Hearts 1–1 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026
Home
1.35
fair 1.58
Draw ✓
4.33
fair 5.06
Away
8.50
fair 5.96
Under 2.5 ✓
2.00
fair 2.60
Over 2.5
1.80
fair 1.62
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hearts
Kilmarnock
17
Shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
9
Corners
1
4
Fouls
11
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (82 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hearts to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.77
Expected goals
2.16 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
64%
20%
17%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
38%
62%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
44%
57%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
4%
0
13%
1
21%
2
22%
3
18%
4
22%
5+
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9%
2–0 9.7%
1–1 9.2%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Hearts
before this match, all matches
2.21points / match
2.07scored / match
0.79conceded / match
9
4
1
WonDrawnLost
14 played · 29:11
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
0.79points / match
1.07scored / match
1.86conceded / match
2
5
7
WonDrawnLost
14 played · 15:26
Hearts all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
2.07
Goals scored
1.07
0.79
Goals conceded
1.86
2.86
Total goals
2.93
14.93
Shots
10.29
5.57
Shots on target
3.71
8.71
Shots faced
13.43
5.64
Corners
4.64
4.43
Corners against
5.57
12.50
Fouls
12.93
2.36
Yellow cards
2.29
0.79
1st-half goals scored
0.64
0.57
1st-half goals conceded
0.86
How often Full Time
64%
Wins
14%
29%
Draws
36%
7%
Losses
50%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
93%
79%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
57%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
36%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
14%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
7%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
43%
Both teams scored
57%
50%
Clean sheets
21%
14%
Failed to score
29%
How often Half Time
36%
Wins
29%
36%
Draws
29%
29%
Losses
43%
86%
Over 0.5 goals
86%
43%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
7%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts all matches
2
W
3
W
1
W
3
W
3
1
W
2
2
D
4
W
1
1
D
1
L
D
Kilmarnock all matches
1
2
L
2
W
2
W
3
L
1
3
L
1
L
1
3
L
4
L
1
3
L
1
1
D
Hearts
before this match, at home
2.43points / match
2.43scored / match
0.71conceded / match
5
2
WonDrawnLost
7 played · 17:5
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
0.83points / match
1.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
1
2
3
WonDrawnLost
6 played · 8:14
Hearts at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
2.43
Goals scored
1.33
0.71
Goals conceded
2.33
3.14
Total goals
3.67
14.71
Shots
8.83
6.29
Shots on target
3.83
7.86
Shots faced
15.17
5.71
Corners
4.67
3.86
Corners against
6.83
12.43
Fouls
12.67
2.00
Yellow cards
2.33
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.67
0.43
1st-half goals conceded
1.33
How often Full Time
71%
Wins
17%
29%
Draws
33%
0%
Losses
50%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
86%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
57%
Over 2.5 goals
83%
43%
Over 3.5 goals
83%
14%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
14%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
43%
Both teams scored
67%
57%
Clean sheets
17%
0%
Failed to score
17%
How often Half Time
43%
Wins
17%
43%
Draws
33%
14%
Losses
50%
86%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
57%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts at home
1
L
3
W
2
1
W
2
W
3
3
D
3
W
1
W
3
1
W
4
W
1
1
D
Kilmarnock away
1
5
L
1
5
L
2
W
3
L
2
2
D
2
2
D
2
W
1
3
L
1
3
L
4
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.11.25 | Motherwell – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 23.11.25 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.81 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 09.11.25 | Hearts – Dundee United | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.37 | 4.50 | 7.50 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 01.11.25 | Hearts – Dundee | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.25 | 5.25 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 29.10.25 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 26.10.25 | Hearts – Celtic | 3–1 (1–1) | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 18.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.10.25 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.09.25 | Hearts – Falkirk | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.56 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 13.09.25 | Rangers – Hearts | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.11.25 | Kilmarnock – Dundee United | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 22.11.25 | Kilmarnock – Motherwell | 1–3 (0–2) | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 09.11.25 | Celtic – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.13 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| 01.11.25 | Falkirk – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (3–0) | 2.01 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 29.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 26.10.25 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 18.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.10.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 27.09.25 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 14.09.25 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 1–2 (0–0) | 11.00 | 5.75 | 1.22 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
Hearts at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.11.25 | Hearts – Dundee United | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.37 | 4.50 | 7.50 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 01.11.25 | Hearts – Dundee | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.25 | 5.25 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 26.10.25 | Hearts – Celtic | 3–1 (1–1) | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 04.10.25 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.09.25 | Hearts – Falkirk | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.56 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 23.08.25 | Hearts – Motherwell | 3–3 (0–1) | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.08.25 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 14.05.25 | Hearts – St Johnstone | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 10.05.25 | Hearts – Motherwell | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 26.04.25 | Hearts – Dundee | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.25 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.11.25 | Celtic – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.13 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| 01.11.25 | Falkirk – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (3–0) | 2.01 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 26.10.25 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 27.09.25 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 30.08.25 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 10.08.25 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 14.05.25 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 3–0 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 03.05.25 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 12.04.25 | Celtic – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (4–1) | 1.18 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| 29.03.25 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (2–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
5 4 3
Hearts winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
12matches
2.25goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.25SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 18.05.25SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 25.01.25SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 15.12.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 30.10.24SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 27.04.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 30.03.24SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 02.12.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 13.08.23SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 01.04.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 17.12.22SC0 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 09.10.22SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 11 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 | Celtic | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | Rangers | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 22 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Dundee | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 12 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 |
| 11 | St Mirren | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 | Livingston | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 8 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 17 |
| 2 | Celtic | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 16 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Rangers | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 | Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Livingston | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 14 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 3 | Rangers | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 5 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Livingston | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 12 | Dundee | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 2 |
Hearts Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Falkirk | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
| 2 | 12 | Livingston | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | Hibernian | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 21 |
| 4 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | Hearts | 14 | 6 | 8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
| 6 | 2 | Celtic | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | 9 | Dundee | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | Motherwell | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 22 |
| 9 | 8 | Dundee United | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 15 |
| 10 | 4 | Rangers | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 22 |
| 11 | 11 | St Mirren | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | Aberdeen | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 17 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Falkirk | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 2 | 12 | Livingston | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | Hearts | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | 2 | Celtic | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | 5 | Hibernian | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | Dundee | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | Rangers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | Dundee United | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | Motherwell | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | St Mirren | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Hibernian | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | 6 | Falkirk | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 3 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | Livingston | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | Hearts | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | 3 | Motherwell | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | Celtic | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | 8 | Dundee United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | Dundee | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | St Mirren | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
