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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Excelsior

Full time · half time 4–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.14 fair 1.49
Draw 8.50 fair 5.88
Away 15.00 fair 6.22
Under 2.5 4.00 fair 3.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.25 fair 1.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

PSV Eindhoven Excelsior
16 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 4
10 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (154 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.52
Expected goals 2.62 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
PSV EindhovenDrawExcelsior
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9% 3–1 7.8% 2–0 7.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.71points / match
3.06scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 52:21
Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.00scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:27
PSV Eindhoven all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

3.06 Goals scored 1.00
1.24 Goals conceded 1.69
4.29 Total goals 2.69
17.59 Shots 12.13
7.24 Shots on target 4.25
12.35 Shots faced 16.50
6.59 Corners 4.06
4.29 Corners against 5.19
10.88 Fouls 13.94
1.41 Yellow cards 1.56
1.59 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

88% Wins 38%
6% Draws 6%
6% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
94% Over 1.5 goals 75%
76% Over 2.5 goals 63%
53% Over 3.5 goals 19%
41% Over 4.5 goals 13%
35% Over 5.5 goals 0%
65% Both teams scored 56%
29% Clean sheets 19%
6% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 38%
18% Draws 38%
12% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
65% Over 1.5 goals 31%
29% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven all matches
Excelsior all matches
PSV Eindhoven before this match, at home
2.38points / match
3.25scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 26:13
Excelsior before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.14scored / match
2.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:17
PSV Eindhoven at home away Excelsior

Per match

3.25 Goals scored 1.14
1.63 Goals conceded 2.43
4.88 Total goals 3.57
21.13 Shots 12.14
7.50 Shots on target 4.57
10.50 Shots faced 15.43
7.63 Corners 4.29
3.50 Corners against 6.00
10.63 Fouls 15.00
0.88 Yellow cards 1.57
1.63 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

75% Wins 29%
13% Draws 14%
13% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
88% Over 2.5 goals 86%
63% Over 3.5 goals 43%
50% Over 4.5 goals 29%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 71%
13% Clean sheets 0%
13% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 29%
25% Draws 29%
13% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
75% Over 1.5 goals 43%
38% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven at home
Excelsior away

Last 10 matches before this match

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 4.504.101.70 1.48 2.60
13.12.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–3 (2–1) 1.1311.0015.00 1.18 4.50
06.12.25 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–2) 4.505.001.57 1.30 3.50
30.11.25 PSV Eindhoven – Volendam 3–0 (2–0) 1.109.5021.00 1.17 5.00
22.11.25 NAC Breda – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.751.33 1.36 3.10
09.11.25 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–3) 3.004.002.10 1.40 2.88
31.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 5–2 (3–0) 1.148.0013.00 1.29 3.60
26.10.25 Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven 2–3 (0–1) 2.453.802.60 1.44 2.70
18.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 (1–0) 1.277.008.00 1.22 4.20
04.10.25 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.40 2.88

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.65 2.20
05.12.25 Excelsior – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Excelsior – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.70 2.10
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
01.11.25 Telstar – Excelsior 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.15
26.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 2–0 (0–0) 1.804.203.90 1.50 2.50
19.10.25 Excelsior – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.08
04.10.25 Heerenveen – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.604.335.00 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60

PSV Eindhoven at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–3 (2–1) 1.1311.0015.00 1.18 4.50
30.11.25 PSV Eindhoven – Volendam 3–0 (2–0) 1.109.5021.00 1.17 5.00
31.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 5–2 (3–0) 1.148.0013.00 1.29 3.60
18.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 (1–0) 1.277.008.00 1.22 4.20
21.09.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 1.734.004.50 1.40 2.88
30.08.25 PSV Eindhoven – Telstar 0–2 (0–1) 1.0812.0019.00 1.18 4.50
23.08.25 PSV Eindhoven – Groningen 4–2 (1–1) 1.188.0012.00 1.30 3.50
09.08.25 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 6–1 (3–0) 1.207.5011.00 1.40 2.88
14.05.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–1 (4–0) 1.0712.0029.00 1.22 4.20
03.05.25 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 4–1 (2–0) 1.119.0021.00 1.19 4.20

Excelsior away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
01.11.25 Telstar – Excelsior 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.15
26.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 2–0 (0–0) 1.804.203.90 1.50 2.50
04.10.25 Heerenveen – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.604.335.00 1.53 2.40
20.09.25 Volendam – Excelsior 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.53 2.40
24.08.25 Utrecht – Excelsior 4–1 (2–0) 1.425.256.25 1.40 2.88
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08
19.05.24 Feyenoord – Excelsior 4–0 (0–0) 1.257.009.00 1.22 4.20
24.04.24 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88
06.04.24 Zwolle – Excelsior 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.753.60 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

PSV Eindhoven winsDrawsExcelsior wins
5matches
4.00goals / match
80%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25N1 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
02.04.24N1 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 12.008.501.18 1.25 4.00
13.01.24N1 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.0712.0021.00 1.18 4.50
08.04.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 4–0 (1–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.25 4.00
28.08.22N1 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–6 (0–3) 9.006.501.28 1.30 3.50

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 17 15 1 1 52 21 +31 46
2 Feyenoord 17 11 2 4 42 21 +21 35
3 Ajax 17 8 6 3 32 22 +10 30
4 Nijmegen 17 8 5 4 43 29 +14 29
5 AZ Alkmaar 17 8 4 5 32 28 +4 28
6 Groningen 17 8 3 6 25 22 +3 27
7 Twente 18 6 8 4 27 22 +5 26
8 Utrecht 17 6 5 6 28 23 +5 23
9 Heerenveen 17 6 5 6 29 26 +3 23
10 Sparta Rotterdam 17 7 2 8 18 31 -13 23
11 For Sittard 17 6 3 8 25 29 -4 21
12 Zwolle 18 5 5 8 22 39 -17 20
13 Go Ahead Eagles 17 4 7 6 26 29 -3 19
14 Excelsior 16 6 1 9 16 27 -11 19
15 Telstar 17 3 6 8 20 27 -7 15
16 Volendam 18 3 5 10 19 32 -13 14
17 Heracles 17 4 2 11 26 44 -18 14
18 NAC Breda 17 3 4 10 16 26 -10 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 26 13 +13 19
2 Feyenoord 9 6 1 2 22 12 +10 19
3 Ajax 9 6 1 2 15 7 +8 19
4 Nijmegen 8 5 2 1 23 12 +11 17
5 Utrecht 9 5 2 2 18 9 +9 17
6 For Sittard 9 5 2 2 16 13 +3 17
7 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 3 1 19 15 +4 15
8 Twente 9 4 3 2 13 11 +2 15
9 Groningen 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14
10 Go Ahead Eagles 8 3 4 1 13 10 +3 13
11 Zwolle 8 4 1 3 7 11 -4 13
12 Volendam 9 3 3 3 14 12 +2 12
13 Heerenveen 8 3 3 2 15 14 +1 12
14 Excelsior 9 4 0 5 8 10 -2 12
15 NAC Breda 9 3 2 4 9 10 -1 11
16 Sparta Rotterdam 9 3 2 4 9 18 -9 11
17 Heracles 8 3 1 4 18 21 -3 10
18 Telstar 9 1 4 4 15 19 -4 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 26 8 +18 27
2 Feyenoord 8 5 1 2 20 9 +11 16
3 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 13 13 0 13
4 Groningen 9 4 1 4 11 15 -4 13
5 Nijmegen 9 3 3 3 20 17 +3 12
6 Sparta Rotterdam 8 4 0 4 9 13 -4 12
7 Twente 9 2 5 2 14 11 +3 11
8 Ajax 8 2 5 1 17 15 +2 11
9 Heerenveen 9 3 2 4 14 12 +2 11
10 Telstar 8 2 2 4 5 8 -3 8
11 Excelsior 7 2 1 4 8 17 -9 7
12 Zwolle 10 1 4 5 15 28 -13 7
13 Utrecht 8 1 3 4 10 14 -4 6
14 Go Ahead Eagles 9 1 3 5 13 19 -6 6
15 For Sittard 8 1 1 6 9 16 -7 4
16 Heracles 9 1 1 7 8 23 -15 4
17 NAC Breda 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
18 Volendam 9 0 2 7 5 20 -15 2

PSV Eindhoven   Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Nijmegen 17 3 14 2.5 1.7 8 5 4 43 29 29
2 17 Heracles 17 3 14 1.5 2.6 4 2 11 26 44 14
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 17 4 13 3.1 1.2 15 1 1 52 21 46
4 5 AZ Alkmaar 17 5 12 1.9 1.6 8 4 5 32 28 28
5 9 Heerenveen 17 5 12 1.7 1.5 6 5 6 29 26 23
6 16 Volendam 18 6 12 1.1 1.8 3 5 10 19 32 14
7 2 Feyenoord 17 6 11 2.5 1.2 11 2 4 42 21 35
8 12 Zwolle 18 7 11 1.2 2.2 5 5 8 22 39 20
9 13 Go Ahead Eagles 17 6 11 1.5 1.7 4 7 6 26 29 19
10 3 Ajax 17 7 10 1.9 1.3 8 6 3 32 22 30
11 8 Utrecht 17 7 10 1.6 1.4 6 5 6 28 23 23
12 14 Excelsior 16 6 10 1.0 1.7 6 1 9 16 27 19
13 10 Sparta Rotterdam 17 8 9 1.1 1.8 7 2 8 18 31 23
14 11 For Sittard 17 8 9 1.5 1.7 6 3 8 25 29 21
15 18 NAC Breda 17 8 9 0.9 1.5 3 4 10 16 26 13
16 6 Groningen 17 9 8 1.5 1.3 8 3 6 25 22 27
17 15 Telstar 17 9 8 1.2 1.6 3 6 8 20 27 15
18 7 Twente 18 11 7 1.5 1.2 6 8 4 27 22 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 1 7 3.2 1.6 6 1 1 26 13 19
2 4 Nijmegen 8 1 7 2.9 1.5 5 2 1 23 12 17
3 5 AZ Alkmaar 8 1 7 2.4 1.9 4 3 1 19 15 15
4 15 Telstar 9 2 7 1.7 2.1 1 4 4 15 19 7
5 17 Heracles 8 1 7 2.2 2.6 3 1 4 18 21 10
6 8 Utrecht 9 3 6 2.0 1.0 5 2 2 18 9 17
7 9 Heerenveen 8 2 6 1.9 1.8 3 3 2 15 14 12
8 16 Volendam 9 3 6 1.6 1.3 3 3 3 14 12 12
9 2 Feyenoord 9 4 5 2.4 1.3 6 1 2 22 12 19
10 10 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.0 2.0 3 2 4 9 18 11
11 11 For Sittard 9 4 5 1.8 1.4 5 2 2 16 13 17
12 13 Go Ahead Eagles 8 3 5 1.6 1.2 3 4 1 13 10 13
13 6 Groningen 8 4 4 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14
14 7 Twente 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 3 2 13 11 15
15 14 Excelsior 9 5 4 0.9 1.1 4 0 5 8 10 12
16 18 NAC Breda 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 3 2 4 9 10 11
17 3 Ajax 9 6 3 1.7 0.8 6 1 2 15 7 19
18 12 Zwolle 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 4 1 3 7 11 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Zwolle 10 2 8 1.5 2.8 1 4 5 15 28 7
2 3 Ajax 8 1 7 2.1 1.9 2 5 1 17 15 11
3 4 Nijmegen 9 2 7 2.2 1.9 3 3 3 20 17 12
4 17 Heracles 9 2 7 0.9 2.6 1 1 7 8 23 4
5 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 3 6 2.9 0.9 9 0 0 26 8 27
6 2 Feyenoord 8 2 6 2.5 1.1 5 1 2 20 9 16
7 9 Heerenveen 9 3 6 1.6 1.3 3 2 4 14 12 11
8 13 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 1.4 2.1 1 3 5 13 19 6
9 14 Excelsior 7 1 6 1.1 2.4 2 1 4 8 17 7
10 16 Volendam 9 3 6 0.6 2.2 0 2 7 5 20 2
11 5 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 1.4 1.4 4 1 4 13 13 13
12 18 NAC Breda 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
13 6 Groningen 9 5 4 1.2 1.7 4 1 4 11 15 13
14 8 Utrecht 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 1 3 4 10 14 6
15 10 Sparta Rotterdam 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 4 0 4 9 13 12
16 11 For Sittard 8 4 4 1.1 2.0 1 1 6 9 16 4
17 7 Twente 9 6 3 1.6 1.2 2 5 2 14 11 11
18 15 Telstar 8 7 1 0.6 1.0 2 2 4 5 8 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51