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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.50 fair 1.76
Draw 4.75 fair 4.94
Away 5.50 fair 4.38
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 3.20
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

PSV Eindhoven Utrecht
19 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 7
8 Corners 3
6 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (252 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.52
Expected goals 2.20 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
PSV EindhovenDrawUtrecht
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.4% 1–1 8.5% 2–0 7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.43points / match
2.79scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 78:37
Utrecht before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.50scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 42:31
PSV Eindhoven all matches all matches Utrecht

Per match

2.79 Goals scored 1.50
1.32 Goals conceded 1.11
4.11 Total goals 2.61
17.82 Shots 14.86
7.29 Shots on target 5.21
11.79 Shots faced 12.43
7.39 Corners 5.25
4.21 Corners against 4.39
10.46 Fouls 10.96
1.39 Yellow cards 1.50
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

79% Wins 39%
7% Draws 29%
14% Losses 32%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
96% Over 1.5 goals 79%
86% Over 2.5 goals 46%
54% Over 3.5 goals 29%
32% Over 4.5 goals 11%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 61%
21% Clean sheets 25%
4% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 43%
25% Draws 25%
21% Losses 32%
96% Over 0.5 goals 82%
68% Over 1.5 goals 32%
36% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven all matches
Utrecht all matches
PSV Eindhoven before this match, at home
2.29points / match
3.07scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 43:21
Utrecht before this match, away
1.21points / match
1.36scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:19
PSV Eindhoven at home away Utrecht

Per match

3.07 Goals scored 1.36
1.50 Goals conceded 1.36
4.57 Total goals 2.71
19.64 Shots 13.57
7.14 Shots on target 5.14
10.71 Shots faced 13.86
7.57 Corners 5.50
3.93 Corners against 4.36
10.21 Fouls 11.36
1.21 Yellow cards 1.79
1.71 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

71% Wins 29%
14% Draws 36%
14% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
100% Over 1.5 goals 86%
93% Over 2.5 goals 50%
64% Over 3.5 goals 29%
43% Over 4.5 goals 14%
36% Over 5.5 goals 0%
79% Both teams scored 71%
14% Clean sheets 21%
7% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 29%
29% Draws 29%
21% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 79%
86% Over 1.5 goals 36%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven at home
Utrecht away

Last 10 matches before this match

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Telstar – PSV Eindhoven 3–1 (1–0) 5.755.501.44 1.33 3.40
14.03.26 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 2–3 (1–2) 1.454.756.00 1.29 3.60
07.03.26 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.508.00 1.33 3.40
28.02.26 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (0–3) 8.006.501.29 1.30 3.50
21.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
13.02.26 Volendam – PSV Eindhoven 2–1 (0–0) 10.006.501.25 1.33 3.40
08.02.26 Groningen – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 3.804.331.80 1.50 2.50
01.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord 3–0 (3–0) 1.734.204.20 1.40 2.88
24.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 2–2 (1–2) 1.256.509.50 1.40 2.88
17.01.26 For Sittard – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 7.505.501.36 1.40 2.88

Utrecht all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (2–0) 1.753.605.00 1.67 2.15
15.03.26 Twente – Utrecht 0–2 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.67 2.15
06.03.26 Heracles – Utrecht 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 1.83 1.98
01.03.26 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.603.10 1.70 2.10
22.02.26 Utrecht – Zwolle 1–1 (1–0) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.08
14.02.26 Groningen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.00 1.80
11.02.26 Nijmegen – Utrecht 1–3 (0–2) 1.733.904.75 1.62 2.25
08.02.26 Utrecht – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.70 2.10
01.02.26 Heerenveen – Utrecht 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.753.90 1.67 2.15
25.01.26 Utrecht – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15

PSV Eindhoven at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 2–3 (1–2) 1.454.756.00 1.29 3.60
07.03.26 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.508.00 1.33 3.40
21.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
01.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord 3–0 (3–0) 1.734.204.20 1.40 2.88
24.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 2–2 (1–2) 1.256.509.50 1.40 2.88
10.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 5–1 (4–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.25 4.00
13.12.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–3 (2–1) 1.1311.0015.00 1.18 4.50
30.11.25 PSV Eindhoven – Volendam 3–0 (2–0) 1.109.5021.00 1.17 5.00
31.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 5–2 (3–0) 1.148.0013.00 1.29 3.60
18.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 (1–0) 1.277.008.00 1.22 4.20

Utrecht away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Twente – Utrecht 0–2 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.67 2.15
06.03.26 Heracles – Utrecht 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 1.83 1.98
14.02.26 Groningen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.00 1.80
11.02.26 Nijmegen – Utrecht 1–3 (0–2) 1.733.904.75 1.62 2.25
01.02.26 Heerenveen – Utrecht 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.753.90 1.67 2.15
18.01.26 Volendam – Utrecht 2–1 (2–0) 4.333.751.80 1.73 2.08
14.12.25 NAC Breda – Utrecht 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.402.60 1.85 1.95
30.11.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Utrecht 2–2 (0–1) 2.883.502.35 1.65 2.20
23.11.25 Telstar – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.752.10 1.70 2.10
26.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

PSV Eindhoven winsDrawsUtrecht wins
9matches
3.89goals / match
67%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25N1 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 4.504.101.70 1.48 2.60
15.02.25N1 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 2–2 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.40 2.88
01.12.24N1 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 2–5 (1–1) 6.504.331.50 1.53 2.40
21.01.24N1 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (0–1) 8.005.501.33 1.40 2.88
12.08.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.50 2.50
19.02.23N1 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 2–2 (1–1) 3.804.001.85 1.57 2.35
16.10.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 6–1 (3–1) 1.365.007.50 1.44 2.70
13.03.22N1 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.601.90 1.70 2.10
04.12.21N1 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 4–1 (2–1) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.40

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 28 22 2 4 78 37 +41 68
2 Feyenoord 28 16 5 7 61 40 +21 53
3 Nijmegen 28 14 8 6 69 47 +22 50
4 Ajax 28 12 12 4 53 35 +18 48
5 Twente 28 12 11 5 47 30 +17 47
6 AZ Alkmaar 28 12 6 10 47 45 +2 42
7 Utrecht 28 11 8 9 42 31 +11 41
8 Heerenveen 28 11 8 9 49 46 +3 41
9 Sparta Rotterdam 28 12 5 11 35 47 -12 41
10 Groningen 28 11 5 12 40 37 +3 38
11 For Sittard 28 10 5 13 43 52 -9 35
12 Zwolle 28 8 9 11 38 53 -15 33
13 Go Ahead Eagles 28 7 11 10 45 45 0 32
14 Telstar 28 6 9 13 38 46 -8 27
15 Volendam 28 7 6 15 30 48 -18 27
16 Excelsior 28 7 6 15 29 47 -18 27
17 NAC Breda 28 5 8 15 29 50 -21 23
18 Heracles 28 5 4 19 33 70 -37 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 2 2 43 21 +22 32
2 Feyenoord 15 10 2 3 35 21 +14 32
3 Ajax 14 9 3 2 28 11 +17 30
4 Nijmegen 14 8 3 3 37 22 +15 27
5 Twente 14 7 4 3 22 14 +8 25
6 Utrecht 14 7 3 4 23 12 +11 24
7 Zwolle 14 7 3 4 18 17 +1 24
8 AZ Alkmaar 13 6 5 2 29 21 +8 23
9 Heerenveen 14 6 5 3 27 22 +5 23
10 Volendam 14 6 4 4 23 19 +4 22
11 Sparta Rotterdam 14 6 4 4 17 20 -3 22
12 Groningen 14 6 3 5 23 14 +9 21
13 Go Ahead Eagles 14 5 6 3 28 20 +8 21
14 For Sittard 14 6 3 5 23 24 -1 21
15 NAC Breda 14 4 4 6 18 21 -3 16
16 Heracles 14 4 3 7 22 29 -7 15
17 Telstar 14 3 5 6 24 25 -1 14
18 Excelsior 14 4 2 8 14 19 -5 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 14 12 0 2 35 16 +19 36
2 Nijmegen 14 6 5 3 32 25 +7 23
3 Twente 14 5 7 2 25 16 +9 22
4 Feyenoord 13 6 3 4 26 19 +7 21
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 1 8 18 24 -6 19
6 Sparta Rotterdam 14 6 1 7 18 27 -9 19
7 Ajax 14 3 9 2 25 24 +1 18
8 Heerenveen 14 5 3 6 22 24 -2 18
9 Utrecht 14 4 5 5 19 19 0 17
10 Groningen 14 5 2 7 17 23 -6 17
11 For Sittard 14 4 2 8 20 28 -8 14
12 Telstar 14 3 4 7 14 21 -7 13
13 Excelsior 14 3 4 7 15 28 -13 13
14 Go Ahead Eagles 14 2 5 7 17 25 -8 11
15 Zwolle 14 1 6 7 20 36 -16 9
16 NAC Breda 14 1 4 9 11 29 -18 7
17 Volendam 14 1 2 11 7 29 -22 5
18 Heracles 14 1 1 12 11 41 -30 4

PSV Eindhoven   Utrecht

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 28 4 24 2.8 1.3 22 2 4 78 37 68
2 3 Nijmegen 28 5 23 2.5 1.7 14 8 6 69 47 50
3 8 Heerenveen 28 7 21 1.8 1.6 11 8 9 49 46 41
4 11 For Sittard 28 8 20 1.5 1.9 10 5 13 43 52 35
5 18 Heracles 28 8 20 1.2 2.5 5 4 19 33 70 19
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 28 9 19 1.7 1.6 12 6 10 47 45 42
7 2 Feyenoord 28 10 18 2.2 1.4 16 5 7 61 40 53
8 15 Volendam 28 10 18 1.1 1.7 7 6 15 30 48 27
9 12 Zwolle 28 11 17 1.4 1.9 8 9 11 38 53 33
10 13 Go Ahead Eagles 28 11 17 1.6 1.6 7 11 10 45 45 32
11 16 Excelsior 28 11 17 1.0 1.7 7 6 15 29 47 27
12 4 Ajax 28 12 16 1.9 1.2 12 12 4 53 35 48
13 14 Telstar 28 12 16 1.4 1.6 6 9 13 38 46 27
14 17 NAC Breda 28 12 16 1.0 1.8 5 8 15 29 50 23
15 10 Groningen 28 13 15 1.4 1.3 11 5 12 40 37 38
16 9 Sparta Rotterdam 28 14 14 1.2 1.7 12 5 11 35 47 41
17 7 Utrecht 28 15 13 1.5 1.1 11 8 9 42 31 41
18 5 Twente 28 16 12 1.7 1.1 12 11 5 47 30 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 14 1 13 3.1 1.5 10 2 2 43 21 32
2 3 Nijmegen 14 1 13 2.6 1.6 8 3 3 37 22 27
3 6 AZ Alkmaar 13 3 10 2.2 1.6 6 5 2 29 21 23
4 8 Heerenveen 14 4 10 1.9 1.6 6 5 3 27 22 23
5 11 For Sittard 14 4 10 1.6 1.7 6 3 5 23 24 21
6 13 Go Ahead Eagles 14 4 10 2.0 1.4 5 6 3 28 20 21
7 14 Telstar 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 3 5 6 24 25 14
8 15 Volendam 14 4 10 1.6 1.4 6 4 4 23 19 22
9 2 Feyenoord 15 6 9 2.3 1.4 10 2 3 35 21 32
10 10 Groningen 14 5 9 1.6 1.0 6 3 5 23 14 21
11 18 Heracles 14 5 9 1.6 2.1 4 3 7 22 29 15
12 16 Excelsior 14 6 8 1.0 1.4 4 2 8 14 19 14
13 12 Zwolle 14 7 7 1.3 1.2 7 3 4 18 17 24
14 17 NAC Breda 14 7 7 1.3 1.5 4 4 6 18 21 16
15 4 Ajax 14 8 6 2.0 0.8 9 3 2 28 11 30
16 5 Twente 14 8 6 1.6 1.0 7 4 3 22 14 25
17 7 Utrecht 14 8 6 1.6 0.9 7 3 4 23 12 24
18 9 Sparta Rotterdam 14 9 5 1.2 1.4 6 4 4 17 20 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 14 3 11 2.5 1.1 12 0 2 35 16 36
2 8 Heerenveen 14 3 11 1.6 1.7 5 3 6 22 24 18
3 18 Heracles 14 3 11 0.8 2.9 1 1 12 11 41 4
4 3 Nijmegen 14 4 10 2.3 1.8 6 5 3 32 25 23
5 4 Ajax 14 4 10 1.8 1.7 3 9 2 25 24 18
6 11 For Sittard 14 4 10 1.4 2.0 4 2 8 20 28 14
7 12 Zwolle 14 4 10 1.4 2.6 1 6 7 20 36 9
8 2 Feyenoord 13 4 9 2.0 1.5 6 3 4 26 19 21
9 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.2 1.6 6 1 8 18 24 19
10 9 Sparta Rotterdam 14 5 9 1.3 1.9 6 1 7 18 27 19
11 16 Excelsior 14 5 9 1.1 2.0 3 4 7 15 28 13
12 17 NAC Breda 14 5 9 0.8 2.1 1 4 9 11 29 7
13 15 Volendam 14 6 8 0.5 2.1 1 2 11 7 29 5
14 7 Utrecht 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 4 5 5 19 19 17
15 13 Go Ahead Eagles 14 7 7 1.2 1.8 2 5 7 17 25 11
16 5 Twente 14 8 6 1.8 1.1 5 7 2 25 16 22
17 10 Groningen 14 8 6 1.2 1.6 5 2 7 17 23 17
18 14 Telstar 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 3 4 7 14 21 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40