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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 2–1 Zwolle

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.11
Draw 3.60 fair 4.40
Away 3.20 fair 3.36
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.69
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior Zwolle
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 1
13 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (144 league matches this season so far).
Result Excelsior to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.83 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawZwolle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 7.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.07points / match
0.93scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 14:26
Zwolle before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.25scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:36
Excelsior all matches all matches Zwolle

Per match

0.93 Goals scored 1.25
1.73 Goals conceded 2.25
2.67 Total goals 3.50
12.07 Shots 8.44
4.27 Shots on target 2.94
17.00 Shots faced 18.50
4.13 Corners 2.38
5.47 Corners against 6.63
14.00 Fouls 10.88
1.60 Yellow cards 2.13
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.38

How often Full Time

33% Wins 31%
7% Draws 25%
60% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 81%
60% Over 2.5 goals 63%
20% Over 3.5 goals 50%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
53% Both teams scored 56%
20% Clean sheets 25%
27% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 31%
40% Draws 25%
27% Losses 44%
73% Over 0.5 goals 94%
33% Over 1.5 goals 69%
13% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
Zwolle all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.13points / match
0.75scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:9
Zwolle before this match, away
0.75points / match
1.63scored / match
3.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:25
Excelsior at home away Zwolle

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded 3.13
1.88 Total goals 4.75
12.00 Shots 8.75
4.00 Shots on target 3.25
18.38 Shots faced 21.50
4.00 Corners 1.88
5.00 Corners against 6.75
13.13 Fouls 10.88
1.63 Yellow cards 2.38
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 2.00

How often Full Time

38% Wins 13%
0% Draws 38%
63% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
38% Over 2.5 goals 88%
0% Over 3.5 goals 75%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
38% Both teams scored 88%
38% Clean sheets 13%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 13%
50% Draws 25%
13% Losses 63%
63% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 88%
13% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
Zwolle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.25 Excelsior – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Excelsior – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.70 2.10
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
01.11.25 Telstar – Excelsior 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.15
26.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 2–0 (0–0) 1.804.203.90 1.50 2.50
19.10.25 Excelsior – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.08
04.10.25 Heerenveen – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.604.335.00 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
20.09.25 Volendam – Excelsior 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.53 2.40

Zwolle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Zwolle – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.602.88 1.70 2.10
06.12.25 Feyenoord – Zwolle 6–1 (4–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.30 3.50
28.11.25 Zwolle – Heerenveen 2–1 (2–1) 3.754.001.83 1.53 2.40
23.11.25 Groningen – Zwolle 2–2 (1–1) 1.554.006.00 1.73 2.08
08.11.25 Zwolle – Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.602.63 1.65 2.20
02.11.25 Heracles – Zwolle 8–2 (4–1) 2.403.502.80 1.75 2.05
25.10.25 Zwolle – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.752.10 1.53 2.40
18.10.25 NAC Breda – Zwolle 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.08
04.10.25 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.40 2.88
27.09.25 Volendam – Zwolle 2–1 (1–1) 2.753.502.45 1.62 2.25

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.25 Excelsior – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Excelsior – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.70 2.10
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
19.10.25 Excelsior – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.08
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
14.09.25 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
30.08.25 Excelsior – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.57 2.35
16.08.25 Excelsior – Feyenoord 1–2 (1–2) 5.004.501.45 1.44 2.70
12.05.24 Excelsior – Heracles 4–0 (1–0) 1.853.753.80 1.48 2.60
06.05.24 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 3.003.602.30 1.53 2.40

Zwolle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Feyenoord – Zwolle 6–1 (4–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.30 3.50
23.11.25 Groningen – Zwolle 2–2 (1–1) 1.554.006.00 1.73 2.08
02.11.25 Heracles – Zwolle 8–2 (4–1) 2.403.502.80 1.75 2.05
18.10.25 NAC Breda – Zwolle 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.08
27.09.25 Volendam – Zwolle 2–1 (1–1) 2.753.502.45 1.62 2.25
24.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 2–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
13.09.25 Ajax – Zwolle 3–1 (2–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.48 2.60
15.08.25 Telstar – Zwolle 0–2 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 1.75 2.05
14.05.25 Willem II – Zwolle 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.202.50 1.85 2.00
04.05.25 NAC Breda – Zwolle 1–3 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Excelsior winsDrawsZwolle wins
2matches
4.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24N1 Zwolle – Excelsior 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.753.60 1.57 2.35
22.10.23N1 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–4 (1–0) 2.304.002.75 1.70 2.10

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 14 1 1 50 20 +30 43
2 Feyenoord 16 11 1 4 41 20 +21 34
3 Ajax 16 8 5 3 30 20 +10 29
4 Nijmegen 16 8 4 4 41 27 +14 28
5 Groningen 16 8 2 6 24 21 +3 26
6 AZ Alkmaar 15 7 4 4 28 24 +4 25
7 Twente 16 6 6 4 25 20 +5 24
8 Utrecht 16 6 5 5 27 21 +6 23
9 Heerenveen 17 6 5 6 29 26 +3 23
10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 6 2 8 17 31 -14 20
11 Zwolle 16 5 4 7 20 36 -16 19
12 Go Ahead Eagles 16 4 6 6 25 28 -3 18
13 For Sittard 16 5 3 8 21 26 -5 18
14 Excelsior 15 5 1 9 14 26 -12 16
15 Volendam 16 3 5 8 19 30 -11 14
16 Heracles 17 4 2 11 26 44 -18 14
17 NAC Breda 16 3 4 9 16 25 -9 13
18 Telstar 16 2 6 8 19 27 -8 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 26 13 +13 19
2 Ajax 9 6 1 2 15 7 +8 19
3 Feyenoord 8 6 0 2 21 11 +10 18
4 Utrecht 8 5 2 1 17 7 +10 17
5 Nijmegen 7 5 1 1 21 10 +11 16
6 Groningen 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14
7 For Sittard 8 4 2 2 12 10 +2 14
8 Twente 8 4 2 2 12 10 +2 14
9 Zwolle 8 4 1 3 7 11 -4 13
10 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 3 1 18 15 +3 12
11 Volendam 8 3 3 2 14 11 +3 12
12 Go Ahead Eagles 7 3 3 1 12 9 +3 12
13 Heerenveen 8 3 3 2 15 14 +1 12
14 NAC Breda 8 3 2 3 9 9 0 11
15 Sparta Rotterdam 9 3 2 4 9 18 -9 11
16 Heracles 8 3 1 4 18 21 -3 10
17 Excelsior 8 3 0 5 6 9 -3 9
18 Telstar 9 1 4 4 15 19 -4 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 8 0 0 24 7 +17 24
2 Feyenoord 8 5 1 2 20 9 +11 16
3 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 1 3 10 9 +1 13
4 Nijmegen 9 3 3 3 20 17 +3 12
5 Groningen 8 4 0 4 10 14 -4 12
6 Heerenveen 9 3 2 4 14 12 +2 11
7 Twente 8 2 4 2 13 10 +3 10
8 Ajax 7 2 4 1 15 13 +2 10
9 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 0 4 8 13 -5 9
10 Excelsior 7 2 1 4 8 17 -9 7
11 Utrecht 8 1 3 4 10 14 -4 6
12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 1 3 5 13 19 -6 6
13 Zwolle 8 1 3 4 13 25 -12 6
14 Telstar 7 1 2 4 4 8 -4 5
15 For Sittard 8 1 1 6 9 16 -7 4
16 Heracles 9 1 1 7 8 23 -15 4
17 NAC Breda 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
18 Volendam 8 0 2 6 5 19 -14 2

Excelsior   Zwolle

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Heracles 17 3 14 1.5 2.6 4 2 11 26 44 14
2 4 Nijmegen 16 3 13 2.6 1.7 8 4 4 41 27 28
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 4 12 3.1 1.2 14 1 1 50 20 43
4 9 Heerenveen 17 5 12 1.7 1.5 6 5 6 29 26 23
5 15 Volendam 16 4 12 1.2 1.9 3 5 8 19 30 14
6 2 Feyenoord 16 5 11 2.6 1.2 11 1 4 41 20 34
7 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 4 11 1.9 1.6 7 4 4 28 24 25
8 12 Go Ahead Eagles 16 5 11 1.6 1.8 4 6 6 25 28 18
9 11 Zwolle 16 6 10 1.2 2.2 5 4 7 20 36 19
10 3 Ajax 16 7 9 1.9 1.2 8 5 3 30 20 29
11 8 Utrecht 16 7 9 1.7 1.3 6 5 5 27 21 23
12 10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 6 2 8 17 31 20
13 14 Excelsior 15 6 9 0.9 1.7 5 1 9 14 26 16
14 17 NAC Breda 16 7 9 1.0 1.6 3 4 9 16 25 13
15 5 Groningen 16 8 8 1.5 1.3 8 2 6 24 21 26
16 13 For Sittard 16 8 8 1.3 1.6 5 3 8 21 26 18
17 18 Telstar 16 8 8 1.2 1.7 2 6 8 19 27 12
18 7 Twente 16 9 7 1.6 1.2 6 6 4 25 20 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 1 7 3.2 1.6 6 1 1 26 13 19
2 6 AZ Alkmaar 7 0 7 2.6 2.1 3 3 1 18 15 12
3 16 Heracles 8 1 7 2.2 2.6 3 1 4 18 21 10
4 18 Telstar 9 2 7 1.7 2.1 1 4 4 15 19 7
5 4 Nijmegen 7 1 6 3.0 1.4 5 1 1 21 10 16
6 9 Heerenveen 8 2 6 1.9 1.8 3 3 2 15 14 12
7 15 Volendam 8 2 6 1.8 1.4 3 3 2 14 11 12
8 2 Feyenoord 8 3 5 2.6 1.4 6 0 2 21 11 18
9 8 Utrecht 8 3 5 2.1 0.9 5 2 1 17 7 17
10 10 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.0 2.0 3 2 4 9 18 11
11 12 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 3 3 1 12 9 12
12 5 Groningen 8 4 4 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14
13 7 Twente 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 4 2 2 12 10 14
14 13 For Sittard 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 4 2 2 12 10 14
15 17 NAC Breda 8 4 4 1.1 1.1 3 2 3 9 9 11
16 3 Ajax 9 6 3 1.7 0.8 6 1 2 15 7 19
17 11 Zwolle 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 4 1 3 7 11 13
18 14 Excelsior 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 3 0 5 6 9 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Nijmegen 9 2 7 2.2 1.9 3 3 3 20 17 12
2 11 Zwolle 8 1 7 1.6 3.1 1 3 4 13 25 6
3 16 Heracles 9 2 7 0.9 2.6 1 1 7 8 23 4
4 2 Feyenoord 8 2 6 2.5 1.1 5 1 2 20 9 16
5 3 Ajax 7 1 6 2.1 1.9 2 4 1 15 13 10
6 9 Heerenveen 9 3 6 1.6 1.3 3 2 4 14 12 11
7 12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 1.4 2.1 1 3 5 13 19 6
8 14 Excelsior 7 1 6 1.1 2.4 2 1 4 8 17 7
9 15 Volendam 8 2 6 0.6 2.4 0 2 6 5 19 2
10 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 3 5 3.0 0.9 8 0 0 24 7 24
11 17 NAC Breda 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
12 5 Groningen 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 4 0 4 10 14 12
13 6 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 4 1 3 10 9 13
14 8 Utrecht 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 1 3 4 10 14 6
15 10 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 3 0 4 8 13 9
16 13 For Sittard 8 4 4 1.1 2.0 1 1 6 9 16 4
17 7 Twente 8 5 3 1.6 1.2 2 4 2 13 10 10
18 18 Telstar 7 6 1 0.6 1.1 1 2 4 4 8 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38