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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estoril 4–0 Casa Pia

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.45 fair 2.41
Draw 3.25 fair 3.91
Away 2.88 fair 3.03
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estoril Casa Pia
18 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 7
15 Fouls 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (90 league matches this season so far).
Result Estoril to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
EstorilDrawCasa Pia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 9.5% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches
0.70points / match
1.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:20
Casa Pia before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.80scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:9
Estoril all matches all matches Casa Pia

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.80
2.00 Goals conceded 0.90
3.50 Total goals 1.70
11.80 Shots 10.10
4.80 Shots on target 3.20
14.80 Shots faced 12.90
5.60 Corners 5.70
5.90 Corners against 5.90
13.80 Fouls 14.90
2.80 Yellow cards 2.40
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

20% Wins 20%
10% Draws 40%
70% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 20%
40% Over 3.5 goals 0%
30% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 40%
20% Clean sheets 30%
20% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 30%
60% Draws 50%
30% Losses 20%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
40% Over 1.5 goals 0%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches
Casa Pia all matches
Estoril before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5
Casa Pia before this match, away
1.60points / match
1.20scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:4
Estoril at home away Casa Pia

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.20
1.25 Goals conceded 0.80
2.50 Total goals 2.00
12.50 Shots 10.00
4.50 Shots on target 3.60
13.75 Shots faced 12.40
5.50 Corners 4.80
4.50 Corners against 6.60
15.75 Fouls 13.80
2.75 Yellow cards 2.40
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

25% Wins 40%
25% Draws 40%
50% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 20%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 40%
25% Clean sheets 40%
25% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 40%
75% Draws 40%
25% Losses 20%
25% Over 0.5 goals 60%
25% Over 1.5 goals 0%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home
Casa Pia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.23 Porto – Estoril 0–1 (0–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.40 2.88
28.10.23 Portimonense – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.402.75 1.95 1.90
07.10.23 Estoril – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 8.505.251.25 1.44 2.70
01.10.23 Guimaraes – Estoril 3–2 (0–2) 1.833.504.33 1.95 1.90
23.09.23 Estoril – Vizela 2–2 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 1.98 1.88
17.09.23 Gil Vicente – Estoril 5–3 (3–0) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
03.09.23 Estoril – Boavista 1–2 (1–2) 2.403.252.90 2.05 1.75
25.08.23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.35 1.57
20.08.23 Estoril – Rio Ave 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.65
13.08.23 Arouca – Estoril 4–3 (1–1) 2.053.203.40 2.30 1.60

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23 Casa Pia – Vizela 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 Benfica – Casa Pia 1–1 (1–0) 1.206.5012.00 1.60 2.30
08.10.23 Casa Pia – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.203.60 2.15 1.67
02.10.23 Gil Vicente – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.80
23.09.23 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.103.10 2.25 1.62
17.09.23 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.15 1.67
02.09.23 Casa Pia – Rio Ave 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.25 2.15 1.67
27.08.23 Boavista – Casa Pia 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.65
18.08.23 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 7.504.331.44 1.73 2.08
12.08.23 Farense – Casa Pia 0–3 (0–1) 2.453.102.80 2.30 1.60

Estoril at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Estoril – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 8.505.251.25 1.44 2.70
23.09.23 Estoril – Vizela 2–2 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 1.98 1.88
03.09.23 Estoril – Boavista 1–2 (1–2) 2.403.252.90 2.05 1.75
20.08.23 Estoril – Rio Ave 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.65
27.05.23 Estoril – Maritimo 3–1 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.95 1.90
15.05.23 Estoril – Arouca 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.102.80 2.20 1.65
30.04.23 Estoril – Santa Clara 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
15.04.23 Estoril – Portimonense 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.62
31.03.23 Estoril – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.55 2.02 1.83
18.03.23 Estoril – Chaves 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70

Casa Pia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Benfica – Casa Pia 1–1 (1–0) 1.206.5012.00 1.60 2.30
02.10.23 Gil Vicente – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.80
17.09.23 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.15 1.67
27.08.23 Boavista – Casa Pia 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.65
12.08.23 Farense – Casa Pia 0–3 (0–1) 2.453.102.80 2.30 1.60
27.05.23 Gil Vicente – Casa Pia 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 1.82 2.02
14.05.23 Porto – Casa Pia 2–1 (0–1) 1.176.0013.00 1.53 2.40
29.04.23 Chaves – Casa Pia 1–0 (1–0) ––– 2.20 1.65
16.04.23 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.003.40 2.70 1.44
01.04.23 Vizela – Casa Pia 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.003.40 2.30 1.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estoril winsDrawsCasa Pia wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.05.23P1 Casa Pia – Estoril 2–2 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.08 1.73
16.01.23P1 Estoril – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.102.45 2.30 1.60

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 9 1 0 22 9 +13 28 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25 WWWWDW
3 Porto 10 7 1 2 13 7 +6 22 WWLWWL
4 Sp Braga 10 6 2 2 29 18 +11 20 LWWWDW
5 Guimaraes 10 6 1 3 17 11 +6 19 LDWWWL
6 Moreirense 10 5 2 3 13 10 +3 17 LWWDWW
7 Boavista 10 4 3 3 18 17 +1 15 WLDDLL
8 Famalicao 10 4 3 3 11 10 +1 15 DWDLLW
9 Farense 10 4 1 5 17 14 +3 13 WLLDWW
10 Estrela 10 3 2 5 11 15 -4 11 LDLWWL
11 Portimonense 10 3 2 5 11 24 -13 11 WLWLWL
12 Gil Vicente 10 3 1 6 22 21 +1 10 WLWLDL
13 Casa Pia 10 2 4 4 8 9 -1 10 WDLLDL
14 Vizela 10 2 3 5 11 16 -5 9 LDLDLW
15 Rio Ave 10 2 2 6 11 18 -7 8 DLLLLW
16 Estoril 10 2 1 7 15 20 -5 7 LDLLLW
17 Chaves 10 2 1 7 12 28 -16 7 LDWWLL
18 Arouca 10 1 3 6 9 16 -7 6 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 6 6 0 0 14 5 +9 18 WWWWWW
2 Guimaraes 5 4 0 1 13 5 +8 12 WWLWW
3 Gil Vicente 5 3 1 1 17 9 +8 10 WLWWD
4 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 14 6 +8 10 LDWWW
5 Benfica 4 3 1 0 8 1 +7 10 WWWD
6 Farense 6 3 1 2 12 7 +5 10 LWWLDW
7 Famalicao 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10 DWWLW
8 Porto 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10 WDWWL
9 Boavista 5 2 2 1 10 8 +2 8 WDWDL
10 Moreirense 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7 LLWDW
11 Rio Ave 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7 WLDLLW
12 Estrela 5 2 0 3 5 7 -2 6 LWLLW
13 Estoril 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4 WLDL
14 Chaves 5 1 1 3 9 12 -3 4 LLDWL
15 Vizela 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4 DWLLL
16 Arouca 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4 WDLLL
17 Portimonense 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4 LDLW
18 Casa Pia 5 0 2 3 2 5 -3 2 LDDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 6 5 0 1 13 7 +6 15 LWWWWW
2 Porto 5 4 0 1 7 3 +4 12 WWWLW
3 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 8 4 +4 10 WDWW
4 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 15 12 +3 10 WWLWD
5 Moreirense 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10 DWLWW
6 Casa Pia 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8 WDWLD
7 Boavista 5 2 1 2 8 9 -1 7 WWLDL
8 Guimaraes 5 2 1 2 4 6 -2 7 WLDWL
9 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 7 16 -9 7 LDWWLL
10 Famalicao 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 WLDDL
11 Estrela 5 1 2 2 6 8 -2 5 LDDWL
12 Vizela 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5 LLDDW
13 Farense 4 1 0 3 5 7 -2 3 LLLW
14 Estoril 6 1 0 5 10 15 -5 3 LLLLLW
15 Chaves 5 1 0 4 3 16 -13 3 LLLWL
16 Arouca 5 0 2 3 4 8 -4 2 DDLLL
17 Rio Ave 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1 LDLL
18 Gil Vicente 5 0 0 5 5 12 -7 0 LLLLL

Estoril   Casa Pia

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 10 1 9 2.9 1.8 6 2 2 29 18 20 OOOOOO
2 12 Gil Vicente 10 2 8 2.2 2.1 3 1 6 22 21 10 OOUOOO
3 17 Chaves 10 3 7 1.2 2.8 2 1 7 12 28 7 OOUOOU
4 1 Sp Lisbon 10 4 6 2.2 0.9 9 1 0 22 9 28 OUOOUO
5 5 Guimaraes 10 4 6 1.7 1.1 6 1 3 17 11 19 OUOOOU
6 7 Boavista 10 4 6 1.8 1.7 4 3 3 18 17 15 OOOUUU
7 9 Farense 10 4 6 1.7 1.4 4 1 5 17 14 13 OUOUOU
8 11 Portimonense 10 4 6 1.1 2.4 3 2 5 11 24 11 OOOUUO
9 16 Estoril 10 4 6 1.5 2.0 2 1 7 15 20 7 OOOUUU
10 2 Benfica 10 5 5 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25 OOUUUU
11 6 Moreirense 10 5 5 1.3 1.0 5 2 3 13 10 17 OUOUUU
12 14 Vizela 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 2 3 5 11 16 9 OOOUUU
13 3 Porto 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 7 1 2 13 7 22 UOUUUU
14 8 Famalicao 10 6 4 1.1 1.0 4 3 3 11 10 15 UUOOUO
15 10 Estrela 10 6 4 1.1 1.5 3 2 5 11 15 11 UOOUUO
16 15 Rio Ave 10 6 4 1.1 1.8 2 2 6 11 18 8 UUOOOU
17 18 Arouca 10 7 3 0.9 1.6 1 3 6 9 16 6 UUUOUU
18 13 Casa Pia 10 8 2 0.8 0.9 2 4 4 8 9 10 UUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 6 0 0 14 5 18 OUOUOO
2 4 Sp Braga 5 1 4 2.8 1.2 3 1 1 14 6 10 OUOOO
3 5 Guimaraes 5 1 4 2.6 1.0 4 0 1 13 5 12 OUOOO
4 9 Farense 6 2 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 2 12 7 10 OOOOUU
5 12 Gil Vicente 5 1 4 3.4 1.8 3 1 1 17 9 10 OOOUO
6 17 Chaves 5 1 4 1.8 2.4 1 1 3 9 12 4 OOOOU
7 7 Boavista 5 2 3 2.0 1.6 2 2 1 10 8 8 OUOOU
8 14 Vizela 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4 OUOOU
9 15 Rio Ave 6 3 3 1.5 1.8 2 1 3 9 11 7 UOUOOU
10 3 Porto 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10 OUOUU
11 6 Moreirense 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7 OOUUU
12 8 Famalicao 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10 UUUOO
13 10 Estrela 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 2 0 3 5 7 6 UOUOU
14 11 Portimonense 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4 OUOU
15 16 Estoril 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4 UOOU
16 2 Benfica 4 3 1 2.0 0.2 3 1 0 8 1 10 UOUU
17 13 Casa Pia 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 0 2 3 2 5 2 OUUUU
18 18 Arouca 5 4 1 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4 OUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 5 0 5 3.0 2.4 3 1 1 15 12 10 OOOOO
2 2 Benfica 6 2 4 2.2 1.2 5 0 1 13 7 15 OOOOUU
3 11 Portimonense 6 2 4 1.2 2.7 2 1 3 7 16 7 OUOOUO
4 12 Gil Vicente 5 1 4 1.0 2.4 0 0 5 5 12 0 OUOOO
5 16 Estoril 6 2 4 1.7 2.5 1 0 5 10 15 3 OOOOUU
6 6 Moreirense 5 2 3 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10 UOOOU
7 7 Boavista 5 2 3 1.6 1.8 2 1 2 8 9 7 OOOUU
8 17 Chaves 5 2 3 0.6 3.2 1 0 4 3 16 3 UOOUO
9 1 Sp Lisbon 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 3 1 0 8 4 10 OUOU
10 3 Porto 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 4 0 1 7 3 12 OOUUU
11 5 Guimaraes 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 2 1 2 4 6 7 UOUOU
12 8 Famalicao 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 OUUOU
13 9 Farense 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 0 3 5 7 3 OUUO
14 10 Estrela 5 3 2 1.2 1.6 1 2 2 6 8 5 UUOUO
15 14 Vizela 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5 OUOUU
16 18 Arouca 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 0 2 3 4 8 2 OUUOU
17 13 Casa Pia 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8 OUUUU
18 15 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1 UUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47