Milan 2–3 Atalanta – Italy Serie A, 10 May 2026 | BetGPS

Match facts

Milan Atalanta

20 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 2

8 Fouls 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (358 league matches this season so far).

Result Milan to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.87

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.07

Home / Draw / Away

40% 28% 32%

MilanDrawAtalanta

Under / Over 2.5 goals

60% 40%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

54% 46%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

27% 2

20% 3

12% 4

8% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.2% 1–0 12.4% 0–1 10.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches

1.91points / match

1.37scored / match

0.83conceded / match

19 10 6

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 48:29

Atalanta before this match, all matches

1.57points / match

1.34scored / match

0.91conceded / match

14 13 8

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 47:32

Milan all matches all matches Atalanta

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 1.34

0.83 Goals conceded 0.91

2.20 Total goals 2.26

13.14 Shots 14.91

4.11 Shots on target 4.66

11.26 Shots faced 11.60

4.31 Corners 5.94

4.34 Corners against 4.23

9.97 Fouls 11.49

1.60 Yellow cards 1.54

0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.63

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.49

How often Full Time

54% Wins 40%

29% Draws 37%

17% Losses 23%

94% Over 0.5 goals 91%

63% Over 1.5 goals 74%

40% Over 2.5 goals 37%

17% Over 3.5 goals 17%

6% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

43% Both teams scored 51%

43% Clean sheets 37%

20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 37%

54% Draws 37%

17% Losses 26%

60% Over 0.5 goals 74%

29% Over 1.5 goals 26%

6% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches

1

L

2

W

1

W

1

L

3

2

W

1

L

3

L

1

W

D

2

L

Atalanta all matches

2

1

W

1

2

L

2

D

1

D

1

W

3

W

1

L

1

D

2

3

L

D

Milan before this match, at home

1.88points / match

1.29scored / match

0.94conceded / match

9 5 3

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 22:16

Atalanta before this match, away

1.29points / match

1.29scored / match

1.06conceded / match

5 7 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 22:18

Milan at home away Atalanta

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.29

0.94 Goals conceded 1.06

2.24 Total goals 2.35

15.88 Shots 12.18

4.76 Shots on target 4.00

9.94 Shots faced 13.18

5.12 Corners 4.71

3.71 Corners against 5.00

10.47 Fouls 11.88

1.82 Yellow cards 1.82

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.59

0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

53% Wins 29%

29% Draws 41%

18% Losses 29%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

59% Over 1.5 goals 82%

47% Over 2.5 goals 35%

18% Over 3.5 goals 18%

6% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

47% Both teams scored 59%

41% Clean sheets 35%

18% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%

53% Draws 41%

18% Losses 29%

65% Over 0.5 goals 71%

29% Over 1.5 goals 29%

0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home

2

D

3

W

1

D

1

W

1

D

1

L

1

W

3

2

W

3

L

D

Atalanta away

1

W

2

W

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

1

D

3

W

1

D

2

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.05.26	Sassuolo – Milan	2–0 (1–0)	4.50	4.10	1.73	1.73	2.10
26.04.26	Milan – Juventus	0–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.10	2.45	1.98	1.88
19.04.26	Verona – Milan	0–1 (0–1)	6.25	3.90	1.57	2.05	1.80
11.04.26	Milan – Udinese	0–3 (0–2)	1.42	4.50	8.00	1.83	2.03
06.04.26	Napoli – Milan	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.00	3.00	2.30	1.62
21.03.26	Milan – Torino	3–2 (1–1)	1.40	4.75	7.50	1.80	2.00
15.03.26	Lazio – Milan	1–0 (1–0)	4.10	3.30	1.95	2.20	1.67
08.03.26	Milan – Inter	1–0 (1–0)	3.60	3.00	2.25	2.00	1.80
01.03.26	Cremonese – Milan	0–2 (0–0)	6.50	4.33	1.50	1.91	1.91
22.02.26	Milan – Parma	0–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.80	2.00

Atalanta all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.05.26	Atalanta – Genoa	0–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.10	5.75	1.80	2.00
27.04.26	Cagliari – Atalanta	3–2 (2–2)	4.50	3.60	1.80	1.91	1.91
18.04.26	Roma – Atalanta	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	2.90	2.00	1.80
11.04.26	Atalanta – Juventus	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.35	1.80	2.00
06.04.26	Lecce – Atalanta	0–3 (0–1)	5.00	3.75	1.75	2.03	1.83
22.03.26	Atalanta – Verona	1–0 (1–0)	1.38	4.75	8.50	1.91	1.91
14.03.26	Inter – Atalanta	1–1 (1–0)	1.55	4.33	5.75	1.73	2.10
07.03.26	Atalanta – Udinese	2–2 (0–1)	1.67	3.70	5.50	1.91	1.91
01.03.26	Sassuolo – Atalanta	2–1 (1–0)	3.80	3.60	1.95	1.88	1.98
22.02.26	Atalanta – Napoli	2–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.73

Milan at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.26	Milan – Juventus	0–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.10	2.45	1.98	1.88
11.04.26	Milan – Udinese	0–3 (0–2)	1.42	4.50	8.00	1.83	2.03
21.03.26	Milan – Torino	3–2 (1–1)	1.40	4.75	7.50	1.80	2.00
08.03.26	Milan – Inter	1–0 (1–0)	3.60	3.00	2.25	2.00	1.80
22.02.26	Milan – Parma	0–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.80	2.00
18.02.26	Milan – Como	1–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.00	1.85
18.01.26	Milan – Lecce	1–0 (0–0)	1.29	5.00	13.00	1.91	1.91
08.01.26	Milan – Genoa	1–1 (0–1)	1.44	4.50	7.50	2.00	1.80
28.12.25	Milan – Verona	3–0 (1–0)	1.38	4.75	8.50	1.80	2.00
14.12.25	Milan – Sassuolo	2–2 (1–1)	1.42	4.33	8.00	1.83	2.03

Atalanta away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.26	Cagliari – Atalanta	3–2 (2–2)	4.50	3.60	1.80	1.91	1.91
18.04.26	Roma – Atalanta	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	2.90	2.00	1.80
06.04.26	Lecce – Atalanta	0–3 (0–1)	5.00	3.75	1.75	2.03	1.83
14.03.26	Inter – Atalanta	1–1 (1–0)	1.55	4.33	5.75	1.73	2.10
01.03.26	Sassuolo – Atalanta	2–1 (1–0)	3.80	3.60	1.95	1.88	1.98
14.02.26	Lazio – Atalanta	0–2 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.15	2.10	1.73
01.02.26	Como – Atalanta	0–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.25	3.20	1.91	1.91
16.01.26	Pisa – Atalanta	1–1 (0–0)	6.50	3.90	1.55	1.85	2.00
07.01.26	Bologna – Atalanta	0–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.30	2.60	2.00	1.85
21.12.25	Genoa – Atalanta	0–1 (0–0)	4.00	3.40	1.95	2.10	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 3 3

Milan winsDrawsAtalanta wins

9matches

2.67goals / match

33%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.10.25I1	Atalanta – Milan	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.00	1.85
20.04.25I1	Milan – Atalanta	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.75	1.67	2.20
06.12.24I1	Atalanta – Milan	2–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.40	3.30	1.73	2.10
25.02.24I1	Milan – Atalanta	1–1 (1–1)	2.38	3.40	3.00	1.75	2.05
09.12.23I1	Atalanta – Milan	3–2 (1–1)	2.50	3.20	3.00	2.05	1.75
26.02.23I1	Milan – Atalanta	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.40	3.40	1.94	1.96
21.08.22I1	Atalanta – Milan	1–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.50	2.50	1.72	2.10
15.05.22I1	Milan – Atalanta	2–0 (0–0)	1.75	4.20	4.20	1.57	2.37
03.10.21I1	Atalanta – Milan	2–3 (0–2)	2.05	3.75	3.40	1.66	2.20

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	36	27	4	5	85	31	+54	85
2	Napoli	35	21	7	7	52	33	+19	70
3	Juventus	36	19	11	6	59	30	+29	68
4	Roma	36	21	4	11	55	31	+24	67
5	Milan	35	19	10	6	48	29	+19	67
6	Como	36	18	11	7	60	28	+32	65
7	Atalanta	35	14	13	8	47	32	+15	55
8	Lazio	36	13	12	11	39	37	+2	51
9	Udinese	36	14	8	14	45	46	-1	50
10	Bologna	35	14	7	14	42	41	+1	49
11	Sassuolo	36	14	7	15	44	46	-2	49
12	Torino	36	12	8	16	41	59	-18	44
13	Parma	36	10	12	14	27	45	-18	42
14	Genoa	36	10	11	15	40	48	-8	41
15	Fiorentina	36	8	14	14	38	49	-11	38
16	Cagliari	36	9	10	17	36	51	-15	37
17	Lecce	36	8	8	20	24	48	-24	32
18	Cremonese	36	7	10	19	30	53	-23	31
19	Verona	36	3	11	22	24	58	-34	20
20	Pisa	36	2	12	22	25	66	-41	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	18	14	2	2	49	15	+34	44
2	Napoli	17	12	4	1	30	15	+15	40
3	Roma	18	12	3	3	31	10	+21	39
4	Juventus	18	10	7	1	35	14	+21	37
5	Como	18	9	6	3	34	15	+19	33
6	Atalanta	18	9	6	3	25	14	+11	33
7	Milan	17	9	5	3	22	16	+6	32
8	Sassuolo	18	9	2	7	23	23	0	29
9	Lazio	18	7	6	5	25	24	+1	27
10	Torino	18	8	3	7	25	27	-2	27
11	Udinese	18	6	5	7	18	20	-2	23
12	Cagliari	18	6	4	8	20	22	-2	22
13	Genoa	18	6	4	8	21	24	-3	22
14	Bologna	18	6	3	9	16	20	-4	21
15	Fiorentina	18	4	8	6	20	20	0	20
16	Parma	18	4	6	8	15	25	-10	18
17	Lecce	18	4	5	9	12	24	-12	17
18	Cremonese	18	3	7	8	17	25	-8	16
19	Pisa	18	2	4	12	9	23	-14	10
20	Verona	18	1	5	12	12	26	-14	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	18	13	2	3	36	16	+20	41
2	Milan	18	10	5	3	26	13	+13	35
3	Como	18	9	5	4	26	13	+13	32
4	Juventus	18	9	4	5	24	16	+8	31
5	Napoli	18	9	3	6	22	18	+4	30
6	Bologna	17	8	4	5	26	21	+5	28
7	Roma	18	9	1	8	24	21	+3	28
8	Udinese	18	8	3	7	27	26	+1	27
9	Lazio	18	6	6	6	14	13	+1	24
10	Parma	18	6	6	6	12	20	-8	24
11	Atalanta	17	5	7	5	22	18	+4	22
12	Sassuolo	18	5	5	8	21	23	-2	20
13	Genoa	18	4	7	7	19	24	-5	19
14	Fiorentina	18	4	6	8	18	29	-11	18
15	Torino	18	4	5	9	16	32	-16	17
16	Lecce	18	4	3	11	12	24	-12	15
17	Cagliari	18	3	6	9	16	29	-13	15
18	Cremonese	18	4	3	11	13	28	-15	15
19	Verona	18	2	6	10	12	32	-20	12
20	Pisa	18	0	8	10	16	43	-27	8

Milan Atalanta

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Torino	36	14	22	1.1	1.6	12	8	16	41	59	44
2	1	Inter	36	16	20	2.4	0.9	27	4	5	85	31	85
3	11	Sassuolo	36	16	20	1.2	1.3	14	7	15	44	46	49
4	14	Genoa	36	17	19	1.1	1.3	10	11	15	40	48	41
5	15	Fiorentina	36	17	19	1.1	1.4	8	14	14	38	49	38
6	19	Verona	36	17	19	0.7	1.6	3	11	22	24	58	20
7	2	Napoli	35	17	18	1.5	0.9	21	7	7	52	33	70
8	20	Pisa	36	18	18	0.7	1.8	2	12	22	25	66	18
9	9	Udinese	36	19	17	1.2	1.3	14	8	14	45	46	50
10	16	Cagliari	36	19	17	1.0	1.4	9	10	17	36	51	37
11	6	Como	36	20	16	1.7	0.8	18	11	7	60	28	65
12	18	Cremonese	36	20	16	0.8	1.5	7	10	19	30	53	31
13	10	Bologna	35	20	15	1.2	1.2	14	7	14	42	41	49
14	3	Juventus	36	22	14	1.6	0.8	19	11	6	59	30	68
15	4	Roma	36	22	14	1.5	0.9	21	4	11	55	31	67
16	5	Milan	35	21	14	1.4	0.8	19	10	6	48	29	67
17	7	Atalanta	35	22	13	1.3	0.9	14	13	8	47	32	55
18	17	Lecce	36	23	13	0.7	1.3	8	8	20	24	48	32
19	8	Lazio	36	25	11	1.1	1.0	13	12	11	39	37	51
20	13	Parma	36	25	11	0.8	1.2	10	12	14	27	45	42

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Inter	18	6	12	2.7	0.8	14	2	2	49	15	44
2	12	Torino	18	6	12	1.4	1.5	8	3	7	25	27	27
3	2	Napoli	17	6	11	1.8	0.9	12	4	1	30	15	40
4	11	Sassuolo	18	8	10	1.3	1.3	9	2	7	23	23	29
5	14	Genoa	18	8	10	1.2	1.3	6	4	8	21	24	22
6	3	Juventus	18	10	8	1.9	0.8	10	7	1	35	14	37
7	5	Milan	17	9	8	1.3	0.9	9	5	3	22	16	32
8	6	Como	18	10	8	1.9	0.8	9	6	3	34	15	33
9	8	Lazio	18	10	8	1.4	1.3	7	6	5	25	24	27
10	15	Fiorentina	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	4	8	6	20	20	20
11	17	Lecce	18	10	8	0.7	1.3	4	5	9	12	24	17
12	18	Cremonese	18	10	8	0.9	1.4	3	7	8	17	25	16
13	19	Verona	18	10	8	0.7	1.4	1	5	12	12	26	8
14	7	Atalanta	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	9	6	3	25	14	33
15	9	Udinese	18	11	7	1.0	1.1	6	5	7	18	20	23
16	4	Roma	18	12	6	1.7	0.6	12	3	3	31	10	39
17	10	Bologna	18	12	6	0.9	1.1	6	3	9	16	20	21
18	13	Parma	18	12	6	0.8	1.4	4	6	8	15	25	18
19	16	Cagliari	18	12	6	1.1	1.2	6	4	8	20	22	22
20	20	Pisa	18	12	6	0.5	1.3	2	4	12	9	23	10

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Pisa	18	6	12	0.9	2.4	0	8	10	16	43	8
2	15	Fiorentina	18	7	11	1.0	1.6	4	6	8	18	29	18
3	16	Cagliari	18	7	11	0.9	1.6	3	6	9	16	29	15
4	19	Verona	18	7	11	0.7	1.8	2	6	10	12	32	12
5	9	Udinese	18	8	10	1.5	1.4	8	3	7	27	26	27
6	11	Sassuolo	18	8	10	1.2	1.3	5	5	8	21	23	20
7	12	Torino	18	8	10	0.9	1.8	4	5	9	16	32	17
8	10	Bologna	17	8	9	1.5	1.2	8	4	5	26	21	28
9	14	Genoa	18	9	9	1.1	1.3	4	7	7	19	24	19
10	1	Inter	18	10	8	2.0	0.9	13	2	3	36	16	41
11	4	Roma	18	10	8	1.3	1.2	9	1	8	24	21	28
12	6	Como	18	10	8	1.4	0.7	9	5	4	26	13	32
13	18	Cremonese	18	10	8	0.7	1.6	4	3	11	13	28	15
14	2	Napoli	18	11	7	1.2	1.0	9	3	6	22	18	30
15	3	Juventus	18	12	6	1.3	0.9	9	4	5	24	16	31
16	5	Milan	18	12	6	1.4	0.7	10	5	3	26	13	35
17	7	Atalanta	17	11	6	1.3	1.1	5	7	5	22	18	22
18	13	Parma	18	13	5	0.7	1.1	6	6	6	12	20	24
19	17	Lecce	18	13	5	0.7	1.3	4	3	11	12	24	15
20	8	Lazio	18	15	3	0.8	0.7	6	6	6	14	13	24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.