Morton 2–1 Ayr
Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
4.00
fair 2.97
Draw
3.25
fair 3.69
Away
1.85
fair 2.55
Under 2.5
1.58
fair 1.82
Over 2.5 ✓
2.25
fair 2.22
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Morton
Ayr
10
Shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
5
Corners
8
10
Fouls
11
2
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (135 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.99
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
34%
27%
39%
MortonDrawAyr
Under / Over 2.5 goals
55%
45%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
50%
50%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
8%
0
21%
1
26%
2
21%
3
13%
4
11%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9%
0–1 10.9%
1–0 9.9%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Morton
before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.08scored / match
1.31conceded / match
7
10
9
WonDrawnLost
26 played · 28:34
Ayr
before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.78scored / match
0.93conceded / match
16
6
5
WonDrawnLost
27 played · 48:25
Morton all matches
all matches Ayr
Per match
1.08
Goals scored
1.78
1.31
Goals conceded
0.93
2.38
Total goals
2.70
6.62
Shots
10.07
3.12
Shots on target
4.85
10.19
Shots faced
6.59
3.88
Corners
5.07
7.38
Corners against
4.81
10.23
Fouls
11.22
2.08
Yellow cards
2.07
0.54
1st-half goals scored
0.89
0.54
1st-half goals conceded
0.52
How often Full Time
27%
Wins
59%
38%
Draws
22%
35%
Losses
19%
81%
Over 0.5 goals
96%
69%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
42%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
27%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
15%
Over 4.5 goals
22%
4%
Over 5.5 goals
4%
42%
Both teams scored
48%
35%
Clean sheets
41%
42%
Failed to score
15%
How often Half Time
31%
Wins
41%
46%
Draws
33%
23%
Losses
26%
62%
Over 0.5 goals
70%
27%
Over 1.5 goals
41%
12%
Over 2.5 goals
22%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Morton all matches
2
W
D
2
1
W
2
1
W
2
2
D
2
2
D
2
W
2
L
2
3
L
1
2
L
Ayr all matches
1
W
D
3
W
2
W
2
1
W
2
W
2
2
D
1
2
L
4
1
W
3
2
W
Morton
before this match, at home
1.58points / match
1.25scored / match
0.83conceded / match
5
4
3
WonDrawnLost
12 played · 15:10
Ayr
before this match, away
1.69points / match
1.23scored / match
0.92conceded / match
6
4
3
WonDrawnLost
13 played · 16:12
Morton at home
away Ayr
Per match
1.25
Goals scored
1.23
0.83
Goals conceded
0.92
2.08
Total goals
2.15
8.00
Shots
7.85
3.33
Shots on target
4.08
8.25
Shots faced
7.69
4.67
Corners
5.15
6.75
Corners against
5.00
11.00
Fouls
11.31
2.00
Yellow cards
2.38
0.58
1st-half goals scored
0.38
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.54
How often Full Time
42%
Wins
46%
33%
Draws
31%
25%
Losses
23%
83%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
15%
17%
Over 3.5 goals
15%
8%
Over 4.5 goals
8%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
33%
Both teams scored
38%
50%
Clean sheets
38%
33%
Failed to score
23%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
23%
50%
Draws
46%
17%
Losses
31%
67%
Over 0.5 goals
62%
25%
Over 1.5 goals
23%
8%
Over 2.5 goals
8%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Morton at home
2
W
2
W
1
L
1
1
D
D
2
W
2
1
W
2
2
D
2
W
2
L
Ayr away
2
L
1
W
2
L
1
1
D
1
L
1
W
2
W
2
W
2
2
D
3
2
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Morton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.03.25 | Dunfermline – Morton | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 25.02.25 | Livingston – Morton | 3–2 (3–1) | 1.41 | 4.50 | 6.25 | 1.94 | 1.79 |
| 21.02.25 | Morton – Falkirk | 0–2 (0–2) | 6.50 | 3.40 | 1.55 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 18.02.25 | Morton – Hamilton | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 15.02.25 | Morton – Airdrie Utd | 2–2 (1–1) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 01.02.25 | Partick – Morton | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 25.01.25 | Queens Park – Morton | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 31.12.24 | Morton – Partick | 2–1 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 28.12.24 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 21.12.24 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.03.25 | Queens Park – Ayr | 2–3 (0–0) | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 01.03.25 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 4–1 (3–0) | 1.48 | 4.75 | 5.75 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 22.02.25 | Ayr – Livingston | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 15.02.25 | Falkirk – Ayr | 2–2 (1–2) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 01.02.25 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.75 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 25.01.25 | Ayr – Partick | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 14.01.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.30 | 2.63 | 2.38 | 3.00 | 1.36 |
| 04.01.25 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 3–0 (3–0) | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 28.12.24 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 21.12.24 | Livingston – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
Morton at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.02.25 | Morton – Falkirk | 0–2 (0–2) | 6.50 | 3.40 | 1.55 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 18.02.25 | Morton – Hamilton | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 15.02.25 | Morton – Airdrie Utd | 2–2 (1–1) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 31.12.24 | Morton – Partick | 2–1 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 21.12.24 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 07.12.24 | Morton – Livingston | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.90 | 3.25 | 1.90 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 08.11.24 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 29.10.24 | Morton – Queens Park | 0–1 (0–1) | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 05.10.24 | Morton – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.35 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.09.24 | Morton – Airdrie Utd | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
Ayr away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.03.25 | Queens Park – Ayr | 2–3 (0–0) | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 15.02.25 | Falkirk – Ayr | 2–2 (1–2) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 01.02.25 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.75 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 14.01.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.30 | 2.63 | 2.38 | 3.00 | 1.36 |
| 21.12.24 | Livingston – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 07.12.24 | Partick – Ayr | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 08.11.24 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 01.11.24 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 26.10.24 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–0) | 4.10 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 05.10.24 | Falkirk – Ayr | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 8 3
Morton winsDrawsAyr wins
15matches
2.13goals / match
33%over 2.5
60%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.12.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 08.11.24SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 28.09.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 09.04.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 02.01.24SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 28.10.23SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 05.08.23SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 3–1 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 08.04.23SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 07.03.23SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–3 (1–3) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 05.11.22SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.09.22SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 26.03.22SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 15.01.22SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 04.12.21SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 25.09.21SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
Scotland Championship table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 25 | +29 | 57 |
| 2 | Ayr | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 48 | 25 | +23 | 54 |
| 3 | Livingston | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 21 | +17 | 54 |
| 4 | Partick | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 34 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | +1 | 33 |
| 7 | Morton | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
| 8 | Hamilton | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 27 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 17 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 13 | +19 | 32 |
| 2 | Livingston | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 9 | +19 | 30 |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 | Partick | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 25 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 | Hamilton | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Morton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 9 | Queens Park | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 14 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Livingston | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 | Ayr | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 | Queens Park | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Partick | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 13 |
| 6 | Morton | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 7 | Hamilton | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 8 |
| 8 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 8 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 3 |
Morton Ayr
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Hamilton | 27 | 10 | 17 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 49 | 28 |
| 2 | 1 | Falkirk | 27 | 13 | 14 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 57 |
| 3 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 27 | 13 | 14 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 52 | 17 |
| 4 | 3 | Livingston | 28 | 15 | 13 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 54 |
| 5 | 6 | Queens Park | 27 | 14 | 13 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 33 |
| 6 | 4 | Partick | 27 | 15 | 12 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | 2 | Ayr | 27 | 16 | 11 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 54 |
| 8 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 27 | 16 | 11 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 36 | 34 |
| 9 | 7 | Morton | 26 | 15 | 11 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 34 | 31 |
| 10 | 9 | Dunfermline | 27 | 17 | 10 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 34 | 27 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Ayr | 14 | 5 | 9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | 8 | Hamilton | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 20 |
| 3 | 1 | Falkirk | 13 | 5 | 8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | 3 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 31 |
| 5 | 4 | Partick | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | 9 | Dunfermline | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| 7 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 14 |
| 8 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | 6 | Queens Park | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | 7 | Morton | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Queens Park | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
| 2 | 7 | Morton | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 12 |
| 3 | 8 | Hamilton | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | Livingston | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | 1 | Falkirk | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | 4 | Partick | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | Dunfermline | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | Ayr | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 22 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51