Stranraer 3–1 Dumbarton
Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027
Home ✓
1.53
fair 1.96
Draw
4.10
fair 4.24
Away
5.00
fair 3.92
Under 2.5
2.30
fair 2.26
Over 2.5 ✓
1.60
fair 1.79
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Stranraer
Dumbarton
18
Shots
14
8
Shots on target
5
9
Corners
3
16
Fouls
10
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (30 league matches this season so far).
Result
Stranraer to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.76
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
51%
24%
26%
StranraerDrawDumbarton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
44%
56%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
43%
57%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
16%
4
17%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
1–0 9.5%
Statistics 2026/2027, before this match
Stranraer
before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
3
1
2
WonDrawnLost
6 played · 9:6
Dumbarton
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.67scored / match
1.83conceded / match
2
4
WonDrawnLost
6 played · 4:11
Stranraer all matches
all matches Dumbarton
Per match
1.50
Goals scored
0.67
1.00
Goals conceded
1.83
2.50
Total goals
2.50
9.83
Shots
7.83
4.00
Shots on target
3.50
12.00
Shots faced
12.67
7.33
Corners
4.83
7.00
Corners against
4.83
10.50
Fouls
12.83
1.50
Yellow cards
1.83
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.33
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.83
How often Full Time
50%
Wins
33%
17%
Draws
0%
33%
Losses
67%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
33%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
33%
Both teams scored
33%
50%
Clean sheets
17%
17%
Failed to score
50%
How often Half Time
50%
Wins
17%
33%
Draws
33%
17%
Losses
50%
67%
Over 0.5 goals
67%
50%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
17%
Over 2.5 goals
17%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stranraer all matches
2
1
W
1
L
1
1
D
1
W
1
3
L
1
L
1
W
2
2
D
2
W
3
W
Dumbarton all matches
2
1
W
2
L
1
L
5
L
2
L
1
W
3
L
1
3
L
2
L
2
1
W
Stranraer
before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.33conceded / match
2
1
WonDrawnLost
3 played · 3:1
Dumbarton
before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
3
WonDrawnLost
3 played · 1:7
Stranraer at home
away Dumbarton
Per match
1.00
Goals scored
0.33
0.33
Goals conceded
2.33
1.33
Total goals
2.67
10.00
Shots
8.33
2.67
Shots on target
3.00
11.33
Shots faced
11.67
7.00
Corners
4.00
6.67
Corners against
6.00
10.33
Fouls
13.33
2.00
Yellow cards
2.33
0.67
1st-half goals scored
0.33
0.00
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
67%
Wins
0%
0%
Draws
0%
33%
Losses
100%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
33%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
0%
Both teams scored
33%
67%
Clean sheets
0%
33%
Failed to score
67%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
0%
67%
Draws
33%
0%
Losses
67%
33%
Over 0.5 goals
67%
33%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stranraer at home
2
1
W
1
2
L
2
1
W
3
1
W
1
1
D
1
L
1
1
D
1
L
1
W
2
W
Dumbarton away
1
L
1
3
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
1
D
2
L
5
L
2
L
1
3
L
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Stranraer all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.09.26 | Forfar – Stranraer | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 29.08.26 | Stranraer – Kelty Hearts | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 22.08.26 | Stirling – Stranraer | 2–2 (0–2) | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 15.08.26 | Stranraer – Spartans | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.35 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 08.08.26 | Stranraer – Annan Athletic | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 01.08.26 | Clyde – Stranraer | 3–1 (3–1) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 02.05.26 | Elgin – Stranraer | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 25.04.26 | Stranraer – Stirling | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.40 | 4.10 | 6.50 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 18.04.26 | Stranraer – Forfar | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 11.04.26 | Spartans – Stranraer | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.55 | 3.70 | 5.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
Dumbarton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.09.26 | Dumbarton – Elgin | 2–1 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.83 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 29.08.26 | Annan Athletic – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 22.08.26 | Kelty Hearts – Dumbarton | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.20 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 15.08.26 | Dumbarton – Edinburgh City | 0–3 (0–2) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 08.08.26 | Dumbarton – Clyde | 1–0 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 01.08.26 | Stirling – Dumbarton | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 02.05.26 | Edinburgh City – Dumbarton | 5–0 (4–0) | 5.25 | 5.00 | 1.38 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 25.04.26 | Dumbarton – East Kilbride | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.50 | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| 18.04.26 | Clyde – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 11.04.26 | Dumbarton – Stirling | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
Stranraer at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.08.26 | Stranraer – Kelty Hearts | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 15.08.26 | Stranraer – Spartans | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.35 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 08.08.26 | Stranraer – Annan Athletic | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 25.04.26 | Stranraer – Stirling | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.40 | 4.10 | 6.50 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 18.04.26 | Stranraer – Forfar | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 04.04.26 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 24.03.26 | Stranraer – Clyde | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.40 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 14.03.26 | Stranraer – East Kilbride | 2–1 (1–1) | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 28.02.26 | Stranraer – Elgin | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 21.02.26 | Stranraer – Spartans | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Dumbarton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.08.26 | Annan Athletic – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 22.08.26 | Kelty Hearts – Dumbarton | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.20 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 01.08.26 | Stirling – Dumbarton | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 02.05.26 | Edinburgh City – Dumbarton | 5–0 (4–0) | 5.25 | 5.00 | 1.38 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 18.04.26 | Clyde – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 04.04.26 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 14.03.26 | Elgin – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 28.02.26 | Stirling – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 21.02.26 | East Kilbride – Dumbarton | 3–1 (3–0) | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 10.02.26 | Annan Athletic – Dumbarton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3 4 5
Stranraer winsDrawsDumbarton wins
12matches
2.67goals / match
42%over 2.5
58%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.04.26SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 10.03.26SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 20.12.25SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 27.09.25SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.04.24SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 05.03.24SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 5–0 (4–0) | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 24.02.24SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 2–1 (2–1) | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 30.09.23SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 06.05.23SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 04.03.23SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 05.11.22SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 20.09.22SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 3–2 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Scotland League Two table 2026/2027, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clyde | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 | Elgin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 11 |
| 3 | Stranraer | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Spartans | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 9 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Forfar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 | Stirling | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 |
- Promotion to League One
- Promotion play-offs
- Play-off against the Highland/Lowland League winner
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clyde | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | Kelty Hearts | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 3 | Elgin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 | Stranraer | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | Forfar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Stirling | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Spartans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartans | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 | Elgin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 4 |
| 3 | Edinburgh City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 4 |
| 4 | Stranraer | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 | Clyde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Annan Athletic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Forfar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
| 10 | Stirling | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 |
Stranraer Dumbarton
Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clyde | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | 2 | Elgin | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | 4 | Spartans | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | Stirling | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | Stranraer | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | Forfar | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | Annan Athletic | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clyde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | Spartans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | Kelty Hearts | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | Elgin | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | Forfar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | Annan Athletic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | Dumbarton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | Edinburgh City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | Stirling | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | Stranraer | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Elgin | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | Stranraer | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | Edinburgh City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | Stirling | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 5 | 1 | Clyde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | Spartans | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | Kelty Hearts | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 8 | 7 | Forfar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | Annan Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | Dumbarton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
