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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan vs Inter

Home 3.60 fair 2.76
Draw 3.75 fair 4.34
Away 1.95 fair 2.45
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.77
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.57

Bet365 odds. Highlighted = our prediction. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Our prediction

Result Inter to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.70
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawInter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8%

Statistics 2026/2027

Milan this season, all matches
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:11
Inter this season, all matches
2.78points / match
2.78scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 25:10
Milan all matches all matches Inter

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.78
1.22 Goals conceded 1.11
3.22 Total goals 3.89
1.90 xG created 2.82
1.28 xG allowed 1.11
12.56 Shots 22.33
4.78 Shots on target 7.11
9.78 Shots faced 10.67
3.00 Corners 5.78
3.33 Corners against 3.11
9.78 Fouls 8.78
1.67 Yellow cards 1.44
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

56% Wins 89%
33% Draws 11%
11% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 89%
56% Over 2.5 goals 78%
33% Over 3.5 goals 56%
22% Over 4.5 goals 33%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 22%
44% Draws 67%
11% Losses 11%
56% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 56%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Inter all matches
Milan this season, at home
2.25points / match
2.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:6
Inter this season, away
2.50points / match
2.00scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:3
Milan at home away Inter

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded 0.75
4.00 Total goals 2.75
2.20 xG created 2.94
1.21 xG allowed 1.18
11.25 Shots 20.00
4.50 Shots on target 5.50
9.00 Shots faced 12.75
2.00 Corners 5.00
2.75 Corners against 4.25
7.50 Fouls 8.00
0.50 Yellow cards 2.25
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

75% Wins 75%
0% Draws 25%
25% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Inter away

Last 10 matches

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.26 Milan – Bologna 2–4 (2–1) 1.623.755.75 1.85 2.00
25.10.26 Udinese – Milan 0–2 (0–1) 5.503.701.67 1.88 1.98
18.10.26 Milan – Atalanta 3–2 (2–0) 1.803.754.33 1.73 2.10
11.10.26 Sassuolo – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.75 1.73 2.10
20.09.26 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
12.09.26 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 3.403.202.25 2.20 1.67
06.09.26 Juventus – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.10 1.73
28.08.26 Milan – Venezia 2–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
23.08.26 Torino – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.93 1.93
24.05.26 Milan – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20

Inter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.26 Venezia – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.36 3.20
25.10.26 Inter – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.00 1.44 2.75
17.10.26 Bologna – Inter 1–3 (1–1) 5.504.001.62 1.67 2.20
10.10.26 Inter – Parma 3–0 (3–0) 1.148.0019.00 1.36 3.20
19.09.26 Roma – Inter 2–2 (2–0) 2.703.402.55 1.62 2.30
14.09.26 Inter – Udinese 5–3 (2–2) 1.275.7512.00 1.53 2.50
05.09.26 Inter – Napoli 3–2 (0–0) 1.673.605.50 2.05 1.80
30.08.26 Cagliari – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 7.004.501.44 1.93 1.93
22.08.26 Inter – Monza 4–1 (1–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.62 2.30
23.05.26 Bologna – Inter 3–3 (2–1) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.38

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.26 Milan – Bologna 2–4 (2–1) 1.623.755.75 1.85 2.00
18.10.26 Milan – Atalanta 3–2 (2–0) 1.803.754.33 1.73 2.10
20.09.26 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
28.08.26 Milan – Venezia 2–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
24.05.26 Milan – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
10.05.26 Milan – Atalanta 2–3 (0–2) 2.103.303.50 1.85 2.00
26.04.26 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 1.98 1.88
11.04.26 Milan – Udinese 0–3 (0–2) 1.424.508.00 1.83 2.03
21.03.26 Milan – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 1.404.757.50 1.80 2.00
08.03.26 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80

Inter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.26 Venezia – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.36 3.20
17.10.26 Bologna – Inter 1–3 (1–1) 5.504.001.62 1.67 2.20
19.09.26 Roma – Inter 2–2 (2–0) 2.703.402.55 1.62 2.30
30.08.26 Cagliari – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 7.004.501.44 1.93 1.93
23.05.26 Bologna – Inter 3–3 (2–1) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.38
09.05.26 Lazio – Inter 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.701.80 1.80 2.00
26.04.26 Torino – Inter 2–2 (0–1) 7.505.001.40 1.67 2.20
12.04.26 Como – Inter 3–4 (2–1) 3.103.502.25 1.91 1.91
22.03.26 Fiorentina – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.73 2.10
08.03.26 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022

Milan winsDrawsInter wins
10matches
2.70goals / match
50%over 2.5
70%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.26I1 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80
23.11.25I1 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
02.02.25I1 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.00
22.09.24I1 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.20
22.04.24I1 Milan – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.602.00 1.73 2.10
16.09.23I1 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
05.02.23I1 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05
03.09.22I1 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
05.02.22I1 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.66 2.20
07.11.21I1 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2026/2027

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 8 1 0 25 10 +15 25
2 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22 7 +15 25
3 Roma 9 6 3 0 23 8 +15 21
4 Como 9 6 2 1 17 8 +9 20
5 Milan 9 5 3 1 18 11 +7 18
6 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 22 14 +8 17
7 Napoli 9 4 2 3 17 11 +6 14
8 Juventus 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14
9 Torino 9 4 1 4 14 14 0 13
10 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8 13 -5 13
11 Bologna 9 3 2 4 12 12 0 11
12 Atalanta 9 3 2 4 16 17 -1 11
13 Genoa 9 3 1 5 8 13 -5 10
14 Lecce 9 3 0 6 10 19 -9 9
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14 22 -8 8
16 Monza 9 2 1 6 16 22 -6 7
17 Udinese 9 1 2 6 9 18 -9 5
18 Fiorentina 9 1 2 6 11 21 -10 5
19 Parma 9 1 2 6 5 15 -10 5
20 Venezia 9 1 0 8 6 19 -13 3
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation to Serie B

Coppa Italia winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 5 5 0 0 17 7 +10 15
2 Roma 5 4 1 0 14 5 +9 13
3 Frosinone 5 4 0 1 14 6 +8 12
4 Lazio 4 3 1 0 8 4 +4 10
5 Atalanta 5 3 1 1 11 8 +3 10
6 Genoa 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
7 Milan 4 3 0 1 10 6 +4 9
8 Napoli 4 2 1 1 8 5 +3 7
9 Como 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7
10 Juventus 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
11 Sassuolo 4 2 1 1 8 10 -2 7
12 Monza 4 2 0 2 9 8 +1 6
13 Torino 5 2 0 3 7 10 -3 6
14 Parma 5 1 2 2 3 6 -3 5
15 Cagliari 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
16 Lecce 4 1 0 3 4 10 -6 3
17 Venezia 5 1 0 4 3 10 -7 3
18 Bologna 4 0 2 2 4 7 -3 2
19 Fiorentina 5 0 2 3 5 11 -6 2
20 Udinese 5 0 1 4 2 9 -7 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lazio 5 5 0 0 14 3 +11 15
2 Como 6 4 1 1 13 7 +6 13
3 Inter 4 3 1 0 8 3 +5 10
4 Bologna 5 3 0 2 8 5 +3 9
5 Milan 5 2 3 0 8 5 +3 9
6 Cagliari 5 3 0 2 6 9 -3 9
7 Roma 4 2 2 0 9 3 +6 8
8 Napoli 5 2 1 2 9 6 +3 7
9 Torino 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
10 Juventus 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
11 Lecce 5 2 0 3 6 9 -3 6
12 Frosinone 4 1 2 1 8 8 0 5
13 Udinese 4 1 1 2 7 9 -2 4
14 Fiorentina 4 1 0 3 6 10 -4 3
15 Atalanta 4 0 1 3 5 9 -4 1
16 Sassuolo 5 0 1 4 6 12 -6 1
17 Monza 5 0 1 4 7 14 -7 1
18 Genoa 3 0 0 3 1 5 -4 0
19 Venezia 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0
20 Parma 4 0 0 4 2 9 -7 0

Milan   Inter

Under / Over goals 2026/2027

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Monza 9 1 8 1.8 2.4 2 1 6 16 22 7
2 18 Fiorentina 9 1 8 1.2 2.3 1 2 6 11 21 5
3 1 Inter 9 2 7 2.8 1.1 8 1 0 25 10 25
4 9 Torino 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 1 4 14 14 13
5 12 Atalanta 9 2 7 1.8 1.9 3 2 4 16 17 11
6 15 Sassuolo 9 2 7 1.6 2.4 2 2 5 14 22 8
7 2 Lazio 9 3 6 2.4 0.8 8 1 0 22 7 25
8 3 Roma 9 3 6 2.6 0.9 6 3 0 23 8 21
9 6 Frosinone 9 3 6 2.4 1.6 5 2 2 22 14 17
10 14 Lecce 9 3 6 1.1 2.1 3 0 6 10 19 9
11 4 Como 9 4 5 1.9 0.9 6 2 1 17 8 20
12 5 Milan 9 4 5 2.0 1.2 5 3 1 18 11 18
13 7 Napoli 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 4 2 3 17 11 14
14 17 Udinese 9 4 5 1.0 2.0 1 2 6 9 18 5
15 19 Parma 9 4 5 0.6 1.7 1 2 6 5 15 5
16 11 Bologna 9 5 4 1.3 1.3 3 2 4 12 12 11
17 10 Cagliari 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 4 1 4 8 13 13
18 13 Genoa 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 3 1 5 8 13 10
19 20 Venezia 9 6 3 0.7 2.1 1 0 8 6 19 3
20 8 Juventus 9 7 2 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 5 0 5 3.4 1.4 5 0 0 17 7 15
2 3 Roma 5 1 4 2.8 1.0 4 1 0 14 5 13
3 9 Torino 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 2 0 3 7 10 6
4 12 Atalanta 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 3 1 1 11 8 10
5 16 Monza 4 0 4 2.2 2.0 2 0 2 9 8 6
6 18 Fiorentina 5 1 4 1.0 2.2 0 2 3 5 11 2
7 2 Lazio 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 3 1 0 8 4 10
8 5 Milan 4 1 3 2.5 1.5 3 0 1 10 6 9
9 6 Frosinone 5 2 3 2.8 1.2 4 0 1 14 6 12
10 7 Napoli 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 2 1 1 8 5 7
11 14 Lecce 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 1 0 3 4 10 3
12 15 Sassuolo 4 1 3 2.0 2.5 2 1 1 8 10 7
13 11 Bologna 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 0 2 2 4 7 2
14 13 Genoa 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
15 17 Udinese 5 3 2 0.4 1.8 0 1 4 2 9 1
16 19 Parma 5 3 2 0.6 1.2 1 2 2 3 6 5
17 4 Como 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7
18 8 Juventus 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
19 20 Venezia 5 4 1 0.6 2.0 1 0 4 3 10 3
20 10 Cagliari 4 4 0 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Como 6 2 4 2.2 1.2 4 1 1 13 7 13
2 15 Sassuolo 5 1 4 1.2 2.4 0 1 4 6 12 1
3 16 Monza 5 1 4 1.4 2.8 0 1 4 7 14 1
4 18 Fiorentina 4 0 4 1.5 2.5 1 0 3 6 10 3
5 2 Lazio 5 2 3 2.8 0.6 5 0 0 14 3 15
6 6 Frosinone 4 1 3 2.0 2.0 1 2 1 8 8 5
7 9 Torino 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
8 10 Cagliari 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 3 0 2 6 9 9
9 12 Atalanta 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 0 1 3 5 9 1
10 14 Lecce 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 2 0 3 6 9 6
11 17 Udinese 4 1 3 1.8 2.2 1 1 2 7 9 4
12 19 Parma 4 1 3 0.5 2.2 0 0 4 2 9 0
13 1 Inter 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 0 8 3 10
14 3 Roma 4 2 2 2.2 0.8 2 2 0 9 3 8
15 5 Milan 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 3 0 8 5 9
16 7 Napoli 5 3 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 2 9 6 7
17 11 Bologna 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 3 0 2 8 5 9
18 20 Venezia 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
19 8 Juventus 5 4 1 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
20 13 Genoa 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 0 3 1 5 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44