Dunfermline 0–2 Ayr – Scotland Championship, 14 Jan 2025

Match facts

Dunfermline Ayr

6 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

8 Corners 4

7 Fouls 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (99 league matches this season so far).

Result Dunfermline to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.96

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.19

Home / Draw / Away

37% 28% 35%

DunfermlineDrawAyr

Under / Over 2.5 goals

57% 43%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.1% 1–0 11% 0–1 10.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Dunfermline before this match, all matches

0.95points / match

1.05scored / match

1.30conceded / match

5 4 11

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 21:26

Ayr before this match, all matches

1.90points / match

1.60scored / match

0.85conceded / match

11 5 4

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 32:17

Dunfermline all matches all matches Ayr

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.60

1.30 Goals conceded 0.85

2.35 Total goals 2.45

9.40 Shots 10.60

3.75 Shots on target 5.05

7.90 Shots faced 6.25

5.00 Corners 5.20

4.25 Corners against 4.75

11.80 Fouls 11.50

2.20 Yellow cards 2.35

0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.85

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

25% Wins 55%

20% Draws 25%

55% Losses 20%

95% Over 0.5 goals 95%

70% Over 1.5 goals 70%

35% Over 2.5 goals 30%

15% Over 3.5 goals 20%

15% Over 4.5 goals 20%

5% Over 5.5 goals 5%

40% Both teams scored 40%

20% Clean sheets 45%

45% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 40%

50% Draws 30%

35% Losses 30%

60% Over 0.5 goals 75%

15% Over 1.5 goals 40%

5% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dunfermline all matches

3

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

W

1

L

3

2

W

2

L

2

L

3

D

4

1

W

Ayr all matches

1

W

2

L

1

D

3

2

W

1

W

1

L

5

2

W

1

W

D

3

W

Dunfermline before this match, at home

1.50points / match

1.40scored / match

1.10conceded / match

4 3 3

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:11

Ayr before this match, away

1.33points / match

0.78scored / match

0.89conceded / match

3 3 3

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:8

Dunfermline at home away Ayr

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 0.78

1.10 Goals conceded 0.89

2.50 Total goals 1.67

10.10 Shots 7.78

3.80 Shots on target 4.11

6.70 Shots faced 8.33

6.10 Corners 5.22

3.70 Corners against 5.22

11.50 Fouls 11.89

2.00 Yellow cards 2.78

0.30 1st-half goals scored 0.33

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

40% Wins 33%

30% Draws 33%

30% Losses 33%

90% Over 0.5 goals 100%

70% Over 1.5 goals 67%

40% Over 2.5 goals 0%

20% Over 3.5 goals 0%

20% Over 4.5 goals 0%

10% Over 5.5 goals 0%

40% Both teams scored 33%

40% Clean sheets 33%

30% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 22%

70% Draws 33%

20% Losses 44%

50% Over 0.5 goals 78%

20% Over 1.5 goals 22%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dunfermline at home

2

L

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

D

3

W

1

L

1

W

3

2

W

3

D

Ayr away

D

2

W

1

D

1

D

2

L

1

W

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Dunfermline all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.25	Partick – Dunfermline	1–4 (1–3)	1.73	4.10	3.60	2.08	1.73
27.12.24	Dunfermline – Falkirk	3–3 (1–1)	5.00	3.70	1.62	2.15	1.67
21.12.24	Morton – Dunfermline	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.10	2.30	2.38	1.53
14.12.24	Raith Rvs – Dunfermline	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.10	3.25	2.35	1.57
07.12.24	Dunfermline – Hamilton	3–2 (0–0)	1.83	3.40	4.00	2.03	1.83
23.11.24	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
16.11.24	Dunfermline – Airdrie Utd	1–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.50	4.50	1.98	1.88
09.11.24	Queens Park – Dunfermline	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.00	1.95	1.90
02.11.24	Dunfermline – Partick	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.50	2.25	1.90	1.95
29.10.24	Dunfermline – Livingston	3–0 (1–0)	2.80	3.00	2.50	2.38	1.53

Ayr all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.25	Ayr – Raith Rvs	3–0 (3–0)	1.83	3.60	3.80	2.30	1.60
28.12.24	Ayr – Morton	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.10	4.75	2.05	1.75
21.12.24	Livingston – Ayr	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.40	3.50	2.20	1.65
14.12.24	Ayr – Falkirk	5–2 (3–2)	4.33	3.50	1.70	2.03	1.83
07.12.24	Partick – Ayr	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	2.08	1.73
23.11.24	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
16.11.24	Ayr – Queens Park	3–2 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	3.80	2.05	1.75
08.11.24	Morton – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	3.60	3.20	1.91	2.25	1.62
01.11.24	Raith Rvs – Ayr	2–0 (2–0)	2.88	3.20	2.35	2.25	1.62
26.10.24	Airdrie Utd – Ayr	0–1 (0–0)	4.10	3.40	1.75	1.98	1.88

Dunfermline at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.12.24	Dunfermline – Falkirk	3–3 (1–1)	5.00	3.70	1.62	2.15	1.67
07.12.24	Dunfermline – Hamilton	3–2 (0–0)	1.83	3.40	4.00	2.03	1.83
16.11.24	Dunfermline – Airdrie Utd	1–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.50	4.50	1.98	1.88
02.11.24	Dunfermline – Partick	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.50	2.25	1.90	1.95
29.10.24	Dunfermline – Livingston	3–0 (1–0)	2.80	3.00	2.50	2.38	1.53
19.10.24	Dunfermline – Morton	0–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.10	3.00	2.20	1.65
28.09.24	Dunfermline – Queens Park	1–2 (0–1)	2.38	3.20	2.60	1.98	1.88
13.09.24	Dunfermline – Raith Rvs	2–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.40	2.20	1.65
31.08.24	Dunfermline – Ayr	1–1 (1–1)	4.20	3.50	1.85	1.85	2.00
10.08.24	Dunfermline – Falkirk	0–2 (0–1)	3.70	3.60	1.85	1.83	2.03

Ayr away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.12.24	Livingston – Ayr	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.40	3.50	2.20	1.65
07.12.24	Partick – Ayr	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	2.08	1.73
08.11.24	Morton – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	3.60	3.20	1.91	2.25	1.62
01.11.24	Raith Rvs – Ayr	2–0 (2–0)	2.88	3.20	2.35	2.25	1.62
26.10.24	Airdrie Utd – Ayr	0–1 (0–0)	4.10	3.40	1.75	1.98	1.88
05.10.24	Falkirk – Ayr	2–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.50	1.90	1.95
21.09.24	Queens Park – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	2.90	3.40	2.20	1.75	2.05
31.08.24	Dunfermline – Ayr	1–1 (1–1)	4.20	3.50	1.85	1.85	2.00
03.08.24	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.50	2.15	1.73	2.08
27.04.24	Partick – Ayr	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.75	3.00	1.73	2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 4 3

Dunfermline winsDrawsAyr wins

10matches

2.80goals / match

50%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.11.24SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
31.08.24SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	1–1 (1–1)	4.20	3.50	1.85	1.85	2.00
03.05.24SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	3–3 (1–3)	2.20	3.50	2.90	1.73	2.08
02.03.24SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	2–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.70	1.93	1.93
30.12.23SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	2–2 (1–2)	2.38	3.30	2.60	1.98	1.88
21.10.23SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.50	3.75	1.90	1.95
16.04.22SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	2–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.00	3.80	2.15	1.66
05.02.22SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–1 (1–1)	2.55	2.90	2.80	2.15	1.66
20.11.21SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.50	4.00	2.07	1.72
11.09.21SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	3–1 (2–1)	3.00	3.30	2.15	2.00	1.80

Scotland Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	20	13	4	3	37	17	+20	43
2	Ayr	20	11	5	4	32	17	+15	38
3	Livingston	20	10	6	4	25	15	+10	36
4	Partick	21	10	5	6	26	19	+7	35
5	Queens Park	21	8	5	8	23	22	+1	29
6	Raith Rvs	19	7	3	9	19	26	-7	24
7	Morton	19	5	8	6	17	22	-5	23
8	Hamilton	19	6	3	10	27	34	-7	21
9	Dunfermline	20	5	4	11	21	26	-5	19
10	Airdrie Utd	19	1	3	15	10	39	-29	6

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	10	8	2	0	20	3	+17	26
2	Ayr	11	8	2	1	25	9	+16	26
3	Partick	11	6	4	1	17	9	+8	22
4	Livingston	9	6	2	1	14	5	+9	20
5	Raith Rvs	10	6	2	2	15	9	+6	20
6	Queens Park	10	5	2	3	11	7	+4	17
7	Hamilton	10	5	1	4	15	15	0	16
8	Morton	9	4	3	2	11	6	+5	15
9	Dunfermline	10	4	3	3	14	11	+3	15
10	Airdrie Utd	9	1	2	6	4	17	-13	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	10	5	2	3	17	14	+3	17
2	Livingston	11	4	4	3	11	10	+1	16
3	Partick	10	4	1	5	9	10	-1	13
4	Ayr	9	3	3	3	7	8	-1	12
5	Queens Park	11	3	3	5	12	15	-3	12
6	Morton	10	1	5	4	6	16	-10	8
7	Hamilton	9	1	2	6	12	19	-7	5
8	Dunfermline	10	1	1	8	7	15	-8	4
9	Raith Rvs	9	1	1	7	4	17	-13	4
10	Airdrie Utd	10	0	1	9	6	22	-16	1

Dunfermline Ayr

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Hamilton	19	6	13	1.4	1.8	6	3	10	27	34	21
2	1	Falkirk	20	11	9	1.9	0.8	13	4	3	37	17	43
3	3	Livingston	20	12	8	1.2	0.8	10	6	4	25	15	36
4	4	Partick	21	13	8	1.2	0.9	10	5	6	26	19	35
5	5	Queens Park	21	13	8	1.1	1.0	8	5	8	23	22	29
6	10	Airdrie Utd	19	11	8	0.5	2.1	1	3	15	10	39	6
7	6	Raith Rvs	19	12	7	1.0	1.4	7	3	9	19	26	24
8	9	Dunfermline	20	13	7	1.1	1.3	5	4	11	21	26	19
9	2	Ayr	20	14	6	1.6	0.8	11	5	4	32	17	38
10	7	Morton	19	13	6	0.9	1.2	5	8	6	17	22	23

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Hamilton	10	3	7	1.5	1.5	5	1	4	15	15	16
2	2	Ayr	11	5	6	2.3	0.8	8	2	1	25	9	26
3	1	Falkirk	10	5	5	2.0	0.3	8	2	0	20	3	26
4	4	Partick	11	6	5	1.5	0.8	6	4	1	17	9	22
5	9	Dunfermline	10	6	4	1.4	1.1	4	3	3	14	11	15
6	3	Livingston	9	6	3	1.6	0.6	6	2	1	14	5	20
7	6	Raith Rvs	10	7	3	1.5	0.9	6	2	2	15	9	20
8	10	Airdrie Utd	9	6	3	0.4	1.9	1	2	6	4	17	5
9	5	Queens Park	10	8	2	1.1	0.7	5	2	3	11	7	17
10	7	Morton	9	7	2	1.2	0.7	4	3	2	11	6	15

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Queens Park	11	5	6	1.1	1.4	3	3	5	12	15	12
2	8	Hamilton	9	3	6	1.3	2.1	1	2	6	12	19	5
3	3	Livingston	11	6	5	1.0	0.9	4	4	3	11	10	16
4	10	Airdrie Utd	10	5	5	0.6	2.2	0	1	9	6	22	1
5	1	Falkirk	10	6	4	1.7	1.4	5	2	3	17	14	17
6	6	Raith Rvs	9	5	4	0.4	1.9	1	1	7	4	17	4
7	7	Morton	10	6	4	0.6	1.6	1	5	4	6	16	8
8	4	Partick	10	7	3	0.9	1.0	4	1	5	9	10	13
9	9	Dunfermline	10	7	3	0.7	1.5	1	1	8	7	15	4
10	2	Ayr	9	9	0	0.8	0.9	3	3	3	7	8	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.