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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

PSV Eindhoven 2–1 AZ Alkmaar

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.59
Draw 5.50 fair 5.56
Away 8.00 fair 5.27
Under 2.5 3.40 fair 3.91
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.33 fair 1.34

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar
19 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 6
7 Fouls 4
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (227 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.47
Expected goals 2.53 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.9% 3–1 7.5% 1–1 7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.60points / match
2.92scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 73:30
AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.68scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 42:40
PSV Eindhoven all matches all matches AZ Alkmaar

Per match

2.92 Goals scored 1.68
1.20 Goals conceded 1.60
4.12 Total goals 3.28
18.00 Shots 15.36
7.28 Shots on target 5.80
11.48 Shots faced 12.40
7.32 Corners 5.44
4.16 Corners against 4.44
10.96 Fouls 10.68
1.44 Yellow cards 2.32
1.60 1st-half goals scored 0.84
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.84

How often Full Time

84% Wins 44%
8% Draws 24%
8% Losses 32%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
96% Over 1.5 goals 80%
84% Over 2.5 goals 64%
52% Over 3.5 goals 48%
32% Over 4.5 goals 20%
28% Over 5.5 goals 12%
72% Both teams scored 72%
24% Clean sheets 20%
4% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 28%
24% Draws 44%
16% Losses 28%
96% Over 0.5 goals 72%
68% Over 1.5 goals 60%
36% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven all matches
AZ Alkmaar all matches
PSV Eindhoven before this match, at home
2.42points / match
3.25scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 39:17
AZ Alkmaar before this match, away
1.46points / match
1.31scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 17:19
PSV Eindhoven at home away AZ Alkmaar

Per match

3.25 Goals scored 1.31
1.42 Goals conceded 1.46
4.67 Total goals 2.77
20.33 Shots 15.08
7.17 Shots on target 5.69
10.00 Shots faced 12.77
7.83 Corners 5.38
3.50 Corners against 4.69
10.67 Fouls 11.85
1.25 Yellow cards 2.69
1.83 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

75% Wins 46%
17% Draws 8%
8% Losses 46%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 69%
92% Over 2.5 goals 54%
67% Over 3.5 goals 31%
42% Over 4.5 goals 8%
42% Over 5.5 goals 8%
75% Both teams scored 54%
17% Clean sheets 31%
8% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 8%
25% Draws 54%
17% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 69%
83% Over 1.5 goals 54%
50% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven at home
AZ Alkmaar away

Last 10 matches before this match

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (0–3) 8.006.501.29 1.30 3.50
21.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
13.02.26 Volendam – PSV Eindhoven 2–1 (0–0) 10.006.501.25 1.33 3.40
08.02.26 Groningen – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 3.804.331.80 1.50 2.50
01.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord 3–0 (3–0) 1.734.204.20 1.40 2.88
24.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 2–2 (1–2) 1.256.509.50 1.40 2.88
17.01.26 For Sittard – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 7.505.501.36 1.40 2.88
10.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 5–1 (4–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.25 4.00
21.12.25 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 4.504.101.70 1.48 2.60
13.12.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–3 (2–1) 1.1311.0015.00 1.18 4.50

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.603.10 1.70 2.10
22.02.26 AZ Alkmaar – Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.70 1.62 2.25
14.02.26 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.702.00 1.65 2.20
08.02.26 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.803.00 1.57 2.35
31.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–3 (1–2) 1.804.103.90 1.44 2.70
25.01.26 Telstar – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.53 2.40
21.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 5.754.331.53 1.53 2.40
10.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Volendam 1–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.30 3.50
21.12.25 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 4–3 (2–2) 4.203.801.80 1.57 2.35

PSV Eindhoven at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
01.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord 3–0 (3–0) 1.734.204.20 1.40 2.88
24.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 2–2 (1–2) 1.256.509.50 1.40 2.88
10.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 5–1 (4–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.25 4.00
13.12.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–3 (2–1) 1.1311.0015.00 1.18 4.50
30.11.25 PSV Eindhoven – Volendam 3–0 (2–0) 1.109.5021.00 1.17 5.00
31.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 5–2 (3–0) 1.148.0013.00 1.29 3.60
18.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 (1–0) 1.277.008.00 1.22 4.20
21.09.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 1.734.004.50 1.40 2.88
30.08.25 PSV Eindhoven – Telstar 0–2 (0–1) 1.0812.0019.00 1.18 4.50

AZ Alkmaar away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.603.10 1.70 2.10
14.02.26 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.702.00 1.65 2.20
25.01.26 Telstar – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.53 2.40
17.01.26 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 5.754.331.53 1.53 2.40
21.12.25 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 4–3 (2–2) 4.203.801.80 1.57 2.35
30.11.25 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.703.00 1.57 2.35
23.11.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 2.884.002.20 1.50 2.50
02.11.25 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
18.10.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.903.40 1.57 2.35
28.09.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–0) 3.004.102.10 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

PSV Eindhoven winsDrawsAZ Alkmaar wins
9matches
3.67goals / match
89%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–3) 3.004.002.10 1.40 2.88
11.01.25N1 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
19.10.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–2) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
06.04.24N1 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 5–1 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.60 2.30
17.12.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–3) 4.203.751.83 1.70 2.10
28.05.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–0) 2.633.752.45 1.53 2.40
12.11.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.50 1.47 2.60
05.02.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 1.604.205.25 1.70 2.10
11.09.21N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–3 (0–1) 3.254.002.00 1.60 2.30

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 25 21 2 2 73 30 +43 65
2 Feyenoord 25 15 3 7 55 35 +20 48
3 Ajax 26 11 11 4 48 34 +14 44
4 Nijmegen 25 12 7 6 61 43 +18 43
5 Twente 25 10 11 4 41 26 +15 41
6 AZ Alkmaar 25 11 6 8 42 40 +2 39
7 Sparta Rotterdam 25 11 4 10 32 42 -10 37
8 Utrecht 26 9 8 9 38 31 +7 35
9 Groningen 26 10 4 12 36 36 0 34
10 Heerenveen 25 9 7 9 42 43 -1 34
11 For Sittard 25 9 5 11 39 45 -6 32
12 Go Ahead Eagles 25 6 11 8 38 39 -1 29
13 Zwolle 25 7 7 11 34 50 -16 28
14 Volendam 25 7 6 12 29 41 -12 27
15 Excelsior 25 7 5 13 26 42 -16 26
16 NAC Breda 25 5 7 13 25 39 -14 22
17 Telstar 25 4 9 12 31 41 -10 21
18 Heracles 26 5 3 18 32 65 -33 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 9 2 1 39 17 +22 29
2 Feyenoord 13 9 1 3 32 19 +13 28
3 Ajax 13 8 3 2 24 11 +13 27
4 Twente 13 7 4 2 22 12 +10 25
5 Nijmegen 12 7 2 3 32 20 +12 23
6 Volendam 13 6 4 3 22 17 +5 22
7 Utrecht 13 6 3 4 21 12 +9 21
8 For Sittard 12 6 3 3 21 18 +3 21
9 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 5 2 25 21 +4 20
10 Heerenveen 13 5 5 3 24 22 +2 20
11 Zwolle 12 6 2 4 15 15 0 20
12 Groningen 13 5 3 5 20 14 +6 18
13 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 6 2 21 16 +5 18
14 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 3 4 14 19 -5 18
15 NAC Breda 13 4 3 6 15 18 -3 15
16 Excelsior 13 4 2 7 13 17 -4 14
17 Heracles 13 4 2 7 21 28 -7 14
18 Telstar 13 2 5 6 21 24 -3 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 12 0 1 34 13 +21 36
2 Feyenoord 12 6 2 4 23 16 +7 20
3 Nijmegen 13 5 5 3 29 23 +6 20
4 AZ Alkmaar 13 6 1 6 17 19 -2 19
5 Sparta Rotterdam 13 6 1 6 18 23 -5 19
6 Ajax 13 3 8 2 24 23 +1 17
7 Twente 12 3 7 2 19 14 +5 16
8 Groningen 13 5 1 7 16 22 -6 16
9 Utrecht 13 3 5 5 17 19 -2 14
10 Heerenveen 12 4 2 6 18 21 -3 14
11 Excelsior 12 3 3 6 13 25 -12 12
12 Go Ahead Eagles 13 2 5 6 17 23 -6 11
13 For Sittard 13 3 2 8 18 27 -9 11
14 Telstar 12 2 4 6 10 17 -7 10
15 Zwolle 13 1 5 7 19 35 -16 8
16 NAC Breda 12 1 4 7 10 21 -11 7
17 Volendam 12 1 2 9 7 24 -17 5
18 Heracles 13 1 1 11 11 37 -26 4

PSV Eindhoven   AZ Alkmaar

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 25 4 21 2.9 1.2 21 2 2 73 30 65
2 4 Nijmegen 25 5 20 2.4 1.7 12 7 6 61 43 43
3 18 Heracles 26 7 19 1.2 2.5 5 3 18 32 65 18
4 10 Heerenveen 25 7 18 1.7 1.7 9 7 9 42 43 34
5 11 For Sittard 25 8 17 1.6 1.8 9 5 11 39 45 32
6 2 Feyenoord 25 9 16 2.2 1.4 15 3 7 55 35 48
7 6 AZ Alkmaar 25 9 16 1.7 1.6 11 6 8 42 40 39
8 13 Zwolle 25 9 16 1.4 2.0 7 7 11 34 50 28
9 14 Volendam 25 9 16 1.2 1.6 7 6 12 29 41 27
10 3 Ajax 26 11 15 1.8 1.3 11 11 4 48 34 44
11 12 Go Ahead Eagles 25 10 15 1.5 1.6 6 11 8 38 39 29
12 15 Excelsior 25 10 15 1.0 1.7 7 5 13 26 42 26
13 9 Groningen 26 12 14 1.4 1.4 10 4 12 36 36 34
14 7 Sparta Rotterdam 25 12 13 1.3 1.7 11 4 10 32 42 37
15 8 Utrecht 26 13 13 1.5 1.2 9 8 9 38 31 35
16 16 NAC Breda 25 12 13 1.0 1.6 5 7 13 25 39 22
17 17 Telstar 25 12 13 1.2 1.6 4 9 12 31 41 21
18 5 Twente 25 15 10 1.6 1.0 10 11 4 41 26 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 12 1 11 3.2 1.4 9 2 1 39 17 29
2 4 Nijmegen 12 1 11 2.7 1.7 7 2 3 32 20 23
3 6 AZ Alkmaar 12 3 9 2.1 1.8 5 5 2 25 21 20
4 10 Heerenveen 13 4 9 1.8 1.7 5 5 3 24 22 20
5 14 Volendam 13 4 9 1.7 1.3 6 4 3 22 17 22
6 17 Telstar 13 4 9 1.6 1.8 2 5 6 21 24 11
7 18 Heracles 13 4 9 1.6 2.2 4 2 7 21 28 14
8 2 Feyenoord 13 5 8 2.5 1.5 9 1 3 32 19 28
9 9 Groningen 13 5 8 1.5 1.1 5 3 5 20 14 18
10 11 For Sittard 12 4 8 1.8 1.5 6 3 3 21 18 21
11 12 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 8 1.8 1.3 4 6 2 21 16 18
12 15 Excelsior 13 6 7 1.0 1.3 4 2 7 13 17 14
13 5 Twente 13 7 6 1.7 0.9 7 4 2 22 12 25
14 8 Utrecht 13 7 6 1.6 0.9 6 3 4 21 12 21
15 13 Zwolle 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 6 2 4 15 15 20
16 16 NAC Breda 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 4 3 6 15 18 15
17 3 Ajax 13 8 5 1.8 0.8 8 3 2 24 11 27
18 7 Sparta Rotterdam 12 7 5 1.2 1.6 5 3 4 14 19 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 3 10 2.6 1.0 12 0 1 34 13 36
2 3 Ajax 13 3 10 1.8 1.8 3 8 2 24 23 17
3 13 Zwolle 13 3 10 1.5 2.7 1 5 7 19 35 8
4 18 Heracles 13 3 10 0.8 2.8 1 1 11 11 37 4
5 4 Nijmegen 13 4 9 2.2 1.8 5 5 3 29 23 20
6 10 Heerenveen 12 3 9 1.5 1.8 4 2 6 18 21 14
7 11 For Sittard 13 4 9 1.4 2.1 3 2 8 18 27 11
8 2 Feyenoord 12 4 8 1.9 1.3 6 2 4 23 16 20
9 7 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 8 1.4 1.8 6 1 6 18 23 19
10 15 Excelsior 12 4 8 1.1 2.1 3 3 6 13 25 12
11 6 AZ Alkmaar 13 6 7 1.3 1.5 6 1 6 17 19 19
12 8 Utrecht 13 6 7 1.3 1.5 3 5 5 17 19 14
13 12 Go Ahead Eagles 13 6 7 1.3 1.8 2 5 6 17 23 11
14 14 Volendam 12 5 7 0.6 2.0 1 2 9 7 24 5
15 16 NAC Breda 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 1 4 7 10 21 7
16 9 Groningen 13 7 6 1.2 1.7 5 1 7 16 22 16
17 5 Twente 12 8 4 1.6 1.2 3 7 2 19 14 16
18 17 Telstar 12 8 4 0.8 1.4 2 4 6 10 17 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40