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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: R Lee

Livingston 1–4 Kilmarnock

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.70 fair 2.25
Draw 3.50 fair 4.28
Away ✓ 2.35 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Livingston Kilmarnock
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 1
10 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (225 league matches this season so far).
Result Livingston to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
LivingstonDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 9.1% 1–2 7.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Livingston before this match, all matches
0.57points / match
1.05scored / match
1.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 39:71
Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.24scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 46:67
Livingston all matches all matches Kilmarnock

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.24
1.92 Goals conceded 1.81
2.97 Total goals 3.05
9.84 Shots 11.27
3.32 Shots on target 3.97
15.30 Shots faced 14.43
4.62 Corners 4.41
5.95 Corners against 5.35
13.14 Fouls 13.22
2.38 Yellow cards 2.16
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

5% Wins 24%
41% Draws 27%
54% Losses 49%
92% Over 0.5 goals 95%
84% Over 1.5 goals 84%
62% Over 2.5 goals 65%
38% Over 3.5 goals 41%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
5% Over 5.5 goals 8%
65% Both teams scored 54%
11% Clean sheets 24%
32% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 38%
32% Draws 24%
51% Losses 38%
78% Over 0.5 goals 81%
30% Over 1.5 goals 38%
8% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Livingston all matches
Kilmarnock all matches
Livingston before this match, at home
0.65points / match
1.35scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 23:32
Kilmarnock before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
2.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 18:39
Livingston at home away Kilmarnock

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.00
1.88 Goals conceded 2.17
3.24 Total goals 3.17
10.59 Shots 8.94
3.76 Shots on target 3.39
14.00 Shots faced 16.39
5.29 Corners 3.94
5.12 Corners against 6.39
14.76 Fouls 12.94
2.76 Yellow cards 2.22
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.94 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

6% Wins 11%
47% Draws 33%
47% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
94% Over 1.5 goals 89%
71% Over 2.5 goals 67%
47% Over 3.5 goals 44%
6% Over 4.5 goals 11%
6% Over 5.5 goals 11%
88% Both teams scored 61%
0% Clean sheets 17%
12% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 22%
24% Draws 28%
47% Losses 50%
88% Over 0.5 goals 83%
41% Over 1.5 goals 39%
6% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Livingston at home
Kilmarnock away

Last 10 matches before this match

Livingston all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.26 Dundee United – Livingston 0–0 (0–0) 1.664.004.50 1.67 2.20
09.05.26 Dundee – Livingston 3–0 (1–0) 1.714.004.20 1.80 2.00
01.05.26 Livingston – Aberdeen 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.30 1.88 1.98
25.04.26 St Mirren – Livingston 0–2 (0–0) 1.623.755.00 1.83 2.03
11.04.26 Dundee United – Livingston 3–2 (1–0) 1.534.005.50 1.67 2.20
05.04.26 Livingston – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 6.504.201.46 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–0 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Hibernian – Livingston 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.757.00 1.62 2.30
28.02.26 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.10 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Livingston – Rangers 2–2 (1–0) 8.005.001.35 1.62 2.30

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.70 1.80 2.00
09.05.26 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–3 (0–1) 1.913.503.70 1.85 2.00
02.05.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.85 1.73 2.10
25.04.26 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.80 1.91 1.91
11.04.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.503.25 1.80 2.00
04.04.26 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 3–0 (2–0) 1.494.206.25 1.62 2.30
21.03.26 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–0 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 4.753.801.66 1.85 2.00
28.02.26 Falkirk – Kilmarnock 5–1 (3–1) 1.664.104.50 1.80 2.00
21.02.26 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 1–1 (0–0) 1.963.603.70 1.73 2.10

Livingston at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.05.26 Livingston – Aberdeen 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.30 1.88 1.98
05.04.26 Livingston – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 6.504.201.46 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.10 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Livingston – Rangers 2–2 (1–0) 8.005.001.35 1.62 2.30
04.02.26 Livingston – Falkirk 1–2 (0–2) 3.403.402.05 2.03 1.83
31.01.26 Livingston – Motherwell 0–2 (0–2) 4.333.601.76 1.93 1.93
20.01.26 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–0) 2.823.402.32 2.00 1.85
10.01.26 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
30.12.25 Livingston – Dundee United 1–3 (0–1) 2.503.302.65 1.91 1.91
27.12.25 Livingston – Celtic 2–4 (2–4) 8.504.751.35 1.57 2.38

Kilmarnock away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.05.26 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–3 (0–1) 1.913.503.70 1.85 2.00
25.04.26 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.80 1.91 1.91
04.04.26 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 3–0 (2–0) 1.494.206.25 1.62 2.30
28.02.26 Falkirk – Kilmarnock 5–1 (3–1) 1.664.104.50 1.80 2.00
21.02.26 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 1–1 (0–0) 1.963.603.70 1.73 2.10
04.02.26 Rangers – Kilmarnock 5–1 (1–0) 1.275.0010.00 1.57 2.38
24.01.26 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 4–0 (2–0) 1.454.007.00 1.80 2.00
10.01.26 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
30.12.25 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.052.57 2.20 1.67
27.12.25 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 1.91 1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Livingston winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
10matches
2.50goals / match
40%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26SC0 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–0 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.80 2.00
10.01.26SC0 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
02.08.25SC0 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–2 (2–0) 2.003.503.60 1.94 1.79
07.02.24SC0 Kilmarnock – Livingston 1–0 (0–0) 1.604.205.50 2.05 1.75
16.12.23SC0 Livingston – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.25 1.62
21.10.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Livingston 3–1 (2–1) 1.953.404.00 2.15 1.67
13.05.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 2.10 1.73
04.02.23SC0 Livingston – Kilmarnock 3–1 (3–0) 2.203.303.30 2.38 1.57
04.11.22SC0 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–3 (2–1) 2.702.903.00 2.50 1.53
17.09.22SC0 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.66

Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 73 41 +32 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 67 34 +33 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 76 43 +33 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 59 36 +23 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 58 44 +14 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 50 62 -12 49
7 Dundee United 37 10 14 13 48 59 -11 44
8 Aberdeen 37 11 7 19 38 52 -14 40
9 Dundee 37 10 9 18 39 59 -20 39
10 Kilmarnock 37 9 10 18 46 67 -21 37
11 St Mirren 37 8 9 20 29 54 -25 33
12 Livingston 37 2 15 20 39 71 -32 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hearts 19 15 4 0 37 11 +26 49
2 Celtic 19 15 1 3 43 15 +28 46
3 Rangers 19 11 5 3 39 21 +18 38
4 Motherwell 19 10 6 3 32 13 +19 36
5 Hibernian 19 8 6 5 32 19 +13 30
6 Dundee 18 8 4 6 28 26 +2 28
7 Dundee United 19 7 7 5 24 22 +2 28
8 Aberdeen 19 7 5 7 28 23 +5 26
9 Falkirk 20 7 5 8 33 34 -1 26
10 Kilmarnock 19 7 4 8 28 28 0 25
11 St Mirren 18 5 5 8 10 21 -11 20
12 Livingston 17 1 8 8 23 32 -9 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 19 11 3 5 30 26 +4 36
2 Rangers 19 9 7 3 37 22 +15 34
3 Hearts 19 9 4 6 30 23 +7 31
4 Hibernian 19 7 6 6 26 25 +1 27
5 Motherwell 19 6 7 6 27 23 +4 25
6 Falkirk 18 7 2 9 17 28 -11 23
7 Dundee United 18 3 7 8 24 37 -13 16
8 Aberdeen 18 4 2 12 10 29 -19 14
9 St Mirren 19 3 4 12 19 33 -14 13
10 Kilmarnock 18 2 6 10 18 39 -21 12
11 Dundee 19 2 5 12 11 33 -22 11
12 Livingston 20 1 7 12 16 39 -23 10

Livingston   Kilmarnock

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 38 12 26 1.9 1.1 26 4 8 73 41 82
2 10 Kilmarnock 37 13 24 1.2 1.8 9 10 18 46 67 37
3 3 Rangers 38 15 23 2.0 1.1 20 12 6 76 43 72
4 12 Livingston 37 14 23 1.1 1.9 2 15 20 39 71 21
5 6 Falkirk 38 16 22 1.3 1.6 14 7 17 50 62 49
6 5 Hibernian 38 17 21 1.5 1.2 15 12 11 58 44 57
7 9 Dundee 37 16 21 1.1 1.6 10 9 18 39 59 39
8 2 Hearts 38 18 20 1.8 0.9 24 8 6 67 34 80
9 7 Dundee United 37 18 19 1.3 1.6 10 14 13 48 59 44
10 4 Motherwell 38 23 15 1.6 0.9 16 13 9 59 36 61
11 8 Aberdeen 37 25 12 1.0 1.4 11 7 19 38 52 40
12 11 St Mirren 37 25 12 0.8 1.5 8 9 20 29 54 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 19 5 14 2.3 0.8 15 1 3 43 15 46
2 3 Rangers 19 7 12 2.1 1.1 11 5 3 39 21 38
3 6 Falkirk 20 8 12 1.6 1.7 7 5 8 33 34 26
4 9 Dundee 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 8 4 6 28 26 28
5 10 Kilmarnock 19 7 12 1.5 1.5 7 4 8 28 28 25
6 12 Livingston 17 5 12 1.4 1.9 1 8 8 23 32 11
7 5 Hibernian 19 9 10 1.7 1.0 8 6 5 32 19 30
8 2 Hearts 19 10 9 1.9 0.6 15 4 0 37 11 49
9 7 Dundee United 19 10 9 1.3 1.2 7 7 5 24 22 28
10 8 Aberdeen 19 12 7 1.5 1.2 7 5 7 28 23 26
11 4 Motherwell 19 13 6 1.7 0.7 10 6 3 32 13 36
12 11 St Mirren 18 14 4 0.6 1.2 5 5 8 10 21 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 11 3 5 30 26 36
2 10 Kilmarnock 18 6 12 1.0 2.2 2 6 10 18 39 12
3 2 Hearts 19 8 11 1.6 1.2 9 4 6 30 23 31
4 3 Rangers 19 8 11 1.9 1.2 9 7 3 37 22 34
5 5 Hibernian 19 8 11 1.4 1.3 7 6 6 26 25 27
6 12 Livingston 20 9 11 0.8 1.9 1 7 12 16 39 10
7 6 Falkirk 18 8 10 0.9 1.6 7 2 9 17 28 23
8 7 Dundee United 18 8 10 1.3 2.1 3 7 8 24 37 16
9 4 Motherwell 19 10 9 1.4 1.2 6 7 6 27 23 25
10 9 Dundee 19 10 9 0.6 1.7 2 5 12 11 33 11
11 11 St Mirren 19 11 8 1.0 1.7 3 4 12 19 33 13
12 8 Aberdeen 18 13 5 0.6 1.6 4 2 12 10 29 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51