Kelty Hearts 3–1 Dumbarton
Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2026/2027
Home ✓
1.67
fair 2.34
Draw
3.60
fair 4.20
Away
4.20
fair 2.99
Under 2.5
2.20
fair 2.46
Over 2.5 ✓
1.65
fair 1.69
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Kelty Hearts
Dumbarton
17
Shots
12
8
Shots on target
4
6
Corners
4
14
Fouls
8
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (15 league matches this season so far).
Result
Kelty Hearts to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.63
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
43%
24%
33%
Kelty HeartsDrawDumbarton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
41%
59%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
39%
61%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
14%
1
22%
2
22%
3
17%
4
20%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9%
2–1 8.9%
1–2 7.8%
Statistics 2026/2027, before this match
Kelty Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
1
2
WonDrawnLost
3 played · 4:7
Dumbarton
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
1
2
WonDrawnLost
3 played · 1:5
Kelty Hearts all matches
all matches Dumbarton
Per match
1.33
Goals scored
0.33
2.33
Goals conceded
1.67
3.67
Total goals
2.00
10.00
Shots
8.00
5.00
Shots on target
3.33
10.33
Shots faced
12.00
3.67
Corners
6.67
3.67
Corners against
5.33
9.33
Fouls
14.33
2.33
Yellow cards
2.33
0.67
1st-half goals scored
0.00
0.67
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
33%
Wins
33%
0%
Draws
0%
67%
Losses
67%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
67%
Over 3.5 goals
0%
67%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
67%
Both teams scored
0%
0%
Clean sheets
33%
33%
Failed to score
67%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
0%
0%
Draws
33%
67%
Losses
67%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
67%
33%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kelty Hearts all matches
2
L
2
1
W
1
1
D
3
1
W
1
L
2
L
2
W
1
L
3
2
W
1
4
L
Dumbarton all matches
2
1
W
2
2
D
1
1
D
2
1
W
2
L
1
L
5
L
2
L
1
W
3
L
Kelty Hearts
before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
1
WonDrawnLost
1 played · 3:2
Dumbarton
before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
1
WonDrawnLost
1 played · 0:2
Kelty Hearts at home
away Dumbarton
Per match
3.00
Goals scored
0.00
2.00
Goals conceded
2.00
5.00
Total goals
2.00
11.00
Shots
10.00
7.00
Shots on target
4.00
8.00
Shots faced
7.00
2.00
Corners
8.00
3.00
Corners against
7.00
13.00
Fouls
18.00
5.00
Yellow cards
4.00
2.00
1st-half goals scored
0.00
0.00
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
100%
Wins
0%
0%
Draws
0%
0%
Losses
100%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 3.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
100%
Both teams scored
0%
0%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Failed to score
100%
How often Half Time
100%
Wins
0%
0%
Draws
0%
0%
Losses
100%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kelty Hearts at home
1
1
D
2
L
D
1
1
D
D
1
1
D
1
1
D
3
1
W
2
L
3
2
W
Dumbarton away
2
L
2
L
1
L
1
3
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
1
D
2
L
5
L
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Kelty Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.08.26 | Elgin – Kelty Hearts | 4–1 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 08.08.26 | Kelty Hearts – Stirling | 3–2 (2–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 01.08.26 | Forfar – Kelty Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 02.05.26SC2 | Peterhead – Kelty Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 25.04.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 18.04.26SC2 | Inverness C – Kelty Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.18 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 11.04.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Montrose | 3–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.35 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 04.04.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Queen of Sth | 1–1 (0–0) | 3.90 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 28.03.26SC2 | Hamilton – Kelty Hearts | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 21.03.26SC2 | Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.48 | 3.70 | 6.00 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
Dumbarton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.08.26 | Dumbarton – Edinburgh City | 0–3 (0–2) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 08.08.26 | Dumbarton – Clyde | 1–0 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 01.08.26 | Stirling – Dumbarton | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 02.05.26 | Edinburgh City – Dumbarton | 5–0 (4–0) | 5.25 | 5.00 | 1.38 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 25.04.26 | Dumbarton – East Kilbride | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.50 | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| 18.04.26 | Clyde – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 11.04.26 | Dumbarton – Stirling | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 04.04.26 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 28.03.26 | Dumbarton – Forfar | 2–2 (0–2) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 21.03.26 | Dumbarton – Annan Athletic | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
Kelty Hearts at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.08.26 | Kelty Hearts – Stirling | 3–2 (2–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 25.04.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 11.04.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Montrose | 3–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.35 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 04.04.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Queen of Sth | 1–1 (0–0) | 3.90 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 14.03.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – East Fife | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 28.02.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Inverness C | 0–0 (0–0) | 8.50 | 4.50 | 1.29 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 14.02.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Peterhead | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 31.01.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 24.01.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir | 0–2 (0–2) | 3.75 | 3.30 | 1.83 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 03.01.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Alloa | 1–1 (0–0) | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
Dumbarton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | Stirling – Dumbarton | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 02.05.26 | Edinburgh City – Dumbarton | 5–0 (4–0) | 5.25 | 5.00 | 1.38 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 18.04.26 | Clyde – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 04.04.26 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 14.03.26 | Elgin – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 28.02.26 | Stirling – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 21.02.26 | East Kilbride – Dumbarton | 3–1 (3–0) | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 10.02.26 | Annan Athletic – Dumbarton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 07.02.26 | Forfar – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 03.01.26 | Spartans – Dumbarton | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.10 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
1 1 2
Kelty Hearts winsDrawsDumbarton wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.04.25SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Dumbarton | 0–6 (0–3) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 28.12.24SC2 | Dumbarton – Kelty Hearts | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.63 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 09.11.24SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 31.08.24SC2 | Dumbarton – Kelty Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.88 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Scotland League Two table 2026/2027, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elgin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 7 |
| 2 | Forfar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 3 | Clyde | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 | Spartans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 | Edinburgh City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Annan Athletic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 7 | Stirling | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Stranraer | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
- Promotion to League One
- Promotion play-offs
- Play-off against the Highland/Lowland League winner
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forfar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 | Elgin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | Clyde | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Stirling | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Stranraer | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dumbarton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Spartans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edinburgh City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 2 | Elgin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Spartans | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Annan Athletic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Clyde | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Forfar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Stranraer | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 9 | Stirling | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
Kelty Hearts Dumbarton
Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Edinburgh City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | Elgin | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | Clyde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | Spartans | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | Annan Athletic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | Stirling | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | Kelty Hearts | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | Forfar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | Stranraer | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | Dumbarton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Annan Athletic | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 2 | 1 | Elgin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | Forfar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | Clyde | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | Spartans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | Edinburgh City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 7 | 9 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | Dumbarton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | Stirling | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | Stranraer | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Edinburgh City | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | Stirling | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 3 | 1 | Elgin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | Clyde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | Spartans | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | Stranraer | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | 9 | Kelty Hearts | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 8 | 2 | Forfar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | Annan Athletic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | Dumbarton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
