	15	14	1.3	1.2	12	6	11	38	34	42
11	15	Cagliari	29	15	14	1.1	1.4	7	9	13	31	41	30
12	4	Como	29	16	13	1.7	0.8	15	9	5	48	22	54
13	19	Pisa	29	16	13	0.8	1.7	2	12	15	23	49	18
14	2	Milan	29	17	12	1.5	0.7	17	9	3	44	21	60
15	7	Atalanta	29	18	11	1.4	0.9	12	11	6	40	27	47
16	16	Lecce	29	18	11	0.7	1.3	7	6	16	21	39	27
17	18	Cremonese	28	17	11	0.8	1.4	5	9	14	22	40	24
18	6	Roma	29	19	10	1.3	0.8	16	3	10	39	23	51
19	12	Parma	29	19	10	0.7	1.2	8	10	11	21	36	34
20	9	Lazio	29	21	8	1.0	1.0	10	10	9	29	28	40

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Inter	15	5	10	2.6	0.9	11	2	2	39	13	35
2	3	Napoli	14	4	10	1.8	0.9	10	4	0	25	13	34
3	13	Genoa	15	6	9	1.3	1.3	5	4	6	19	19	19
4	14	Torino	15	6	9	1.3	1.5	6	2	7	19	23	20
5	5	Juventus	14	6	8	2.1	0.9	8	5	1	29	12	29
6	10	Sassuolo	15	7	8	1.1	1.4	6	2	7	17	21	20
7	17	Fiorentina	14	6	8	1.3	1.4	3	5	6	18	19	14
8	20	Verona	14	6	8	0.9	1.6	1	4	9	12	23	7
9	7	Atalanta	15	8	7	1.6	0.9	8	5	2	24	13	29
10	11	Udinese	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	5	4	6	16	19	19
11	16	Lecce	15	8	7	0.7	1.3	4	4	7	11	19	16
12	2	Milan	14	8	6	1.4	0.8	8	4	2	19	11	28
13	4	Como	15	9	6	1.7	0.7	8	5	2	26	11	29
14	8	Bologna	14	8	6	1.0	1.1	5	2	7	14	16	17
15	9	Lazio	15	9	6	1.4	1.1	7	4	4	21	17	25
16	12	Parma	14	9	5	0.8	1.4	3	5	6	11	19	14
17	15	Cagliari	14	9	5	1.1	1.2	4	4	6	16	17	16
18	6	Roma	14	10	4	1.6	0.6	9	2	3	22	9	29
19	18	Cremonese	13	9	4	0.8	1.3	2	6	5	11	17	12
20	19	Pisa	15	11	4	0.5	1.2	2	4	9	7	18	10

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Verona	15	5	10	0.7	1.9	2	5	8	10	28	11
2	14	Torino	14	5	9	0.9	1.9	3	4	7	13	27	13
3	15	Cagliari	15	6	9	1.0	1.6	3	5	7	15	24	14
4	17	Fiorentina	14	5	9	0.9	1.6	2	5	7	12	23	11
5	19	Pisa	14	5	9	1.1	2.2	0	8	6	16	31	8
6	8	Bologna	15	7	8	1.6	1.2	7	4	4	24	18	25
7	10	Sassuolo	14	6	8	1.3	1.3	5	3	6	18	18	18
8	11	Udinese	14	6	8	1.2	1.6	5	2	7	17	23	17
9	13	Genoa	14	6	8	1.2	1.5	3	5	6	17	21	14
10	3	Napoli	15	8	7	1.3	1.1	8	1	6	20	17	25
11	4	Como	14	7	7	1.6	0.8	7	4	3	22	11	25
12	18	Cremonese	15	8	7	0.7	1.5	3	3	9	11	23	12
13	2	Milan	15	9	6	1.7	0.7	9	5	1	25	10	32
14	5	Juventus	15	9	6	1.5	1.1	7	3	5	22	16	24
15	6	Roma	15	9	6	1.1	0.9	7	1	7	17	14	22
16	1	Inter	14	9	5	1.9	0.7	11	0	3	26	10	33
17	12	Parma	15	10	5	0.7	1.1	5	5	5	10	17	20
18	7	Atalanta	14	10	4	1.1	1.0	4	6	4	16	14	18
19	16	Lecce	14	10	4	0.7	1.4	3	2	9	10	20	11
20	9	Lazio	14	12	2	0.6	0.8	3	6	5	8	11	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.