St Mirren 1–2 Hearts
Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024
Home
2.88
fair 2.52
Draw
3.10
fair 3.63
Away ✓
2.60
fair 3.05
Under 2.5
1.70
fair 1.76
Over 2.5 ✓
2.10
fair 2.32
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
St Mirren
Hearts
6
Shots
10
1
Shots on target
2
8
Corners
7
14
Fouls
5
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (185 league matches this season so far).
Result
St Mirren to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.95
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
40%
28%
33%
St MirrenDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
57%
43%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
51%
49%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
9%
0
22%
1
26%
2
21%
3
13%
4
10%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 13%
1–0 11.5%
0–1 10.2%
Statistics 2023/2024, before this match
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.19scored / match
1.23conceded / match
12
7
12
WonDrawnLost
31 played · 37:38
Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.29scored / match
1.00conceded / match
17
5
9
WonDrawnLost
31 played · 40:31
St Mirren all matches
all matches Hearts
Per match
1.19
Goals scored
1.29
1.23
Goals conceded
1.00
2.42
Total goals
2.29
10.84
Shots
13.77
3.45
Shots on target
4.52
11.58
Shots faced
13.68
4.65
Corners
6.87
5.55
Corners against
5.39
10.81
Fouls
10.71
1.68
Yellow cards
2.10
0.55
1st-half goals scored
0.39
0.52
1st-half goals conceded
0.42
How often Full Time
39%
Wins
55%
23%
Draws
16%
39%
Losses
29%
97%
Over 0.5 goals
97%
71%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
42%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
19%
Over 3.5 goals
19%
6%
Over 4.5 goals
13%
3%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
35%
Both teams scored
39%
32%
Clean sheets
45%
35%
Failed to score
19%
How often Half Time
32%
Wins
32%
29%
Draws
42%
39%
Losses
26%
77%
Over 0.5 goals
61%
26%
Over 1.5 goals
16%
3%
Over 2.5 goals
3%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren all matches
3
L
1
L
3
W
2
W
1
L
2
W
1
1
D
2
1
W
2
5
L
1
1
D
Hearts all matches
3
2
W
2
W
3
2
W
1
W
2
W
5
L
1
1
D
2
W
1
2
L
1
1
D
St Mirren
before this match, at home
1.80points / match
1.33scored / match
0.93conceded / match
8
3
4
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 20:14
Hearts
before this match, away
1.80points / match
1.20scored / match
1.13conceded / match
9
6
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 18:17
St Mirren at home
away Hearts
Per match
1.33
Goals scored
1.20
0.93
Goals conceded
1.13
2.27
Total goals
2.33
12.07
Shots
11.47
3.73
Shots on target
3.93
10.07
Shots faced
14.00
4.53
Corners
6.00
5.07
Corners against
5.67
10.00
Fouls
10.80
1.40
Yellow cards
2.20
0.40
1st-half goals scored
0.40
0.53
1st-half goals conceded
0.40
How often Full Time
53%
Wins
60%
20%
Draws
0%
27%
Losses
40%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
60%
47%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
20%
Over 3.5 goals
13%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
13%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
27%
Both teams scored
40%
47%
Clean sheets
40%
33%
Failed to score
20%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
33%
20%
Draws
40%
47%
Losses
27%
80%
Over 0.5 goals
60%
13%
Over 1.5 goals
13%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
7%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren at home
2
2
D
1
W
2
W
D
1
L
3
L
1
L
2
W
2
W
2
1
W
Hearts away
2
1
W
1
W
1
2
L
2
W
1
W
2
1
W
3
2
W
1
W
5
L
1
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.03.24 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 16.03.24 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 5–2 (0–2) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 02.03.24 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 27.02.24 | Ross County – St Mirren | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.75 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 24.02.24 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.25 | 5.25 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 17.02.24 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 07.02.24 | St Mirren – Dundee | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 03.02.24 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 0–3 (0–3) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 27.01.24 | St Mirren – Rangers | 0–1 (0–1) | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.30 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 02.01.24 | St Mirren – Celtic | 0–3 (0–2) | 13.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.03.24 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 16.03.24 | Ross County – Hearts | 2–1 (1–0) | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 03.03.24 | Hearts – Celtic | 2–0 (1–0) | 6.50 | 4.33 | 1.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 28.02.24 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.91 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 24.02.24 | Rangers – Hearts | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.29 | 5.50 | 11.00 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 17.02.24 | Hearts – Motherwell | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.73 | 3.70 | 5.00 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 07.02.24 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 03.02.24 | Dundee – Hearts | 2–3 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 27.01.24 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 23.01.24 | Hearts – Dundee | 3–2 (0–2) | 1.73 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
St Mirren at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.03.24 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 24.02.24 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.25 | 5.25 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 07.02.24 | St Mirren – Dundee | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 27.01.24 | St Mirren – Rangers | 0–1 (0–1) | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.30 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 02.01.24 | St Mirren – Celtic | 0–3 (0–2) | 13.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 27.12.23 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 16.12.23 | St Mirren – Motherwell | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 09.12.23 | St Mirren – Ross County | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 25.11.23 | St Mirren – Livingston | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.73 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 08.11.23 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 2–2 (0–1) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
Hearts away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.03.24 | Ross County – Hearts | 2–1 (1–0) | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 24.02.24 | Rangers – Hearts | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.29 | 5.50 | 11.00 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 07.02.24 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 03.02.24 | Dundee – Hearts | 2–3 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 02.01.24 | Livingston – Hearts | 1–2 (0–0) | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 27.12.23 | Hibernian – Hearts | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 16.12.23 | Celtic – Hearts | 0–2 (0–2) | 1.25 | 6.50 | 10.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 |
| 09.12.23 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.63 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 02.12.23 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 11.11.23 | Motherwell – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
2 2 5
St Mirren winsDrawsHearts wins
9matches
2.11goals / match
22%over 2.5
33%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.12.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 23.09.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 13.05.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.04.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.01.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.01.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2023/2024, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 74 | 23 | +51 | 74 |
| 2 | Rangers | 30 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 67 | 17 | +50 | 73 |
| 3 | Hearts | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 31 | +9 | 56 |
| 4 | Kilmarnock | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 34 | +6 | 45 |
| 5 | St Mirren | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Dundee | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 39 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 28 |
| 11 | Ross County | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
| 12 | Livingston | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 17 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 12 | +27 | 39 |
| 2 | Celtic | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | +27 | 36 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | +11 | 31 |
| 4 | Hearts | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 29 |
| 5 | St Mirren | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 27 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 22 |
| 7 | Dundee | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Ross County | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | Motherwell | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Livingston | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 11 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 11 | +24 | 38 |
| 2 | Rangers | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 5 | +23 | 34 |
| 3 | Hearts | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 4 | Dundee | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 17 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 15 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 10 |
| 11 | Ross County | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 8 |
| 12 | Livingston | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 6 |
St Mirren Hearts
Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 31 | 10 | 21 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 74 | 23 | 74 |
| 2 | 7 | Hibernian | 31 | 11 | 20 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 48 | 38 |
| 3 | 6 | Dundee | 30 | 11 | 19 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 51 | 39 |
| 4 | 2 | Rangers | 30 | 12 | 18 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 67 | 17 | 73 |
| 5 | 8 | Motherwell | 31 | 15 | 16 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | 33 |
| 6 | 9 | Aberdeen | 31 | 16 | 15 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 49 | 33 |
| 7 | 11 | Ross County | 31 | 16 | 15 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 53 | 27 |
| 8 | 4 | Kilmarnock | 31 | 17 | 14 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 34 | 45 |
| 9 | 12 | Livingston | 31 | 17 | 14 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 55 | 17 |
| 10 | 5 | St Mirren | 31 | 18 | 13 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 38 | 43 |
| 11 | 3 | Hearts | 31 | 20 | 11 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 56 |
| 12 | 10 | St Johnstone | 31 | 21 | 10 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 43 | 28 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Rangers | 16 | 4 | 12 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 | 8 | Motherwell | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 17 |
| 3 | 1 | Celtic | 15 | 6 | 9 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 36 |
| 4 | 7 | Hibernian | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 22 |
| 5 | 4 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 31 |
| 6 | 6 | Dundee | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 22 |
| 7 | 9 | Aberdeen | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | 5 | St Mirren | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
| 9 | 10 | St Johnstone | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 18 |
| 10 | 11 | Ross County | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 19 |
| 11 | 12 | Livingston | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | Hearts | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 16 | 4 | 12 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 11 | 38 |
| 2 | 6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 17 |
| 3 | 7 | Hibernian | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 16 |
| 4 | 11 | Ross County | 16 | 7 | 9 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | Livingston | 16 | 8 | 8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | Hearts | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 27 |
| 7 | 9 | Aberdeen | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 27 | 15 |
| 8 | 2 | Rangers | 14 | 8 | 6 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 5 | 34 |
| 9 | 4 | Kilmarnock | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 14 |
| 10 | 5 | St Mirren | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | 8 | Motherwell | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 16 |
| 12 | 10 | St Johnstone | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 10 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
