St Johnstone 3–1 Ayr
Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
1.50
fair 1.91
Draw
3.60
fair 4.04
Away
5.25
fair 4.35
Under 2.5
1.90
fair 1.95
Over 2.5 ✓
1.90
fair 2.06
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
St Johnstone
Ayr
8
Shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
8
Corners
7
14
Fouls
20
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (127 league matches this season so far).
Result
St Johnstone to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.98
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
52%
25%
23%
St JohnstoneDrawAyr
Under / Over 2.5 goals
51%
49%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
50%
51%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
7%
0
19%
1
25%
2
22%
3
14%
4
13%
5+
Most likely scores
1–0 11.9%
1–1 11.8%
2–0 9.7%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
St Johnstone
before this match, all matches
1.96points / match
1.81scored / match
0.81conceded / match
14
9
3
WonDrawnLost
26 played · 47:21
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.25scored / match
1.13conceded / match
7
12
5
WonDrawnLost
24 played · 30:27
St Johnstone all matches
all matches Ayr
Per match
1.81
Goals scored
1.25
0.81
Goals conceded
1.13
2.62
Total goals
2.38
13.35
Shots
9.50
5.50
Shots on target
3.96
5.42
Shots faced
8.38
7.77
Corners
5.21
3.23
Corners against
4.79
11.96
Fouls
11.92
2.00
Yellow cards
2.29
0.88
1st-half goals scored
0.88
0.38
1st-half goals conceded
0.46
How often Full Time
54%
Wins
29%
35%
Draws
50%
12%
Losses
21%
81%
Over 0.5 goals
83%
65%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
54%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
31%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
15%
Over 4.5 goals
17%
12%
Over 5.5 goals
13%
46%
Both teams scored
63%
50%
Clean sheets
29%
23%
Failed to score
25%
How often Half Time
42%
Wins
50%
38%
Draws
21%
19%
Losses
29%
69%
Over 0.5 goals
83%
35%
Over 1.5 goals
29%
15%
Over 2.5 goals
13%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Johnstone all matches
D
4
2
W
5
W
D
1
W
1
L
2
2
D
1
W
D
1
1
D
Ayr all matches
1
1
D
1
W
D
2
4
L
3
2
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
2
L
2
1
W
D
St Johnstone
before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.69conceded / match
7
5
1
WonDrawnLost
13 played · 26:9
Ayr
before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.33scored / match
1.08conceded / match
4
6
2
WonDrawnLost
12 played · 16:13
St Johnstone at home
away Ayr
Per match
2.00
Goals scored
1.33
0.69
Goals conceded
1.08
2.69
Total goals
2.42
14.15
Shots
9.50
6.00
Shots on target
3.75
4.62
Shots faced
8.58
9.23
Corners
5.25
2.38
Corners against
5.00
11.92
Fouls
11.50
1.92
Yellow cards
2.25
0.92
1st-half goals scored
0.92
0.31
1st-half goals conceded
0.42
How often Full Time
54%
Wins
33%
38%
Draws
50%
8%
Losses
17%
77%
Over 0.5 goals
83%
62%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
54%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
31%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
23%
Over 4.5 goals
17%
15%
Over 5.5 goals
8%
38%
Both teams scored
58%
54%
Clean sheets
42%
31%
Failed to score
17%
How often Half Time
46%
Wins
58%
31%
Draws
17%
23%
Losses
25%
69%
Over 0.5 goals
83%
23%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
23%
Over 2.5 goals
17%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Johnstone at home
2
1
W
D
D
3
W
4
3
W
D
5
W
1
W
1
L
2
2
D
Ayr away
1
W
D
2
W
1
2
L
D
3
3
D
1
W
3
2
W
1
1
D
1
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
St Johnstone all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.02.26 | Queens Park – St Johnstone | 1–1 (0–0) | 5.75 | 3.90 | 1.45 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 20.02.26 | Raith Rvs – St Johnstone | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.91 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 13.02.26 | Airdrie Utd – St Johnstone | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.75 | 3.30 | 1.67 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 30.01.26 | St Johnstone – Partick | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 24.01.26 | St Johnstone – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 03.01.26 | St Johnstone – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.36 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 27.12.25 | Ross County – St Johnstone | 0–0 (0–0) | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.65 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 20.12.25 | St Johnstone – Morton | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.36 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 12.12.25 | Ayr – St Johnstone | 2–4 (2–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | St Johnstone – Raith Rvs | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.02.26 | Ayr – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 31.01.26 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 24.01.26 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 10.01.26 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.57 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 27.12.25 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 20.12.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 12.12.25 | Ayr – St Johnstone | 2–4 (2–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | Ayr – Partick | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 22.11.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 15.11.25 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
St Johnstone at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.01.26 | St Johnstone – Partick | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 24.01.26 | St Johnstone – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 03.01.26 | St Johnstone – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.36 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.12.25 | St Johnstone – Morton | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.36 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 06.12.25 | St Johnstone – Raith Rvs | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 15.11.25 | St Johnstone – Queens Park | 4–3 (3–0) | 1.22 | 5.25 | 11.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 01.11.25 | St Johnstone – Airdrie Utd | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.50 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 11.10.25 | St Johnstone – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 04.10.25 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 19.09.25 | St Johnstone – Dunfermline | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.50 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
Ayr away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.01.26 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 27.12.25 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 20.12.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 22.11.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Ross County – Ayr | 3–3 (2–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 25.10.25 | Queens Park – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.10.25 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 11.10.25 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 04.10.25 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 23.09.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.38 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
1 1
St Johnstone winsDrawsAyr wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.12.25SC1 | Ayr – St Johnstone | 2–4 (2–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 04.10.25SC1 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
Scotland Championship table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 51 |
| 2 | Partick | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 30 | +10 | 48 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 4 | Ayr | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 27 | +3 | 33 |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 26 | +2 | 30 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 32 | +1 | 30 |
| 7 | Morton | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | Queens Park | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 28 |
| 9 | Airdrie Utd | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 |
| 10 | Ross County | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 33 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 9 | +17 | 26 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 | Morton | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | Ayr | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Dunfermline | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Ross County | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 11 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 8 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 25 |
| 2 | Ayr | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 17 |
| 4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Airdrie Utd | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
| 6 | Partick | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
| 8 | Morton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 12 |
St Johnstone Ayr
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 26 | 12 | 14 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 51 |
| 2 | 2 | Partick | 26 | 13 | 13 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 30 | 48 |
| 3 | 3 | Arbroath | 25 | 12 | 13 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 40 |
| 4 | 8 | Queens Park | 25 | 12 | 13 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 38 | 28 |
| 5 | 10 | Ross County | 25 | 13 | 12 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 39 | 23 |
| 6 | 6 | Dunfermline | 25 | 14 | 11 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 30 |
| 7 | 7 | Morton | 26 | 16 | 10 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 33 | 30 |
| 8 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 26 | 16 | 10 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 34 | 23 |
| 9 | 4 | Ayr | 24 | 15 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 10 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 26 | 17 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 30 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 13 | 6 | 7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | 2 | Partick | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 10 | Ross County | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | Arbroath | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
| 6 | 8 | Queens Park | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
| 7 | 6 | Dunfermline | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 8 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | Ayr | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
| 10 | 7 | Morton | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 18 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | 3 | Arbroath | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 3 | 8 | Queens Park | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 13 |
| 4 | 2 | Partick | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 15 |
| 5 | 6 | Dunfermline | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 6 | 7 | Morton | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | Ayr | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | 10 | Ross County | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
