Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2026/2027
Home ✓
1.81
fair 2.19
Draw
3.90
fair 4.12
Away
3.70
fair 3.32
Under 2.5
2.20
fair 2.26
Over 2.5 ✓
1.67
fair 1.79
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
18
Shots
10
8
Shots on target
0
2.00
Expected goals (xG)
1.82
9
Corners
7
11
Fouls
12
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (54 league matches this season so far).
Result
Falkirk to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.72
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
46%
24%
30%
FalkirkDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
44%
56%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
42%
58%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
16%
4
17%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3%
2–1 9.3%
1–0 8.8%
Statistics 2026/2027, before this match
Falkirk
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
2
3
4
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 9:12
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
1.11scored / match
2.22conceded / match
2
2
5
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 10:20
Falkirk all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
1.00
Goals scored
1.11
1.33
Goals conceded
2.22
2.33
Total goals
3.33
1.01
xG created
0.98
1.60
xG allowed
2.20
11.22
Shots
10.89
3.33
Shots on target
4.33
16.00
Shots faced
18.00
4.33
Corners
4.67
6.44
Corners against
6.44
15.44
Fouls
11.78
1.89
Yellow cards
2.00
0.67
1st-half goals scored
0.44
0.67
1st-half goals conceded
1.33
How often Full Time
22%
Wins
22%
33%
Draws
22%
44%
Losses
56%
89%
Over 0.5 goals
89%
89%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
56%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
0%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
22%
78%
Both teams scored
56%
11%
Clean sheets
22%
22%
Failed to score
33%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
22%
44%
Draws
33%
22%
Losses
44%
78%
Over 0.5 goals
89%
44%
Over 1.5 goals
56%
11%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Falkirk all matches
2
5
L
2
L
D
1
2
L
1
2
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
1
1
D
1
2
L
2
1
W
Kilmarnock all matches
4
1
W
3
4
L
1
5
L
4
L
1
L
D
1
W
1
1
D
1
3
L
3
2
W
Falkirk
before this match, at home
0.75points / match
1.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
1
3
WonDrawnLost
4 played · 4:7
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
1.75conceded / match
1
1
2
WonDrawnLost
4 played · 5:7
Falkirk at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
1.00
Goals scored
1.25
1.75
Goals conceded
1.75
2.75
Total goals
3.00
1.39
xG created
1.20
1.59
xG allowed
1.34
12.75
Shots
10.75
3.75
Shots on target
5.25
15.50
Shots faced
16.50
4.50
Corners
5.00
6.75
Corners against
8.50
14.25
Fouls
12.25
1.50
Yellow cards
2.25
0.75
1st-half goals scored
0.50
0.75
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
25%
0%
Draws
25%
75%
Losses
50%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
75%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
0%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
25%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
25%
75%
Both teams scored
50%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
25%
Failed to score
25%
How often Half Time
25%
Wins
25%
50%
Draws
50%
25%
Losses
25%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
75%
50%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Falkirk at home
5
1
W
1
2
L
3
6
L
1
W
1
3
L
2
5
L
2
L
1
2
L
2
1
W
1
2
L
Kilmarnock away
1
1
D
1
5
L
3
L
1
L
3
W
4
1
W
3
4
L
D
1
W
1
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Falkirk all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.26 | Hibernian – Falkirk | 1–2 (1–2) | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 10.10.26 | Falkirk – Dundee | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 19.09.26 | St Johnstone – Falkirk | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.01 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 15.09.26 | Falkirk – Hearts | 2–1 (1–1) | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.86 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 05.09.26 | Dundee United – Falkirk | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.86 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 02.09.26 | Falkirk – Rangers | 1–2 (1–1) | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.56 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 29.08.26 | Celtic – Falkirk | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.19 | 6.50 | 11.00 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| 09.08.26 | Motherwell – Falkirk | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.79 | 3.75 | 4.10 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 01.08.26 | Falkirk – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 16.05.26 | Falkirk – Rangers | 2–5 (2–3) | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.79 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.26 | Kilmarnock – Motherwell | 3–2 (1–1) | 3.25 | 3.75 | 2.01 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 10.10.26 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (3–0) | 1.11 | 7.50 | 17.00 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| 19.09.26 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.61 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 15.09.26 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.39 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 05.09.26 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.50 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 02.09.26 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 29.08.26 | Kilmarnock – Dundee United | 0–4 (0–3) | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 09.08.26 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 1–5 (0–3) | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.37 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 02.08.26 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 4–3 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 17.05.26 | Livingston – Kilmarnock | 1–4 (1–2) | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.35 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Falkirk at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.26 | Falkirk – Dundee | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 15.09.26 | Falkirk – Hearts | 2–1 (1–1) | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.86 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 02.09.26 | Falkirk – Rangers | 1–2 (1–1) | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.56 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 01.08.26 | Falkirk – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 16.05.26 | Falkirk – Rangers | 2–5 (2–3) | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.79 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 09.05.26 | Falkirk – Hibernian | 1–3 (0–3) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.85 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 02.05.26 | Falkirk – Motherwell | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.65 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 12.04.26 | Falkirk – Rangers | 3–6 (2–1) | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.71 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 21.03.26 | Falkirk – St Mirren | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.81 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 28.02.26 | Falkirk – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.26 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (3–0) | 1.11 | 7.50 | 17.00 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| 15.09.26 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.39 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 05.09.26 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.50 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 02.08.26 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 4–3 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 17.05.26 | Livingston – Kilmarnock | 1–4 (1–2) | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.35 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 09.05.26 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–3 (0–1) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 25.04.26 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 04.04.26 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.49 | 4.20 | 6.25 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 28.02.26 | Falkirk – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 21.02.26 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3
Falkirk winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26SC0 | Falkirk – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 20.12.25SC0 | Kilmarnock – Falkirk | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.65 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 01.11.25SC0 | Falkirk – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (3–0) | 2.01 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
Scotland Premiership table 2026/2027, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Hearts | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 9 | Falkirk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
- Champions League – 2nd qualifying round
- Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
- Relegation play-off
- Relegation to Championship
Scottish Cup winners qualify for the Europa League, so places can move down the table. After 33 rounds the league splits into top six and bottom six.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Celtic | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 12 |
| 3 | Rangers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | Dundee | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 6 | Aberdeen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Dundee United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 12 |
| 2 | Rangers | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Dundee | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Hearts | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
Falkirk Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Hearts | 9 | 1 | 8 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 16 |
| 2 | 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | 4 | Dundee | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | 8 | St Mirren | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | Falkirk | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | Rangers | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| 10 | 6 | Dundee United | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | Aberdeen | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | St Johnstone | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Hearts | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | 4 | Dundee | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | St Mirren | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | Falkirk | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | Rangers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | St Johnstone | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | Aberdeen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | Motherwell | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | Dundee United | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Hearts | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | Dundee United | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | Motherwell | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | Hibernian | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | Celtic | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | 2 | Rangers | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | Dundee | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | Aberdeen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | St Mirren | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | Falkirk | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | St Johnstone | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
