Hearts 1–0 Falkirk – Scotland Premiership, 21 Feb 2026

Match facts

Hearts Falkirk

17 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

8 Corners 4

9 Fouls 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (158 league matches this season so far).

Result Hearts to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.99

Expected goals 1.84 – 0.91

Home / Draw / Away

59% 23% 18%

HeartsDrawFalkirk

Under / Over 2.5 goals

48% 52%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

18% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 11.8% 2–0 10.8% 1–1 10.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hearts before this match, all matches

2.11points / match

1.85scored / match

0.89conceded / match

17 6 4

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 50:24

Falkirk before this match, all matches

1.44points / match

1.19scored / match

1.30conceded / match

11 6 10

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 32:35

Hearts all matches all matches Falkirk

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 1.19

0.89 Goals conceded 1.30

2.74 Total goals 2.48

13.93 Shots 12.41

5.19 Shots on target 3.93

10.19 Shots faced 12.22

5.30 Corners 4.70

4.52 Corners against 4.78

11.19 Fouls 12.11

1.81 Yellow cards 2.07

0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

63% Wins 41%

22% Draws 22%

15% Losses 37%

96% Over 0.5 goals 93%

74% Over 1.5 goals 70%

52% Over 2.5 goals 52%

30% Over 3.5 goals 26%

15% Over 4.5 goals 7%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

44% Both teams scored 44%

48% Clean sheets 30%

11% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 19%

37% Draws 33%

22% Losses 48%

78% Over 0.5 goals 70%

37% Over 1.5 goals 37%

7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts all matches

2

1

W

2

3

L

1

W

1

W

2

W

2

D

3

W

1

L

1

W

2

4

L

Falkirk all matches

1

W

1

L

1

W

2

W

1

L

4

1

W

2

L

2

1

W

1

W

2

3

L

Hearts before this match, at home

2.38points / match

2.00scored / match

0.69conceded / match

9 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 26:9

Falkirk before this match, away

1.46points / match

0.92scored / match

1.38conceded / match

6 1 6

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:18

Hearts at home away Falkirk

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.92

0.69 Goals conceded 1.38

2.69 Total goals 2.31

14.77 Shots 12.08

5.54 Shots on target 3.77

8.85 Shots faced 13.23

5.46 Corners 4.92

4.31 Corners against 5.46

10.62 Fouls 12.62

1.54 Yellow cards 2.69

0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.31

0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

69% Wins 46%

31% Draws 8%

0% Losses 46%

100% Over 0.5 goals 92%

77% Over 1.5 goals 69%

46% Over 2.5 goals 54%

31% Over 3.5 goals 15%

8% Over 4.5 goals 0%

8% Over 5.5 goals 0%

46% Both teams scored 23%

54% Clean sheets 38%

0% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 15%

46% Draws 31%

15% Losses 54%

69% Over 0.5 goals 69%

38% Over 1.5 goals 46%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts at home

1

W

3

1

W

4

W

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

W

2

W

2

D

1

W

Falkirk away

2

1

W

4

L

3

W

D

3

L

1

W

1

L

2

W

2

L

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Hearts all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.26	Rangers – Hearts	4–2 (2–2)	1.91	3.30	3.70	2.03	1.83
10.02.26	Hearts – Hibernian	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.00	1.85
03.02.26	St Mirren – Hearts	1–0 (0–0)	3.90	3.50	1.86	2.05	1.80
31.01.26	Dundee United – Hearts	0–3 (0–2)	4.33	3.60	1.76	1.88	1.98
25.01.26	Hearts – Celtic	2–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.20	1.80	2.00
14.01.26	Hearts – St Mirren	2–0 (0–0)	1.41	4.10	7.50	1.88	1.98
11.01.26	Dundee – Hearts	0–1 (0–1)	8.00	4.10	1.42	1.95	1.90
03.01.26	Hearts – Livingston	1–0 (1–0)	1.27	5.00	9.00	1.67	2.20
27.12.25	Hibernian – Hearts	3–2 (2–0)	2.70	3.30	2.45	2.00	1.80
21.12.25	Hearts – Rangers	2–1 (2–0)	2.01	3.50	3.50	1.93	1.93

Falkirk all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Falkirk – Dundee United	2–3 (1–1)	1.79	3.40	4.00	1.83	2.03
11.02.26	Falkirk – Dundee	1–0 (0–0)	1.61	3.75	5.25	1.98	1.88
04.02.26	Livingston – Falkirk	1–2 (0–2)	3.40	3.40	2.05	2.03	1.83
01.02.26	Celtic – Falkirk	2–0 (1–0)	1.27	5.75	8.50	1.50	2.63
24.01.26	Falkirk – Hibernian	4–1 (2–0)	3.25	3.30	2.20	1.98	1.88
14.01.26	Falkirk – Celtic	0–1 (0–1)	5.75	4.75	1.45	1.62	2.30
10.01.26	St Mirren – Falkirk	0–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.03	1.83
03.01.26	Falkirk – Aberdeen	1–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.70	1.91	1.91
27.12.25	Dundee – Falkirk	1–0 (1–0)	2.95	3.20	2.30	2.00	1.80
20.12.25	Kilmarnock – Falkirk	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.65	2.00	1.85

Hearts at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.26	Hearts – Hibernian	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.00	1.85
25.01.26	Hearts – Celtic	2–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.20	1.80	2.00
14.01.26	Hearts – St Mirren	2–0 (0–0)	1.41	4.10	7.50	1.88	1.98
03.01.26	Hearts – Livingston	1–0 (1–0)	1.27	5.00	9.00	1.67	2.20
21.12.25	Hearts – Rangers	2–1 (2–0)	2.01	3.50	3.50	1.93	1.93
03.12.25	Hearts – Kilmarnock	1–1 (0–0)	1.35	4.33	8.50	1.80	2.00
09.11.25	Hearts – Dundee United	1–1 (1–1)	1.37	4.50	7.50	1.67	2.20
01.11.25	Hearts – Dundee	4–0 (2–0)	1.25	5.25	10.00	1.57	2.38
26.10.25	Hearts – Celtic	3–1 (1–1)	3.25	3.60	2.05	1.73	2.10
04.10.25	Hearts – Hibernian	1–0 (0–0)	1.76	3.75	4.00	1.80	2.00

Falkirk away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.02.26	Livingston – Falkirk	1–2 (0–2)	3.40	3.40	2.05	2.03	1.83
01.02.26	Celtic – Falkirk	2–0 (1–0)	1.27	5.75	8.50	1.50	2.63
10.01.26	St Mirren – Falkirk	0–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.03	1.83
27.12.25	Dundee – Falkirk	1–0 (1–0)	2.95	3.20	2.30	2.00	1.80
20.12.25	Kilmarnock – Falkirk	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.65	2.00	1.85
06.12.25	Hibernian – Falkirk	3–0 (2–0)	1.53	4.00	5.75	1.67	2.20
30.11.25	Rangers – Falkirk	0–0 (0–0)	1.35	5.00	7.00	1.53	2.50
22.11.25	Dundee United – Falkirk	0–3 (0–2)	2.05	3.50	3.40	1.80	2.00
29.10.25	Celtic – Falkirk	4–0 (2–0)	1.13	8.00	13.00	1.33	3.40
18.10.25	Motherwell – Falkirk	1–2 (1–0)	1.86	3.70	3.75	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2

Hearts winsDrawsFalkirk wins

2matches

2.50goals / match

50%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.12.25SC0	Falkirk – Hearts	0–2 (0–1)	4.33	3.60	1.76	1.91	1.91
27.09.25SC0	Hearts – Falkirk	3–0 (2–0)	1.56	4.20	5.00	1.73	2.10

Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hearts	27	17	6	4	50	24	+26	57
2	Rangers	27	15	10	2	47	21	+26	55
3	Celtic	26	17	3	6	48	26	+22	54
4	Motherwell	26	12	11	3	40	18	+22	47
5	Hibernian	27	11	9	7	43	31	+12	42
6	Falkirk	27	11	6	10	32	35	-3	39
7	Dundee United	25	6	10	9	33	42	-9	28
8	Aberdeen	25	8	4	13	26	35	-9	28
9	Dundee	26	6	6	14	21	40	-19	24
10	St Mirren	26	5	8	13	21	37	-16	23
11	Kilmarnock	27	4	8	15	30	54	-24	20
12	Livingston	27	1	9	17	28	56	-28	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	13	10	1	2	29	9	+20	31
2	Motherwell	14	9	4	1	25	6	+19	31
3	Hearts	13	9	4	0	26	9	+17	31
4	Rangers	14	9	4	1	26	11	+15	31
5	Hibernian	14	7	5	2	27	14	+13	26
6	Falkirk	14	5	5	4	20	17	+3	20
7	Dundee	12	5	2	5	16	18	-2	17
8	St Mirren	13	4	5	4	8	10	-2	17
9	Aberdeen	12	4	4	4	19	15	+4	16
10	Dundee United	12	3	4	5	13	18	-5	13
11	Kilmarnock	14	3	3	8	17	25	-8	12
12	Livingston	13	1	4	8	16	25	-9	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hearts	14	8	2	4	24	15	+9	26
2	Rangers	13	6	6	1	21	10	+11	24
3	Celtic	13	7	2	4	19	17	+2	23
4	Falkirk	13	6	1	6	12	18	-6	19
5	Motherwell	12	3	7	2	15	12	+3	16
6	Hibernian	13	4	4	5	16	17	-1	16
7	Dundee United	13	3	6	4	20	24	-4	15
8	Aberdeen	13	4	0	9	7	20	-13	12
9	Kilmarnock	13	1	5	7	13	29	-16	8
10	Dundee	14	1	4	9	5	22	-17	7
11	St Mirren	13	1	3	9	13	27	-14	6
12	Livingston	14	0	5	9	12	31	-19	5

Hearts Falkirk

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Kilmarnock	27	9	18	1.1	2.0	4	8	15	30	54	20
2	12	Livingston	27	9	18	1.0	2.1	1	9	17	28	56	12
3	3	Celtic	26	10	16	1.8	1.0	17	3	6	48	26	54
4	1	Hearts	27	13	14	1.9	0.9	17	6	4	50	24	57
5	5	Hibernian	27	13	14	1.6	1.1	11	9	7	43	31	42
6	6	Falkirk	27	13	14	1.2	1.3	11	6	10	32	35	39
7	2	Rangers	27	14	13	1.7	0.8	15	10	2	47	21	55
8	7	Dundee United	25	12	13	1.3	1.7	6	10	9	33	42	28
9	9	Dundee	26	14	12	0.8	1.5	6	6	14	21	40	24
10	4	Motherwell	26	18	8	1.5	0.7	12	11	3	40	18	47
11	8	Aberdeen	25	17	8	1.0	1.4	8	4	13	26	35	28
12	10	St Mirren	26	18	8	0.8	1.4	5	8	13	21	37	23

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Celtic	13	4	9	2.2	0.7	10	1	2	29	9	31
2	11	Kilmarnock	14	5	9	1.2	1.8	3	3	8	17	25	12
3	12	Livingston	13	4	9	1.2	1.9	1	4	8	16	25	7
4	2	Rangers	14	7	7	1.9	0.8	9	4	1	26	11	31
5	5	Hibernian	14	7	7	1.9	1.0	7	5	2	27	14	26
6	6	Falkirk	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	5	5	4	20	17	20
7	9	Dundee	12	5	7	1.3	1.5	5	2	5	16	18	17
8	1	Hearts	13	7	6	2.0	0.7	9	4	0	26	9	31
9	7	Dundee United	12	6	6	1.1	1.5	3	4	5	13	18	13
10	8	Aberdeen	12	7	5	1.6	1.2	4	4	4	19	15	16
11	4	Motherwell	14	10	4	1.8	0.4	9	4	1	25	6	31
12	10	St Mirren	13	11	2	0.6	0.8	4	5	4	8	10	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Kilmarnock	13	4	9	1.0	2.2	1	5	7	13	29	8
2	12	Livingston	14	5	9	0.9	2.2	0	5	9	12	31	5
3	1	Hearts	14	6	8	1.7	1.1	8	2	4	24	15	26
4	3	Celtic	13	6	7	1.5	1.3	7	2	4	19	17	23
5	5	Hibernian	13	6	7	1.2	1.3	4	4	5	16	17	16
6	6	Falkirk	13	6	7	0.9	1.4	6	1	6	12	18	19
7	7	Dundee United	13	6	7	1.5	1.8	3	6	4	20	24	15
8	2	Rangers	13	7	6	1.6	0.8	6	6	1	21	10	24
9	10	St Mirren	13	7	6	1.0	2.1	1	3	9	13	27	6
10	9	Dundee	14	9	5	0.4	1.6	1	4	9	5	22	7
11	4	Motherwell	12	8	4	1.2	1.0	3	7	2	15	12	16
12	8	Aberdeen	13	10	3	0.5	1.5	4	0	9	7	20	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.