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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: N Walsh

Motherwell 4–0 Kilmarnock

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.45 fair 1.65
Draw 4.00 fair 4.44
Away 7.00 fair 5.90
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.99
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.01

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Motherwell Kilmarnock
22 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 1
2 Corners 1
14 Fouls 18
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).
Result Motherwell to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.82 – 0.84
Home / Draw / Away
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.7% 2–0 11.5% 1–1 10.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Motherwell before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
1.41scored / match
0.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 31:17
Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
0.64points / match
0.91scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 20:39
Motherwell all matches all matches Kilmarnock

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 0.91
0.77 Goals conceded 1.77
2.18 Total goals 2.68
12.18 Shots 10.41
4.41 Shots on target 3.64
11.18 Shots faced 14.50
3.59 Corners 4.41
4.45 Corners against 5.82
11.32 Fouls 13.09
1.41 Yellow cards 2.32
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

41% Wins 9%
45% Draws 36%
14% Losses 55%
82% Over 0.5 goals 91%
73% Over 1.5 goals 82%
32% Over 2.5 goals 59%
18% Over 3.5 goals 36%
9% Over 4.5 goals 0%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 59%
50% Clean sheets 18%
23% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 27%
50% Draws 32%
9% Losses 41%
59% Over 0.5 goals 77%
18% Over 1.5 goals 32%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Motherwell all matches
Kilmarnock all matches
Motherwell before this match, at home
2.18points / match
1.64scored / match
0.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:5
Kilmarnock before this match, away
0.73points / match
1.09scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:20
Motherwell at home away Kilmarnock

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.09
0.45 Goals conceded 1.82
2.09 Total goals 2.91
13.45 Shots 9.09
5.45 Shots on target 4.00
8.64 Shots faced 16.91
3.82 Corners 4.18
4.27 Corners against 7.64
10.55 Fouls 12.91
0.91 Yellow cards 2.36
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

64% Wins 9%
27% Draws 45%
9% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
82% Over 1.5 goals 91%
27% Over 2.5 goals 64%
9% Over 3.5 goals 45%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
27% Both teams scored 73%
73% Clean sheets 18%
9% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 27%
36% Draws 36%
9% Losses 36%
73% Over 0.5 goals 82%
18% Over 1.5 goals 36%
0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Motherwell at home
Kilmarnock away

Last 10 matches before this match

Motherwell all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26 Hibernian – Motherwell 1–1 (0–0) 2.013.403.60 1.90 1.95
03.01.26 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–0 (1–0) 1.963.204.00 2.10 1.73
30.12.25 Motherwell – Celtic 2–0 (1–0) 4.333.901.66 1.62 2.30
27.12.25 Rangers – Motherwell 1–0 (0–0) 1.713.754.33 1.91 1.91
20.12.25 Motherwell – Dundee 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.756.00 1.80 2.00
13.12.25 Dundee United – Motherwell 0–0 (0–0) 2.823.402.30 1.90 1.95
06.12.25 Motherwell – Livingston 3–0 (1–0) 1.663.754.75 1.88 1.98
03.12.25 Falkirk – Motherwell 0–0 (0–0) 2.573.302.57 1.88 1.98
29.11.25 Motherwell – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.01 1.80 2.00
25.11.25 Motherwell – Hibernian 2–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 1.83 2.03

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
03.01.26 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–3 (0–1) 4.503.401.76 2.00 1.80
30.12.25 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.052.57 2.20 1.67
27.12.25 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 1.91 1.91
20.12.25 Kilmarnock – Falkirk 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.302.65 2.00 1.85
14.12.25 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.504.75 1.93 1.93
06.12.25 Kilmarnock – Rangers 0–3 (0–1) 5.254.001.56 1.85 2.00
03.12.25 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–1 (0–0) 1.354.338.50 1.80 2.00
29.11.25 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–1 (1–0) 2.573.402.50 1.98 1.88
22.11.25 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–3 (0–2) 2.953.402.20 1.95 1.90

Motherwell at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.26 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–0 (1–0) 1.963.204.00 2.10 1.73
30.12.25 Motherwell – Celtic 2–0 (1–0) 4.333.901.66 1.62 2.30
20.12.25 Motherwell – Dundee 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.756.00 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Motherwell – Livingston 3–0 (1–0) 1.663.754.75 1.88 1.98
29.11.25 Motherwell – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.01 1.80 2.00
25.11.25 Motherwell – Hibernian 2–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 1.83 2.03
29.10.25 Motherwell – Dundee United 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.40 1.80 2.00
18.10.25 Motherwell – Falkirk 1–2 (1–0) 1.863.703.75 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Motherwell – Aberdeen 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.25 1.93 1.93
30.08.25 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.40 2.00 1.85

Kilmarnock away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
30.12.25 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.052.57 2.20 1.67
27.12.25 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 1.91 1.91
14.12.25 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.504.75 1.93 1.93
03.12.25 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–1 (0–0) 1.354.338.50 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Celtic – Kilmarnock 4–0 (1–0) 1.137.5013.00 1.36 3.20
01.11.25 Falkirk – Kilmarnock 3–1 (3–0) 2.013.603.25 1.83 2.03
26.10.25 Rangers – Kilmarnock 3–1 (1–1) 1.305.507.50 1.57 2.38
27.09.25 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.20 2.05 1.80
30.08.25 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.40 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Motherwell winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
13matches
2.46goals / match
46%over 2.5
62%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25SC0 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–3 (0–2) 2.953.402.20 1.95 1.90
30.08.25SC0 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.40 2.00 1.85
14.05.25SC0 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 3–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 1.85 2.00
05.04.25SC0 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.504.75 2.00 1.80
08.01.25SC0 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.80
20.12.24SC0 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.25 2.05 1.80
03.02.24SC0 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.202.38 2.03 1.83
04.11.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.20 2.08 1.73
26.08.23SC0 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.73
06.05.23SC0 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 1.91 1.91
25.02.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.302.90 2.20 1.67
23.12.22SC0 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.73
27.08.22SC0 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 2–1 (0–1) 2.623.252.75 2.20 1.66

Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Hearts 22 15 5 2 42 17 +25 50 WWLWWW
2 Celtic 22 14 2 6 39 21 +18 44 WWLLWW
3 Rangers 22 12 8 2 34 17 +17 44 LWWWWW
4 Motherwell 22 9 10 3 31 17 +14 37 DWLWWD
5 Hibernian 22 9 8 5 37 24 +13 35 LDWWWD
6 Falkirk 22 8 6 8 23 28 -5 30 LWLWWL
7 Dundee United 22 5 10 7 28 34 -6 25 WDDWLL
8 Aberdeen 22 7 4 11 20 28 -8 25 LDLLLL
9 Dundee 22 6 4 12 19 34 -15 22 DLWWWL
10 St Mirren 22 4 7 11 17 31 -14 19 DLLLLD
11 Kilmarnock 22 2 8 12 20 39 -19 14 LLDLLD
12 Livingston 22 1 8 13 22 42 -20 11 LLLLDD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Hearts 11 8 3 0 23 7 +16 27 WDDWWW
2 Celtic 11 8 1 2 25 8 +17 25 WWLWLW
3 Motherwell 11 7 3 1 18 5 +13 24 WDWWWW
4 Rangers 11 6 4 1 14 8 +6 22 WDWWWW
5 Hibernian 11 5 4 2 22 12 +10 19 WLWWWD
6 Dundee 11 5 1 5 14 16 -2 16 LWLWWL
7 Falkirk 11 3 5 3 13 13 0 14 WDDLWL
8 Aberdeen 11 3 4 4 13 13 0 13 DWDWDL
9 Dundee United 11 3 4 4 13 15 -2 13 LDDWDL
10 St Mirren 11 3 4 4 7 10 -3 13 LLWWDL
11 Livingston 11 1 4 6 15 21 -6 7 LDLLDD
12 Kilmarnock 11 1 3 7 8 19 -11 6 LLDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Hearts 11 7 2 2 19 10 +9 23 LDWWLW
2 Rangers 11 6 4 1 20 9 +11 22 WDWLWW
3 Celtic 11 6 1 4 14 13 +1 19 WWLWLW
4 Hibernian 11 4 4 3 15 12 +3 16 DWLLDW
5 Falkirk 11 5 1 5 10 15 -5 16 WDLWLW
6 Motherwell 11 2 7 2 13 12 +1 13 DWDDLD
7 Dundee United 11 2 6 3 15 19 -4 12 DDLDWL
8 Aberdeen 11 4 0 7 7 15 -8 12 WWLLLL
9 Kilmarnock 11 1 5 5 12 20 -8 8 LDLDLD
10 St Mirren 11 1 3 7 10 21 -11 6 LDLLLD
11 Dundee 11 1 3 7 5 18 -13 6 LLLDLW
12 Livingston 11 0 4 7 7 21 -14 4 LDLLLL

Motherwell   Kilmarnock

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 12 Livingston 22 8 14 1.0 1.9 1 8 13 22 42 11 UOOUUU
2 2 Celtic 22 9 13 1.8 1.0 14 2 6 39 21 44 OOUOOU
3 11 Kilmarnock 22 9 13 0.9 1.8 2 8 12 20 39 14 OUUOOU
4 5 Hibernian 22 10 12 1.7 1.1 9 8 5 37 24 35 UUOUOU
5 1 Hearts 22 11 11 1.9 0.8 15 5 2 42 17 50 UOOUUU
6 6 Falkirk 22 11 11 1.0 1.3 8 6 8 23 28 30 UUUUUU
7 3 Rangers 22 12 10 1.5 0.8 12 8 2 34 17 44 OUOOUU
8 7 Dundee United 22 12 10 1.3 1.5 5 10 7 28 34 25 OUUOUO
9 9 Dundee 22 12 10 0.9 1.5 6 4 12 19 34 22 OUUOUU
10 4 Motherwell 22 15 7 1.4 0.8 9 10 3 31 17 37 UUUUUU
11 10 St Mirren 22 15 7 0.8 1.4 4 7 11 17 31 19 UOUUUU
12 8 Aberdeen 22 16 6 0.9 1.3 7 4 11 20 28 25 OUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Celtic 11 3 8 2.3 0.7 8 1 2 25 8 25 OUOOOO
2 12 Livingston 11 3 8 1.4 1.9 1 4 6 15 21 7 UOOOUU
3 5 Hibernian 11 5 6 2.0 1.1 5 4 2 22 12 19 UOOOUU
4 9 Dundee 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 5 1 5 14 16 16 OOOUOU
5 11 Kilmarnock 11 5 6 0.7 1.7 1 3 7 8 19 6 UOUOUO
6 1 Hearts 11 6 5 2.1 0.6 8 3 0 23 7 27 OUUOUU
7 6 Falkirk 11 6 5 1.2 1.2 3 5 3 13 13 14 OUUUUU
8 7 Dundee United 11 6 5 1.2 1.4 3 4 4 13 15 13 OOUOUU
9 3 Rangers 11 7 4 1.3 0.7 6 4 1 14 8 22 OUUUOU
10 8 Aberdeen 11 7 4 1.2 1.2 3 4 4 13 13 13 UUOOUU
11 4 Motherwell 11 8 3 1.6 0.5 7 3 1 18 5 24 UUOUUU
12 10 St Mirren 11 9 2 0.6 0.9 3 4 4 7 10 13 OUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 11 Kilmarnock 11 4 7 1.1 1.8 1 5 5 12 20 8 OUOUOU
2 1 Hearts 11 5 6 1.7 0.9 7 2 2 19 10 23 UUOUOU
3 3 Rangers 11 5 6 1.8 0.8 6 4 1 20 9 22 OOOOOU
4 5 Hibernian 11 5 6 1.4 1.1 4 4 3 15 12 16 OOUUUO
5 6 Falkirk 11 5 6 0.9 1.4 5 1 5 10 15 16 OUOUUU
6 12 Livingston 11 5 6 0.6 1.9 0 4 7 7 21 4 OUOOUU
7 2 Celtic 11 6 5 1.3 1.2 6 1 4 14 13 19 UOOOUU
8 7 Dundee United 11 6 5 1.4 1.7 2 6 3 15 19 12 UUUUOO
9 10 St Mirren 11 6 5 0.9 1.9 1 3 7 10 21 6 OOOUUU
10 4 Motherwell 11 7 4 1.2 1.1 2 7 2 13 12 13 UOUUUU
11 9 Dundee 11 7 4 0.5 1.6 1 3 7 5 18 6 OUUOUU
12 8 Aberdeen 11 9 2 0.6 1.4 4 0 7 7 15 12 UOOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47