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Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: M MacDermid

St Mirren 2–2 Kilmarnock

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.20 fair 1.88
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 4.37
Away 3.10 fair 4.18
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 2.35
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

St Mirren Kilmarnock
14 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 10
15 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (24 league matches this season so far).
Result St Mirren to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.83 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

St Mirren before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:8
Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
0.25points / match
0.25scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 1:10
St Mirren all matches all matches Kilmarnock

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.25
2.00 Goals conceded 2.50
3.50 Total goals 2.75
9.50 Shots 9.75
3.75 Shots on target 2.25
15.00 Shots faced 13.25
2.25 Corners 3.75
7.50 Corners against 7.25
12.75 Fouls 12.00
3.00 Yellow cards 1.75
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

25% Wins 0%
25% Draws 25%
50% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 25%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
50% Draws 25%
25% Losses 75%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Mirren all matches
Kilmarnock all matches
St Mirren before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:3
Kilmarnock before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 0:6
St Mirren at home away Kilmarnock

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded 3.00
3.00 Total goals 3.00
7.00 Shots 5.50
2.00 Shots on target 2.00
17.50 Shots faced 16.00
3.00 Corners 3.50
9.00 Corners against 9.00
10.50 Fouls 12.00
2.50 Yellow cards 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
50% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 100%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Mirren at home
Kilmarnock away

Last 10 matches before this match

St Mirren all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24 Dundee – St Mirren 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.403.40 2.00 1.85
25.08.24 St Mirren – Celtic 0–3 (0–2) 8.506.001.29 1.50 2.63
11.08.24 Aberdeen – St Mirren 3–1 (1–1) 1.953.503.75 2.10 1.73
04.08.24 St Mirren – Hibernian 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.80 1.98 1.88
18.05.24 Celtic – St Mirren 3–2 (2–2) 1.225.7513.00 1.40 3.00
15.05.24 St Mirren – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.63 2.00 1.85
11.05.24 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.30 1.62
04.05.24 Dundee – St Mirren 1–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 2.00 1.80
28.04.24 St Mirren – Rangers 1–2 (1–1) 8.005.001.36 1.58 2.30
13.04.24 Celtic – St Mirren 3–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.44 2.75

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.09.24 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.55 1.95 1.90
25.08.24 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.25 1.95 1.90
11.08.24 Kilmarnock – St Johnstone 0–3 (0–2) 1.733.754.50 2.10 1.73
04.08.24 Celtic – Kilmarnock 4–0 (2–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.36 3.20
18.05.24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.38 1.83 2.03
15.05.24 Kilmarnock – Celtic 0–5 (0–3) 6.505.751.36 1.44 2.75
11.05.24 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.30 1.62
05.05.24 Rangers – Kilmarnock 4–1 (1–1) 1.256.5010.00 1.53 2.50
27.04.24 Kilmarnock – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.05 1.80
13.04.24 St Johnstone – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–1) 3.803.502.00 2.10 1.73

St Mirren at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.24 St Mirren – Celtic 0–3 (0–2) 8.506.001.29 1.50 2.63
04.08.24 St Mirren – Hibernian 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.80 1.98 1.88
15.05.24 St Mirren – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.63 2.00 1.85
11.05.24 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.30 1.62
28.04.24 St Mirren – Rangers 1–2 (1–1) 8.005.001.36 1.58 2.30
06.04.24 St Mirren – Hearts 1–2 (0–1) 2.883.102.60 2.10 1.70
02.03.24 St Mirren – Aberdeen 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 2.05 1.80
24.02.24 St Mirren – St Johnstone 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.255.25 2.50 1.50
07.02.24 St Mirren – Dundee 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.10 1.70
27.01.24 St Mirren – Rangers 0–1 (0–1) 9.006.001.30 1.67 2.15

Kilmarnock away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.24 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.25 1.95 1.90
04.08.24 Celtic – Kilmarnock 4–0 (2–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.36 3.20
18.05.24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.38 1.83 2.03
11.05.24 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.30 1.62
05.05.24 Rangers – Kilmarnock 4–1 (1–1) 1.256.5010.00 1.53 2.50
13.04.24 St Johnstone – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–1) 3.803.502.00 2.10 1.73
30.03.24 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 2.03 1.83
02.03.24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–2 (1–1) 2.603.502.60 2.03 1.83
17.02.24 Celtic – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.48 2.60
03.02.24 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.202.38 2.03 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

St Mirren winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
7matches
1.86goals / match
14%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24SC0 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.30 1.62
16.03.24SC0 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 5–2 (0–2) 2.153.103.75 2.40 1.53
27.12.23SC0 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.002.80 2.40 1.53
30.09.23SC0 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.253.10 2.20 1.67
22.04.23SC0 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.75 2.10 1.73
02.01.23SC0 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 2.20 1.67
15.10.22SC0 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.80 2.20 1.66

Scotland Premiership table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 4 4 0 0 12 0 +12 12
2 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 8 2 +6 12
3 Dundee United 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
4 Rangers 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
5 Motherwell 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7
6 Dundee 4 1 3 0 9 7 +2 6
7 St Mirren 4 1 1 2 6 8 -2 4
8 St Johnstone 4 1 0 3 5 6 -1 3
9 Hibernian 4 0 2 2 3 8 -5 2
10 Ross County 4 0 2 2 1 8 -7 2
11 Hearts 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1
12 Kilmarnock 4 0 1 3 1 10 -9 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rangers 2 2 0 0 8 1 +7 6
2 Celtic 2 2 0 0 7 0 +7 6
3 Aberdeen 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
4 Dundee 2 1 1 0 5 3 +2 4
5 Dundee United 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
6 Motherwell 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
7 St Mirren 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
8 Ross County 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
9 Hearts 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
10 Hibernian 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
11 Kilmarnock 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
12 St Johnstone 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
2 Aberdeen 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
3 Dundee United 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
4 St Johnstone 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
5 Motherwell 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
6 Dundee 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
7 St Mirren 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
8 Hibernian 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
9 Rangers 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
10 Ross County 2 0 1 1 0 6 -6 1
11 Hearts 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
12 Kilmarnock 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0

St Mirren   Kilmarnock

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Dundee 4 0 4 2.2 1.8 1 3 0 9 7 6
2 7 St Mirren 4 0 4 1.5 2.0 1 1 2 6 8 4
3 1 Celtic 4 1 3 3.0 0.0 4 0 0 12 0 12
4 4 Rangers 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
5 5 Motherwell 4 1 3 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7
6 8 St Johnstone 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 1 0 3 5 6 3
7 2 Aberdeen 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 4 0 0 8 2 12
8 9 Hibernian 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 2 2 3 8 2
9 11 Hearts 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1
10 12 Kilmarnock 4 2 2 0.2 2.5 0 1 3 1 10 1
11 3 Dundee United 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
12 10 Ross County 4 3 1 0.2 2.0 0 2 2 1 8 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 2 0 2 3.5 0.0 2 0 0 7 0 6
2 4 Rangers 2 0 2 4.0 0.5 2 0 0 8 1 6
3 6 Dundee 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 1 0 5 3 4
4 7 St Mirren 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
5 8 St Johnstone 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
6 2 Aberdeen 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
7 3 Dundee United 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
8 5 Motherwell 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
9 9 Hibernian 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
10 12 Kilmarnock 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
11 10 Ross County 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
12 11 Hearts 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Motherwell 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
2 6 Dundee 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
3 7 St Mirren 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
4 11 Hearts 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
5 1 Celtic 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
6 2 Aberdeen 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
7 4 Rangers 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
8 8 St Johnstone 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
9 9 Hibernian 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
10 10 Ross County 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 1 1 0 6 1
11 12 Kilmarnock 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
12 3 Dundee United 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51