Dunfermline 2–3 Ayr
Full time · half time 0–3 · season 2025/2026
Home
2.45
fair 2.41
Draw
3.10
fair 3.65
Away ✓
2.63
fair 3.22
Under 2.5
1.65
fair 1.76
Over 2.5 ✓
2.20
fair 2.32
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Dunfermline
Ayr
15
Shots
7
7
Shots on target
6
4
Corners
5
10
Fouls
10
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (89 league matches this season so far).
Result
Dunfermline to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.95
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
42%
27%
31%
DunfermlineDrawAyr
Under / Over 2.5 goals
57%
43%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
51%
49%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
9%
0
22%
1
26%
2
21%
3
13%
4
10%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9%
1–0 11.8%
0–1 9.9%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Dunfermline
before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
6
5
7
WonDrawnLost
18 played · 24:18
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.22scored / match
1.11conceded / match
5
9
4
WonDrawnLost
18 played · 22:20
Dunfermline all matches
all matches Ayr
Per match
1.33
Goals scored
1.22
1.00
Goals conceded
1.11
2.33
Total goals
2.33
8.39
Shots
9.72
3.89
Shots on target
4.22
8.61
Shots faced
8.00
4.83
Corners
5.44
4.72
Corners against
4.56
11.17
Fouls
12.06
2.22
Yellow cards
2.17
0.72
1st-half goals scored
0.83
0.56
1st-half goals conceded
0.44
How often Full Time
33%
Wins
28%
28%
Draws
50%
39%
Losses
22%
89%
Over 0.5 goals
83%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
61%
39%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
28%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
11%
Over 4.5 goals
17%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
17%
33%
Both teams scored
56%
44%
Clean sheets
33%
33%
Failed to score
28%
How often Half Time
39%
Wins
50%
28%
Draws
17%
33%
Losses
33%
83%
Over 0.5 goals
83%
39%
Over 1.5 goals
22%
6%
Over 2.5 goals
11%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Dunfermline all matches
D
2
W
4
W
2
3
L
1
W
2
2
D
1
W
1
L
1
2
L
1
1
D
Ayr all matches
2
W
2
1
W
1
2
L
D
1
L
3
3
D
1
1
D
1
W
D
2
4
L
Dunfermline
before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.11scored / match
1.00conceded / match
3
3
3
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 10:9
Ayr
before this match, away
1.56points / match
1.22scored / match
0.89conceded / match
3
5
1
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 11:8
Dunfermline at home
away Ayr
Per match
1.11
Goals scored
1.22
1.00
Goals conceded
0.89
2.11
Total goals
2.11
7.78
Shots
9.22
4.00
Shots on target
3.67
8.89
Shots faced
7.78
4.33
Corners
5.33
4.44
Corners against
4.67
11.33
Fouls
11.67
2.33
Yellow cards
2.44
0.67
1st-half goals scored
0.78
0.56
1st-half goals conceded
0.33
How often Full Time
33%
Wins
33%
33%
Draws
56%
33%
Losses
11%
89%
Over 0.5 goals
78%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
56%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
22%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
11%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
11%
33%
Both teams scored
44%
44%
Clean sheets
56%
33%
Failed to score
22%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
56%
44%
Draws
22%
22%
Losses
22%
78%
Over 0.5 goals
78%
44%
Over 1.5 goals
22%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
11%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Dunfermline at home
D
2
W
2
2
D
1
L
2
L
D
2
W
2
2
D
1
W
1
2
L
Ayr away
1
W
1
1
D
2
2
D
1
W
D
2
W
1
2
L
D
3
3
D
1
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Dunfermline all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.12.25 | Queens Park – Dunfermline | 1–1 (1–0) | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 06.12.25 | Dunfermline – Arbroath | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 25.11.25 | Partick – Dunfermline | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.33 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 22.11.25 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 08.11.25 | Dunfermline – St Johnstone | 2–2 (1–1) | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 31.10.25 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 25.10.25 | Ross County – Dunfermline | 3–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 21.10.25 | Airdrie Utd – Dunfermline | 0–4 (0–2) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 17.10.25 | Dunfermline – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.90 | 2.75 | 2.50 | 2.63 | 1.44 |
| 04.10.25 | Dunfermline – Queens Park | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.12.25 | Ayr – St Johnstone | 2–4 (2–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | Ayr – Partick | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 22.11.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 15.11.25 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Ross County – Ayr | 3–3 (2–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 31.10.25 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 25.10.25 | Queens Park – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.10.25 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 18.10.25 | Ayr – Morton | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 11.10.25 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
Dunfermline at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.12.25 | Dunfermline – Arbroath | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 22.11.25 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 08.11.25 | Dunfermline – St Johnstone | 2–2 (1–1) | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 17.10.25 | Dunfermline – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.90 | 2.75 | 2.50 | 2.63 | 1.44 |
| 04.10.25 | Dunfermline – Queens Park | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 27.09.25 | Dunfermline – Partick | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 23.09.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.38 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 30.08.25 | Dunfermline – Ross County | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 09.08.25 | Dunfermline – Airdrie Utd | 2–0 (2–0) | 1.85 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 26.04.25 | Dunfermline – Airdrie Utd | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
Ayr away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.11.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Ross County – Ayr | 3–3 (2–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 25.10.25 | Queens Park – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.10.25 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 11.10.25 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 04.10.25 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 23.09.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.38 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 23.08.25 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 01.08.25 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 02.05.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 4 6
Dunfermline winsDrawsAyr wins
14matches
2.50goals / match
43%over 2.5
43%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.10.25SC1 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 23.09.25SC1 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.38 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 29.03.25SC1 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.73 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 14.01.25SC1 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.30 | 2.63 | 2.38 | 3.00 | 1.36 |
| 23.11.24SC1 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.75 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 31.08.24SC1 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 1–1 (1–1) | 4.20 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 03.05.24SC1 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 3–3 (1–3) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 02.03.24SC1 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 30.12.23SC1 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 2–2 (1–2) | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 21.10.23SC1 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 16.04.22SC1 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 05.02.22SC1 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.55 | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 20.11.21SC1 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 11.09.21SC1 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 3–1 (2–1) | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Scotland Championship table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 17 | +20 | 38 |
| 2 | Partick | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 35 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | +1 | 29 |
| 4 | Ayr | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 | Raith Rvs | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 | Morton | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Airdrie Utd | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
| 9 | Queens Park | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 14 |
| 10 | Ross County | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 12 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 23 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Morton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Queens Park | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Ross County | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 | Ayr | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 11 |
| 5 | Morton | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Airdrie Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Raith Rvs | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Queens Park | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Ross County | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 5 |
Dunfermline Ayr
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 18 | 6 | 12 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 38 |
| 2 | 10 | Ross County | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 12 |
| 3 | 3 | Arbroath | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 29 |
| 4 | 8 | Airdrie Utd | 18 | 9 | 9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 17 |
| 5 | 2 | Partick | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 35 |
| 6 | 9 | Queens Park | 17 | 9 | 8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 14 |
| 7 | 5 | Dunfermline | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 18 | 23 |
| 8 | 4 | Ayr | 18 | 12 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 24 |
| 9 | 7 | Morton | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
| 10 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 23 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Ross County | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | St Johnstone | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | 2 | Partick | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | 3 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | 8 | Airdrie Utd | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | Ayr | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | Dunfermline | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 14 |
| 9 | 7 | Morton | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | Queens Park | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 9 | 2 | 7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | 3 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
| 3 | 8 | Airdrie Utd | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| 4 | 9 | Queens Park | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | Dunfermline | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | Ross County | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | Partick | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | Ayr | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | 7 | Morton | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 9 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
