Kilmarnock 2–1 Hearts – Scotland Premiership, 1 Apr 2023

Match facts

Kilmarnock Hearts

17 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 5

12 Fouls 15

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (174 league matches this season so far).

Result Hearts to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.74

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.44

Home / Draw / Away

36% 25% 39%

KilmarnockDrawHearts

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

43% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 1–2 8.5% 0–1 8.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Kilmarnock before this match, all matches

0.86points / match

0.83scored / match

1.76conceded / match

6 7 16

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 24:51

Hearts before this match, all matches

1.55points / match

1.69scored / match

1.48conceded / match

13 6 10

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 49:43

Kilmarnock all matches all matches Hearts

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 1.69

1.76 Goals conceded 1.48

2.59 Total goals 3.17

11.14 Shots 11.69

2.97 Shots on target 4.17

12.93 Shots faced 14.31

4.48 Corners 5.17

5.14 Corners against 5.17

12.38 Fouls 10.17

1.93 Yellow cards 1.62

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.79

0.97 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

21% Wins 45%

24% Draws 21%

55% Losses 34%

93% Over 0.5 goals 97%

69% Over 1.5 goals 86%

48% Over 2.5 goals 66%

34% Over 3.5 goals 41%

14% Over 4.5 goals 21%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

48% Both teams scored 52%

17% Clean sheets 21%

41% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 41%

24% Draws 31%

52% Losses 28%

79% Over 0.5 goals 79%

31% Over 1.5 goals 41%

21% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock all matches

D

2

L

2

3

L

3

L

1

W

1

3

L

2

L

1

D

1

3

L

1

D

Hearts all matches

1

D

1

W

5

W

D

3

L

3

1

W

2

L

3

W

1

3

L

3

L

Kilmarnock before this match, at home

1.64points / match

1.29scored / match

1.36conceded / match

6 5 3

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 18:19

Hearts before this match, away

0.93points / match

1.00scored / match

1.53conceded / match

3 5 7

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:23

Kilmarnock at home away Hearts

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.00

1.36 Goals conceded 1.53

2.64 Total goals 2.53

13.79 Shots 9.93

3.93 Shots on target 2.87

11.07 Shots faced 14.40

4.71 Corners 5.20

4.79 Corners against 5.07

12.79 Fouls 10.33

2.07 Yellow cards 1.87

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

43% Wins 20%

36% Draws 33%

21% Losses 47%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

71% Over 1.5 goals 80%

50% Over 2.5 goals 47%

29% Over 3.5 goals 27%

21% Over 4.5 goals 7%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

64% Both teams scored 47%

29% Clean sheets 13%

14% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 27%

29% Draws 40%

21% Losses 33%

79% Over 0.5 goals 73%

29% Over 1.5 goals 33%

14% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock at home

2

D

1

W

2

3

L

1

W

2

1

W

D

2

3

L

1

W

1

D

1

D

Hearts away

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

D

3

2

W

1

D

2

L

1

3

L

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Kilmarnock all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.03.23	Kilmarnock – St Johnstone	1–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.30	1.62
04.03.23	Rangers – Kilmarnock	3–1 (3–0)	1.17	7.00	17.00	1.53	2.50
25.02.23	Kilmarnock – Motherwell	1–1 (1–0)	2.40	3.30	2.90	2.20	1.67
18.02.23	Hibernian – Kilmarnock	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	4.00	4.50	2.02	1.83
04.02.23	Livingston – Kilmarnock	3–1 (3–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	2.38	1.57
01.02.23	Kilmarnock – Dundee United	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.20	3.10	2.10	1.73
28.01.23	Ross County – Kilmarnock	3–0 (1–0)	2.80	3.10	2.70	2.20	1.67
18.01.23	Kilmarnock – Rangers	2–3 (1–1)	8.00	5.50	1.33	1.62	2.30
07.01.23	Celtic – Kilmarnock	2–0 (1–0)	1.08	12.00	23.00	1.29	3.75
02.01.23	Kilmarnock – St Mirren	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	2.20	1.67

Hearts all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.03.23	Aberdeen – Hearts	3–0 (3–0)	2.55	3.30	2.80	1.85	2.00
08.03.23	Celtic – Hearts	3–1 (1–1)	1.18	8.00	13.00	1.33	3.40
04.03.23	Hearts – St Johnstone	3–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.75	5.00	1.93	1.93
19.02.23	Motherwell – Hearts	2–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	1.98	1.88
04.02.23	Hearts – Dundee United	3–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.75	5.25	1.73	2.10
01.02.23	Hearts – Rangers	0–3 (0–2)	5.75	4.33	1.55	1.62	2.30
29.01.23	Livingston – Hearts	0–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.98	1.88
18.01.23	Hearts – Aberdeen	5–0 (4–0)	2.15	3.40	3.40	1.85	2.00
13.01.23	Hearts – St Mirren	1–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	1.85	2.00
07.01.23	St Mirren – Hearts	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.30	2.50	1.90	1.95

Kilmarnock at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.03.23	Kilmarnock – St Johnstone	1–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.30	1.62
25.02.23	Kilmarnock – Motherwell	1–1 (1–0)	2.40	3.30	2.90	2.20	1.67
01.02.23	Kilmarnock – Dundee United	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.20	3.10	2.10	1.73
18.01.23	Kilmarnock – Rangers	2–3 (1–1)	8.00	5.50	1.33	1.62	2.30
02.01.23	Kilmarnock – St Mirren	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	2.20	1.67
28.12.22	Kilmarnock – Aberdeen	2–1 (2–0)	3.00	3.50	2.30	2.10	1.73
12.11.22	Kilmarnock – Hibernian	1–0 (0–0)	3.25	3.30	2.30	2.10	1.72
04.11.22	Kilmarnock – Livingston	2–3 (2–1)	2.70	2.90	3.00	2.50	1.53
22.10.22	Kilmarnock – Ross County	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.25	4.20	2.20	1.66
09.10.22	Kilmarnock – Hearts	2–2 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.95	1.90

Hearts away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.03.23	Aberdeen – Hearts	3–0 (3–0)	2.55	3.30	2.80	1.85	2.00
08.03.23	Celtic – Hearts	3–1 (1–1)	1.18	8.00	13.00	1.33	3.40
19.02.23	Motherwell – Hearts	2–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	1.98	1.88
29.01.23	Livingston – Hearts	0–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.98	1.88
07.01.23	St Mirren – Hearts	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.30	2.50	1.90	1.95
28.12.22	St Johnstone – Hearts	2–3 (0–2)	3.00	3.40	2.30	2.02	1.83
24.12.22	Dundee United – Hearts	2–2 (1–1)	3.00	3.50	2.30	1.85	2.00
09.11.22	Rangers – Hearts	1–0 (0–0)	1.25	6.50	9.50	1.50	2.62
30.10.22	Ross County – Hearts	1–2 (1–2)	4.00	3.50	1.95	2.02	1.83
16.10.22	Aberdeen – Hearts	2–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.20	1.85	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1

Kilmarnock winsDrawsHearts wins

2matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.12.22SC0	Hearts – Kilmarnock	3–1 (2–0)	1.80	3.60	4.75	1.98	1.88
09.10.22SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	2–2 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.95	1.90

Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	29	27	1	1	93	21	+72	82
2	Rangers	29	23	4	2	72	27	+45	73
3	Hearts	29	13	6	10	49	43	+6	45
4	Aberdeen	29	13	2	14	46	52	-6	41
5	Hibernian	29	12	4	13	45	46	-1	40
6	Livingston	29	11	6	12	31	44	-13	39
7	St Mirren	29	10	8	11	31	42	-11	38
8	St Johnstone	29	9	5	15	33	48	-15	32
9	Motherwell	29	8	6	15	36	44	-8	30
10	Kilmarnock	29	6	7	16	24	51	-27	25
11	Ross County	29	6	6	17	25	43	-18	24
12	Dundee United	29	5	7	17	30	54	-24	22

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	15	15	0	0	47	9	+38	45
2	Rangers	14	12	2	0	37	9	+28	38
3	Aberdeen	15	10	1	4	34	14	+20	31
4	Hearts	14	10	1	3	34	20	+14	31
5	St Mirren	15	8	4	3	18	14	+4	28
6	Livingston	16	7	4	5	17	20	-3	25
7	Hibernian	14	7	3	4	27	18	+9	24
8	Kilmarnock	14	6	5	3	18	19	-1	23
9	Ross County	15	4	3	8	17	24	-7	15
10	Dundee United	15	4	2	9	18	28	-10	14
11	St Johnstone	13	3	3	7	14	19	-5	12
12	Motherwell	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	14	12	1	1	46	12	+34	37
2	Rangers	15	11	2	2	35	18	+17	35
3	St Johnstone	16	6	2	8	19	29	-10	20
4	Motherwell	15	5	3	7	20	20	0	18
5	Hibernian	15	5	1	9	18	28	-10	16
6	Hearts	15	3	5	7	15	23	-8	14
7	Livingston	13	4	2	7	14	24	-10	14
8	St Mirren	14	2	4	8	13	28	-15	10
9	Aberdeen	14	3	1	10	12	38	-26	10
10	Ross County	14	2	3	9	8	19	-11	9
11	Dundee United	14	1	5	8	12	26	-14	8
12	Kilmarnock	15	0	2	13	6	32	-26	2

Kilmarnock Hearts

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Celtic	29	6	23	3.2	0.7	27	1	1	93	21	82
2	2	Rangers	29	7	22	2.5	0.9	23	4	2	72	27	73
3	4	Aberdeen	29	9	20	1.6	1.8	13	2	14	46	52	41
4	3	Hearts	29	10	19	1.7	1.5	13	6	10	49	43	45
5	5	Hibernian	29	12	17	1.6	1.6	12	4	13	45	46	40
6	8	St Johnstone	29	12	17	1.1	1.7	9	5	15	33	48	32
7	9	Motherwell	29	13	16	1.2	1.5	8	6	15	36	44	30
8	12	Dundee United	29	13	16	1.0	1.9	5	7	17	30	54	22
9	6	Livingston	29	14	15	1.1	1.5	11	6	12	31	44	39
10	7	St Mirren	29	15	14	1.1	1.4	10	8	11	31	42	38
11	10	Kilmarnock	29	15	14	0.8	1.8	6	7	16	24	51	25
12	11	Ross County	29	16	13	0.9	1.5	6	6	17	25	43	24

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Celtic	15	3	12	3.1	0.6	15	0	0	47	9	45
2	3	Hearts	14	2	12	2.4	1.4	10	1	3	34	20	31
3	2	Rangers	14	4	10	2.6	0.6	12	2	0	37	9	38
4	4	Aberdeen	15	6	9	2.3	0.9	10	1	4	34	14	31
5	5	Hibernian	14	5	9	1.9	1.3	7	3	4	27	18	24
6	9	Motherwell	14	5	9	1.1	1.7	3	3	8	16	24	12
7	12	Dundee United	15	6	9	1.2	1.9	4	2	9	18	28	14
8	6	Livingston	16	8	8	1.1	1.2	7	4	5	17	20	25
9	10	Kilmarnock	14	7	7	1.3	1.4	6	5	3	18	19	23
10	11	Ross County	15	8	7	1.1	1.6	4	3	8	17	24	15
11	8	St Johnstone	13	7	6	1.1	1.5	3	3	7	14	19	12
12	7	St Mirren	15	10	5	1.2	0.9	8	4	3	18	14	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Rangers	15	3	12	2.3	1.2	11	2	2	35	18	35
2	1	Celtic	14	3	11	3.3	0.9	12	1	1	46	12	37
3	4	Aberdeen	14	3	11	0.9	2.7	3	1	10	12	38	10
4	8	St Johnstone	16	5	11	1.2	1.8	6	2	8	19	29	20
5	7	St Mirren	14	5	9	0.9	2.0	2	4	8	13	28	10
6	5	Hibernian	15	7	8	1.2	1.9	5	1	9	18	28	16
7	3	Hearts	15	8	7	1.0	1.5	3	5	7	15	23	14
8	6	Livingston	13	6	7	1.1	1.8	4	2	7	14	24	14
9	9	Motherwell	15	8	7	1.3	1.3	5	3	7	20	20	18
10	10	Kilmarnock	15	8	7	0.4	2.1	0	2	13	6	32	2
11	12	Dundee United	14	7	7	0.9	1.9	1	5	8	12	26	8
12	11	Ross County	14	8	6	0.6	1.4	2	3	9	8	19	9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.