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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Fiorentina 1–1 Milan

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.80 fair 3.81
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.95
Away 2.00 fair 2.06
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.96
Over 2.5 2.03 fair 2.04

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Fiorentina Milan
20 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 5
10 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (191 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.08 – 1.56
Home / Draw / Away
FiorentinaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 0–1 11.2% 1–2 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches
0.68points / match
1.05scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 20:30
Milan before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
1.61scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 29:14
Fiorentina all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.61
1.58 Goals conceded 0.78
2.63 Total goals 2.39
13.47 Shots 14.33
3.42 Shots on target 4.89
13.00 Shots faced 10.44
4.53 Corners 4.78
4.68 Corners against 4.33
13.53 Fouls 9.56
2.42 Yellow cards 1.56
0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

11% Wins 61%
37% Draws 33%
53% Losses 6%
89% Over 0.5 goals 94%
74% Over 1.5 goals 67%
58% Over 2.5 goals 50%
32% Over 3.5 goals 22%
5% Over 4.5 goals 6%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 50%
16% Clean sheets 50%
32% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 33%
47% Draws 56%
42% Losses 11%
58% Over 0.5 goals 61%
26% Over 1.5 goals 33%
16% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches
Milan all matches
Fiorentina before this match, at home
0.89points / match
1.44scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:14
Milan before this match, away
2.25points / match
1.63scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:5
Fiorentina at home away Milan

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.63
1.56 Goals conceded 0.63
3.00 Total goals 2.25
16.11 Shots 11.38
4.33 Shots on target 4.38
11.67 Shots faced 11.75
5.11 Corners 3.50
4.33 Corners against 5.13
13.00 Fouls 8.13
2.22 Yellow cards 1.25
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

22% Wins 63%
22% Draws 38%
56% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
78% Over 1.5 goals 63%
67% Over 2.5 goals 38%
33% Over 3.5 goals 25%
11% Over 4.5 goals 13%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 38%
11% Clean sheets 63%
11% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 25%
11% Draws 63%
67% Losses 13%
89% Over 0.5 goals 50%
33% Over 1.5 goals 38%
22% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.26 Lazio – Fiorentina 2–2 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
04.01.26 Fiorentina – Cremonese 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
27.12.25 Parma – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.002.25 2.20 1.67
21.12.25 Fiorentina – Udinese 5–1 (3–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Fiorentina – Verona 1–2 (0–1) 1.803.404.75 2.20 1.67
06.12.25 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 3–1 (2–1) 2.883.252.50 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Fiorentina – Juventus 1–1 (0–1) 3.903.402.00 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Genoa – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
02.11.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.20 1.67

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.26 Milan – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.507.50 2.00 1.80
02.01.26 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
08.12.25 Torino – Milan 2–3 (2–1) 4.503.601.80 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85

Fiorentina at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Fiorentina – Cremonese 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
21.12.25 Fiorentina – Udinese 5–1 (3–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Fiorentina – Verona 1–2 (0–1) 1.803.404.75 2.20 1.67
22.11.25 Fiorentina – Juventus 1–1 (0–1) 3.903.402.00 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.20 1.67
26.10.25 Fiorentina – Bologna 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.75 2.20 1.67
05.10.25 Fiorentina – Roma 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
21.09.25 Fiorentina – Como 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.202.80 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Fiorentina – Napoli 1–3 (0–2) 3.503.102.25 2.38 1.57
18.05.25 Fiorentina – Bologna 3–2 (1–0) 2.753.002.75 2.30 1.62

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.26 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73
08.12.25 Torino – Milan 2–3 (2–1) 4.503.601.80 2.00 1.80
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
05.10.25 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Udinese – Milan 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 2.10 1.73
29.08.25 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85
18.05.25 Roma – Milan 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
05.05.25 Genoa – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.753.701.80 1.99 1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Fiorentina winsDrawsMilan wins
9matches
3.11goals / match
78%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.25I1 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
05.04.25I1 Milan – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.20 1.73 2.10
06.10.24I1 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10
30.03.24I1 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
25.11.23I1 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
04.03.23I1 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
13.11.22I1 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
01.05.22I1 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.72 2.10
20.11.21I1 Fiorentina – Milan 4–3 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.87 2.03

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 0 4 40 15 +25 42
2 Milan 18 11 6 1 29 14 +15 39
3 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 12 +12 39
4 Napoli 18 12 2 4 28 15 +13 38
5 Juventus 19 10 6 3 27 16 +11 36
6 Como 19 9 7 3 27 13 +14 34
7 Atalanta 20 8 7 5 25 19 +6 31
8 Bologna 19 7 6 6 26 20 +6 27
9 Udinese 20 7 5 8 22 32 -10 26
10 Lazio 19 6 7 6 20 16 +4 25
11 Sassuolo 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 32 -11 23
13 Cremonese 19 5 7 7 20 23 -3 22
14 Parma 19 5 6 8 14 22 -8 21
15 Cagliari 19 4 7 8 21 27 -6 19
16 Lecce 19 4 5 10 13 27 -14 17
17 Genoa 19 3 7 9 19 29 -10 16
18 Fiorentina 19 2 7 10 20 30 -10 13
19 Pisa 20 1 10 9 15 30 -15 13
20 Verona 18 2 7 9 15 30 -15 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 0 2 24 6 +18 21
2 Roma 10 7 0 3 13 5 +8 21
3 Milan 10 6 3 1 16 9 +7 21
4 Napoli 8 6 2 0 16 8 +8 20
5 Como 9 5 4 0 13 4 +9 19
6 Juventus 9 5 4 0 15 8 +7 19
7 Atalanta 11 5 4 2 14 9 +5 19
8 Lazio 10 4 4 2 15 9 +6 16
9 Bologna 9 4 2 3 11 8 +3 14
10 Udinese 10 3 4 3 11 15 -4 13
11 Sassuolo 10 3 2 5 11 14 -3 11
12 Torino 10 3 2 5 11 18 -7 11
13 Cremonese 9 2 4 3 11 13 -2 10
14 Cagliari 9 2 3 4 10 13 -3 9
15 Parma 10 2 3 5 7 13 -6 9
16 Lecce 11 2 3 6 7 15 -8 9
17 Fiorentina 9 2 2 5 13 14 -1 8
18 Genoa 10 1 4 5 6 13 -7 7
19 Verona 8 1 3 4 8 12 -4 6
20 Pisa 10 1 3 6 1 10 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 0 2 16 9 +7 21
2 Milan 8 5 3 0 13 5 +8 18
3 Napoli 10 6 0 4 12 7 +5 18
4 Roma 10 6 0 4 11 7 +4 18
5 Juventus 10 5 2 3 12 8 +4 17
6 Como 10 4 3 3 14 9 +5 15
7 Bologna 10 3 4 3 15 12 +3 13
8 Udinese 10 4 1 5 11 17 -6 13
9 Atalanta 9 3 3 3 11 10 +1 12
10 Sassuolo 10 3 3 4 12 13 -1 12
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 9 10 -1 12
12 Parma 9 3 3 3 7 9 -2 12
13 Torino 10 3 3 4 10 14 -4 12
14 Cagliari 10 2 4 4 11 14 -3 10
15 Lazio 9 2 3 4 5 7 -2 9
16 Genoa 9 2 3 4 13 16 -3 9
17 Lecce 8 2 2 4 6 12 -6 8
18 Pisa 10 0 7 3 14 20 -6 7
19 Verona 10 1 4 5 7 18 -11 7
20 Fiorentina 10 0 5 5 7 16 -9 5

Fiorentina   Milan

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 20 8 12 1.1 1.6 6 5 9 21 32 23
2 1 Inter 18 7 11 2.2 0.8 14 0 4 40 15 42
3 17 Genoa 19 8 11 1.0 1.5 3 7 9 19 29 16
4 18 Fiorentina 19 8 11 1.1 1.6 2 7 10 20 30 13
5 20 Verona 18 7 11 0.8 1.7 2 7 9 15 30 13
6 9 Udinese 20 10 10 1.1 1.6 7 5 8 22 32 26
7 11 Sassuolo 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 23 27 23
8 2 Milan 18 9 9 1.6 0.8 11 6 1 29 14 39
9 15 Cagliari 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 7 8 21 27 19
10 4 Napoli 18 10 8 1.6 0.8 12 2 4 28 15 38
11 8 Bologna 19 11 8 1.4 1.1 7 6 6 26 20 27
12 19 Pisa 20 12 8 0.8 1.5 1 10 9 15 30 13
13 5 Juventus 19 12 7 1.4 0.8 10 6 3 27 16 36
14 13 Cremonese 19 12 7 1.1 1.2 5 7 7 20 23 22
15 16 Lecce 19 12 7 0.7 1.4 4 5 10 13 27 17
16 6 Como 19 13 6 1.4 0.7 9 7 3 27 13 34
17 7 Atalanta 20 14 6 1.2 0.9 8 7 5 25 19 31
18 14 Parma 19 13 6 0.7 1.2 5 6 8 14 22 21
19 3 Roma 20 15 5 1.2 0.6 13 0 7 24 12 39
20 10 Lazio 19 15 4 1.1 0.8 6 7 6 20 16 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 9 2 7 2.7 0.7 7 0 2 24 6 21
2 12 Torino 10 3 7 1.1 1.8 3 2 5 11 18 11
3 2 Milan 10 4 6 1.6 0.9 6 3 1 16 9 21
4 4 Napoli 8 2 6 2.0 1.0 6 2 0 16 8 20
5 18 Fiorentina 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 2 2 5 13 14 8
6 9 Udinese 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 4 3 11 15 13
7 11 Sassuolo 10 5 5 1.1 1.4 3 2 5 11 14 11
8 16 Lecce 11 6 5 0.6 1.4 2 3 6 7 15 9
9 20 Verona 8 3 5 1.0 1.5 1 3 4 8 12 6
10 5 Juventus 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 4 0 15 8 19
11 13 Cremonese 9 5 4 1.2 1.4 2 4 3 11 13 10
12 17 Genoa 10 6 4 0.6 1.3 1 4 5 6 13 7
13 7 Atalanta 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 2 14 9 19
14 8 Bologna 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 4 2 3 11 8 14
15 10 Lazio 10 7 3 1.5 0.9 4 4 2 15 9 16
16 14 Parma 10 7 3 0.7 1.3 2 3 5 7 13 9
17 15 Cagliari 9 6 3 1.1 1.4 2 3 4 10 13 9
18 3 Roma 10 8 2 1.3 0.5 7 0 3 13 5 21
19 6 Como 9 8 1 1.4 0.4 5 4 0 13 4 19
20 19 Pisa 10 9 1 0.1 1.0 1 3 6 1 10 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Genoa 9 2 7 1.4 1.8 2 3 4 13 16 9
2 19 Pisa 10 3 7 1.4 2.0 0 7 3 14 20 7
3 15 Cagliari 10 4 6 1.1 1.4 2 4 4 11 14 10
4 20 Verona 10 4 6 0.7 1.8 1 4 5 7 18 7
5 6 Como 10 5 5 1.4 0.9 4 3 3 14 9 15
6 8 Bologna 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 3 4 3 15 12 13
7 9 Udinese 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 4 1 5 11 17 13
8 11 Sassuolo 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 3 3 4 12 13 12
9 12 Torino 10 5 5 1.0 1.4 3 3 4 10 14 12
10 18 Fiorentina 10 5 5 0.7 1.6 0 5 5 7 16 5
11 1 Inter 9 5 4 1.8 1.0 7 0 2 16 9 21
12 2 Milan 8 5 3 1.6 0.6 5 3 0 13 5 18
13 3 Roma 10 7 3 1.1 0.7 6 0 4 11 7 18
14 5 Juventus 10 7 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 3 12 8 17
15 7 Atalanta 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 3 3 3 11 10 12
16 13 Cremonese 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 3 3 4 9 10 12
17 14 Parma 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 3 3 3 7 9 12
18 4 Napoli 10 8 2 1.2 0.7 6 0 4 12 7 18
19 16 Lecce 8 6 2 0.8 1.5 2 2 4 6 12 8
20 10 Lazio 9 8 1 0.6 0.8 2 3 4 5 7 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51