Hearts 1–1 Kilmarnock – Scotland Premiership, 30 Mar 2024

Match facts

Hearts Kilmarnock

16 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 7

5 Fouls 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (179 league matches this season so far).

Result Hearts to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.90

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.00

Home / Draw / Away

46% 27% 27%

HeartsDrawKilmarnock

Under / Over 2.5 goals

58% 43%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

53% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.8% 1–1 12.8% 0–0 9.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Hearts before this match, all matches

1.83points / match

1.30scored / match

1.00conceded / match

17 4 9

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 39:30

Kilmarnock before this match, all matches

1.47points / match

1.30scored / match

1.10conceded / match

11 11 8

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 39:33

Hearts all matches all matches Kilmarnock

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.30

1.00 Goals conceded 1.10

2.30 Total goals 2.40

13.70 Shots 13.00

4.47 Shots on target 4.10

13.73 Shots faced 11.97

6.87 Corners 6.23

5.33 Corners against 4.73

10.90 Fouls 12.17

2.10 Yellow cards 2.20

0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

57% Wins 37%

13% Draws 37%

30% Losses 27%

97% Over 0.5 goals 90%

63% Over 1.5 goals 63%

37% Over 2.5 goals 47%

20% Over 3.5 goals 30%

13% Over 4.5 goals 3%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

37% Both teams scored 57%

47% Clean sheets 33%

20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 27%

43% Draws 40%

27% Losses 33%

60% Over 0.5 goals 73%

17% Over 1.5 goals 33%

3% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts all matches

2

1

W

3

2

W

2

W

3

2

W

1

W

2

W

5

L

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

Kilmarnock all matches

2

D

1

3

L

2

D

1

D

1

W

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

D

5

2

W

Hearts before this match, at home

1.87points / match

1.40scored / match

0.87conceded / match

8 4 3

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 21:13

Kilmarnock before this match, away

0.93points / match

0.86scored / match

1.21conceded / match

2 7 5

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:17

Hearts at home away Kilmarnock

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 0.86

0.87 Goals conceded 1.21

2.27 Total goals 2.07

15.93 Shots 11.64

5.00 Shots on target 3.07

13.47 Shots faced 13.57

7.73 Corners 5.93

5.00 Corners against 5.29

11.00 Fouls 12.36

2.00 Yellow cards 2.71

0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.36

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

53% Wins 14%

27% Draws 50%

20% Losses 36%

93% Over 0.5 goals 79%

67% Over 1.5 goals 57%

27% Over 2.5 goals 43%

27% Over 3.5 goals 29%

13% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

33% Both teams scored 57%

53% Clean sheets 36%

20% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 14%

47% Draws 50%

27% Losses 36%

60% Over 0.5 goals 71%

20% Over 1.5 goals 43%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts at home

1

W

1

W

1

L

2

W

2

D

3

2

W

2

W

2

W

1

D

2

W

Kilmarnock away

1

2

L

1

L

D

1

W

D

1

W

1

3

L

1

D

1

D

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Hearts all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Ross County – Hearts	2–1 (1–0)	4.00	3.60	1.91	1.93	1.93
03.03.24	Hearts – Celtic	2–0 (1–0)	6.50	4.33	1.50	1.57	2.35
28.02.24	Hearts – Hibernian	1–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.80	2.00
24.02.24	Rangers – Hearts	5–0 (3–0)	1.29	5.50	11.00	1.53	2.40
17.02.24	Hearts – Motherwell	2–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.70	5.00	2.03	1.83
07.02.24	St Johnstone – Hearts	0–1 (0–0)	3.80	3.60	1.95	2.10	1.70
03.02.24	Dundee – Hearts	2–3 (1–0)	3.00	3.60	2.25	1.90	1.95
27.01.24	Hearts – Aberdeen	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.40	2.05	1.75
23.01.24	Hearts – Dundee	3–2 (0–2)	1.73	3.75	5.00	1.93	1.93
02.01.24	Livingston – Hearts	1–2 (0–0)	4.00	3.60	1.91	2.20	1.65

Kilmarnock all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Kilmarnock – St Mirren	5–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.10	3.75	2.40	1.53
02.03.24	Dundee – Kilmarnock	2–2 (1–1)	2.60	3.50	2.60	2.03	1.83
28.02.24	Kilmarnock – Rangers	1–2 (1–0)	8.00	4.50	1.44	1.73	2.08
24.02.24	Kilmarnock – Aberdeen	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
17.02.24	Celtic – Kilmarnock	1–1 (1–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.48	2.60
07.02.24	Kilmarnock – Livingston	1–0 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.50	2.05	1.75
03.02.24	Motherwell – Kilmarnock	1–1 (1–1)	3.00	3.20	2.38	2.03	1.83
27.01.24	Kilmarnock – Hibernian	2–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.05	1.75
02.01.24	Rangers – Kilmarnock	3–1 (2–0)	1.25	7.00	9.50	1.57	2.35
30.12.23	Kilmarnock – Dundee	2–2 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.50	2.05	1.75

Hearts at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.03.24	Hearts – Celtic	2–0 (1–0)	6.50	4.33	1.50	1.57	2.35
28.02.24	Hearts – Hibernian	1–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.80	2.00
17.02.24	Hearts – Motherwell	2–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.70	5.00	2.03	1.83
27.01.24	Hearts – Aberdeen	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.40	2.05	1.75
23.01.24	Hearts – Dundee	3–2 (0–2)	1.73	3.75	5.00	1.93	1.93
30.12.23	Hearts – Ross County	2–2 (0–0)	1.70	3.80	5.00	2.05	1.80
23.12.23	Hearts – St Mirren	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.15	1.67
06.12.23	Hearts – Rangers	0–1 (0–1)	6.00	4.33	1.53	1.67	2.15
25.11.23	Hearts – St Johnstone	1–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.20	5.75	1.90	1.95
01.11.23	Hearts – Livingston	1–0 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	2.03	1.83

Kilmarnock away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.03.24	Dundee – Kilmarnock	2–2 (1–1)	2.60	3.50	2.60	2.03	1.83
17.02.24	Celtic – Kilmarnock	1–1 (1–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.48	2.60
03.02.24	Motherwell – Kilmarnock	1–1 (1–1)	3.00	3.20	2.38	2.03	1.83
02.01.24	Rangers – Kilmarnock	3–1 (2–0)	1.25	7.00	9.50	1.57	2.35
27.12.23	St Mirren – Kilmarnock	0–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.00	2.80	2.40	1.53
16.12.23	Livingston – Kilmarnock	0–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.30	2.20	2.25	1.62
06.12.23	Aberdeen – Kilmarnock	0–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.70
25.11.23	Ross County – Kilmarnock	0–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.30	2.50	2.15	1.67
11.11.23	Hibernian – Kilmarnock	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.50	3.40	1.98	1.88
01.11.23	St Johnstone – Kilmarnock	2–1 (2–0)	3.50	3.20	2.20	2.20	1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2 1

Hearts winsDrawsKilmarnock wins

5matches

2.40goals / match

60%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.12.23SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.40	2.40	2.03	1.83
13.08.23SC0	Hearts – Kilmarnock	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	1.88	1.98
01.04.23SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	2–1 (2–1)	2.90	3.50	2.38	1.90	1.95
17.12.22SC0	Hearts – Kilmarnock	3–1 (2–0)	1.80	3.60	4.75	1.98	1.88
09.10.22SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	2–2 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.95	1.90

Scotland Premiership table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	30	22	5	3	71	23	+48	71
2	Rangers	29	23	1	5	64	16	+48	70
3	Hearts	30	17	4	9	39	30	+9	55
4	Kilmarnock	30	11	11	8	39	33	+6	44
5	St Mirren	30	12	6	12	36	37	-1	42
6	Hibernian	30	9	11	10	41	45	-4	38
7	Dundee	29	9	9	11	40	50	-10	36
8	Motherwell	30	7	11	12	41	47	-6	32
9	Aberdeen	30	7	9	14	33	48	-15	30
10	St Johnstone	30	6	10	14	21	41	-20	28
11	Ross County	30	6	9	15	28	51	-23	27
12	Livingston	30	3	8	19	20	52	-32	17

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	15	11	3	1	39	12	+27	36
2	Rangers	15	12	0	3	36	11	+25	36
3	Kilmarnock	16	9	4	3	27	16	+11	31
4	Hearts	15	8	4	3	21	13	+8	28
5	St Mirren	15	8	3	4	20	14	+6	27
6	Hibernian	16	6	4	6	21	20	+1	22
7	Dundee	14	6	4	4	19	19	0	22
8	Ross County	15	5	4	6	15	18	-3	19
9	St Johnstone	15	4	6	5	14	20	-6	18
10	Motherwell	15	4	4	7	25	26	-1	16
11	Aberdeen	14	3	6	5	17	21	-4	15
12	Livingston	14	2	5	7	9	20	-11	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	15	11	2	2	32	11	+21	35
2	Rangers	14	11	1	2	28	5	+23	34
3	Hearts	15	9	0	6	18	17	+1	27
4	Hibernian	14	3	7	4	20	25	-5	16
5	Motherwell	15	3	7	5	16	21	-5	16
6	St Mirren	15	4	3	8	16	23	-7	15
7	Aberdeen	16	4	3	9	16	27	-11	15
8	Dundee	15	3	5	7	21	31	-10	14
9	Kilmarnock	14	2	7	5	12	17	-5	13
10	St Johnstone	15	2	4	9	7	21	-14	10
11	Ross County	15	1	5	9	13	33	-20	8
12	Livingston	16	1	3	12	11	32	-21	6

Hearts Kilmarnock

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Celtic	30	10	20	2.4	0.8	22	5	3	71	23	71
2	6	Hibernian	30	11	19	1.4	1.5	9	11	10	41	45	38
3	7	Dundee	29	11	18	1.4	1.7	9	9	11	40	50	36
4	2	Rangers	29	12	17	2.2	0.6	23	1	5	64	16	70
5	8	Motherwell	30	14	16	1.4	1.6	7	11	12	41	47	32
6	4	Kilmarnock	30	16	14	1.3	1.1	11	11	8	39	33	44
7	9	Aberdeen	30	16	14	1.1	1.6	7	9	14	33	48	30
8	11	Ross County	30	16	14	0.9	1.7	6	9	15	28	51	27
9	5	St Mirren	30	17	13	1.2	1.2	12	6	12	36	37	42
10	12	Livingston	30	17	13	0.7	1.7	3	8	19	20	52	17
11	3	Hearts	30	19	11	1.3	1.0	17	4	9	39	30	55
12	10	St Johnstone	30	21	9	0.7	1.4	6	10	14	21	41	28

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Rangers	15	4	11	2.4	0.7	12	0	3	36	11	36
2	8	Motherwell	15	5	10	1.7	1.7	4	4	7	25	26	16
3	1	Celtic	15	6	9	2.6	0.8	11	3	1	39	12	36
4	6	Hibernian	16	7	9	1.3	1.2	6	4	6	21	20	22
5	4	Kilmarnock	16	8	8	1.7	1.0	9	4	3	27	16	31
6	7	Dundee	14	6	8	1.4	1.4	6	4	4	19	19	22
7	5	St Mirren	15	8	7	1.3	0.9	8	3	4	20	14	27
8	9	Aberdeen	14	7	7	1.2	1.5	3	6	5	17	21	15
9	11	Ross County	15	9	6	1.0	1.2	5	4	6	15	18	19
10	10	St Johnstone	15	10	5	0.9	1.3	4	6	5	14	20	18
11	12	Livingston	14	9	5	0.6	1.4	2	5	7	9	20	11
12	3	Hearts	15	11	4	1.4	0.9	8	4	3	21	13	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Celtic	15	4	11	2.1	0.7	11	2	2	32	11	35
2	6	Hibernian	14	4	10	1.4	1.8	3	7	4	20	25	16
3	7	Dundee	15	5	10	1.4	2.1	3	5	7	21	31	14
4	11	Ross County	15	7	8	0.9	2.2	1	5	9	13	33	8
5	12	Livingston	16	8	8	0.7	2.0	1	3	12	11	32	6
6	3	Hearts	15	8	7	1.2	1.1	9	0	6	18	17	27
7	9	Aberdeen	16	9	7	1.0	1.7	4	3	9	16	27	15
8	2	Rangers	14	8	6	2.0	0.4	11	1	2	28	5	34
9	4	Kilmarnock	14	8	6	0.9	1.2	2	7	5	12	17	13
10	5	St Mirren	15	9	6	1.1	1.5	4	3	8	16	23	15
11	8	Motherwell	15	9	6	1.1	1.4	3	7	5	16	21	16
12	10	St Johnstone	15	11	4	0.5	1.4	2	4	9	7	21	10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.