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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Sassuolo 1–1 Milan

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home 4.33 fair 2.62
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.08
Away 1.75 fair 2.68
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.30
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sassuolo Milan
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
1.19 Expected goals (xG) 1.18
3 Corners 5
13 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (56 league matches this season so far).
Result Sassuolo to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
SassuoloDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Sassuolo before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.80scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:9
Milan before this match, all matches
2.20points / match
2.00scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:4
Sassuolo all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 2.00
1.80 Goals conceded 0.80
3.60 Total goals 2.80
1.76 xG created 1.58
1.32 xG allowed 1.18
17.20 Shots 12.80
7.00 Shots on target 4.20
15.80 Shots faced 9.00
4.60 Corners 2.80
6.80 Corners against 3.40
8.80 Fouls 10.20
1.40 Yellow cards 1.60
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

40% Wins 60%
20% Draws 40%
40% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
60% Draws 60%
20% Losses 20%
60% Over 0.5 goals 40%
20% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo all matches
Milan all matches
Sassuolo before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:3
Milan before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:4
Sassuolo at home away Milan

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.67
1.50 Goals conceded 1.33
4.00 Total goals 3.00
1.44 xG created 1.17
1.18 xG allowed 1.63
14.50 Shots 12.67
6.50 Shots on target 4.00
14.50 Shots faced 10.00
3.50 Corners 3.33
6.50 Corners against 3.67
10.00 Fouls 11.33
2.50 Yellow cards 2.33
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

100% Wins 33%
0% Draws 67%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 67%
50% Over 3.5 goals 33%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 67%
0% Losses 33%
50% Over 0.5 goals 33%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sassuolo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.26 Monza – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
13.09.26 Sassuolo – Juventus 3–2 (0–0) 5.254.001.62 1.83 2.03
06.09.26 Bologna – Sassuolo 2–2 (0–1) 2.003.403.90 2.00 1.80
29.08.26 Sassuolo – Torino 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.03 1.83
23.08.26 Atalanta – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–0) 1.534.106.50 1.67 2.20
24.05.26 Parma – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.90 1.95
17.05.26 Sassuolo – Lecce 2–3 (1–2) 2.703.202.63 2.00 1.80
08.05.26 Torino – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 1.91 1.91
03.05.26 Sassuolo – Milan 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.101.73 1.73 2.10
26.04.26 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 1.88 1.98

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
12.09.26 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 3.403.202.25 2.20 1.67
06.09.26 Juventus – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.10 1.73
28.08.26 Milan – Venezia 2–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
23.08.26 Torino – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.93 1.93
24.05.26 Milan – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
17.05.26 Genoa – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.701.70 1.98 1.88
10.05.26 Milan – Atalanta 2–3 (0–2) 2.103.303.50 1.85 2.00
03.05.26 Sassuolo – Milan 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.101.73 1.73 2.10
26.04.26 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 1.98 1.88

Sassuolo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.26 Sassuolo – Juventus 3–2 (0–0) 5.254.001.62 1.83 2.03
29.08.26 Sassuolo – Torino 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.03 1.83
17.05.26 Sassuolo – Lecce 2–3 (1–2) 2.703.202.63 2.00 1.80
03.05.26 Sassuolo – Milan 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.101.73 1.73 2.10
17.04.26 Sassuolo – Como 2–1 (2–1) 5.754.331.53 1.67 2.20
04.04.26 Sassuolo – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
15.03.26 Sassuolo – Bologna 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
01.03.26 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98
20.02.26 Sassuolo – Verona 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.305.25 2.20 1.67
08.02.26 Sassuolo – Inter 0–5 (0–2) 7.504.501.44 1.80 2.00

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 3.403.202.25 2.20 1.67
06.09.26 Juventus – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.10 1.73
23.08.26 Torino – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.93 1.93
17.05.26 Genoa – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.701.70 1.98 1.88
03.05.26 Sassuolo – Milan 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.101.73 1.73 2.10
19.04.26 Verona – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 6.253.901.57 2.05 1.80
06.04.26 Napoli – Milan 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.00 2.30 1.62
15.03.26 Lazio – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.20 1.67
01.03.26 Cremonese – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 1.91 1.91
13.02.26 Pisa – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.504.201.50 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sassuolo winsDrawsMilan wins
8matches
3.38goals / match
63%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.26I1 Sassuolo – Milan 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.101.73 1.73 2.10
14.12.25I1 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
14.04.24I1 Sassuolo – Milan 3–3 (2–1) 4.503.801.75 1.67 2.20
30.12.23I1 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
29.01.23I1 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
30.08.22I1 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
22.05.22I1 Sassuolo – Milan 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.751.45 1.50 2.62
28.11.21I1 Milan – Sassuolo 1–3 (1–2) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 1 0 18 8 +10 16
2 Lazio 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16
3 Roma 6 4 2 0 14 3 +11 14
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5 2 +3 12
5 Milan 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
6 Como 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
7 Napoli 6 3 1 2 10 6 +4 10
8 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8 4 +4 10
9 Frosinone 6 3 1 2 9 7 +2 10
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5 7 -2 6
12 Lecce 6 2 0 4 6 12 -6 6
13 Bologna 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
14 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
15 Torino 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
16 Monza 6 1 1 4 9 15 -6 4
17 Genoa 6 1 1 4 5 11 -6 4
18 Parma 6 1 1 4 4 10 -6 4
19 Fiorentina 6 1 1 4 7 14 -7 4
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4 13 -9 0
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation to Serie B

Coppa Italia winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 15 6 +9 12
2 Roma 3 2 1 0 8 3 +5 7
3 Juventus 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
4 Lazio 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
5 Milan 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
6 Napoli 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6
7 Frosinone 3 2 0 1 5 3 +2 6
8 Sassuolo 2 2 0 0 5 3 +2 6
9 Atalanta 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
10 Como 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
11 Parma 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
12 Genoa 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
13 Monza 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
14 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
15 Lecce 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3
16 Bologna 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
17 Udinese 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
18 Fiorentina 3 0 1 2 2 6 -4 1
19 Torino 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
20 Venezia 3 0 0 3 2 8 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lazio 3 3 0 0 5 1 +4 9
2 Cagliari 3 3 0 0 4 1 +3 9
3 Roma 3 2 1 0 6 0 +6 7
4 Como 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
5 Milan 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
6 Napoli 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
7 Inter 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
8 Frosinone 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
9 Torino 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
10 Juventus 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
11 Udinese 2 1 0 1 6 7 -1 3
12 Bologna 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
13 Lecce 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
14 Fiorentina 3 1 0 2 5 8 -3 3
15 Sassuolo 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1
16 Monza 4 0 1 3 5 11 -6 1
17 Genoa 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
18 Venezia 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
19 Atalanta 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
20 Parma 3 0 0 3 1 7 -6 0

Sassuolo   Milan

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 6 1 5 3.0 1.3 5 1 0 18 8 16
2 10 Sassuolo 5 0 5 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
3 16 Monza 6 1 5 1.5 2.5 1 1 4 9 15 4
4 19 Fiorentina 6 1 5 1.2 2.3 1 1 4 7 14 4
5 3 Roma 6 2 4 2.3 0.5 4 2 0 14 3 14
6 12 Lecce 6 2 4 1.0 2.0 2 0 4 6 12 6
7 2 Lazio 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16
8 5 Milan 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
9 6 Como 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
10 7 Napoli 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 3 1 2 10 6 10
11 9 Frosinone 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 3 1 2 9 7 10
12 11 Atalanta 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 2 0 3 5 7 6
13 14 Udinese 5 2 3 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
14 15 Torino 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
15 17 Genoa 6 3 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 4 5 11 4
16 18 Parma 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 1 1 4 4 10 4
17 13 Bologna 6 4 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 3 5 7 5
18 20 Venezia 5 3 2 0.8 2.6 0 0 5 4 13 0
19 4 Cagliari 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 4 0 1 5 2 12
20 8 Juventus 5 4 1 1.6 0.8 3 1 1 8 4 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 4 0 4 3.8 1.5 4 0 0 15 6 12
2 3 Roma 3 0 3 2.7 1.0 2 1 0 8 3 7
3 12 Lecce 3 0 3 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3
4 2 Lazio 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
5 7 Napoli 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6
6 10 Sassuolo 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 2 0 0 5 3 6
7 11 Atalanta 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
8 16 Monza 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
9 17 Genoa 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
10 19 Fiorentina 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 0 1 2 2 6 1
11 5 Milan 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
12 6 Como 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
13 9 Frosinone 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 2 0 1 5 3 6
14 13 Bologna 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
15 14 Udinese 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
16 15 Torino 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
17 18 Parma 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
18 20 Venezia 3 2 1 0.7 2.7 0 0 3 2 8 0
19 4 Cagliari 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
20 8 Juventus 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Sassuolo 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 0 1 2 4 6 1
2 16 Monza 4 1 3 1.2 2.8 0 1 3 5 11 1
3 19 Fiorentina 3 0 3 1.7 2.7 1 0 2 5 8 3
4 5 Milan 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
5 6 Como 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
6 9 Frosinone 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
7 14 Udinese 2 0 2 3.0 3.5 1 0 1 6 7 3
8 15 Torino 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
9 18 Parma 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 0 3 1 7 0
10 1 Inter 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
11 2 Lazio 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 3 0 0 5 1 9
12 3 Roma 3 2 1 2.0 0.0 2 1 0 6 0 7
13 4 Cagliari 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 3 0 0 4 1 9
14 7 Napoli 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
15 8 Juventus 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
16 11 Atalanta 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
17 12 Lecce 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
18 13 Bologna 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
19 17 Genoa 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
20 20 Venezia 2 1 1 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51