Kilmarnock 1–0 Hearts – Scotland Premiership, 14 Mar 2026

Match facts

Kilmarnock Hearts

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 9

13 Fouls 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (177 league matches this season so far).

Result Hearts to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.72

Expected goals 1.18 – 1.83

Home / Draw / Away

25% 23% 53%

KilmarnockDrawHearts

Under / Over 2.5 goals

42% 58%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 58%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

15% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

19% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.6% 1–2 9.7% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Kilmarnock before this match, all matches

0.72points / match

1.10scored / match

2.07conceded / match

4 9 16

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 32:60

Hearts before this match, all matches

2.17points / match

1.79scored / match

0.83conceded / match

19 6 4

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 52:24

Kilmarnock all matches all matches Hearts

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.79

2.07 Goals conceded 0.83

3.17 Total goals 2.62

10.83 Shots 14.28

3.83 Shots on target 5.21

15.45 Shots faced 9.93

4.34 Corners 5.45

5.62 Corners against 4.48

12.76 Fouls 10.97

2.14 Yellow cards 1.83

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.79

0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

14% Wins 66%

31% Draws 21%

55% Losses 14%

93% Over 0.5 goals 97%

86% Over 1.5 goals 69%

66% Over 2.5 goals 48%

45% Over 3.5 goals 28%

14% Over 4.5 goals 14%

10% Over 5.5 goals 7%

62% Both teams scored 41%

17% Clean sheets 52%

28% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 45%

28% Draws 34%

41% Losses 21%

79% Over 0.5 goals 79%

41% Over 1.5 goals 34%

14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock all matches

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

4

L

3

W

1

5

L

4

3

W

2

3

L

1

D

1

5

L

Hearts all matches

1

W

1

W

2

W

2

D

3

W

1

L

1

W

2

4

L

1

W

1

W

Kilmarnock before this match, at home

0.86points / match

1.21scored / match

1.79conceded / match

3 3 8

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:25

Hearts before this match, away

1.86points / match

1.71scored / match

1.07conceded / match

8 2 4

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 24:15

Kilmarnock at home away Hearts

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.71

1.79 Goals conceded 1.07

3.00 Total goals 2.79

13.21 Shots 13.14

4.21 Shots on target 4.86

12.86 Shots faced 11.43

5.21 Corners 5.14

4.14 Corners against 4.71

12.79 Fouls 11.71

2.14 Yellow cards 2.07

0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.79

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

21% Wins 57%

21% Draws 14%

57% Losses 29%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

79% Over 1.5 goals 71%

64% Over 2.5 goals 57%

36% Over 3.5 goals 29%

14% Over 4.5 goals 21%

7% Over 5.5 goals 7%

50% Both teams scored 43%

21% Clean sheets 43%

36% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 43%

21% Draws 29%

36% Losses 29%

79% Over 0.5 goals 86%

43% Over 1.5 goals 36%

7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock at home

3

L

1

L

1

3

L

1

D

3

L

1

L

1

3

L

3

W

4

3

W

2

3

L

Hearts away

2

D

1

L

D

2

1

W

2

W

2

3

L

1

W

3

W

1

L

2

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Kilmarnock all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.02.26	Falkirk – Kilmarnock	5–1 (3–1)	1.66	4.10	4.50	1.80	2.00
21.02.26	Dundee United – Kilmarnock	1–1 (0–0)	1.96	3.60	3.70	1.73	2.10
15.02.26	Kilmarnock – Celtic	2–3 (2–0)	7.50	4.50	1.35	1.57	2.38
11.02.26	Kilmarnock – St Mirren	4–3 (2–1)	2.75	3.30	2.45	2.10	1.73
04.02.26	Rangers – Kilmarnock	5–1 (1–0)	1.27	5.00	10.00	1.57	2.38
31.01.26	Kilmarnock – Aberdeen	3–0 (2–0)	3.10	3.20	2.32	2.00	1.80
24.01.26	Motherwell – Kilmarnock	4–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.00	7.00	1.80	2.00
10.01.26	Livingston – Kilmarnock	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.73
03.01.26	Kilmarnock – Hibernian	1–3 (0–1)	4.50	3.40	1.76	2.00	1.80
30.12.25	Dundee – Kilmarnock	2–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.05	2.57	2.20	1.67

Hearts all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.02.26	Hearts – Aberdeen	1–0 (1–0)	1.41	4.20	8.00	1.73	2.10
21.02.26	Hearts – Falkirk	1–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.60	5.50	1.88	1.98
15.02.26	Rangers – Hearts	4–2 (2–2)	1.91	3.30	3.70	2.03	1.83
10.02.26	Hearts – Hibernian	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.00	1.85
03.02.26	St Mirren – Hearts	1–0 (0–0)	3.90	3.50	1.86	2.05	1.80
31.01.26	Dundee United – Hearts	0–3 (0–2)	4.33	3.60	1.76	1.88	1.98
25.01.26	Hearts – Celtic	2–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.20	1.80	2.00
14.01.26	Hearts – St Mirren	2–0 (0–0)	1.41	4.10	7.50	1.88	1.98
11.01.26	Dundee – Hearts	0–1 (0–1)	8.00	4.10	1.42	1.95	1.90
03.01.26	Hearts – Livingston	1–0 (1–0)	1.27	5.00	9.00	1.67	2.20

Kilmarnock at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.26	Kilmarnock – Celtic	2–3 (2–0)	7.50	4.50	1.35	1.57	2.38
11.02.26	Kilmarnock – St Mirren	4–3 (2–1)	2.75	3.30	2.45	2.10	1.73
31.01.26	Kilmarnock – Aberdeen	3–0 (2–0)	3.10	3.20	2.32	2.00	1.80
03.01.26	Kilmarnock – Hibernian	1–3 (0–1)	4.50	3.40	1.76	2.00	1.80
20.12.25	Kilmarnock – Falkirk	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.65	2.00	1.85
06.12.25	Kilmarnock – Rangers	0–3 (0–1)	5.25	4.00	1.56	1.85	2.00
29.11.25	Kilmarnock – Dundee United	1–1 (1–0)	2.57	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88
22.11.25	Kilmarnock – Motherwell	1–3 (0–2)	2.95	3.40	2.20	1.95	1.90
29.10.25	Kilmarnock – Aberdeen	0–1 (0–1)	2.65	3.30	2.50	2.03	1.83
18.10.25	Kilmarnock – Hearts	0–3 (0–1)	4.20	3.60	1.79	1.93	1.93

Hearts away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.26	Rangers – Hearts	4–2 (2–2)	1.91	3.30	3.70	2.03	1.83
03.02.26	St Mirren – Hearts	1–0 (0–0)	3.90	3.50	1.86	2.05	1.80
31.01.26	Dundee United – Hearts	0–3 (0–2)	4.33	3.60	1.76	1.88	1.98
11.01.26	Dundee – Hearts	0–1 (0–1)	8.00	4.10	1.42	1.95	1.90
27.12.25	Hibernian – Hearts	3–2 (2–0)	2.70	3.30	2.45	2.00	1.80
13.12.25	Falkirk – Hearts	0–2 (0–1)	4.33	3.60	1.76	1.91	1.91
07.12.25	Celtic – Hearts	1–2 (0–1)	1.53	3.80	6.00	1.80	2.00
29.11.25	Motherwell – Hearts	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.40	2.01	1.80	2.00
23.11.25	Aberdeen – Hearts	1–0 (1–0)	4.10	3.60	1.81	1.98	1.88
29.10.25	St Mirren – Hearts	2–2 (1–1)	4.10	3.60	1.79	1.95	1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 5 5

Kilmarnock winsDrawsHearts wins

13matches

2.23goals / match

46%over 2.5

54%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.12.25SC0	Hearts – Kilmarnock	1–1 (0–0)	1.35	4.33	8.50	1.80	2.00
18.10.25SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	0–3 (0–1)	4.20	3.60	1.79	1.93	1.93
18.05.25SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	0–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.88	1.98
25.01.25SC0	Hearts – Kilmarnock	3–2 (1–0)	1.85	3.70	3.90	2.03	1.83
15.12.24SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	2.00	1.85
30.10.24SC0	Hearts – Kilmarnock	1–2 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	3.80	1.83	2.03
27.04.24SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.05	1.80
30.03.24SC0	Hearts – Kilmarnock	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.03	1.83
02.12.23SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.40	2.40	2.03	1.83
13.08.23SC0	Hearts – Kilmarnock	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	1.88	1.98
01.04.23SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	2–1 (2–1)	2.90	3.50	2.38	1.90	1.95
17.12.22SC0	Hearts – Kilmarnock	3–1 (2–0)	1.80	3.60	4.75	1.98	1.88
09.10.22SC0	Kilmarnock – Hearts	2–2 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.95	1.90

Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hearts	29	19	6	4	52	24	+28	63
2	Celtic	30	19	4	7	56	32	+24	61
3	Rangers	29	15	12	2	51	25	+26	57
4	Motherwell	30	14	11	5	49	23	+26	53
5	Hibernian	30	12	11	7	48	35	+13	47
6	Falkirk	30	12	7	11	38	38	0	43
7	Dundee United	29	7	12	10	36	46	-10	33
8	Dundee	29	8	7	14	29	46	-17	31
9	Aberdeen	30	8	6	16	30	42	-12	30
10	St Mirren	29	5	9	15	23	45	-22	24
11	Kilmarnock	29	4	9	16	32	60	-28	21
12	Livingston	30	1	12	17	31	59	-28	15

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hearts	15	11	4	0	28	9	+19	37
2	Celtic	15	11	1	3	33	12	+21	34
3	Motherwell	15	10	4	1	27	6	+21	34
4	Rangers	15	9	5	1	28	13	+15	32
5	Hibernian	15	7	6	2	27	14	+13	27
6	Falkirk	15	6	5	4	25	18	+7	23
7	Dundee	14	6	3	5	21	22	-1	21
8	Dundee United	15	4	6	5	16	20	-4	18
9	Aberdeen	15	4	5	6	23	21	+2	17
10	St Mirren	14	4	5	5	8	15	-7	17
11	Kilmarnock	14	3	3	8	17	25	-8	12
12	Livingston	15	1	6	8	19	28	-9	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	15	8	3	4	23	20	+3	27
2	Hearts	14	8	2	4	24	15	+9	26
3	Rangers	14	6	7	1	23	12	+11	25
4	Hibernian	15	5	5	5	21	21	0	20
5	Falkirk	15	6	2	7	13	20	-7	20
6	Motherwell	15	4	7	4	22	17	+5	19
7	Dundee United	14	3	6	5	20	26	-6	15
8	Aberdeen	15	4	1	10	7	21	-14	13
9	Dundee	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16	10
10	Kilmarnock	15	1	6	8	15	35	-20	9
11	St Mirren	15	1	4	10	15	30	-15	7
12	Livingston	15	0	6	9	12	31	-19	6

Kilmarnock Hearts

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Celtic	30	10	20	1.9	1.1	19	4	7	56	32	61
2	11	Kilmarnock	29	10	19	1.1	2.1	4	9	16	32	60	21
3	12	Livingston	30	11	19	1.0	2.0	1	12	17	31	59	15
4	5	Hibernian	30	14	16	1.6	1.2	12	11	7	48	35	47
5	3	Rangers	29	14	15	1.8	0.9	15	12	2	51	25	57
6	6	Falkirk	30	15	15	1.3	1.3	12	7	11	38	38	43
7	8	Dundee	29	14	15	1.0	1.6	8	7	14	29	46	31
8	1	Hearts	29	15	14	1.8	0.8	19	6	4	52	24	63
9	7	Dundee United	29	15	14	1.2	1.6	7	12	10	36	46	33
10	4	Motherwell	30	19	11	1.6	0.8	14	11	5	49	23	53
11	9	Aberdeen	30	20	10	1.0	1.4	8	6	16	30	42	30
12	10	St Mirren	29	19	10	0.8	1.6	5	9	15	23	45	24

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Celtic	15	4	11	2.2	0.8	11	1	3	33	12	34
2	12	Livingston	15	5	10	1.3	1.9	1	6	8	19	28	9
3	8	Dundee	14	5	9	1.5	1.6	6	3	5	21	22	21
4	11	Kilmarnock	14	5	9	1.2	1.8	3	3	8	17	25	12
5	3	Rangers	15	7	8	1.9	0.9	9	5	1	28	13	32
6	6	Falkirk	15	7	8	1.7	1.2	6	5	4	25	18	23
7	5	Hibernian	15	8	7	1.8	0.9	7	6	2	27	14	27
8	7	Dundee United	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	4	6	5	16	20	18
9	9	Aberdeen	15	8	7	1.5	1.4	4	5	6	23	21	17
10	1	Hearts	15	9	6	1.9	0.6	11	4	0	28	9	37
11	4	Motherwell	15	11	4	1.8	0.4	10	4	1	27	6	34
12	10	St Mirren	14	11	3	0.6	1.1	4	5	5	8	15	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Kilmarnock	15	5	10	1.0	2.3	1	6	8	15	35	9
2	2	Celtic	15	6	9	1.5	1.3	8	3	4	23	20	27
3	5	Hibernian	15	6	9	1.4	1.4	5	5	5	21	21	20
4	12	Livingston	15	6	9	0.8	2.1	0	6	9	12	31	6
5	1	Hearts	14	6	8	1.7	1.1	8	2	4	24	15	26
6	3	Rangers	14	7	7	1.6	0.9	6	7	1	23	12	25
7	4	Motherwell	15	8	7	1.5	1.1	4	7	4	22	17	19
8	6	Falkirk	15	8	7	0.9	1.3	6	2	7	13	20	20
9	7	Dundee United	14	7	7	1.4	1.9	3	6	5	20	26	15
10	10	St Mirren	15	8	7	1.0	2.0	1	4	10	15	30	7
11	8	Dundee	15	9	6	0.5	1.6	2	4	9	8	24	10
12	9	Aberdeen	15	12	3	0.5	1.4	4	1	10	7	21	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.