Hearts 1–2 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025
Home
1.91
fair 2.02
Draw
3.60
fair 4.27
Away ✓
3.80
fair 3.70
Under 2.5
2.03
fair 2.36
Over 2.5 ✓
1.83
fair 1.73
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hearts
Kilmarnock
18
Shots
15
5
Shots on target
4
10
Corners
1
14
Fouls
9
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (56 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hearts to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.70
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
50%
23%
27%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
42%
58%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
41%
59%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
15%
1
22%
2
22%
3
17%
4
19%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
1–0 8.8%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Hearts
before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
1.10scored / match
1.60conceded / match
1
3
6
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 11:16
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.22scored / match
2.11conceded / match
2
3
4
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 11:19
Hearts all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
1.10
Goals scored
1.22
1.60
Goals conceded
2.11
2.70
Total goals
3.33
12.50
Shots
12.11
3.30
Shots on target
2.78
11.40
Shots faced
13.89
6.10
Corners
5.33
4.50
Corners against
5.33
12.50
Fouls
10.67
2.50
Yellow cards
1.67
0.30
1st-half goals scored
0.22
0.80
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
10%
Wins
22%
30%
Draws
33%
60%
Losses
44%
90%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
10%
Over 4.5 goals
22%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
11%
60%
Both teams scored
56%
20%
Clean sheets
11%
30%
Failed to score
33%
How often Half Time
10%
Wins
11%
50%
Draws
22%
40%
Losses
67%
60%
Over 0.5 goals
78%
30%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
20%
Over 2.5 goals
11%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts all matches
D
1
3
L
1
3
L
1
L
2
L
1
2
L
1
1
D
2
3
L
4
W
1
1
D
Kilmarnock all matches
1
1
D
4
L
3
L
2
L
1
1
D
2
2
D
3
3
D
3
2
W
1
W
1
2
L
Hearts
before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
0.50conceded / match
1
2
1
WonDrawnLost
4 played · 5:2
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.20scored / match
2.40conceded / match
1
1
3
WonDrawnLost
5 played · 6:12
Hearts at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
1.25
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
2.40
1.75
Total goals
3.60
16.00
Shots
11.20
4.25
Shots on target
2.80
9.25
Shots faced
14.00
6.50
Corners
6.40
5.50
Corners against
5.60
11.75
Fouls
10.40
1.50
Yellow cards
1.60
0.25
1st-half goals scored
0.40
0.25
1st-half goals conceded
1.20
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
20%
50%
Draws
20%
25%
Losses
60%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
50%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
25%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
20%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
25%
Both teams scored
60%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
50%
Failed to score
40%
How often Half Time
25%
Wins
20%
50%
Draws
0%
25%
Losses
80%
50%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
0%
Over 1.5 goals
40%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts at home
1
1
D
2
W
1
1
D
4
2
W
3
W
3
3
D
D
1
L
1
1
D
4
W
Kilmarnock away
1
1
D
2
W
1
4
L
1
W
1
1
D
4
L
2
L
2
2
D
3
2
W
1
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.24 | Hibernian – Hearts | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.77 | 1.97 |
| 19.10.24 | Hearts – St Mirren | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 06.10.24 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 3–2 (1–1) | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 28.09.24 | Hearts – Ross County | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 21.09.24 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 14.09.24 | Celtic – Hearts | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.17 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| 01.09.24 | Hearts – Dundee United | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 25.08.24 | Motherwell – Hearts | 3–1 (1–0) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 10.08.24 | Dundee – Hearts | 3–1 (3–0) | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 03.08.24 | Hearts – Rangers | 0–0 (0–0) | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.24 | Ross County – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–1) | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 20.10.24 | Kilmarnock – Rangers | 1–0 (0–0) | 6.25 | 4.33 | 1.48 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 05.10.24 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 2–3 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 28.09.24 | Kilmarnock – Dundee United | 3–3 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 14.09.24 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 01.09.24 | Kilmarnock – Hibernian | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 25.08.24 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.73 | 3.50 | 5.25 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 11.08.24 | Kilmarnock – St Johnstone | 0–3 (0–2) | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 04.08.24 | Celtic – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.17 | 7.00 | 17.00 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| 18.05.24 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
Hearts at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.24 | Hearts – St Mirren | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 28.09.24 | Hearts – Ross County | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 01.09.24 | Hearts – Dundee United | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 03.08.24 | Hearts – Rangers | 0–0 (0–0) | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 18.05.24 | Hearts – Rangers | 3–3 (1–0) | 4.20 | 4.33 | 1.70 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 11.05.24 | Hearts – Dundee | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 13.04.24 | Hearts – Livingston | 4–2 (4–2) | 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 30.03.24 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 03.03.24 | Hearts – Celtic | 2–0 (1–0) | 6.50 | 4.33 | 1.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 28.02.24 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.91 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.24 | Ross County – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–1) | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 05.10.24 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 2–3 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 14.09.24 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 25.08.24 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.73 | 3.50 | 5.25 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 04.08.24 | Celtic – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.17 | 7.00 | 17.00 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| 18.05.24 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 11.05.24 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 05.05.24 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 4–1 (1–1) | 1.25 | 6.50 | 10.00 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 13.04.24 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.80 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.03.24 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
2 4 1
Hearts winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
7matches
2.00goals / match
43%over 2.5
57%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.04.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 30.03.24SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 02.12.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 13.08.23SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 01.04.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 17.12.22SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 09.10.22SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
Scotland Premiership table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 3 | +24 | 25 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 25 |
| 3 | Rangers | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 19 |
| 4 | Dundee United | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
| 7 | Ross County | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 10 |
| 8 | Dundee | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 8 |
| 11 | Hearts | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 | Celtic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 | Ross County | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Dundee United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Hearts | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 5 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Dundee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | +15 | 15 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 4 | St Johnstone | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Dundee | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 9 | Ross County | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 2 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 11 | Hearts | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
| 12 | St Mirren | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
Hearts Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | St Mirren | 10 | 1 | 9 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
| 3 | 5 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 4 | 6 | St Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | Dundee | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 25 |
| 7 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | Ross County | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | Hearts | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | Rangers | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
| 11 | 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | Dundee United | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Dundee | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | St Johnstone | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | St Mirren | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | Celtic | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | Aberdeen | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | 3 | Rangers | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | Ross County | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | Dundee United | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | Hibernian | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | Hearts | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | St Mirren | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | 5 | Motherwell | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | Hearts | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | Aberdeen | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | St Johnstone | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | Ross County | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | Dundee | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | Hibernian | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | Rangers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | Dundee United | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
