Aberdeen 2–1 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
1.71
fair 1.97
Draw
3.50
fair 4.13
Away
4.75
fair 4.01
Under 2.5
1.93
fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓
1.93
fair 1.91
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
21
Shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
9
Corners
3
10
Fouls
14
2
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (96 league matches this season so far).
Result
Aberdeen to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.84
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
51%
24%
25%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
48%
52%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
46%
54%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
17%
1
24%
2
22%
3
15%
4
15%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.6%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Aberdeen
before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.07scored / match
1.07conceded / match
6
3
6
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 16:16
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
1.00scored / match
1.88conceded / match
2
6
8
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 16:30
Aberdeen all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
1.07
Goals scored
1.00
1.07
Goals conceded
1.88
2.13
Total goals
2.88
13.00
Shots
10.63
4.00
Shots on target
3.75
13.13
Shots faced
13.50
4.60
Corners
4.56
5.33
Corners against
5.56
15.00
Fouls
13.06
2.27
Yellow cards
2.25
0.47
1st-half goals scored
0.56
0.27
1st-half goals conceded
0.81
How often Full Time
40%
Wins
13%
20%
Draws
38%
40%
Losses
50%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
94%
60%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
27%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
20%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
7%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
7%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
27%
Both teams scored
56%
40%
Clean sheets
19%
40%
Failed to score
31%
How often Half Time
27%
Wins
25%
47%
Draws
31%
27%
Losses
44%
53%
Over 0.5 goals
81%
13%
Over 1.5 goals
44%
7%
Over 2.5 goals
13%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Aberdeen all matches
2
L
4
W
1
W
1
2
L
1
W
1
1
D
1
W
1
W
3
3
D
3
1
W
Kilmarnock all matches
2
W
3
L
1
3
L
1
L
1
3
L
4
L
1
3
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
3
L
Aberdeen
before this match, at home
1.13points / match
1.25scored / match
1.13conceded / match
2
3
3
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 10:9
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
0.86points / match
1.29scored / match
2.14conceded / match
1
3
3
WonDrawnLost
7 played · 9:15
Aberdeen at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
1.25
Goals scored
1.29
1.13
Goals conceded
2.14
2.38
Total goals
3.43
12.50
Shots
9.14
4.25
Shots on target
4.00
13.25
Shots faced
15.43
5.88
Corners
4.14
4.75
Corners against
7.14
15.00
Fouls
12.43
2.00
Yellow cards
2.29
0.50
1st-half goals scored
0.57
0.25
1st-half goals conceded
1.14
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
14%
38%
Draws
43%
38%
Losses
43%
88%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
63%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
71%
25%
Over 3.5 goals
71%
13%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
13%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
38%
Both teams scored
71%
38%
Clean sheets
14%
38%
Failed to score
14%
How often Half Time
25%
Wins
14%
50%
Draws
43%
25%
Losses
43%
50%
Over 0.5 goals
86%
13%
Over 1.5 goals
57%
13%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Aberdeen at home
1
W
1
5
L
2
L
1
L
D
4
W
1
2
L
1
1
D
1
W
3
3
D
Kilmarnock away
1
5
L
2
W
3
L
2
2
D
2
2
D
2
W
1
3
L
1
3
L
4
L
1
1
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Aberdeen all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.12.25 | Dundee – Aberdeen | 1–3 (0–2) | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 03.12.25 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–3 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 30.11.25 | Livingston – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.65 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 23.11.25 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.81 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 09.11.25 | Aberdeen – Motherwell | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 29.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 26.10.25 | Aberdeen – Hibernian | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 18.10.25 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.32 | 3.25 | 2.85 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 05.10.25 | Aberdeen – Dundee | 4–0 (3–0) | 1.71 | 3.70 | 4.33 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 27.09.25 | Motherwell – Aberdeen | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.12.25 | Kilmarnock – Rangers | 0–3 (0–1) | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.56 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 03.12.25 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.35 | 4.33 | 8.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 29.11.25 | Kilmarnock – Dundee United | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 22.11.25 | Kilmarnock – Motherwell | 1–3 (0–2) | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 09.11.25 | Celtic – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.13 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| 01.11.25 | Falkirk – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (3–0) | 2.01 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 29.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 26.10.25 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 18.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.10.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
Aberdeen at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.12.25 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–3 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 23.11.25 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.81 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 09.11.25 | Aberdeen – Motherwell | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 26.10.25 | Aberdeen – Hibernian | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 05.10.25 | Aberdeen – Dundee | 4–0 (3–0) | 1.71 | 3.70 | 4.33 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 13.09.25 | Aberdeen – Livingston | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.96 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 31.08.25 | Aberdeen – Falkirk | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.92 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 10.08.25 | Aberdeen – Celtic | 0–2 (0–1) | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 14.05.25 | Aberdeen – Celtic | 1–5 (1–2) | 5.75 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 26.04.25 | Aberdeen – Hibernian | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.12.25 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.35 | 4.33 | 8.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 09.11.25 | Celtic – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.13 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| 01.11.25 | Falkirk – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (3–0) | 2.01 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 26.10.25 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 27.09.25 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 30.08.25 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 10.08.25 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 14.05.25 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 3–0 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 03.05.25 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 12.04.25 | Celtic – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (4–1) | 1.18 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
5 5
Aberdeen winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
10matches
2.30goals / match
30%over 2.5
20%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.25SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 22.02.25SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 26.12.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 4–0 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 25.08.24SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.73 | 3.50 | 5.25 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 24.02.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.12.23SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 29.10.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.88 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.04.23SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 28.12.22SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 2–1 (2–0) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 01.10.22SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 4–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 13 | +21 | 38 |
| 2 | Celtic | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 | Rangers | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 26 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 18 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 | Aberdeen | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Dundee | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 13 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
| 12 | Livingston | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 9 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 | Hearts | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 18 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 12 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Rangers | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 | Dundee | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Livingston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Rangers | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Celtic | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Aberdeen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 10 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Livingston | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
| 12 | Dundee | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
Aberdeen Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | Livingston | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 31 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | Falkirk | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 21 |
| 3 | 5 | Hibernian | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 24 |
| 4 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | Hearts | 17 | 8 | 9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 13 | 38 |
| 6 | 10 | Dundee | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 13 |
| 7 | 2 | Celtic | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 32 |
| 8 | 3 | Motherwell | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 27 |
| 9 | 4 | Rangers | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 22 | 13 | 26 |
| 10 | 8 | Dundee United | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 17 |
| 11 | 9 | St Mirren | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | Aberdeen | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | Livingston | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | 5 | Hibernian | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | 7 | Falkirk | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | Dundee | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | Hearts | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | 8 | Dundee United | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | Motherwell | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 10 | 4 | Rangers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | Aberdeen | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | St Mirren | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Falkirk | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 10 |
| 2 | 12 | Livingston | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | Hearts | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | 5 | Hibernian | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | Motherwell | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | Rangers | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | 9 | St Mirren | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | Dundee | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | Celtic | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 11 | 8 | Dundee United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | Aberdeen | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40