Kilmarnock 2–0 St Mirren
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
2.15
fair 2.22
Draw
3.30
fair 4.21
Away
3.30
fair 3.21
Under 2.5 ✓
1.85
fair 2.43
Over 2.5
2.00
fair 1.70
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Kilmarnock
St Mirren
14
Shots
8
5
Shots on target
1
4
Corners
2
9
Fouls
21
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (116 league matches this season so far).
Result
Kilmarnock to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.65
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
45%
24%
31%
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
Under / Over 2.5 goals
41%
59%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
39%
61%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
15%
1
22%
2
22%
3
17%
4
19%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9%
2–1 9.2%
1–0 8%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
1.15scored / match
1.80conceded / match
5
6
9
WonDrawnLost
20 played · 23:36
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.35scored / match
1.60conceded / match
8
3
9
WonDrawnLost
20 played · 27:32
Kilmarnock all matches
all matches St Mirren
Per match
1.15
Goals scored
1.35
1.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.95
Total goals
2.95
12.55
Shots
11.50
3.65
Shots on target
3.85
13.60
Shots faced
12.15
5.45
Corners
4.65
5.40
Corners against
5.25
10.40
Fouls
12.30
1.75
Yellow cards
2.30
0.30
1st-half goals scored
0.85
0.75
1st-half goals conceded
0.60
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
40%
30%
Draws
15%
45%
Losses
45%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
95%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
35%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
20%
Over 4.5 goals
5%
10%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
50%
Both teams scored
65%
15%
Clean sheets
10%
35%
Failed to score
30%
How often Half Time
20%
Wins
40%
25%
Draws
45%
55%
Losses
15%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
75%
20%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
10%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kilmarnock all matches
2
3
L
2
L
1
L
1
1
D
6
L
1
1
D
1
W
1
1
D
4
W
1
L
St Mirren all matches
3
1
W
D
2
1
W
2
1
W
2
L
1
L
3
2
W
2
1
W
2
1
W
1
2
L
Kilmarnock
before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.38scored / match
1.25conceded / match
3
3
2
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 11:10
St Mirren
before this match, away
1.11points / match
1.33scored / match
2.11conceded / match
3
1
5
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 12:19
Kilmarnock at home
away St Mirren
Per match
1.38
Goals scored
1.33
1.25
Goals conceded
2.11
2.63
Total goals
3.44
15.00
Shots
11.00
4.38
Shots on target
4.22
12.00
Shots faced
12.33
4.75
Corners
3.89
4.50
Corners against
4.78
10.50
Fouls
13.22
1.63
Yellow cards
2.67
0.25
1st-half goals scored
1.00
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.67
How often Full Time
38%
Wins
33%
38%
Draws
11%
25%
Losses
56%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
89%
25%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
13%
Over 4.5 goals
11%
13%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
38%
Both teams scored
78%
38%
Clean sheets
0%
25%
Failed to score
22%
How often Half Time
25%
Wins
44%
38%
Draws
33%
38%
Losses
22%
63%
Over 0.5 goals
89%
13%
Over 1.5 goals
56%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
22%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kilmarnock at home
D
5
L
3
L
1
1
D
3
3
D
1
W
2
L
1
1
D
1
W
4
W
St Mirren away
2
3
L
1
3
L
2
2
D
1
2
L
4
L
1
2
L
2
1
W
2
L
3
2
W
2
1
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.24 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 26.12.24 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 4–0 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 20.12.24 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 15.12.24 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.12.24 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 04.12.24 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 6–0 (1–0) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 30.11.24 | Kilmarnock – Dundee | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 23.11.24 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 10.11.24 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 0–2 (0–1) | 8.50 | 5.25 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 03.11.24 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 3–2 (1–2) | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.24 | St Mirren – Dundee | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 26.12.24 | St Mirren – Rangers | 2–1 (1–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 21.12.24 | Ross County – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 14.12.24 | St Johnstone – St Mirren | 2–3 (0–1) | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 07.12.24 | St Mirren – Motherwell | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 30.11.24 | Dundee United – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 23.11.24 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 2–1 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 09.11.24 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–2) | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 02.11.24 | St Mirren – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.10.24 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
Kilmarnock at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.12.24 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 4–0 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 15.12.24 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 30.11.24 | Kilmarnock – Dundee | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 10.11.24 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 0–2 (0–1) | 8.50 | 5.25 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 20.10.24 | Kilmarnock – Rangers | 1–0 (0–0) | 6.25 | 4.33 | 1.48 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 28.09.24 | Kilmarnock – Dundee United | 3–3 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 01.09.24 | Kilmarnock – Hibernian | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 11.08.24 | Kilmarnock – St Johnstone | 0–3 (0–2) | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 15.05.24 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 0–5 (0–3) | 6.50 | 5.75 | 1.36 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 27.04.24 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
St Mirren away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.12.24 | Ross County – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 14.12.24 | St Johnstone – St Mirren | 2–3 (0–1) | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.11.24 | Dundee United – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 09.11.24 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–2) | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 27.10.24 | Rangers – St Mirren | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.22 | 6.25 | 11.00 | 1.48 | 2.60 |
| 19.10.24 | Hearts – St Mirren | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 28.09.24 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 31.08.24 | Dundee – St Mirren | 2–2 (1–2) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 11.08.24 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 18.05.24 | Celtic – St Mirren | 3–2 (2–2) | 1.22 | 5.75 | 13.00 | 1.40 | 3.00 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 4
Kilmarnock winsDrawsSt Mirren wins
8matches
2.12goals / match
25%over 2.5
38%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.09.24SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 11.05.24SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 16.03.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 5–2 (0–2) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 27.12.23SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 30.09.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 22.04.23SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 02.01.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 15.10.22SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
Scotland Premiership table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 4 | +48 | 50 |
| 2 | Rangers | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | +18 | 36 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 26 | +5 | 34 |
| 4 | Dundee United | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 20 | +8 | 31 |
| 5 | St Mirren | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 27 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 27 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 24 |
| 8 | Dundee | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
| 10 | Ross County | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 19 |
| 11 | Hearts | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 14 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 2 | +27 | 25 |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 3 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 | Dundee United | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 | St Mirren | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 17 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | Dundee | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | Ross County | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Hearts | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 6 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 2 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 | Dundee United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 |
| 5 | Rangers | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
| 8 | Dundee | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 9 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
| 11 | Ross County | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 6 |
| 12 | Hearts | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
Kilmarnock St Mirren
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | St Mirren | 20 | 4 | 16 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 27 |
| 2 | 6 | Motherwell | 19 | 4 | 15 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 27 |
| 3 | 12 | St Johnstone | 20 | 6 | 14 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 40 | 14 |
| 4 | 8 | Dundee | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 22 |
| 5 | 10 | Ross County | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 19 |
| 6 | 1 | Celtic | 18 | 6 | 12 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | 3 | Aberdeen | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | 7 | Hibernian | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 24 |
| 9 | 11 | Hearts | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 17 |
| 10 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 21 |
| 11 | 2 | Rangers | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 36 |
| 12 | 4 | Dundee United | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 31 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Dundee | 9 | 0 | 9 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 2 | 5 | St Mirren | 11 | 3 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | 6 | Motherwell | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 15 |
| 5 | 10 | Ross County | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 6 | 12 | St Johnstone | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | Aberdeen | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 22 |
| 8 | 7 | Hibernian | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | Hearts | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | Rangers | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 25 |
| 11 | 4 | Dundee United | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 12 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | St Mirren | 9 | 1 | 8 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 10 |
| 2 | 6 | Motherwell | 9 | 1 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | Hibernian | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 9 |
| 5 | 12 | St Johnstone | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | Ross County | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | Hearts | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 25 |
| 10 | 2 | Rangers | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | Dundee | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | Dundee United | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
