Hamilton 0–2 Ayr
Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025
Home
3.90
fair 3.17
Draw
3.75
fair 3.93
Away ✓
1.75
fair 2.33
Under 2.5 ✓
1.98
fair 2.06
Over 2.5
1.88
fair 1.95
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hamilton
Ayr
3
Shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
2
Corners
7
13
Fouls
12
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (108 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.82
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.49
Home / Draw / Away
32%
25%
43%
HamiltonDrawAyr
Under / Over 2.5 goals
49%
51%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
45%
55%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
7%
0
18%
1
24%
2
22%
3
15%
4
14%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1%
0–1 9.7%
1–2 9%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Hamilton
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.29scored / match
1.90conceded / match
6
3
12
WonDrawnLost
21 played · 27:40
Ayr
before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.64scored / match
0.82conceded / match
13
5
4
WonDrawnLost
22 played · 36:18
Hamilton all matches
all matches Ayr
Per match
1.29
Goals scored
1.64
1.90
Goals conceded
0.82
3.19
Total goals
2.45
8.43
Shots
10.23
3.76
Shots on target
4.91
11.95
Shots faced
6.36
4.29
Corners
5.00
5.90
Corners against
4.91
13.76
Fouls
11.36
2.24
Yellow cards
2.27
0.57
1st-half goals scored
0.86
0.86
1st-half goals conceded
0.55
How often Full Time
29%
Wins
59%
14%
Draws
23%
57%
Losses
18%
95%
Over 0.5 goals
95%
76%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
71%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
43%
Over 3.5 goals
18%
24%
Over 4.5 goals
18%
10%
Over 5.5 goals
5%
48%
Both teams scored
41%
24%
Clean sheets
45%
33%
Failed to score
18%
How often Half Time
19%
Wins
41%
52%
Draws
32%
29%
Losses
27%
57%
Over 0.5 goals
73%
48%
Over 1.5 goals
41%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
18%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hamilton all matches
4
W
1
3
L
1
5
L
2
3
L
2
1
W
1
L
3
2
W
1
2
L
3
L
3
L
Ayr all matches
1
1
D
3
2
W
1
W
1
L
5
2
W
1
W
D
3
W
2
W
2
1
W
Hamilton
before this match, at home
1.45points / match
1.36scored / match
1.64conceded / match
5
1
5
WonDrawnLost
11 played · 15:18
Ayr
before this match, away
1.50points / match
0.90scored / match
0.80conceded / match
4
3
3
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 9:8
Hamilton at home
away Ayr
Per match
1.36
Goals scored
0.90
1.64
Goals conceded
0.80
3.00
Total goals
1.70
9.36
Shots
7.70
4.18
Shots on target
4.00
10.55
Shots faced
8.10
5.27
Corners
5.10
5.09
Corners against
5.50
15.27
Fouls
11.80
2.27
Yellow cards
2.70
0.55
1st-half goals scored
0.30
1.00
1st-half goals conceded
0.60
How often Full Time
45%
Wins
40%
9%
Draws
30%
45%
Losses
30%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
82%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
73%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
36%
Over 3.5 goals
0%
9%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
55%
Both teams scored
30%
27%
Clean sheets
40%
18%
Failed to score
30%
How often Half Time
18%
Wins
20%
55%
Draws
40%
27%
Losses
40%
64%
Over 0.5 goals
70%
45%
Over 1.5 goals
20%
36%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hamilton at home
1
W
2
2
D
1
W
1
3
L
3
W
1
3
L
2
1
W
3
2
W
1
2
L
3
L
Ayr away
2
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
2
L
1
W
2
L
1
1
D
1
L
1
W
2
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Hamilton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.01.25 | Hamilton – Raith Rvs | 0–3 (0–3) | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 25.01.25 | Livingston – Hamilton | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.48 | 4.00 | 5.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 10.01.25 | Hamilton – Partick | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 28.12.24 | Hamilton – Airdrie Utd | 3–2 (2–2) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 21.12.24 | Falkirk – Hamilton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.30 | 4.75 | 9.00 | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| 14.12.24 | Hamilton – Queens Park | 2–1 (2–1) | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.12.24 | Dunfermline – Hamilton | 3–2 (0–0) | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 16.11.24 | Partick – Hamilton | 5–1 (2–1) | 1.73 | 3.70 | 4.75 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 09.11.24 | Hamilton – Livingston | 1–3 (1–1) | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 02.11.24 | Airdrie Utd – Hamilton | 0–4 (0–2) | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.01.25 | Ayr – Partick | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 14.01.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.30 | 2.63 | 2.38 | 3.00 | 1.36 |
| 04.01.25 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 3–0 (3–0) | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 28.12.24 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 21.12.24 | Livingston – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 14.12.24 | Ayr – Falkirk | 5–2 (3–2) | 4.33 | 3.50 | 1.70 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 07.12.24 | Partick – Ayr | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 23.11.24 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.75 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 16.11.24 | Ayr – Queens Park | 3–2 (2–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 08.11.24 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
Hamilton at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.01.25 | Hamilton – Raith Rvs | 0–3 (0–3) | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 10.01.25 | Hamilton – Partick | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 28.12.24 | Hamilton – Airdrie Utd | 3–2 (2–2) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 14.12.24 | Hamilton – Queens Park | 2–1 (2–1) | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 09.11.24 | Hamilton – Livingston | 1–3 (1–1) | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 26.10.24 | Hamilton – Morton | 3–0 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 18.10.24 | Hamilton – Falkirk | 1–3 (0–3) | 5.75 | 3.90 | 1.55 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 28.09.24 | Hamilton – Partick | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 31.08.24 | Hamilton – Airdrie Utd | 2–2 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 24.08.24 | Hamilton – Dunfermline | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
Ayr away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.01.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.30 | 2.63 | 2.38 | 3.00 | 1.36 |
| 21.12.24 | Livingston – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 07.12.24 | Partick – Ayr | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 08.11.24 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 01.11.24 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 26.10.24 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–0) | 4.10 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 05.10.24 | Falkirk – Ayr | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 21.09.24 | Queens Park – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 31.08.24 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 1–1 (1–1) | 4.20 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 03.08.24 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 6
Hamilton winsDrawsAyr wins
10matches
2.70goals / match
30%over 2.5
60%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.08.24SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 3–2 (1–2) | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 03.08.24SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 18.03.23SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–2) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 07.01.23SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 11.11.22SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 2–3 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 13.08.22SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 01.04.22SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 2.87 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 29.01.22SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 10.12.21SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 18.09.21SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Scotland Championship table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 19 | +21 | 46 |
| 2 | Livingston | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 17 | +15 | 45 |
| 3 | Ayr | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 18 | +18 | 44 |
| 4 | Partick | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 35 |
| 5 | Queens Park | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
| 6 | Raith Rvs | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 27 |
| 7 | Morton | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 26 |
| 8 | Hamilton | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 21 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 9 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 10 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | +16 | 26 |
| 3 | Livingston | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 | Partick | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Hamilton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 | Morton | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 2 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 19 |
| 3 | Ayr | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 15 |
| 4 | Partick | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 5 | Queens Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
| 6 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 11 |
| 7 | Raith Rvs | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
| 8 | Hamilton | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 5 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 1 |
Hamilton Ayr
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Hamilton | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 40 | 21 |
| 2 | 2 | Livingston | 23 | 12 | 11 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 45 |
| 3 | 1 | Falkirk | 22 | 12 | 10 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 21 | 11 | 10 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 41 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | Partick | 22 | 13 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 35 |
| 6 | 5 | Queens Park | 22 | 13 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 29 |
| 7 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 21 | 13 | 8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 27 |
| 8 | 9 | Dunfermline | 22 | 14 | 8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 31 | 19 |
| 9 | 3 | Ayr | 22 | 15 | 7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 18 | 44 |
| 10 | 7 | Morton | 20 | 13 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 26 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Hamilton | 11 | 3 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 16 |
| 2 | 3 | Ayr | 12 | 5 | 7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | 1 | Falkirk | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | 2 | Livingston | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | 4 | Partick | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | 9 | Dunfermline | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
| 7 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | Queens Park | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 9 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
| 10 | 7 | Morton | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 15 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Hamilton | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | 5 | Queens Park | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 4 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 24 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | Morton | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | Falkirk | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | 4 | Partick | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | 9 | Dunfermline | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | Ayr | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51