Queens Park 2–3 Ayr – Scotland Championship, 4 Mar 2025

Match facts

Queens Park Ayr

6 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

4 Corners 6

4 Fouls 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).

Result Ayr to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.92

Expected goals 1.17 – 1.18

Home / Draw / Away

36% 28% 36%

Queens ParkDrawAyr

Under / Over 2.5 goals

58% 42%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.2% 0–1 11.2% 1–0 11.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Queens Park before this match, all matches

1.27points / match

1.15scored / match

1.08conceded / match

9 6 11

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 30:28

Ayr before this match, all matches

1.96points / match

1.73scored / match

0.88conceded / match

15 6 5

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 45:23

Queens Park all matches all matches Ayr

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.73

1.08 Goals conceded 0.88

2.23 Total goals 2.62

9.12 Shots 10.04

3.77 Shots on target 4.81

11.54 Shots faced 6.62

6.00 Corners 5.04

6.62 Corners against 4.85

9.27 Fouls 11.35

1.69 Yellow cards 2.08

0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.92

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

35% Wins 58%

23% Draws 23%

42% Losses 19%

92% Over 0.5 goals 96%

73% Over 1.5 goals 77%

46% Over 2.5 goals 38%

8% Over 3.5 goals 23%

4% Over 4.5 goals 19%

0% Over 5.5 goals 4%

54% Both teams scored 46%

35% Clean sheets 42%

19% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 42%

19% Draws 31%

38% Losses 27%

85% Over 0.5 goals 73%

23% Over 1.5 goals 42%

4% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Queens Park all matches

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

W

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

D

4

W

Ayr all matches

5

2

W

1

W

D

3

W

2

W

2

1

W

2

W

2

D

1

2

L

4

1

W

Queens Park before this match, at home

1.42points / match

1.08scored / match

0.92conceded / match

5 2 5

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:11

Ayr before this match, away

1.58points / match

1.08scored / match

0.83conceded / match

5 4 3

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:10

Queens Park at home away Ayr

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.08

0.92 Goals conceded 0.83

2.00 Total goals 1.92

12.25 Shots 7.58

4.00 Shots on target 3.92

12.00 Shots faced 7.83

6.42 Corners 5.08

5.17 Corners against 5.08

9.00 Fouls 11.58

1.67 Yellow cards 2.42

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.42

0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

42% Wins 42%

17% Draws 33%

42% Losses 25%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

67% Over 1.5 goals 75%

33% Over 2.5 goals 8%

0% Over 3.5 goals 8%

0% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 33%

33% Clean sheets 42%

17% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 25%

8% Draws 42%

33% Losses 33%

92% Over 0.5 goals 67%

17% Over 1.5 goals 25%

0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Queens Park at home

1

D

1

W

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

W

1

2

L

2

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

Ayr away

1

D

2

L

1

W

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

2

W

2

W

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Queens Park all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Raith Rvs – Queens Park	0–4 (0–1)	1.75	3.70	4.50	2.10	1.70
22.02.25	Dunfermline – Queens Park	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.70	3.10	2.08	1.73
15.02.25	Queens Park – Hamilton	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.40	3.80	1.73	2.08
01.02.25	Airdrie Utd – Queens Park	2–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.50	2.10	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Queens Park – Morton	1–2 (1–0)	1.85	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.75
11.01.25	Falkirk – Queens Park	0–0 (0–0)	1.38	4.33	7.50	1.57	2.35
04.01.25	Queens Park – Livingston	2–0 (1–0)	2.90	3.60	2.10	2.05	1.80
28.12.24	Partick – Queens Park	2–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.90	3.50	1.83	2.03
20.12.24	Queens Park – Raith Rvs	1–2 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.60	2.03	1.83
14.12.24	Hamilton – Queens Park	2–1 (2–1)	3.30	3.25	2.10	1.85	2.00

Ayr all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Ayr – Airdrie Utd	4–1 (3–0)	1.48	4.75	5.75	1.75	2.05
22.02.25	Ayr – Livingston	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.30	2.80	2.30	1.60
15.02.25	Falkirk – Ayr	2–2 (1–2)	1.90	3.50	3.90	1.88	1.98
01.02.25	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.75	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Ayr – Partick	2–1 (2–0)	1.95	3.30	3.40	2.03	1.83
14.01.25	Dunfermline – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.30	2.63	2.38	3.00	1.36
04.01.25	Ayr – Raith Rvs	3–0 (3–0)	1.83	3.60	3.80	2.30	1.60
28.12.24	Ayr – Morton	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.10	4.75	2.05	1.75
21.12.24	Livingston – Ayr	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.40	3.50	2.20	1.65
14.12.24	Ayr – Falkirk	5–2 (3–2)	4.33	3.50	1.70	2.03	1.83

Queens Park at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Queens Park – Hamilton	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.40	3.80	1.73	2.08
25.01.25	Queens Park – Morton	1–2 (1–0)	1.85	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.75
04.01.25	Queens Park – Livingston	2–0 (1–0)	2.90	3.60	2.10	2.05	1.80
20.12.24	Queens Park – Raith Rvs	1–2 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.60	2.03	1.83
07.12.24	Queens Park – Airdrie Utd	2–0 (2–0)	1.67	3.70	4.50	1.88	1.98
22.11.24	Queens Park – Falkirk	0–1 (0–1)	4.33	4.20	1.62	1.62	2.25
09.11.24	Queens Park – Dunfermline	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.00	1.95	1.90
26.10.24	Queens Park – Partick	0–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.20	2.63	1.88	1.98
05.10.24	Queens Park – Hamilton	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	3.40	1.75	2.05
21.09.24	Queens Park – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	2.90	3.40	2.20	1.75	2.05

Ayr away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Falkirk – Ayr	2–2 (1–2)	1.90	3.50	3.90	1.88	1.98
01.02.25	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.75	1.88	1.98
14.01.25	Dunfermline – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.30	2.63	2.38	3.00	1.36
21.12.24	Livingston – Ayr	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.40	3.50	2.20	1.65
07.12.24	Partick – Ayr	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	2.08	1.73
08.11.24	Morton – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	3.60	3.20	1.91	2.25	1.62
01.11.24	Raith Rvs – Ayr	2–0 (2–0)	2.88	3.20	2.35	2.25	1.62
26.10.24	Airdrie Utd – Ayr	0–1 (0–0)	4.10	3.40	1.75	1.98	1.88
05.10.24	Falkirk – Ayr	2–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.50	1.90	1.95
21.09.24	Queens Park – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	2.90	3.40	2.20	1.75	2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 3 5

Queens Park winsDrawsAyr wins

10matches

3.60goals / match

70%over 2.5

70%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.11.24SC1	Ayr – Queens Park	3–2 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	3.80	2.05	1.75
21.09.24SC1	Queens Park – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	2.90	3.40	2.20	1.75	2.05
23.03.24SC1	Ayr – Queens Park	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	2.88	1.80	2.00
27.01.24SC1	Queens Park – Ayr	1–2 (0–1)	2.45	3.40	2.55	1.70	2.10
04.11.23SC1	Ayr – Queens Park	2–2 (2–0)	2.05	3.50	3.10	1.73	2.08
22.09.23SC1	Queens Park – Ayr	2–5 (1–4)	1.95	3.50	3.40	1.75	2.05
21.04.23SC1	Ayr – Queens Park	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.10	1.75	2.05
03.02.23SC1	Queens Park – Ayr	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.60	2.80	1.57	2.35
08.10.22SC1	Ayr – Queens Park	5–0 (2–0)	1.85	3.30	4.00	1.93	1.93
05.08.22SC1	Queens Park – Ayr	2–3 (2–0)	2.60	3.25	2.55	2.35	1.57

Scotland Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	26	16	6	4	51	25	+26	54
2	Livingston	27	15	8	4	38	21	+17	53
3	Ayr	26	15	6	5	45	23	+22	51
4	Partick	27	10	8	9	33	33	0	38
5	Queens Park	26	9	6	11	30	28	+2	33
6	Raith Rvs	26	10	3	13	28	36	-8	33
7	Morton	26	7	10	9	28	34	-6	31
8	Hamilton	27	8	4	15	32	49	-17	28
9	Dunfermline	27	7	6	14	26	34	-8	27
10	Airdrie Utd	26	4	5	17	21	49	-28	17

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ayr	14	10	2	2	32	13	+19	32
2	Falkirk	13	9	3	1	28	9	+19	30
3	Livingston	13	9	3	1	22	8	+14	30
4	Raith Rvs	14	8	2	4	20	15	+5	26
5	Partick	14	6	7	1	21	13	+8	25
6	Dunfermline	14	6	4	4	19	15	+4	22
7	Hamilton	14	6	2	6	18	22	-4	20
8	Morton	12	5	4	3	15	10	+5	19
9	Queens Park	12	5	2	5	13	11	+2	17
10	Airdrie Utd	12	4	2	6	10	18	-8	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	13	7	3	3	23	16	+7	24
2	Livingston	14	6	5	3	16	13	+3	23
3	Ayr	12	5	4	3	13	10	+3	19
4	Queens Park	14	4	4	6	17	17	0	16
5	Partick	13	4	1	8	12	20	-8	13
6	Morton	14	2	6	6	13	24	-11	12
7	Hamilton	13	2	2	9	14	27	-13	8
8	Raith Rvs	12	2	1	9	8	21	-13	7
9	Dunfermline	13	1	2	10	7	19	-12	5
10	Airdrie Utd	14	0	3	11	11	31	-20	3

Queens Park Ayr

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Hamilton	27	10	17	1.2	1.8	8	4	15	32	49	28
2	1	Falkirk	26	13	13	2.0	1.0	16	6	4	51	25	54
3	2	Livingston	27	14	13	1.4	0.8	15	8	4	38	21	53
4	10	Airdrie Utd	26	13	13	0.8	1.9	4	5	17	21	49	17
5	4	Partick	27	15	12	1.2	1.2	10	8	9	33	33	38
6	5	Queens Park	26	14	12	1.2	1.1	9	6	11	30	28	33
7	6	Raith Rvs	26	15	11	1.1	1.4	10	3	13	28	36	33
8	7	Morton	26	15	11	1.1	1.3	7	10	9	28	34	31
9	3	Ayr	26	16	10	1.7	0.9	15	6	5	45	23	51
10	9	Dunfermline	27	17	10	1.0	1.3	7	6	14	26	34	27

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Ayr	14	5	9	2.3	0.9	10	2	2	32	13	32
2	8	Hamilton	14	5	9	1.3	1.6	6	2	6	18	22	20
3	1	Falkirk	13	5	8	2.2	0.7	9	3	1	28	9	30
4	2	Livingston	13	7	6	1.7	0.6	9	3	1	22	8	30
5	4	Partick	14	8	6	1.5	0.9	6	7	1	21	13	25
6	9	Dunfermline	14	8	6	1.4	1.1	6	4	4	19	15	22
7	6	Raith Rvs	14	9	5	1.4	1.1	8	2	4	20	15	26
8	10	Airdrie Utd	12	7	5	0.8	1.5	4	2	6	10	18	14
9	5	Queens Park	12	8	4	1.1	0.9	5	2	5	13	11	17
10	7	Morton	12	9	3	1.2	0.8	5	4	3	15	10	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Queens Park	14	6	8	1.2	1.2	4	4	6	17	17	16
2	7	Morton	14	6	8	0.9	1.7	2	6	6	13	24	12
3	8	Hamilton	13	5	8	1.1	2.1	2	2	9	14	27	8
4	10	Airdrie Utd	14	6	8	0.8	2.2	0	3	11	11	31	3
5	2	Livingston	14	7	7	1.1	0.9	6	5	3	16	13	23
6	4	Partick	13	7	6	0.9	1.5	4	1	8	12	20	13
7	6	Raith Rvs	12	6	6	0.7	1.8	2	1	9	8	21	7
8	1	Falkirk	13	8	5	1.8	1.2	7	3	3	23	16	24
9	9	Dunfermline	13	9	4	0.5	1.5	1	2	10	7	19	5
10	3	Ayr	12	11	1	1.1	0.8	5	4	3	13	10	19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.