Ayr 2–1 Morton
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
1.75
fair 2.37
Draw
3.40
fair 3.60
Away
4.20
fair 3.33
Under 2.5
1.70
fair 1.71
Over 2.5 ✓
2.10
fair 2.41
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Ayr
Morton
15
Shots
7
6
Shots on target
1
7
Corners
2
16
Fouls
16
3
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (49 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.89
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
42%
28%
30%
AyrDrawMorton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
59%
42%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
53%
47%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
10%
0
23%
1
26%
2
21%
3
12%
4
9%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 13%
1–0 12.5%
0–1 10.1%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.33scored / match
0.89conceded / match
3
5
1
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 12:8
Morton
before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
0.90scored / match
0.90conceded / match
1
8
1
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 9:9
Ayr all matches
all matches Morton
Per match
1.33
Goals scored
0.90
0.89
Goals conceded
0.90
2.22
Total goals
1.80
9.56
Shots
8.00
4.22
Shots on target
3.30
7.33
Shots faced
12.00
4.56
Corners
4.40
5.00
Corners against
6.30
12.11
Fouls
12.30
2.00
Yellow cards
2.60
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.40
0.44
1st-half goals conceded
0.10
How often Full Time
33%
Wins
10%
56%
Draws
80%
11%
Losses
10%
89%
Over 0.5 goals
80%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
22%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
22%
Over 3.5 goals
10%
11%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
11%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
56%
Both teams scored
70%
33%
Clean sheets
20%
22%
Failed to score
30%
How often Half Time
56%
Wins
40%
11%
Draws
50%
33%
Losses
10%
89%
Over 0.5 goals
50%
22%
Over 1.5 goals
0%
11%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr all matches
1
W
1
1
D
1
L
2
2
D
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
W
4
2
W
D
2
W
Morton all matches
D
1
1
D
2
2
D
1
1
D
1
L
D
1
1
D
1
1
D
2
1
W
1
1
D
Ayr
before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.50scored / match
1.25conceded / match
1
2
1
WonDrawnLost
4 played · 6:5
Morton
before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.00scored / match
0.80conceded / match
1
4
WonDrawnLost
5 played · 5:4
Ayr at home
away Morton
Per match
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.25
Goals conceded
0.80
2.75
Total goals
1.80
11.50
Shots
6.80
6.00
Shots on target
3.20
6.25
Shots faced
9.80
6.00
Corners
5.40
4.00
Corners against
5.40
11.75
Fouls
11.00
1.25
Yellow cards
2.20
1.25
1st-half goals scored
0.40
0.75
1st-half goals conceded
0.00
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
20%
50%
Draws
80%
25%
Losses
0%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
80%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
25%
Over 3.5 goals
0%
25%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
25%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
75%
Both teams scored
80%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
25%
Failed to score
20%
How often Half Time
50%
Wins
40%
0%
Draws
60%
50%
Losses
0%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
40%
25%
Over 1.5 goals
0%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr at home
1
2
L
4
1
W
1
1
D
3
W
1
1
D
2
2
D
1
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
4
2
W
Morton away
1
2
L
2
W
5
L
1
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
1
D
D
1
1
D
2
1
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.25 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 04.10.25 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 27.09.25 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 4–2 (4–1) | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 23.09.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.38 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 13.09.25 | Ayr – Ross County | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 30.08.25 | Ayr – Queens Park | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 23.08.25 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 09.08.25 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 01.08.25 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 02.05.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Morton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.25 | Morton – Partick | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 04.10.25 | Airdrie Utd – Morton | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.55 | 2.03 | 1.78 |
| 27.09.25 | Morton – Ross County | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 20.09.25 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 13.09.25 | Queens Park – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 06.09.25 | Morton – Raith Rvs | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.75 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 30.08.25 | St Johnstone – Morton | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.48 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 23.08.25 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 09.08.25 | Partick – Morton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 02.08.25 | Morton – Dunfermline | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.75 | 2.88 | 2.60 | 2.63 | 1.44 |
Ayr at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.09.25 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 4–2 (4–1) | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 13.09.25 | Ayr – Ross County | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 30.08.25 | Ayr – Queens Park | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 09.08.25 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 26.04.25 | Ayr – Queens Park | 2–2 (1–2) | 1.50 | 3.90 | 5.75 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 11.04.25 | Ayr – Falkirk | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 29.03.25 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.73 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 22.03.25 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.60 | 3.70 | 5.25 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 01.03.25 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 4–1 (3–0) | 1.48 | 4.75 | 5.75 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 22.02.25 | Ayr – Livingston | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
Morton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10.25 | Airdrie Utd – Morton | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.55 | 2.03 | 1.78 |
| 20.09.25 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 13.09.25 | Queens Park – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 30.08.25 | St Johnstone – Morton | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.48 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 09.08.25 | Partick – Morton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 26.04.25 | Raith Rvs – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.73 | 3.25 | 4.50 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 19.04.25 | Airdrie Utd – Morton | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 05.04.25 | Falkirk – Morton | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.29 | 4.75 | 9.50 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 15.03.25 | Hamilton – Morton | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 01.03.25 | Dunfermline – Morton | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3 9 5
Ayr winsDrawsMorton wins
17matches
2.29goals / match
41%over 2.5
65%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.08.25SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.03.25SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 4.00 | 3.25 | 1.85 | 2.25 | 1.58 |
| 28.12.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 08.11.24SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 28.09.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 09.04.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 02.01.24SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 28.10.23SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 05.08.23SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 3–1 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 08.04.23SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 07.03.23SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–3 (1–3) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 05.11.22SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.09.22SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 26.03.22SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 15.01.22SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 04.12.21SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 25.09.21SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
Scotland Championship table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
| 4 | Ayr | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Ross County | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Queens Park | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 2 | Partick | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 4 | Arbroath | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Ayr | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 | Morton | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Airdrie Utd | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Ross County | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Queens Park | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Partick | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | Ayr | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | Morton | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 5 | Queens Park | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 | Raith Rvs | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Ross County | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 4 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 |
Ayr Morton
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Arbroath | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 2 | 1 | St Johnstone | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | 8 | Ross County | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | 9 | Queens Park | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | Dunfermline | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | Ayr | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| 10 | 7 | Morton | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | 8 | Ross County | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | Partick | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | Arbroath | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | Queens Park | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | Ayr | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | Dunfermline | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | Morton | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Arbroath | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | St Johnstone | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | 2 | Partick | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | Dunfermline | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | Ross County | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | Queens Park | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 8 | 4 | Ayr | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | Morton | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
